EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:EXE - Nasdaq - US1651677353 - Common Stock
Overall EXE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated EXE against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. EXE does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXE was profitable.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
EXE's Return On Assets of 1.90% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXE is outperformed by 68.45% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 2.49%, EXE is not doing good in the industry: 69.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.14%, EXE is doing worse than 79.13% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXE is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.76%) for EXE is well above the current ROIC(1.14%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.9% | ||
| ROE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.14% |
ROA(3y)35.26%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)62.5%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.76%
ROIC(5y)9.96%
1.3 Margins
EXE has a worse Profit Margin (6.30%) than 60.68% of its industry peers.
EXE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.54%, EXE is doing worse than 72.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 75.71%, EXE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.98% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 75.71% |
OM growth 3Y60.28%
OM growth 5Y26.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y88.94%
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y0.58%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXE is creating some value.
EXE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
EXE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 5.49. This indicates that EXE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (5.49) than 90.78% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 7.97, which is on the high side as it means it would take EXE, 7.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE (7.97) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of EXE (0.20) is better than 68.45% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC8.71%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.00 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
EXE has a Current ratio of 2.00. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 71.84% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Quick Ratio of 2.00. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXE has a better Quick ratio (2.00) than 73.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -73.91%.
The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -10.38% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -60.05% in the last year.
EXE shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.38%
EPS Q2Q%-85.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-60.05%
Revenue growth 3Y13.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.46%
Sales Q2Q%-57.14%
3.2 Future
EXE is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.68% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 18.73% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-78.84%
EPS Next 2Y-7.95%
EPS Next 3Y10.29%
EPS Next 5Y-0.68%
Revenue Next Year-36.03%
Revenue Next 2Y19.38%
Revenue Next 3Y18.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 52.35, EXE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. EXE is more expensive than 72.33% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say EXE is valued expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.67, EXE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. EXE is more expensive than 66.50% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: EXE is more expensive than 71.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXE is valued a bit more expensive than 62.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 97.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.95%
EPS Next 3Y10.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.39.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -28.95%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.95%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
5.3 Sustainability
129.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of EXE has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP129.53%
EPS Next 2Y-7.95%
EPS Next 3Y10.29%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP
NASDAQ:EXE (1/21/2025, 8:00:02 PM)
After market: 106.8 0 (0%)106.8
+0.44 (+0.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners66.33%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.9%
Ins Owner Change42.08%
Market Cap24.68B
Analysts77.69
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %5.5%
Short Ratio4.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.13% |
Yearly Dividend3.67
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.95%
DP129.53%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)410.3%
Min EPS beat(2)356.59%
Max EPS beat(2)464.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)223.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.54%
Max EPS beat(4)464.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)133.82%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)94.37%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-22.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-36.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.38%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-36.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)35.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)25.7%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)32.57%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.67 | ||
| P/S | 6.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 97.56 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.93 | ||
| P/B | 2.42 | ||
| P/tB | 2.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.54 |
EPS(TTM)2.04
EY1.91%
EPS(NY)4.16
Fwd EY3.9%
FCF(TTM)1.09
FCFY1.03%
OCF(TTM)7.15
OCFY6.7%
SpS17.44
BVpS44.08
TBVpS44.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.9% | ||
| ROE | 2.49% | ||
| ROCE | 1.46% | ||
| ROIC | 1.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.24% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.24% | ||
| OM | 4.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 75.71% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)35.26%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)62.5%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.76%
ROIC(5y)9.96%
ROICexc(3y)14.49%
ROICexc(5y)10.54%
ROICexgc(3y)14.49%
ROICexgc(5y)10.54%
ROCE(3y)17.73%
ROCE(5y)12.84%
ROICexcg growth 3Y17.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y15.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.1%
OM growth 3Y60.28%
OM growth 5Y26.63%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y88.94%
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y0.58%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.97 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.23 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 95.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 34.73% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.01 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 100.55% | ||
| Profit Quality | 99.61% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.49 |
F-Score5
WACC8.71%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)99.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)20.06%
Profit Quality(3y)28.9%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-73.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.38%
EPS Q2Q%-85.32%
EPS Next Y-78.84%
EPS Next 2Y-7.95%
EPS Next 3Y10.29%
EPS Next 5Y-0.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-60.05%
Revenue growth 3Y13.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.46%
Sales Q2Q%-57.14%
Revenue Next Year-36.03%
Revenue Next 2Y19.38%
Revenue Next 3Y18.73%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-95.24%
EBIT growth 3Y82.51%
EBIT growth 5Y19.71%
EBIT Next Year1.78%
EBIT Next 3Y37.33%
EBIT Next 5Y23.75%
FCF growth 1Y-87.8%
FCF growth 3Y192.58%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-54.56%
OCF growth 3Y26.92%
OCF growth 5Y6.59%