EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA Nasdaq NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353

105.28 USD
-5.09 (-4.61%)
Last: Feb 9, 2026, 02:32 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXE was profitable.
  • In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B

1.2 Ratios

  • EXE has a Return On Assets of 3.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a Return On Equity (4.78%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.11%, EXE is doing worse than 62.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROIC 4.11%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • EXE's Profit Margin of 8.01% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 53.40% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
EXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
EXE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
EXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.42. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • EXE has a Altman-Z score of 2.42. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 71.84% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.58, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Altman-Z 2.42
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.97%
EXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of EXE (0.81) is worse than 67.96% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EXE has a worse Quick ratio (0.81) than 60.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 127.45%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
  • The Revenue for EXE have been decreasing by -13.27% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 30.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y369.5%
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
EXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.69, the valuation of EXE can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EXE.
  • EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.93, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.53, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
  • EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 73.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.77), we can say EXE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.69
Fwd PE 11.53
EXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 63.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.9
EV/EBITDA 7.34
EXE Per share dataEXE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 98.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.89%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.64, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • EXE's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.89%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
  • EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXE Yearly Dividends per shareEXE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • 87.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
EXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B
EXE Dividend Payout.EXE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXPAND ENERGY CORP

NASDAQ:EXE (2/9/2026, 2:32:08 PM)

105.28

-5.09 (-4.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28
Earnings (Next)02-17
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap25.07B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target135.9 (29.08%)
Short Float %3.93%
Short Ratio2.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.89%
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)1.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)14.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)17.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.69
Fwd PE 11.53
P/S 2.32
P/FCF 17.9
P/OCF 6.27
P/B 1.38
P/tB 1.38
EV/EBITDA 7.34
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.41%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.67%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.59%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY15.96%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROCE 5.29%
ROIC 4.11%
ROICexc 4.21%
ROICexgc 4.21%
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
FCFM 12.94%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.2
Cap/Depr 90.66%
Cap/Sales 24.02%
Interest Coverage 5.39
Cash Conversion 95.65%
Profit Quality 161.59%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 2.42
F-Score6
WACC7.97%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y369.5%
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4816.91%
EBIT Next 3Y295.12%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%

EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.


What is the valuation status for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of EXE stock?

EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 369.5% in the next year.


Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.