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EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:ESTE - US27032D3044 - Common Stock

21.17 USD
+0.1 (+0.47%)
Last: 10/31/2023, 8:07:45 PM
20.85 USD
-0.32 (-1.51%)
After Hours: 10/31/2023, 8:07:45 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to ESTE. ESTE was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ESTE while its profitability can be described as average. ESTE is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ESTE had positive earnings in the past year.
ESTE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years ESTE 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ESTE had a positive operating cash flow.
ESTE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFESTE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of ESTE (11.16%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 26.16%, ESTE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of ESTE (19.77%) is better than 76.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.16%
ROE 26.16%
ROIC 19.77%
ROA(3y)4.14%
ROA(5y)3.34%
ROE(3y)10.01%
ROE(5y)8.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ESTE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICESTE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 25.40%, ESTE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.47% of the companies in the same industry.
ESTE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ESTE has a Operating Margin of 45.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: ESTE outperforms 76.02% of its industry peers.
ESTE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 73.78%, ESTE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.38% of the companies in the same industry.
ESTE's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 45.11%
PM (TTM) 25.4%
GM 73.78%
OM growth 3Y26.93%
OM growth 5Y27.89%
PM growth 3Y317.83%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.15%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
ESTE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsESTE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -100 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ESTE is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ESTE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, ESTE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ESTE Yearly Shares OutstandingESTE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ESTE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsESTE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.94 indicates that ESTE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.94, ESTE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.66% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.58 indicates that ESTE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ESTE (0.58) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.58
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.94
ROIC/WACC2.52
WACC7.83%
ESTE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFESTE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

ESTE has a Current Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that ESTE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ESTE has a worse Current ratio (0.55) than 84.16% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.55 indicates that ESTE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ESTE (0.55) is worse than 80.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
ESTE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesESTE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.39% over the past year.
ESTE shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.89% yearly.
ESTE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 96.03%.
Measured over the past years, ESTE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 73.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.39%
EPS 3Y35.82%
EPS 5Y15.89%
EPS Q2Q%-58.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)96.03%
Revenue growth 3Y106.93%
Revenue growth 5Y73.41%
Sales Q2Q%-21.7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ESTE will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -4.86% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-28.42%
EPS Next 2Y-0.91%
EPS Next 3Y-4.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.14%
Revenue Next 2Y13.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.43%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ESTE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesESTE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
ESTE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesESTE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 2 3 4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 5.82, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ESTE.
ESTE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ESTE is cheaper than 74.21% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ESTE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.10), we can say ESTE is valued rather cheaply.
ESTE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.89.
ESTE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ESTE is cheaper than 87.78% of the companies in the same industry.
ESTE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.52.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.82
Fwd PE 4.89
ESTE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsESTE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

79.64% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ESTE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.19
ESTE Per share dataESTE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of ESTE may justify a higher PE ratio.
ESTE's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.86% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.37
EPS Next 2Y-0.91%
EPS Next 3Y-4.86%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ESTE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A

NYSE:ESTE (10/31/2023, 8:07:45 PM)

After market: 20.85 -0.32 (-1.51%)

21.17

+0.1 (+0.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-08 2023-11-08/amc
Earnings (Next)03-06 2024-03-06/amc
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners21.5%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.98B
Revenue(TTM)1.81B
Net Income(TTM)459.67M
Analysts80
Price Target26.23 (23.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.56%
Min EPS beat(2)1.4%
Max EPS beat(2)3.71%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.3%
Max EPS beat(4)3.71%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.91%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)17.68%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.56%
PT rev (3m)4.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.82
Fwd PE 4.89
P/S 1.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.57
P/B 1.69
P/tB 1.69
EV/EBITDA 3.19
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY17.19%
EPS(NY)4.33
Fwd EY20.45%
FCF(TTM)-0.54
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.24
OCFY38.91%
SpS12.87
BVpS12.5
TBVpS12.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.37
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.16%
ROE 26.16%
ROCE 21.84%
ROIC 19.77%
ROICexc 20.03%
ROICexgc 20.03%
OM 45.11%
PM (TTM) 25.4%
GM 73.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.14%
ROA(5y)3.34%
ROE(3y)10.01%
ROE(5y)8.58%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y71.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y61.31%
ROICexc growth 3Y72.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y62.09%
OM growth 3Y26.93%
OM growth 5Y27.89%
PM growth 3Y317.83%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.15%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.58
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.83
Cap/Depr 292.7%
Cap/Sales 68.22%
Interest Coverage 17.71
Cash Conversion 93.53%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 1.94
F-Score6
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC2.52
Cap/Depr(3y)289.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)296.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)69.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)81.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.39%
EPS 3Y35.82%
EPS 5Y15.89%
EPS Q2Q%-58.91%
EPS Next Y-28.42%
EPS Next 2Y-0.91%
EPS Next 3Y-4.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)96.03%
Revenue growth 3Y106.93%
Revenue growth 5Y73.41%
Sales Q2Q%-21.7%
Revenue Next Year5.14%
Revenue Next 2Y13.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.43%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.12%
EBIT growth 3Y162.66%
EBIT growth 5Y121.78%
EBIT Next Year23.96%
EBIT Next 3Y14.17%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-10.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y589.91%
OCF growth 3Y100.61%
OCF growth 5Y82.02%

EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A / ESTE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ESTE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ESTE.


What is the valuation status of EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ESTE stock?

EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A?

The financial health rating of EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EARTHSTONE ENERGY INC - A (ESTE) is expected to decline by -28.42% in the next year.