EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
96.28 USD
-0.08 (-0.08%)
Last:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXE was profitable.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE has a better Return On Assets (6.43%) than 72.25% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.79%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.09%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 14.92%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- EXE has a Operating Margin of 21.15%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 59.81% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXE has a Gross Margin of 73.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXE outperforms 83.73% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- EXE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.40. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.40) than 70.33% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE (3.05) is better than 76.56% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of EXE (0.27) is better than 67.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.4 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC7.91%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Current ratio of 1.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 41.63% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio (1.01) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
- The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -29.31% on average. This is quite bad
- Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- EXE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.63% yearly.
- EXE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year5.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.89%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.81 indicates a correct valuation of EXE.
- 63.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.50. EXE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.33, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 79.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.62.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.33 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- 70.81% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.08 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 15.87% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.26.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- The dividend of EXE decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 42.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- EXE's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NASDAQ:EXE (4/23/2026, 3:59:59 PM)
96.28
-0.08 (-0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28/amc
Inst Owners93.3%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change7.16%
Market Cap23.15B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target137.74 (43.06%)
Short Float %3.1%
Short Ratio1.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.36% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.84%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.51%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.66%
PT rev (1m)2.04%
PT rev (3m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)36.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)17.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.82%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.33 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.08 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.06 | ||
| P/B | 1.25 | ||
| P/tB | 1.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.96 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY6.33%
EPS(NY)9.32
Fwd EY9.68%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY7.1%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY19.77%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.904 (6.88%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.4 |
F-Score9
WACC7.91%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year5.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.89%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year180.9%
EBIT Next 3Y41.2%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of EXPAND ENERGY CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 15.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.25.
How financially healthy is EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10.