106.66 USD
+1.23 (+1.17%)
106 USD
-0.66 (-0.62%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EXE is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EXE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
EXE has a Return On Assets of 3.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.78%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.83% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of EXE (8.01%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXE has a Operating Margin of 12.15%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 44.71% of its industry peers.
EXE's Gross Margin of 71.37% is amongst the best of the industry. EXE outperforms 82.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.36. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.36) than 74.52% of its industry peers.
EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE (3.58) is better than 71.63% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of EXE (0.28) is better than 64.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.36 |
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.9%
2.3 Liquidity
EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 66.83% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 168.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 30.89% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year168.96%
Revenue Next 2Y68.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.65%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 22.99, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.92.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.54, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 72.12% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.57), we can say EXE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 61.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 101.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.91%.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.96.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, EXE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.91% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
87.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
106.66
+1.23 (+1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap25.40B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target136.15 (27.65%)
Short Float %4.28%
Short Ratio3.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.91% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)2.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-28.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.54 | ||
| P/S | 2.35 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.35 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | 1.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.12 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.35%
EPS(NY)10.12
Fwd EY9.49%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.52%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY15.75%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.36 |
F-Score6
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year168.96%
Revenue Next 2Y68.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.65%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4855.67%
EBIT Next 3Y297.54%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 353.85% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.