EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
107.02 USD
-0.81 (-0.75%)
At close:
107.06 USD
+0.04 (+0.04%)
After Hours:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXE was profitable.
- In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE has a better Return On Assets (6.43%) than 71.98% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Return On Equity of 9.79%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 58.94% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Return On Invested Capital of 8.09% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 14.92%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- EXE's Operating Margin of 21.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 58.45% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 73.71%, EXE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.02% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of EXE (2.56) is better than 73.43% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 75.85% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 67.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC7.98%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.01, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE's Quick ratio of 1.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 51.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 375.78% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.28% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.63% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- EXE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.57, EXE is valued on the expensive side.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.71, EXE is valued a bit cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.50 indicates a correct valuation of EXE.
- 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.83), we can say EXE is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 80.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 16.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.47, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 42.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- EXE's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
107.02
-0.81 (-0.75%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners93.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change1.27%
Market Cap25.73B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (26.14%)
Short Float %3.07%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-0.66%
PT rev (3m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.57 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.5 | ||
| P/S | 2.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.62 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | 1.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.42 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.69%
EPS(NY)8.56
Fwd EY8%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.39%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY17.78%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.43
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
F-Score9
WACC7.98%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year173.65%
EBIT Next 3Y41.39%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 40.53% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.