EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
107.83 USD
-0.75 (-0.69%)
At close: Mar 12, 2026
107.81 USD
-0.02 (-0.02%)
After Hours: 3/12/2026, 8:00:02 PM
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Overall EXE gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated EXE against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. EXE has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- EXE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years EXE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of EXE (6.43%) is better than 72.46% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of 9.79%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.09%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 14.92%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.70% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 21.15%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.45% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 73.71%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXE is creating some value.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for EXE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.57 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE has a Altman-Z score of 2.57. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 74.88% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.05, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- EXE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 67.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC7.92%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.01, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.03% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.01, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.69% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 375.78% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.28% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.63% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.71, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.71.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.60, EXE is valued correctly.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 76.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.82. EXE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 80.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 66.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 16.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.16%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.41, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.59%!
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- EXE's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
107.83
-0.75 (-0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners93.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change0.95%
Market Cap25.92B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (25.19%)
Short Float %3.07%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-0.66%
PT rev (3m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)12.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.6 | ||
| P/S | 2.13 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.77 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.67 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | 1.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.45 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.65%
EPS(NY)8.56
Fwd EY7.94%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.34%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY17.65%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
F-Score9
WACC7.92%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year173.65%
EBIT Next 3Y41.39%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 40.53% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.