EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA Nasdaq NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353

110.37 USD
+1 (+0.91%)
At close: Feb 6, 2026
110.37 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/6/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.14%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 4.78%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE has a worse Return On Invested Capital (4.11%) than 62.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROIC 4.11%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • EXE has a Profit Margin (8.01%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EXE's Gross Margin of 71.37% is amongst the best of the industry. EXE outperforms 82.13% of its industry peers.
  • EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
EXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXE is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
EXE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
EXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.40 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.40) than 71.98% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.58. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXE would need 3.58 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.58, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • EXE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 64.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Altman-Z 2.4
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC7.97%
EXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, EXE is doing worse than 67.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EXE's Quick ratio of 0.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 40.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
  • EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% yearly.
  • EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
  • Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 47.81% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 30.89% on average per year.
EPS Next Y363.32%
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
EXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 23.79, the valuation of EXE can be described as rather expensive.
  • EXE's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.08, the valuation of EXE can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.98% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 27.78. EXE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.79
Fwd PE 12.08
EXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 63.28% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.76
EV/EBITDA 7.28
EXE Per share dataEXE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 100.63% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.89%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.66.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, EXE pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.89%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
  • EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXE Yearly Dividends per shareEXE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • 87.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%
EXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B
EXE Dividend Payout.EXE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXPAND ENERGY CORP

NASDAQ:EXE (2/6/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 110.37 0 (0%)

110.37

+1 (+0.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28
Earnings (Next)02-17
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap26.29B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target135.9 (23.13%)
Short Float %3.93%
Short Ratio2.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.89%
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)1.25%
PT rev (3m)3.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.79
Fwd PE 12.08
P/S 2.43
P/FCF 18.76
P/OCF 6.57
P/B 1.45
P/tB 1.45
EV/EBITDA 7.28
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.2%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.27%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.33%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY15.22%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.14%
ROE 4.78%
ROCE 5.29%
ROIC 4.11%
ROICexc 4.21%
ROICexgc 4.21%
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.01%
GM 71.37%
FCFM 12.94%
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.2
Cap/Depr 90.66%
Cap/Sales 24.02%
Interest Coverage 5.39
Cash Conversion 95.65%
Profit Quality 161.59%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 2.4
F-Score6
WACC7.97%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y363.32%
EPS Next 2Y167.12%
EPS Next 3Y100.63%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4816.91%
EBIT Next 3Y295.12%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%

EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.


What is the valuation status for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of EXE stock?

EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 363.32% in the next year.


Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.