EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A (ESRT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:ESRT • US2921041065
Current stock price
5.58 USD
+0.08 (+1.45%)
At close:
5.63 USD
+0.05 (+0.9%)
After Hours:
This ESRT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ESRT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- ESRT had positive earnings in the past year.
- ESRT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- ESRT had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years ESRT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- ESRT has a Return On Assets of 0.97%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ESRT outperforms 54.92% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of ESRT (3.98%) is better than 60.66% of its industry peers.
- ESRT has a Return On Invested Capital (2.50%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- ESRT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.75%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.97% | ||
| ROE | 3.98% | ||
| ROIC | 2.5% |
ROA(3y)1.06%
ROA(5y)0.76%
ROE(3y)4.43%
ROE(5y)3.19%
ROIC(3y)2.75%
ROIC(5y)2.48%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of ESRT (5.65%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ESRT has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of ESRT (17.66%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ESRT has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of ESRT (53.70%) is worse than 75.41% of its industry peers.
- ESRT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 53.7% |
OM growth 3Y0.36%
OM growth 5Y10.63%
PM growth 3Y4.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
2. ESRT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ESRT is destroying value.
- ESRT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, ESRT has less shares outstanding
- ESRT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- ESRT has an Altman-Z score of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that ESRT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ESRT has a Altman-Z score (0.49) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ESRT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.18. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- ESRT has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.18) than 70.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC5.87%
2.3 Liquidity
- ESRT has a Current Ratio of 2.34. This indicates that ESRT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.34, ESRT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 2.34 indicates that ESRT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.34, ESRT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.34 |
3. ESRT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 38.10% over the past year.
- ESRT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 57.42% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.05% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.75% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.1%
EPS 3Y34.2%
EPS 5Y57.42%
EPS Q2Q%-4.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.05%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y4.75%
Sales Q2Q%2.96%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, ESRT will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -39.35% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, ESRT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.24% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-92.97%
EPS Next 2Y-75.79%
EPS Next 3Y-61.15%
EPS Next 5Y-39.35%
Revenue Next Year2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5Y2.24%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ESRT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- ESRT is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.41.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ESRT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 99.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ESRT to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.95), we can say ESRT is valued rather cheaply.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 91.18, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ESRT.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ESRT is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.68. ESRT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 91.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ESRT indicates a rather cheap valuation: ESRT is cheaper than 87.70% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ESRT's earnings are expected to decrease with -61.15% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.11
EPS Next 2Y-75.79%
EPS Next 3Y-61.15%
5. ESRT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- ESRT has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.56%.
- With a Dividend Yield of 2.56, ESRT pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 7.46. 82.79% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than ESRT!
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, ESRT pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.56% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of ESRT decreases each year by -6.73%.
- ESRT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- ESRT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.73%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- 64.35% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ESRT. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of ESRT has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP64.35%
EPS Next 2Y-75.79%
EPS Next 3Y-61.15%
ESRT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.58
+0.08 (+1.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners102.42%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change0.04%
Market Cap954.51M
Revenue(TTM)768.27M
Net Income(TTM)43.40M
Analysts75
Price Target7.41 (32.8%)
Short Float %7.75%
Short Ratio7.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.17
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.73%
DP64.35%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.035)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.36%
PT rev (3m)-8.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 91.18 | ||
| P/S | 1.24 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 3.83 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 3.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.67 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY15.59%
EPS(NY)0.06
Fwd EY1.1%
FCF(TTM)-2.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.46
OCFY26.09%
SpS4.49
BVpS6.37
TBVpS1.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.11
Graham Number11.1681 (100.15%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.97% | ||
| ROE | 3.98% | ||
| ROCE | 3.16% | ||
| ROIC | 2.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.19% | ||
| OM | 17.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.65% | ||
| GM | 53.7% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.06%
ROA(5y)0.76%
ROE(3y)4.43%
ROE(5y)3.19%
ROIC(3y)2.75%
ROIC(5y)2.48%
ROICexc(3y)2.96%
ROICexc(5y)2.68%
ROICexgc(3y)3.73%
ROICexgc(5y)3.4%
ROCE(3y)3.48%
ROCE(5y)3.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.75%
OM growth 3Y0.36%
OM growth 5Y10.63%
PM growth 3Y4.1%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.01%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.18 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.18 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 313.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 79.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.45 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.38% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.34 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
F-Score6
WACC5.87%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)200.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)163.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)50.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)43.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.1%
EPS 3Y34.2%
EPS 5Y57.42%
EPS Q2Q%-4.17%
EPS Next Y-92.97%
EPS Next 2Y-75.79%
EPS Next 3Y-61.15%
EPS Next 5Y-39.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.05%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y4.75%
Sales Q2Q%2.96%
Revenue Next Year2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.81%
Revenue Next 5Y2.24%
EBIT growth 1Y-14.53%
EBIT growth 3Y2.22%
EBIT growth 5Y15.89%
EBIT Next Year144.54%
EBIT Next 3Y36.3%
EBIT Next 5Y22.27%
FCF growth 1Y-231.27%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-4.54%
OCF growth 3Y5.65%
OCF growth 5Y6.44%
EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A / ESRT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ESRT.
Can you provide the valuation status for EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A (ESRT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A?
EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A (ESRT) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ESRT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A (ESRT) is expected to decline by -92.97% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A (ESRT) stock?
The dividend rating of EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST-A (ESRT) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 64.35%.