ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060
Current stock price
49.97 USD
-0.01 (-0.02%)
At close:
49.81 USD
-0.16 (-0.32%)
After Hours:
This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ETSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ETSY was profitable.
- In the past year ETSY had a positive cash flow from operations.
- ETSY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years ETSY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.76%, ETSY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- ETSY's Return On Invested Capital of 12.18% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- ETSY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.54%. This is above the industry average of 8.84%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
1.3 Margins
- ETSY's Profit Margin of 5.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
- ETSY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of ETSY (12.76%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- ETSY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- ETSY's Gross Margin of 71.64% is amongst the best of the industry. ETSY outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- ETSY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% |
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
2. ETSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- ETSY has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for ETSY has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, ETSY has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, ETSY has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.25. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ETSY has a Altman-Z score (1.25) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ETSY is 4.82, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ETSY, 4.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.82, ETSY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.25 |
ROIC/WACC1.71
WACC7.11%
2.3 Liquidity
- ETSY has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ETSY has a Current ratio (1.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
- ETSY has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of ETSY (1.44) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ETSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ETSY shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.38%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.17% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, ETSY shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.68% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, ETSY shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- ETSY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ETSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- ETSY is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.82.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.51. ETSY is around the same levels.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.66, ETSY is valued correctly.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ETSY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ETSY to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.76), we can say ETSY is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- ETSY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ETSY is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- ETSY's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ETSY is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.48 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ETSY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- ETSY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 21.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
5. ETSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ETSY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
49.97
-0.01 (-0.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners120.78%
Inst Owner Change-9.52%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap4.81B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts69.23
Price Target63.49 (27.06%)
Short Float %15.08%
Short Ratio3.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)-7.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)38.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)23.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.43%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.92%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.66 | ||
| P/S | 1.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.94 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.48 |
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY4.58%
EPS(NY)3.19
Fwd EY6.39%
FCF(TTM)6.64
FCFY13.28%
OCF(TTM)7.2
OCFY14.42%
SpS29.96
BVpS-11.41
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 25.14% | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 52.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 163.61% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% | ||
| FCFM | 22.15% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 147.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 391.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.25 |
F-Score5
WACC7.11%
ROIC/WACC1.71
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
Revenue Next Year-5.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year182.9%
EBIT Next 3Y45.79%
EBIT Next 5Y28.81%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%
ETSY INC / ETSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ETSY INC?
ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ETSY INC (ETSY) is 21.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -4.38.
What is the expected EPS growth for ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 39.37% in the next year.