ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060
Current stock price
63.17 USD
-1.17 (-1.82%)
At close:
63.26 USD
+0.09 (+0.14%)
After Hours:
This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ETSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ETSY had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year ETSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years ETSY 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years ETSY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ETSY (5.76%) is better than 76.67% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.18%, ETSY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ETSY is above the industry average of 8.81%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.65%, ETSY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ETSY has declined.
- The Operating Margin of ETSY (12.76%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ETSY has declined.
- ETSY's Gross Margin of 71.64% is amongst the best of the industry. ETSY outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- ETSY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% |
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
2. ETSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ETSY is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ETSY has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for ETSY has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ETSY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.44. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ETSY has a Altman-Z score of 1.44. This is in the lower half of the industry: ETSY underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ETSY is 4.82, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ETSY, 4.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- ETSY's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.82 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 56.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.44 |
ROIC/WACC1.62
WACC7.52%
2.3 Liquidity
- ETSY has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.44, ETSY is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ETSY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ETSY has a Quick ratio of 1.44. This is in the better half of the industry: ETSY outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ETSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.74% over the past year.
- ETSY shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.17% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, ETSY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.68% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, ETSY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%93.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%-3.06%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.71% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y37.33%
EPS Next 2Y24.46%
EPS Next 3Y21.2%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y0.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ETSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- ETSY is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.22.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ETSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- ETSY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.64.
- ETSY is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.81.
- ETSY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- ETSY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.36, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- ETSY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 21.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.46%
EPS Next 3Y21.2%
5. ETSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ETSY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
63.17
-1.17 (-1.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Industry Strength54.04
Industry Growth51.55
Earnings (Last)04-29 2026-04-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-28 2026-07-28
Inst Owners120.85%
Inst Owner Change0.67%
Ins Owners1.16%
Ins Owner Change0.49%
Market Cap6.08B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts69.23
Price Target63.67 (0.79%)
Short Float %15.67%
Short Ratio4.47
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)0.27%
PT rev (3m)-7.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)37.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.81 | ||
| P/S | 2.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.77 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.72
EY4.31%
EPS(NY)3.55
Fwd EY5.62%
FCF(TTM)6.64
FCFY10.51%
OCF(TTM)7.2
OCFY11.4%
SpS29.96
BVpS-11.41
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 25.14% | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 52.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 163.61% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% | ||
| FCFM | 22.15% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 147.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 391.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.44 |
F-Score5
WACC7.52%
ROIC/WACC1.62
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%93.48%
EPS Next Y37.33%
EPS Next 2Y24.46%
EPS Next 3Y21.2%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%-3.06%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y0.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year181.38%
EBIT Next 3Y45.31%
EBIT Next 5Y28.83%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%
ETSY INC / ETSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ETSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ETSY INC?
ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ETSY INC (ETSY) is 23.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -5.54.
What is the expected EPS growth for ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 37.33% in the next year.