ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060
Current stock price
47.31 USD
-1.21 (-2.49%)
At close:
47.0316 USD
-0.28 (-0.59%)
After Hours:
This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ETSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ETSY had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year ETSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- ETSY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years ETSY had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- ETSY's Return On Assets of 5.76% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of ETSY (12.18%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ETSY is above the industry average of 8.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 5.65%, ETSY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ETSY has declined.
- The Operating Margin of ETSY (12.76%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ETSY has declined.
- ETSY has a Gross Margin of 71.64%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ETSY outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ETSY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% |
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
2. ETSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ETSY is creating value.
- ETSY has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, ETSY has less shares outstanding
- ETSY has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.23. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ETSY has a Altman-Z score (1.23) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ETSY has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.82. This is a neutral value as ETSY would need 4.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.82, ETSY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.23 |
ROIC/WACC1.7
WACC7.16%
2.3 Liquidity
- ETSY has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of ETSY (1.44) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ETSY has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of ETSY (1.44) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ETSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ETSY shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.38%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.17% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, ETSY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.68% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
3.2 Future
- ETSY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.98% yearly.
- ETSY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ETSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.66 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ETSY.
- ETSY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ETSY is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- ETSY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 24.88, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.82 indicates a correct valuation of ETSY.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ETSY.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ETSY to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say ETSY is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ETSY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ETSY is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- ETSY's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ETSY is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of ETSY may justify a higher PE ratio.
- ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 21.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.52
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
5. ETSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ETSY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
47.31
-1.21 (-2.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners120.78%
Inst Owner Change-9.52%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap4.55B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts69.23
Price Target63.49 (34.2%)
Short Float %14.58%
Short Ratio3.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)-7.21%
PT rev (3m)-10.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)37.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)37.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)23.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.92%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.82 | ||
| P/S | 1.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.57 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY4.84%
EPS(NY)3.19
Fwd EY6.75%
FCF(TTM)6.64
FCFY14.03%
OCF(TTM)7.2
OCFY15.23%
SpS29.96
BVpS-11.41
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.52
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 25.14% | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 52.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 163.61% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% | ||
| FCFM | 22.15% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 147.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 391.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.23 |
F-Score5
WACC7.16%
ROIC/WACC1.7
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year182.9%
EBIT Next 3Y45.79%
EBIT Next 5Y28.81%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%
ETSY INC / ETSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for ETSY stock?
The financial health rating of ETSY INC (ETSY) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ETSY stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 39.37% in the next year.