EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
108.06 USD
+4.21 (+4.05%)
At close: Feb 20, 2026
108.38 USD
+0.32 (+0.3%)
After Hours: 2/20/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Taking everything into account, EXE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EXE was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of EXE is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. EXE has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE's Return On Assets of 3.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 49.51% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Return On Equity of 4.78% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 41.75% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.11%, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 62.62% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- EXE has a Profit Margin (8.01%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
- EXE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.38. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE has a Altman-Z score of 2.38. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 70.39% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 71.36% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.28, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.83%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 67.48% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of EXE (0.81) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 375.78% over the past year.
- EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%15.19%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.17% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.99), we can say EXE is valued slightly cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.84 indicates a reasonable valuation of EXE.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 76.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.02. EXE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 66.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 62.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 14.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.21%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.52, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, EXE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.21% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of EXE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
108.06
+4.21 (+4.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap25.74B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target135.9 (25.76%)
Short Float %3.61%
Short Ratio2.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.21% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)29.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)40.73%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.37%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.84%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)20.93%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.27%
PT rev (1m)-1.42%
PT rev (3m)1.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)20.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.84 | ||
| P/S | 2.38 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.43 | ||
| P/B | 1.42 | ||
| P/tB | 1.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.64%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.45%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.44%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY15.55%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
F-Score6
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%15.19%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4816.91%
EBIT Next 3Y295.12%
EBIT Next 5Y125.18%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 49.9% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.