EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:EXE • US1651677353

106.29 USD
+0.24 (+0.23%)
At close: Feb 26, 2026
106.29 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/26/2026, 5:25:05 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to EXE. EXE was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EXE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. EXE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EXE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • EXE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years EXE 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EXE had a positive operating cash flow.
EXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B

1.2 Ratios

  • EXE has a better Return On Assets (6.43%) than 73.30% of its industry peers.
  • EXE has a Return On Equity of 9.79%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 60.68% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.09%, EXE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.43%
ROE 9.79%
ROIC 8.09%
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • EXE has a Profit Margin of 14.92%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 65.53% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXE has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of EXE (21.15%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXE has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 73.71%, EXE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.15%
PM (TTM) 14.92%
GM 73.71%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
EXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXE is still creating some value.
  • EXE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EXE has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for EXE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EXE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
EXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.53 indicates that EXE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of EXE (2.53) is better than 75.24% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EXE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EXE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 75.73% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that EXE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • EXE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: EXE outperforms 66.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 3.05
Altman-Z 2.53
ROIC/WACC1.04
WACC7.77%
EXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EXE has a Current ratio (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that EXE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.01, EXE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
EXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • EXE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 375.78%, which is quite impressive.
  • The earnings per share for EXE have been decreasing by -29.31% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has grown by 190.49% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • EXE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.17% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
EXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5 10 15 20

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.45, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXE.
  • EXE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EXE to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.21), we can say EXE is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.64, the valuation of EXE can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXE is cheaper than 77.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • EXE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.45
Fwd PE 11.64
EXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • EXE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXE is cheaper than 79.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 65.53% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.4
EV/EBITDA 5.33
EXE Per share dataEXE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of EXE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXE's earnings are expected to grow with 14.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.17%, EXE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • EXE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.51.
  • EXE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.17%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of EXE grows each year by 7.59%, which is quite nice.
  • EXE has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXE Yearly Dividends per shareEXE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

  • EXE pays out 42.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of EXE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.06%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B
EXE Dividend Payout.EXE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXPAND ENERGY CORP

NASDAQ:EXE (2/26/2026, 5:25:05 PM)

After market: 106.29 0 (0%)

106.29

+0.24 (+0.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners94.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap25.32B
Revenue(TTM)12.19B
Net Income(TTM)1.82B
Analysts84.24
Price Target134.99 (27%)
Short Float %3.61%
Short Ratio2.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.17%
Yearly Dividend3.25
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.59%
DP42.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.41%
Max EPS beat(2)5.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)6.21%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)104.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)87.42%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)72.2%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)18.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)17.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)40.73%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.93%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)12.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.71%
PT rev (1m)-1.42%
PT rev (3m)1.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)20.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.45
Fwd PE 11.64
P/S 2.08
P/FCF 15.4
P/OCF 5.53
P/B 1.36
P/tB 1.36
EV/EBITDA 5.33
EPS(TTM)6.09
EY5.73%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY8.59%
FCF(TTM)6.9
FCFY6.49%
OCF(TTM)19.21
OCFY18.07%
SpS51.18
BVpS78
TBVpS78
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number103.39
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.43%
ROE 9.79%
ROCE 10.16%
ROIC 8.09%
ROICexc 8.3%
ROICexgc 8.3%
OM 21.15%
PM (TTM) 14.92%
GM 73.71%
FCFM 13.49%
ROA(3y)6.9%
ROA(5y)21.93%
ROE(3y)9.42%
ROE(5y)38.64%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.81%
OM growth 5Y25.21%
PM growth 3Y-29.48%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.44%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 3.05
Debt/EBITDA 0.9
Cap/Depr 98.36%
Cap/Sales 24.05%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 82.31%
Profit Quality 90.38%
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 1.01
Altman-Z 2.53
F-Score9
WACC7.77%
ROIC/WACC1.04
Cap/Depr(3y)102.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.66%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)375.78%
EPS 3Y-29.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%263.64%
EPS Next Y49.9%
EPS Next 2Y28.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.53%
EPS Next 5Y15.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)190.49%
Revenue growth 3Y2.13%
Revenue growth 5Y18.28%
Sales Q2Q%63.52%
Revenue Next Year2.05%
Revenue Next 2Y3.19%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y7.43%
EBIT growth 1Y414.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.93%
EBIT growth 5Y48.09%
EBIT Next Year182.84%
EBIT Next 3Y41.02%
EBIT Next 5Y25.11%
FCF growth 1Y20450%
FCF growth 3Y-10.61%
FCF growth 5Y136.97%
OCF growth 1Y192.33%
OCF growth 3Y3.51%
OCF growth 5Y31.49%

EXPAND ENERGY CORP / EXE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXE.


What is the valuation status for EXE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of EXE stock?

EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EXE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is expected to grow by 49.9% in the next year.


Is the dividend of EXPAND ENERGY CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPAND ENERGY CORP (EXE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 42.06%.