EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
104.05 USD
+0.61 (+0.59%)
At close: Feb 13, 2026
104.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/13/2026, 8:05:50 PM
EXE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EXE have multiple concerns. EXE is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
- In the past 5 years EXE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE's Return On Assets of 3.14% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 49.51% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Return On Equity of 4.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 41.75% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Return On Invested Capital of 4.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 62.62% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- EXE's Profit Margin of 8.01% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 53.40% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Operating Margin of 12.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 44.66% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a better Gross Margin (71.37%) than 82.52% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.32. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE's Altman-Z score of 2.32 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 70.39% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE (3.58) is better than 71.36% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.32 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC7.76%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 67.48% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 127.45% over the past year.
- The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -60.58% on average. This is quite bad
- EXE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 168.49%.
- The Revenue for EXE have been decreasing by -13.27% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
- EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 48.18% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 30.89% on average per year.
EPS Next Y369.5%
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
EPS Next 5Y48.18%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.42, EXE is valued on the expensive side.
- EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- EXE is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.40.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- EXE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 66.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 62.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 98.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.22%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.57.
- EXE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.84.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.22% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
104.05
+0.61 (+0.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2025-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change2.66%
Market Cap24.78B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target135.9 (30.61%)
Short Float %3.93%
Short Ratio2.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.22% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)29.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)40.73%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.37%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.84%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)20.93%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.27%
PT rev (1m)-0.19%
PT rev (3m)1.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.11%
EPS NQ rev (3m)21.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.4 | ||
| P/S | 2.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.19 | ||
| P/B | 1.37 | ||
| P/tB | 1.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.98 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.46%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.77%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.65%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY16.15%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.32 |
F-Score6
WACC7.76%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y369.5%
EPS Next 2Y167.06%
EPS Next 3Y98.37%
EPS Next 5Y48.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year177.55%
Revenue Next 2Y67.37%
Revenue Next 3Y43.76%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4816.91%
EBIT Next 3Y295.12%
EBIT Next 5Y125.18%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 369.5% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.