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EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock

109.66 USD
+0.84 (+0.77%)
Last: 1/28/2026, 8:00:02 PM
109.66 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/28/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXE was profitable.
  • In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B

1.2 Ratios

  • EXE has a Return On Assets (3.14%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of EXE (4.78%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EXE has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 62.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROIC 4.11%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 8.01%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
EXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
  • EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
EXE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
EXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.41. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • EXE's Altman-Z score of 2.41 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 72.46% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 71.50% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • EXE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 64.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Altman-Z 2.41
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.13%
EXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 67.63% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -60.58% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
  • Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 30.89% on average per year.
EPS Next Y363.32%
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
EXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.63, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
  • EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.01, which indicates a correct valuation of EXE.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.63
Fwd PE 12.01
EXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.28% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.64
EV/EBITDA 7.29
EXE Per share dataEXE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 100.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.91%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.73.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXE pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.91%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
  • EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXE Yearly Dividends per shareEXE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%
EXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B
EXE Dividend Payout.EXE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.


What is the valuation status for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of EXE stock?

EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 363.32% in the next year.


Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.