EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
107.92 USD
+1.63 (+1.53%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
107.91 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:00:02 PM
Overall EXE gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated EXE against 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. EXE has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE's Return On Assets of 6.43% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 73.30% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a better Return On Equity (9.79%) than 60.68% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Return On Invested Capital of 8.09% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 75.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 14.92%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.53% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.15%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of EXE (73.71%) is better than 84.47% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- EXE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.54, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.05, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 66.02% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC1.04
WACC7.76%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of EXE (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE's Quick ratio of 1.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 52.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.17% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- EXE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.72, the valuation of EXE can be described as rather expensive.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.10, EXE is valued a bit cheaper.
- EXE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.82.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- EXE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 80.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 65.53% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 14.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.17%.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.51.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.59%!
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- EXE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
107.92
+1.63 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap25.70B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (25.08%)
Short Float %3.61%
Short Ratio2.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-1.42%
PT rev (3m)1.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)20.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.82 | ||
| P/S | 2.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.63 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.62 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | 1.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.35 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.64%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.46%
FCF(TTM)6.9
FCFY6.4%
OCF(TTM)19.21
OCFY17.8%
SpS51.18
BVpS78
TBVpS78
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.39
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score9
WACC7.76%
ROIC/WACC1.04
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year182.84%
EBIT Next 3Y41.02%
EBIT Next 5Y25.11%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 49.9% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.