EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock
117.04 USD
-0.12 (-0.1%)
Overall EXE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated EXE against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. EXE is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXE was profitable.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years EXE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.14%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.48% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Return On Equity of 4.78% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 41.90% of its industry peers.
EXE's Return On Invested Capital of 4.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 62.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXE has a Profit Margin (8.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
EXE has a Operating Margin of 12.15%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
EXE has a better Gross Margin (71.37%) than 82.86% of its industry peers.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXE is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.52. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a Altman-Z score of 2.52. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 75.71% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EXE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.58) than 70.95% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 64.76% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 127.45%, which is quite impressive.
EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% yearly.
Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 47.81% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 30.89% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.22, EXE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.46.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.96, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 64.76% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.39, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EXE.
EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 102.36% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.95%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.90.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, EXE is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
NASDAQ:EXE (11/19/2025, 2:58:26 PM)
117.04
-0.12 (-0.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.77%
Ins Owner Change3.13%
Market Cap27.87B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target133.66 (14.2%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)0.44%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-22.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-39.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.96 | ||
| P/S | 2.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.97 | ||
| P/B | 1.54 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.72 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY3.96%
EPS(NY)9.78
Fwd EY8.36%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.03%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY14.35%
SpS45.45
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
F-Score6
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5120.54%
EBIT Next 3Y299.38%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXE stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 25.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.54.
What is the financial health of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10.