EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
107.32 USD
-0.63 (-0.58%)
At close:
107.69 USD
+0.37 (+0.34%)
After Hours:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXE was profitable.
- In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE has a better Return On Assets (6.43%) than 72.12% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Return On Equity (9.79%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- EXE's Return On Invested Capital of 8.09% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 74.04% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- EXE has a better Profit Margin (14.92%) than 65.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- EXE has a Operating Margin of 21.15%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 59.62% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
- EXE's Gross Margin of 73.71% is amongst the best of the industry. EXE outperforms 85.10% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.58 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE's Altman-Z score of 2.58 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- EXE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.05) than 75.96% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 66.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC7.95%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Current ratio of 1.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 41.35% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
- EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% yearly.
- EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- EXE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.63% yearly.
- EXE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.62, the valuation of EXE can be described as rather expensive.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- EXE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.54 indicates a correct valuation of EXE.
- 78.85% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.28.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 81.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 16.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.47, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, EXE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- EXE's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
107.32
-0.63 (-0.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners93.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change1.27%
Market Cap25.80B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (25.78%)
Short Float %2.52%
Short Ratio1.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-0.66%
PT rev (3m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.54 | ||
| P/S | 2.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.64 | ||
| P/B | 1.39 | ||
| P/tB | 1.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.46 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.67%
EPS(NY)8.56
Fwd EY7.97%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.37%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY17.73%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
F-Score9
WACC7.95%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year173.65%
EBIT Next 3Y41.39%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 40.53% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.