EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
105.88 USD
-2.11 (-1.95%)
At close: Mar 4, 2026
105.88 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/4/2026, 6:21:57 PM
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Overall EXE gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated EXE against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EXE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. EXE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- EXE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years EXE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE has a Return On Assets of 6.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 71.98% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.79%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.09%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.40% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of EXE (14.92%) is better than 65.70% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 21.15%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 73.71%, EXE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.54% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is still creating some value.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EXE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.56) than 73.43% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 75.85% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- EXE has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
ROIC/WACC1.04
WACC7.78%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Current ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
- EXE has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.01, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.66% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.28% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.17% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.39, the valuation of EXE can be described as rather expensive.
- EXE's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.03, EXE is valued a bit cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.60 indicates a reasonable valuation of EXE.
- EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.11.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued cheaper than 80.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 66.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 14.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.16%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.47.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.59%!
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 42.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- EXE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
105.88
-2.11 (-1.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.95%
Market Cap25.22B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (27.49%)
Short Float %3.07%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-2.08%
PT rev (3m)0.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)8.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.6 | ||
| P/S | 2.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.51 | ||
| P/B | 1.36 | ||
| P/tB | 1.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.42 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.75%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.62%
FCF(TTM)6.9
FCFY6.52%
OCF(TTM)19.21
OCFY18.14%
SpS51.18
BVpS78
TBVpS78
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.39
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
F-Score9
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC1.04
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year182.84%
EBIT Next 3Y41.02%
EBIT Next 5Y25.11%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 49.9% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.