EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353

Current stock price

96.3 USD
-0.14 (-0.15%)
At close:
96.28 USD
-0.02 (-0.02%)
After Hours:

This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. EXE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXE was profitable.
  • In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • EXE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of EXE (6.43%) is better than 71.77% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 9.79%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.09%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.43%
ROE 9.79%
ROIC 8.09%
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 14.92%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of EXE (21.15%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
  • EXE's Gross Margin of 73.71% is amongst the best of the industry. EXE outperforms 83.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.15%
PM (TTM) 14.92%
GM 73.71%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
EXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. EXE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • EXE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EXE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
EXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.40. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.40, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE (3.05) is better than 77.03% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • EXE has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) than 66.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 3.05
Altman-Z 2.4
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC7.91%
EXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of EXE (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of EXE (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
EXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. EXE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 375.78% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
  • EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.82% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y6.82%
Revenue Next Year5.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.89%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
EXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

7

4. EXE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • EXE is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.81.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • EXE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.35.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.34, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 78.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.23.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.81
Fwd PE 10.34
EXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 82.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 70.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.08
EV/EBITDA 4.96
EXE Per share dataEXE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 15.87% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. EXE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.39%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.22, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.39%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
  • EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • EXE has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
EXE Yearly Dividends per shareEXE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of EXE is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B
EXE Dividend Payout.EXE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPAND ENERGY CORP

NASDAQ:EXE (4/27/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 96.28 -0.02 (-0.02%)

96.3

-0.14 (-0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners93.3%
Inst Owner Change0.19%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change7.16%
Market Cap23.15B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target137.74 (43.03%)
Short Float %3.1%
Short Ratio1.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.39%
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.84%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.51%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.66%
PT rev (1m)2.04%
PT rev (3m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)39.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)17.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.53%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.81
Fwd PE 10.34
P/S 1.9
P/FCF 14.08
P/OCF 5.06
P/B 1.25
P/tB 1.25
EV/EBITDA 4.96
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY6.32%
EPS(NY)9.32
Fwd EY9.67%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY7.1%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY19.76%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.904 (6.86%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.43%
ROE 9.79%
ROCE 10.16%
ROIC 8.09%
ROICexc 8.3%
ROICexgc 8.3%
OM 21.15%
PM (TTM) 14.92%
GM 73.71%
FCFM 13.49%
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 3.05
Debt/EBITDA 0.9
Cap/Depr 98.36%
Cap/Sales 24.05%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 82.31%
Profit Quality 90.38%
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
Altman-Z 2.4
F-Score9
WACC7.91%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y6.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year5.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.89%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year180.9%
EBIT Next 3Y41.2%
EBIT Next 5Y21.99%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%

EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.


What is the valuation status for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?

EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of EXPAND ENERGY CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 15.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.25.


How financially healthy is EXPAND ENERGY CORP?

The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10.