ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060
Current stock price
62.79 USD
-0.69 (-1.09%)
At close:
62.81 USD
+0.02 (+0.03%)
After Hours:
This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ETSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ETSY had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year ETSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years ETSY 4 years were profitable.
- ETSY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- ETSY has a Return On Assets of 5.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: ETSY outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
- ETSY has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.18%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ETSY is above the industry average of 8.75%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of ETSY (5.65%) is better than 63.33% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ETSY has declined.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 12.76%, ETSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ETSY has declined.
- ETSY's Gross Margin of 71.64% is amongst the best of the industry. ETSY outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ETSY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% |
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
2. ETSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ETSY is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ETSY has less shares outstanding
- ETSY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- ETSY has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.45. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.45, ETSY is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ETSY is 4.82, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ETSY, 4.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ETSY (4.82) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.45 |
ROIC/WACC1.61
WACC7.57%
2.3 Liquidity
- ETSY has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ETSY has a Current ratio (1.44) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ETSY has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.44, ETSY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ETSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for ETSY have decreased by -3.38% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.17% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, ETSY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.68% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
3.2 Future
- ETSY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.98% yearly.
- ETSY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y37.33%
EPS Next 2Y24.46%
EPS Next 3Y21.2%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y0.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ETSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.42 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ETSY.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ETSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- ETSY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.97, the valuation of ETSY can be described as rather expensive.
- ETSY's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- ETSY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.97 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ETSY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ETSY is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ETSY, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.25 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ETSY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- ETSY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 21.20% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.46%
EPS Next 3Y21.2%
5. ETSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ETSY!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
62.79
-0.69 (-1.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners120.85%
Inst Owner Change1.14%
Ins Owners1.16%
Ins Owner Change0.49%
Market Cap6.04B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts69.23
Price Target63.49 (1.11%)
Short Float %16.55%
Short Ratio4.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)-7.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)38.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.97 | ||
| P/S | 2.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.72 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.25 |
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY3.65%
EPS(NY)3.14
Fwd EY5.01%
FCF(TTM)6.64
FCFY10.57%
OCF(TTM)7.2
OCFY11.47%
SpS29.96
BVpS-11.41
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 25.14% | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 52.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 163.61% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% | ||
| FCFM | 22.15% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 147.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 391.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.45 |
F-Score5
WACC7.57%
ROIC/WACC1.61
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
EPS Next Y37.33%
EPS Next 2Y24.46%
EPS Next 3Y21.2%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y0.63%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year181.38%
EBIT Next 3Y45.31%
EBIT Next 5Y28.81%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%
ETSY INC / ETSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ETSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ETSY INC?
ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ETSY INC (ETSY) is 27.42 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -5.5.
What is the expected EPS growth for ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 37.33% in the next year.