ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060
Current stock price
52.84 USD
-1.92 (-3.51%)
At close:
53 USD
+0.16 (+0.3%)
After Hours:
This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ETSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ETSY was profitable.
- In the past year ETSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- ETSY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- ETSY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- ETSY has a better Return On Assets (5.76%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
- ETSY has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.18%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- ETSY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.54%. This is above the industry average of 9.15%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 5.65%, ETSY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- ETSY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 12.76%, ETSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ETSY has declined.
- ETSY has a Gross Margin of 71.64%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ETSY outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ETSY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% |
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
2. ETSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- ETSY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for ETSY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- ETSY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ETSY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.32. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ETSY has a Altman-Z score of 1.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: ETSY underperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
- ETSY has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.82. This is a neutral value as ETSY would need 4.82 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.82, ETSY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.32 |
ROIC/WACC1.69
WACC7.19%
2.3 Liquidity
- ETSY has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.44, ETSY is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- ETSY has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.44, ETSY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ETSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for ETSY have decreased by -3.38% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.17% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, ETSY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.68% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, ETSY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- ETSY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue Next Year-5.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.66%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ETSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.07, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ETSY.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ETSY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ETSY is cheaper than 63.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, ETSY is valued at the same level.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.56, ETSY is valued correctly.
- ETSY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.28, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ETSY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ETSY is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- ETSY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 21.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
5. ETSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ETSY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
52.84
-1.92 (-3.51%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners120.78%
Inst Owner Change-9.52%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap5.09B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts69.23
Price Target63.26 (19.72%)
Short Float %14.58%
Short Ratio3.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)-7.21%
PT rev (3m)-10.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)37.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)37.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)23.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.56 | ||
| P/S | 1.76 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.33 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.46 |
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY4.33%
EPS(NY)3.19
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)6.64
FCFY12.56%
OCF(TTM)7.2
OCFY13.63%
SpS29.96
BVpS-11.41
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 25.14% | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 52.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 163.61% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% | ||
| FCFM | 22.15% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 147.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 391.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.32 |
F-Score5
WACC7.19%
ROIC/WACC1.69
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
Revenue Next Year-5.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.66%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year182.9%
EBIT Next 3Y45.79%
EBIT Next 5Y28.81%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%
ETSY INC / ETSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for ETSY stock?
The financial health rating of ETSY INC (ETSY) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ETSY stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 39.37% in the next year.