110.36 USD
-1.66 (-1.48%)
110.36 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, EXE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EXE was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. EXE is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXE was profitable.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXE reported negative net income in multiple years.
EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 3.14%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.72% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE has a Return On Equity (4.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EXE has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXE underperforms 62.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXE has a Profit Margin of 8.01%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXE outperforms 53.59% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Operating Margin (12.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.37%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.30% of the companies in the same industry.
EXE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, EXE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.42. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EXE has a better Altman-Z score (2.42) than 75.12% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.58, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EXE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.58) than 71.77% of its industry peers.
EXE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EXE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC7.98%
2.3 Liquidity
EXE has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EXE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, EXE is doing worse than 66.51% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EXE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.81, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 127.45%, which is quite impressive.
EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -60.58% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 168.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
EXE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -13.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
3.2 Future
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 47.81% yearly.
EXE is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 30.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue Next Year168.96%
Revenue Next 2Y68.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.65%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.78, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE is on the same level as its industry peers.
EXE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.90, which indicates a very decent valuation of EXE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 70.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
EXE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 101.20% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.11%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.93, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.11% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EXE decreases each year by -29.99%.
EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
EXE pays out 87.89% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP87.89%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
110.36
-1.66 (-1.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners94.82%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap26.28B
Revenue(TTM)10.82B
Net Income(TTM)867.00M
Analysts84.24
Price Target136.15 (23.37%)
Short Float %4.28%
Short Ratio3.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.11% |
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-29.99%
DP87.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)14.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)113.2%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.3%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)71.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)30.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)19.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)42.53%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)12.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)42.53%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.25%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)21.2%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)27.48%
PT rev (1m)1.64%
PT rev (3m)1.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.37%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.04%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.9 | ||
| P/S | 2.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.57 | ||
| P/B | 1.45 | ||
| P/tB | 1.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.33 |
EPS(TTM)4.64
EY4.2%
EPS(NY)10.12
Fwd EY9.17%
FCF(TTM)5.88
FCFY5.33%
OCF(TTM)16.8
OCFY15.22%
SpS45.44
BVpS76.21
TBVpS76.21
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number89.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.14% | ||
| ROE | 4.78% | ||
| ROCE | 5.29% | ||
| ROIC | 4.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.21% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.21% | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.01% | ||
| GM | 71.37% | ||
| FCFM | 12.94% |
ROA(3y)15.25%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)23.95%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.86%
GM growth 5Y-3.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.39 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.65% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.42 |
F-Score6
WACC7.98%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)104.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)127.45%
EPS 3Y-60.58%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%506.25%
EPS Next Y353.85%
EPS Next 2Y181.19%
EPS Next 3Y101.2%
EPS Next 5Y47.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)168.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-10.19%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.27%
Sales Q2Q%357.72%
Revenue Next Year168.96%
Revenue Next 2Y68.44%
Revenue Next 3Y43.65%
Revenue Next 5Y30.89%
EBIT growth 1Y618.58%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year4855.67%
EBIT Next 3Y297.54%
EBIT Next 5Y125.29%
FCF growth 1Y42.09%
FCF growth 3Y-80.34%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.17%
OCF growth 3Y-4.34%
OCF growth 5Y-0.73%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 353.85% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 87.89%.