EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353
107.52 USD
+0.68 (+0.64%)
Last: Mar 9, 2026, 09:32 AM
This EXE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Overall EXE gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated EXE against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EXE has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. EXE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. EXE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXE was profitable.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
- EXE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- EXE has a Return On Assets of 6.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 72.46% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.79%, EXE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.09%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- EXE's Profit Margin of 14.92% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXE outperforms 65.70% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 21.15%, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXE's Gross Margin of 73.71% is amongst the best of the industry. EXE outperforms 85.51% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% |
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. EXE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- EXE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- EXE has an Altman-Z score of 2.56. This is not the best score and indicates that EXE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EXE has a Altman-Z score of 2.56. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 74.88% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- EXE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.05) than 75.85% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
- EXE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 67.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC7.87%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXE has a Current Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of EXE (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- EXE has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that EXE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXE has a Quick ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. EXE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
- EXE shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -29.31% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 190.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.63% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.66 indicates a rather expensive valuation of EXE.
- EXE's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.29), we can say EXE is valued slightly cheaper.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.56, the valuation of EXE can be described as correct.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXE is valued a bit cheaper than 77.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.60, EXE is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXE is valued cheaper than 81.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 65.70% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 16.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
5. EXE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.16%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.40, EXE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
- EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of EXE is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EXE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NASDAQ:EXE (3/9/2026, 9:32:09 AM)
107.52
+0.68 (+0.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/amc
Inst Owners93.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change0.95%
Market Cap25.85B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (25.55%)
Short Float %3.07%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.16% |
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.575)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-0.66%
PT rev (3m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)12.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.56 | ||
| P/S | 2.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.72 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.65 | ||
| P/B | 1.39 | ||
| P/tB | 1.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.41 |
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.66%
EPS(NY)8.56
Fwd EY7.96%
FCF(TTM)6.84
FCFY6.36%
OCF(TTM)19.03
OCFY17.7%
SpS50.7
BVpS77.28
TBVpS77.28
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number102.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.43% | ||
| ROE | 9.79% | ||
| ROCE | 10.16% | ||
| ROIC | 8.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.3% | ||
| OM | 21.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.92% | ||
| GM | 73.71% | ||
| FCFM | 13.49% |
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 24.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
F-Score9
WACC7.87%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y23.39%
EPS Next 3Y16.77%
EPS Next 5Y8.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y2.93%
Revenue Next 3Y2.68%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year173.65%
EBIT Next 3Y41.39%
EBIT Next 5Y22.81%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%
EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.
What is the valuation status for EXE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXE stock?
EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 40.53% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.