ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060

55.2 USD
+0.74 (+1.36%)
Last: Mar 4, 2026, 02:22 PM

This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall ETSY gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated ETSY against 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ETSY while its profitability can be described as average. ETSY has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. ETSY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ETSY had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ETSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years ETSY 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ETSY had a positive operating cash flow.
ETSY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFETSY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • ETSY has a better Return On Assets (5.76%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 12.18%, ETSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ETSY is above the industry average of 9.25%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.76%
ROE N/A
ROIC 12.18%
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ETSY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICETSY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100

1.3 Margins

  • ETSY's Profit Margin of 5.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • ETSY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of ETSY (12.76%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • ETSY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ETSY has a better Gross Margin (71.64%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ETSY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.76%
PM (TTM) 5.65%
GM 71.64%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
ETSY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsETSY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

3

2. ETSY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ETSY is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ETSY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ETSY has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ETSY is higher compared to a year ago.
ETSY Yearly Shares OutstandingETSY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ETSY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsETSY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.33. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ETSY's Altman-Z score of 1.33 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • ETSY has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.82. This is a neutral value as ETSY would need 4.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.82, ETSY is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.82
Altman-Z 1.33
ROIC/WACC1.67
WACC7.29%
ETSY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFETSY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ETSY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.44, ETSY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ETSY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.44, ETSY is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
ETSY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesETSY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. ETSY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ETSY have decreased by -3.38% in the last year.
  • ETSY shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.17% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.68% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.65% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ETSY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.22%
EPS Next 2Y15.81%
EPS Next 3Y41.42%
EPS Next 5Y29.65%
Revenue Next Year2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y5.17%
Revenue Next 5Y4.95%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ETSY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesETSY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
ETSY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesETSY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5

4

4. ETSY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.10, ETSY is valued on the expensive side.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.83, ETSY is valued at the same level.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.29, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ETSY.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ETSY.
  • ETSY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.95, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.1
Fwd PE 21.29
ETSY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsETSY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 63.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ETSY, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ETSY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ETSY is cheaper than 76.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.53
EV/EBITDA 12.68
ETSY Per share dataETSY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of ETSY may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 41.42% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.82
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.81%
EPS Next 3Y41.42%

0

5. ETSY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ETSY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ETSY INC

NYSE:ETSY (3/4/2026, 2:22:03 PM)

55.2

+0.74 (+1.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners127.45%
Inst Owner Change-9.34%
Ins Owners1.06%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap5.45B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts68
Price Target63.26 (14.6%)
Short Float %15.06%
Short Ratio3.8
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)-8.05%
PT rev (3m)-11.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)42.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)42.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.1
Fwd PE 21.29
P/S 1.89
P/FCF 8.53
P/OCF 7.86
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.68
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)2.59
Fwd EY4.7%
FCF(TTM)6.47
FCFY11.72%
OCF(TTM)7.02
OCFY12.73%
SpS29.21
BVpS-11.12
TBVpS-14.52
PEG (NY)1.82
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.76%
ROE N/A
ROCE 25.14%
ROIC 12.18%
ROICexc 52.23%
ROICexgc 163.61%
OM 12.76%
PM (TTM) 5.65%
GM 71.64%
FCFM 22.15%
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.82
Debt/EBITDA 6.55
Cap/Depr 53.67%
Cap/Sales 1.9%
Interest Coverage 30.07
Cash Conversion 147.61%
Profit Quality 391.91%
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 1.44
Altman-Z 1.33
F-Score5
WACC7.29%
ROIC/WACC1.67
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
EPS Next Y13.22%
EPS Next 2Y15.81%
EPS Next 3Y41.42%
EPS Next 5Y29.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
Revenue Next Year2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y5.17%
Revenue Next 5Y4.95%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year176.88%
EBIT Next 3Y45.71%
EBIT Next 5Y28.93%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%

ETSY INC / ETSY FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ETSY.


Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?

ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for ETSY stock?

The financial health rating of ETSY INC (ETSY) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ETSY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 13.22% in the next year.