EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock
114.5 USD
-2.77 (-2.36%)
114.5 USD
0 (0%)
EXE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXE was profitable.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.14%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.48% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Return On Equity (4.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXE has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 62.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXE has a Profit Margin of 8.01%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 52.86% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.52. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE's Altman-Z score of 2.52 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 75.71% of its industry peers.
EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.58, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.95% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EXE has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.28) than 62.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 64.29% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 127.45%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -60.58% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 47.81% on average per year.
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 30.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 24.68, the valuation of EXE can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.07, EXE is valued at the same level.
EXE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.70.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 62.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.08. EXE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as EXE.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 102.36% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.95%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.90, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
EXE's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
114.5
-2.77 (-2.36%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.77%
Ins Owner Change3.13%
Market Cap27.27B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target133.66 (16.73%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)0.44%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-22.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-39.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.7 | ||
| P/S | 2.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.82 | ||
| P/B | 1.5 | ||
| P/tB | 1.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.05%
EPS(NY)9.78
Fwd EY8.54%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.14%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY14.67%
SpS45.45
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
F-Score6
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5120.54%
EBIT Next 3Y299.38%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXE stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 24.68 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.5.
What is the financial health of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10.