EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXE - Nasdaq - US1651677353 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
EXE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXE was profitable.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years EXE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -3.54%, EXE is doing worse than 76.30% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -5.75%, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 71.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.54% | ||
| ROE | -5.75% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Gross Margin of EXE (63.43%) is better than 72.04% of its industry peers.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
EXE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 63.43% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EXE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 1.72. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (1.72) than 60.66% of its industry peers.
EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.79. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as EXE would need 12.79 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 12.79, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.34% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.30 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 62.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.72 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.17%
2.3 Liquidity
EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.59. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.59, EXE is doing worse than 81.04% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.59. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio of 0.59. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 75.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for EXE have decreased strongly by -23.89% in the last year.
The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -60.58% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has decreased by -8.50% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.89%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%260.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.5%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%104.66%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 64.72% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 30.99% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y535.59%
EPS Next 2Y197.31%
EPS Next 3Y92.02%
EPS Next 5Y64.72%
Revenue Next Year162.54%
Revenue Next 2Y73.57%
Revenue Next 3Y45.64%
Revenue Next 5Y30.99%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 40.58 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EXE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: EXE is more expensive than 65.40% of the companies listed in the same industry.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.21.
EXE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.83.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 64.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.70, EXE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. EXE is more expensive than 71.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 64.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 35.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 92.02% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y197.31%
EPS Next 3Y92.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.94%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.66, EXE is paying slightly less dividend.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.94% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of EXE are negative and hence is the payout ratio. EXE will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-45.8%
EPS Next 2Y197.31%
EPS Next 3Y92.02%
111.19
-5.75 (-4.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.78%
Ins Owner Change26.49%
Market Cap26.46B
Analysts83.13
Price Target131.97 (18.69%)
Short Float %4.87%
Short Ratio3.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.94% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP-45.8%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.21%
Max EPS beat(2)14.16%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)210.24%
Min EPS beat(4)6.21%
Max EPS beat(4)464.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)130.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)94.13%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)76.81%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.99%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-14.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-36.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.99%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.71%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)27.21%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)20.68%
PT rev (1m)4.83%
PT rev (3m)6.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)16.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.83 | ||
| P/S | 4.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 64.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.55 | ||
| P/B | 1.54 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 35.19 |
EPS(TTM)2.74
EY2.46%
EPS(NY)11.31
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)1.72
FCFY1.55%
OCF(TTM)8.86
OCFY7.97%
SpS22.35
BVpS72.24
TBVpS72.24
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.54% | ||
| ROE | -5.75% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 63.43% | ||
| FCFM | 7.71% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.79 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 83.24% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.94% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 226.77% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.59 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.72 |
F-Score2
WACC8.17%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.89%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%260.71%
EPS Next Y535.59%
EPS Next 2Y197.31%
EPS Next 3Y92.02%
EPS Next 5Y64.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.5%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%104.66%
Revenue Next Year162.54%
Revenue Next 2Y73.57%
Revenue Next 3Y45.64%
Revenue Next 5Y30.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-250.13%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5364.18%
EBIT Next 3Y291.66%
EBIT Next 5Y177.56%
FCF growth 1Y-81.24%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-49.32%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%