104.75 USD
+4.87 (+4.88%)
106.61 USD
+1.86 (+1.78%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. EXE is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXE was profitable.
- In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.14%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a Return On Equity (4.78%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- EXE has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 62.32% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of EXE (8.01%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.15%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.93% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.33 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.33, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.50% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.58, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.50% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of EXE (0.28) is better than 64.25% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.33 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.94%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 67.63% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
- EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% yearly.
- EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
- EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 47.81% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 30.89% on average per year.
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year177.88%
Revenue Next 2Y67.94%
Revenue Next 3Y43.92%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.58, EXE is valued on the expensive side.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EXE.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.94), we can say EXE is valued inline with the index average.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.35, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
- EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 75.36% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.94, EXE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 64.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 101.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.19%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.75, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, EXE pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 87.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
104.75
+4.87 (+4.88%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap24.95B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target137.86 (31.61%)
Short Float %3.56%
Short Ratio2.64
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)2.02%
PT rev (3m)3.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.35 | ||
| P/S | 2.31 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.81 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.24 | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 1.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.02 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.43%
EPS(NY)10.12
Fwd EY9.66%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.62%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY16.04%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.33 |
F-Score6
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year177.88%
Revenue Next 2Y67.94%
Revenue Next 3Y43.92%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4855.67%
EBIT Next 3Y297.54%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 353.85% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.