EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ESTE • US27032D3044

Current stock price

21.17 USD
+0.1 (+0.47%)
At close:
20.85 USD
-0.32 (-1.51%)
After Hours:

This ESTE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. ESTE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ESTE was profitable.
  • In the past year ESTE had a positive cash flow from operations.
ESTE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFESTE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ESTE (11.16%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of ESTE (26.16%) is better than 64.71% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ESTE (19.77%) is better than 76.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.16%
ROE 26.16%
ROIC 19.77%
ROA(3y)4.14%
ROA(5y)3.34%
ROE(3y)10.01%
ROE(5y)8.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ESTE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICESTE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 25.40%, ESTE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ESTE has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of ESTE (45.11%) is better than 76.02% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ESTE has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 73.78%, ESTE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ESTE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 45.11%
PM (TTM) 25.4%
GM 73.78%
OM growth 3Y26.93%
OM growth 5Y27.89%
PM growth 3Y317.83%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.15%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
ESTE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsESTE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50 -100

2

2. ESTE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ESTE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ESTE has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ESTE is higher compared to a year ago.
ESTE Yearly Shares OutstandingESTE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ESTE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsESTE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.94 indicates that ESTE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of ESTE (1.94) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • ESTE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.58. This is a neutral value indicating ESTE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.58, ESTE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.58
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.94
ROIC/WACC2.52
WACC7.83%
ESTE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFESTE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ESTE has a Current Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that ESTE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.55, ESTE is doing worse than 84.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ESTE has a Quick Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that ESTE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of ESTE (0.55) is worse than 80.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
ESTE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesESTE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

6

3. ESTE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.39% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ESTE shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.89% on average per year.
  • ESTE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 96.03%.
  • ESTE shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 73.41% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.39%
EPS 3Y35.82%
EPS 5Y15.89%
EPS Q2Q%-58.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)96.03%
Revenue growth 3Y106.93%
Revenue growth 5Y73.41%
Sales Q2Q%-21.7%

3.2 Future

  • ESTE is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.86% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ESTE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-28.42%
EPS Next 2Y-0.91%
EPS Next 3Y-4.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.14%
Revenue Next 2Y13.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.43%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ESTE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesESTE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
ESTE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesESTE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 2 3 4

5

4. ESTE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 5.82, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ESTE.
  • ESTE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ESTE is cheaper than 74.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ESTE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.21), we can say ESTE is valued rather cheaply.
  • ESTE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.89.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ESTE is valued cheaper than 87.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ESTE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.82
Fwd PE 4.89
ESTE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsESTE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 79.64% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ESTE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.19
ESTE Per share dataESTE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ESTE's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.86% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.37
EPS Next 2Y-0.91%
EPS Next 3Y-4.86%

0

5. ESTE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ESTE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ESTE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A

NYSE:ESTE (10/31/2023, 8:07:45 PM)

After market: 20.85 -0.32 (-1.51%)

21.17

+0.1 (+0.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-08
Earnings (Next)03-06
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners21.5%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.98B
Revenue(TTM)1.81B
Net Income(TTM)459.67M
Analysts80
Price Target26.23 (23.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.56%
Min EPS beat(2)1.4%
Max EPS beat(2)3.71%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.3%
Max EPS beat(4)3.71%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.91%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)17.68%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.56%
PT rev (3m)4.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.82
Fwd PE 4.89
P/S 1.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.57
P/B 1.69
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 3.19
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY17.19%
EPS(NY)4.33
Fwd EY20.45%
FCF(TTM)-0.54
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.24
OCFY38.91%
SpS12.87
BVpS12.5
TBVpS12.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.37
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.16%
ROE 26.16%
ROCE 21.84%
ROIC 19.77%
ROICexc 20.03%
ROICexgc 20.03%
OM 45.11%
PM (TTM) 25.4%
GM 73.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.14%
ROA(5y)3.34%
ROE(3y)10.01%
ROE(5y)8.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y71.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y61.31%
ROICexc growth 3Y72.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y62.09%
OM growth 3Y26.93%
OM growth 5Y27.89%
PM growth 3Y317.83%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.15%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.58
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.83
Cap/Depr 292.7%
Cap/Sales 68.22%
Interest Coverage 17.71
Cash Conversion 93.53%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 1.94
F-Score6
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC2.52
Cap/Depr(3y)289.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)296.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)69.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)81.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.39%
EPS 3Y35.82%
EPS 5Y15.89%
EPS Q2Q%-58.91%
EPS Next Y-28.42%
EPS Next 2Y-0.91%
EPS Next 3Y-4.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)96.03%
Revenue growth 3Y106.93%
Revenue growth 5Y73.41%
Sales Q2Q%-21.7%
Revenue Next Year5.14%
Revenue Next 2Y13.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.43%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.12%
EBIT growth 3Y162.66%
EBIT growth 5Y121.78%
EBIT Next Year23.96%
EBIT Next 3Y14.17%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-10.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y589.91%
OCF growth 3Y100.61%
OCF growth 5Y82.02%

EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A / ESTE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ESTE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ESTE.


What is the valuation status for ESTE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) stock?

EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) is 5.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.69.


Can you provide the financial health for ESTE stock?

The financial health rating of EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) is 2 / 10.