EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXE - US1651677353 - Common Stock
117.04 USD
-0.12 (-0.1%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.14%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.48% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.78%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.90% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.11%, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 62.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 8.01%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.86% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
EXE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.52 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.52) than 75.71% of its industry peers.
EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
EXE's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 70.95% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.28, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.11%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 64.76% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio of 0.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 127.45%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -60.58% on average. This is quite bad
EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 30.89% on average per year.
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
EXE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.22.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.96, the valuation of EXE can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 64.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.39. EXE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 102.36% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.95%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.90, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
EXE's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
NASDAQ:EXE (11/19/2025, 2:58:26 PM)
117.04
-0.12 (-0.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners91.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.77%
Ins Owner Change3.13%
Market Cap27.87B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target133.66 (14.2%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.95% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)0.44%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-22.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-39.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.96 | ||
| P/S | 2.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.97 | ||
| P/B | 1.54 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.72 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY3.96%
EPS(NY)9.78
Fwd EY8.36%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.03%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY14.35%
SpS45.45
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
F-Score6
WACC8.11%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y330.73%
EPS Next 2Y176.47%
EPS Next 3Y102.36%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year161.44%
Revenue Next 2Y68.51%
Revenue Next 3Y44.53%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year5120.54%
EBIT Next 3Y299.38%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EXE stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 25.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.54.
What is the financial health of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10.