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EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock

109.49 USD
+0.32 (+0.29%)
Last: 12/26/2025, 8:00:02 PM
109.48 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
After Hours: 12/26/2025, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EXE is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of EXE (3.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.78%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.38% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.11%, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 62.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROIC 4.11%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

EXE's Profit Margin of 8.01% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 53.33% of its industry peers.
EXE's Operating Margin of 12.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 44.29% of its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of EXE (71.37%) is better than 82.38% of its industry peers.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
EXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
EXE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
EXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.40. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.40) than 74.76% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EXE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.58) than 71.90% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Altman-Z 2.4
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.97%
EXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio of 0.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% on average per year.
EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
The Revenue for EXE have been decreasing by -13.27% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 47.81% on average per year.
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 30.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year168.96%
Revenue Next 2Y68.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.65%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.60, EXE is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.92, EXE is valued at the same level.
EXE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.82.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.46. EXE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.6
Fwd PE 10.82
EXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.61
EV/EBITDA 7.29
EXE Per share dataEXE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 101.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.11%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.93, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.11%

5.2 History

The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXE Yearly Dividends per shareEXE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

87.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B
EXE Dividend Payout.EXE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXPAND ENERGY CORP

NASDAQ:EXE (12/26/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 109.48 -0.01 (-0.01%)

109.49

+0.32 (+0.29%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Inst Owners94.82%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap26.08B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target136.15 (24.35%)
Short Float %4.35%
Short Ratio3.22
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.11%
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date11-13 2025-11-13 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)1.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.37%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.6
Fwd PE 10.82
P/S 2.41
P/FCF 18.61
P/OCF 6.52
P/B 1.44
P/tB 1.44
EV/EBITDA 7.29
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.24%
EPS(NY)10.12
Fwd EY9.24%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.37%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY15.34%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROCE 5.29%
ROIC 4.11%
ROICexc 4.21%
ROICexgc 4.21%
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
FCFM 12.94%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.2
Cap/Depr 90.66%
Cap/Sales 24.02%
Interest Coverage 5.39
Cash Conversion 95.65%
Profit Quality 161.59%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 2.4
F-Score6
WACC7.97%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year168.96%
Revenue Next 2Y68.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.65%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4855.67%
EBIT Next 3Y297.54%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%

EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.


Can you provide the valuation status for EXPAND ENERGY CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of EXE stock?

EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXE stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 23.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.44.


What is the financial health of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10.