ETSY INC (ETSY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ETSY • US29786A1060
Current stock price
53.14 USD
+1.12 (+2.15%)
At close:
53.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ETSY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ETSY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ETSY was profitable.
- ETSY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years ETSY 4 years were profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years ETSY had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ETSY (5.76%) is better than 73.33% of its industry peers.
- ETSY has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.18%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ETSY is above the industry average of 9.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.65%, ETSY is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- ETSY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 12.76%, ETSY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ETSY has declined.
- ETSY has a Gross Margin of 71.64%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ETSY outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- ETSY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% |
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
2. ETSY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ETSY is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ETSY has less shares outstanding
- ETSY has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ETSY is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- ETSY has an Altman-Z score of 1.28. This is a bad value and indicates that ETSY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ETSY's Altman-Z score of 1.28 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY is outperformed by 63.33% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ETSY is 4.82, which is a neutral value as it means it would take ETSY, 4.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- ETSY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.82. This is in the better half of the industry: ETSY outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.28 |
ROIC/WACC1.72
WACC7.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- ETSY has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that ETSY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ETSY's Current ratio of 1.44 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.44 indicates that ETSY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- ETSY's Quick ratio of 1.44 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ETSY outperforms 56.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 |
3. ETSY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ETSY shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.38%.
- Measured over the past years, ETSY shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.17% on average per year.
- ETSY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.68%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.81% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
3.2 Future
- ETSY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.98% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue Next Year-5.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.66%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ETSY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.21, ETSY is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- ETSY is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.65, ETSY is valued correctly.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ETSY.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.83, ETSY is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ETSY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ETSY is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ETSY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of ETSY may justify a higher PE ratio.
- ETSY's earnings are expected to grow with 21.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
5. ETSY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ETSY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ETSY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
53.14
+1.12 (+2.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners120.78%
Inst Owner Change-9.52%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap5.11B
Revenue(TTM)2.88B
Net Income(TTM)162.98M
Analysts69.23
Price Target63.26 (19.04%)
Short Float %14.58%
Short Ratio3.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.31%
Min EPS beat(2)7.17%
Max EPS beat(2)17.46%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.84%
Max EPS beat(4)17.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.99%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-133.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.89%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.55%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.23%
PT rev (1m)-7.21%
PT rev (3m)-10.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)37.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)37.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)23.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-7.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.65 | ||
| P/S | 1.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.38 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.9 |
EPS(TTM)2.29
EY4.31%
EPS(NY)3.19
Fwd EY6.01%
FCF(TTM)6.64
FCFY12.49%
OCF(TTM)7.2
OCFY13.56%
SpS29.96
BVpS-11.41
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.59
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.76% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 25.14% | ||
| ROIC | 12.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 52.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 163.61% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 71.64% | ||
| FCFM | 22.15% |
ROA(3y)9.92%
ROA(5y)3.26%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.54%
ROIC(5y)12.85%
ROICexc(3y)40.44%
ROICexc(5y)33.69%
ROICexgc(3y)147.39%
ROICexgc(5y)148.29%
ROCE(3y)21.93%
ROCE(5y)19.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.4%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.38%
OM growth 5Y-12.28%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-22.52%
GM growth 3Y0.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.55 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 30.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 147.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 391.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.28 |
F-Score5
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC1.72
Cap/Depr(3y)45.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)280.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.17%
EPS Q2Q%-10.68%
EPS Next Y39.37%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y21.86%
EPS Next 5Y33.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.68%
Revenue growth 3Y3.96%
Revenue growth 5Y10.81%
Sales Q2Q%3.46%
Revenue Next Year-5.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.66%
Revenue Next 5Y2.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.63%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.8%
EBIT Next Year182.9%
EBIT Next 3Y45.79%
EBIT Next 5Y28.81%
FCF growth 1Y-9.9%
FCF growth 3Y-0.4%
FCF growth 5Y-0.98%
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y0.48%
OCF growth 5Y0.42%
ETSY INC / ETSY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ETSY.
Can you provide the valuation status for ETSY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ETSY INC (ETSY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ETSY INC (ETSY) stock?
ETSY INC (ETSY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for ETSY stock?
The financial health rating of ETSY INC (ETSY) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ETSY stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ETSY INC (ETSY) is expected to grow by 39.37% in the next year.