EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
Current stock price
97.09 USD
+1.04 (+1.08%)
Last:
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXE was profitable.
- In the past year EXE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.43%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Return On Equity of 9.79% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 59.33% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of EXE (8.09%) is better than 73.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 14.92%, EXE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- EXE has a Operating Margin (21.15%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXE's Gross Margin of 73.71% is amongst the best of the industry. EXE outperforms 83.73% of its industry peers.
- EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EXE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.40. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.40, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
- EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.4 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC7.87%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Current ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 375.78% over the past year.
- The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -29.31% on average. This is quite bad
- Looking at the last year, EXE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 190.49%.
- Measured over the past years, EXE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- EXE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.63% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year3.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.94%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.94, the valuation of EXE can be described as correct.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 63.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. EXE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.42, the valuation of EXE can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- EXE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 83.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 70.81% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 15.87% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EXE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.23, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXE pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- The dividend of EXE decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 42.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXE. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of EXE is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NASDAQ:EXE (4/16/2026, 2:56:57 PM)
97.09
+1.04 (+1.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/amc
Inst Owners93.3%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change6.8%
Market Cap23.34B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target137.53 (41.65%)
Short Float %3.1%
Short Ratio1.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)1.88%
PT rev (3m)1.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)20.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)10.78%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.73%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.42 | ||
| P/S | 1.91 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.1 | ||
| P/B | 1.26 | ||
| P/tB | 1.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.94 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY6.27%
EPS(NY)9.32
Fwd EY9.6%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY7.04%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY19.6%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.904 (5.99%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.4 |
F-Score9
WACC7.87%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y52.99%
EPS Next 2Y24.91%
EPS Next 3Y15.87%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year3.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.94%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year180.9%
EBIT Next 3Y41.2%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of EXPAND ENERGY CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 15.94 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.26.
How financially healthy is EXPAND ENERGY CORP?
The financial health rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10.