EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
102.15 USD
+1.16 (+1.15%)
At close:
101.64 USD
-0.51 (-0.5%)
After Hours:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE has a better Return On Assets (6.43%) than 71.77% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of EXE (9.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- EXE's Return On Invested Capital of 8.09% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 14.92%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of EXE (21.15%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 73.71%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.47 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE's Altman-Z score of 2.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 69.86% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.05, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.03% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of EXE (0.27) is better than 66.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.47 |
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC8.05%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE's Current ratio of 1.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 40.67% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio of 1.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 188.32% over the past year.
- EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 190.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)188.32%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%50.96%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.82% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y6.82%
Revenue Next Year5.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.89%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- EXE is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.93.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 78.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.77), we can say EXE is valued rather cheaply.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.75, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
- 80.38% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.75, EXE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 83.73% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 70.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 15.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.28%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.21, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.59%!
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- The dividend of EXE decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 42.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of EXE is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
102.15
+1.16 (+1.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength83.23
Industry Growth72.67
Earnings (Last)04-28 2026-04-28/amc
Earnings (Next)07-27 2026-07-27/amc
Inst Owners93.3%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change7.16%
Market Cap24.56B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target138.26 (35.35%)
Short Float %2.69%
Short Ratio1.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.28% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.84%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.51%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.66%
PT rev (1m)2.04%
PT rev (3m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)39.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)17.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.53%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 | ||
| P/S | 2.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.37 | ||
| P/B | 1.32 | ||
| P/tB | 1.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.16 |
EPS(TTM)7.9
EY7.73%
EPS(NY)9.5
Fwd EY9.3%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.69%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY18.63%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number117.203 (14.74%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.47 |
F-Score9
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)188.32%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.6%
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y6.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%50.96%
Revenue Next Year5.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.89%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year180.9%
EBIT Next 3Y41.2%
EBIT Next 5Y21.99%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of EXPAND ENERGY CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 12.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.32.
How financially healthy is EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10.