EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXE - Nasdaq - US1651677353 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, EXE scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EXE was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EXE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
EXE has a worse Return On Assets (-2.56%) than 75.94% of its industry peers.
EXE's Return On Equity of -4.06% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 72.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.56% | ||
| ROE | -4.06% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Gross Margin value of 65.49%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.75% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
EXE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 65.49% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EXE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 1.59. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of EXE (1.59) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 710.00, which is on the high side as it means it would take EXE, 710.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 710.00, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 61.32% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.30, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 710 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.59 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.96%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.64 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE has a Current ratio of 0.64. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 78.77% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a worse Quick ratio (0.64) than 73.58% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.64 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -73.93%.
The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -60.58% on average. This is quite bad
EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -46.03%.
EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.93%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-58.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-46.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%10.61%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 64.72% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 43.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y530.88%
EPS Next 2Y187.47%
EPS Next 3Y91.67%
EPS Next 5Y64.72%
Revenue Next Year163.13%
Revenue Next 2Y70.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 80.48 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EXE.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.28% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.33. EXE is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.76, the valuation of EXE can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as EXE.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.37, EXE is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 80.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.76 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. EXE is more expensive than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2996.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 91.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y187.47%
EPS Next 3Y91.67%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.16%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
EXE's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 7.41.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.51, EXE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of EXE are negative and hence is the payout ratio. EXE will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-54.34%
EPS Next 2Y187.47%
EPS Next 3Y91.67%
103.01
+0.77 (+0.75%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.44%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.79%
Ins Owner Change19.07%
Market Cap23.97B
Analysts80
Price Target126.22 (22.53%)
Short Float %5.62%
Short Ratio3.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP-54.34%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)185.37%
Min EPS beat(2)14.16%
Max EPS beat(2)356.59%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)207.05%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.54%
Max EPS beat(4)464.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)130.63%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)95.93%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)118.67%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.99%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-12.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-36.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.99%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)10.91%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)23.64%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)24.08%
PT rev (1m)4.96%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)70.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)58.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)94.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.67%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)14.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)16.58%
Revenue NY rev (3m)22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 80.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.76 | ||
| P/S | 5.71 | ||
| P/FCF | 2996.31 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.32 | ||
| P/B | 1.36 | ||
| P/tB | 1.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.23 |
EPS(TTM)1.28
EY1.24%
EPS(NY)8.08
Fwd EY7.84%
FCF(TTM)0.03
FCFY0.03%
OCF(TTM)6.73
OCFY6.53%
SpS18.03
BVpS75.48
TBVpS75.48
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.56% | ||
| ROE | -4.06% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 65.49% | ||
| FCFM | 0.19% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 710 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.05% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 37.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 171.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.64 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.59 |
F-Score2
WACC9.96%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.93%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-58.02%
EPS Next Y530.88%
EPS Next 2Y187.47%
EPS Next 3Y91.67%
EPS Next 5Y64.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-46.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%10.61%
Revenue Next Year163.13%
Revenue Next 2Y70.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-137.21%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5223.9%
EBIT Next 3Y291.56%
EBIT Next 5Y177.56%
FCF growth 1Y-98.55%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-34.24%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%