EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
113.5 USD
+2.45 (+2.21%)
At close:
113.86 USD
+0.36 (+0.32%)
After Hours:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.43%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a Return On Equity of 9.79%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 59.81% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.09%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of EXE (14.92%) is better than 65.07% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.15%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 73.71%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.69% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXE is destroying value.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EXE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.62 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.62, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- EXE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.05) than 76.08% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- EXE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.62 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC8.15%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.01, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.15% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.01, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.20% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 375.78% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
- EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.63% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.25%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- EXE is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.64.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.88.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.26, which indicates a correct valuation of EXE.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 77.99% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- EXE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 79.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.51% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 16.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.07%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.29, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.07% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.59%!
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of EXE is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
113.5
+2.45 (+2.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners93.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change6.02%
Market Cap27.29B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target135.32 (19.22%)
Short Float %2.52%
Short Ratio1.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.07% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-0.66%
PT rev (3m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)21.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)11.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)11.67%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.26 | ||
| P/S | 2.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.96 | ||
| P/B | 1.47 | ||
| P/tB | 1.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.59 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.37%
EPS(NY)8.56
Fwd EY7.54%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.03%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY16.77%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.62 |
F-Score9
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.25%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year173.65%
EBIT Next 3Y41.39%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 40.53% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.