EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
103.89 USD
-2.14 (-2.02%)
At close:
103.92 USD
+0.03 (+0.03%)
After Hours:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- EXE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.43%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.79%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.09%) than 74.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- EXE has a Profit Margin of 14.92%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 65.07% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- EXE has a Operating Margin (21.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXE has a Gross Margin of 73.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXE outperforms 84.69% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- EXE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.51. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.51, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- EXE has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) than 67.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.51 |
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC8.01%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE's Current ratio of 1.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 41.63% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of EXE (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 190.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.28% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- EXE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.63% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.25%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.06, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. EXE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- EXE is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.14.
- EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 80.38% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.84), we can say EXE is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 83.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 69.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 16.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.07%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.20.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.07% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 42.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of EXE is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
103.89
-2.14 (-2.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners93.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change6.02%
Market Cap24.98B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target135.32 (30.25%)
Short Float %2.81%
Short Ratio1.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.07% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)0.24%
PT rev (3m)-0.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.72%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.14 | ||
| P/S | 2.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.46 | ||
| P/B | 1.34 | ||
| P/tB | 1.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.28 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.86%
EPS(NY)8.56
Fwd EY8.24%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.58%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY18.32%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.51 |
F-Score9
WACC8.01%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year3.23%
Revenue Next 2Y2.25%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year173.65%
EBIT Next 3Y41.39%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of EXPAND ENERGY CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 17.06 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.34.
How financially healthy is EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10.