ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ERO - CA2960061091 - Common Stock
25.27 USD
-0.68 (-2.62%)
25.03 USD
-0.24 (-0.95%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ERO. ERO was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While ERO belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. ERO is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ERO was profitable.
ERO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years ERO 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ERO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.34%, ERO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ERO has a better Return On Equity (15.57%) than 87.74% of its industry peers.
ERO has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.11%) than 76.13% of its industry peers.
ERO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.15%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.11%) for ERO is above the 3 year average (8.14%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.34% | ||
| ROE | 15.57% | ||
| ROIC | 9.11% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
1.3 Margins
ERO has a better Profit Margin (23.43%) than 87.10% of its industry peers.
ERO has a Operating Margin of 29.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERO outperforms 82.58% of its industry peers.
ERO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
ERO has a better Gross Margin (39.72%) than 75.48% of its industry peers.
ERO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.43% | ||
| GM | 39.72% |
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ERO is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
ERO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that ERO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.72, ERO is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.58% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ERO is 14.97, which is on the high side as it means it would take ERO, 14.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 14.97, ERO is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.77% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that ERO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
ERO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.64) than 80.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC9.52%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that ERO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ERO has a worse Current ratio (0.82) than 89.68% of its industry peers.
ERO has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that ERO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ERO's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ERO is outperformed by 93.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ERO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 52.44%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, ERO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.60% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ERO shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 26.74%.
ERO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.44%
EPS 3Y-30.56%
EPS 5Y-2.6%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y10.55%
Sales Q2Q%41.86%
3.2 Future
ERO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.36% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y175.26%
EPS Next 2Y119.29%
EPS Next 3Y71.24%
EPS Next 5Y33.36%
Revenue Next Year61.04%
Revenue Next 2Y53.57%
Revenue Next 3Y32.84%
Revenue Next 5Y16.46%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ERO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.22.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ERO is valued cheaper than 81.94% of the companies in the same industry.
ERO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
ERO is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.74.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ERO is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ERO to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.78), we can say ERO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ERO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ERO is cheaper than 69.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ERO is valued a bit cheaper than 67.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 61.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of ERO may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ERO's earnings are expected to grow with 71.24% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.12
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y119.29%
EPS Next 3Y71.24%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for ERO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
25.27
-0.68 (-2.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.24%
Inst Owner Change13.47%
Ins Owners5.97%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.62B
Revenue(TTM)588.23M
Net Income(TTM)137.81M
Analysts76.84
Price Target27.02 (6.93%)
Short Float %3.21%
Short Ratio2.86
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-43.87%
Max EPS beat(2)11.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.95%
Max EPS beat(4)76.3%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.41%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.74%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.27%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.42%
PT rev (1m)16.5%
PT rev (3m)42.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)20.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)33.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.74 | ||
| P/S | 4.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 61.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.01 | ||
| P/B | 2.96 | ||
| P/tB | 2.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12 |
EPS(TTM)1.25
EY4.95%
EPS(NY)3.75
Fwd EY14.84%
FCF(TTM)0.41
FCFY1.63%
OCF(TTM)3.15
OCFY12.48%
SpS5.68
BVpS8.54
TBVpS8.54
PEG (NY)0.12
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number15.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.34% | ||
| ROE | 15.57% | ||
| ROCE | 10.86% | ||
| ROIC | 9.11% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.5% | ||
| OM | 29.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.43% | ||
| GM | 39.72% | ||
| FCFM | 7.25% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ROICexc(3y)9.9%
ROICexc(5y)23.79%
ROICexgc(3y)9.9%
ROICexgc(5y)23.79%
ROCE(3y)9.69%
ROCE(5y)22.87%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.21%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.97 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 297.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 48.31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 120.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 30.94% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
F-Score8
WACC9.52%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)480.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)425.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)82.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)64.48%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.44%
EPS 3Y-30.56%
EPS 5Y-2.6%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y175.26%
EPS Next 2Y119.29%
EPS Next 3Y71.24%
EPS Next 5Y33.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y10.55%
Sales Q2Q%41.86%
Revenue Next Year61.04%
Revenue Next 2Y53.57%
Revenue Next 3Y32.84%
Revenue Next 5Y16.46%
EBIT growth 1Y69.59%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.68%
EBIT growth 5Y9.03%
EBIT Next Year204.03%
EBIT Next 3Y71.16%
EBIT Next 5Y33.96%
FCF growth 1Y115.56%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y121.29%
OCF growth 3Y-26.39%
OCF growth 5Y2.62%
ERO COPPER CORP / ERO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ERO.
What is the valuation status for ERO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to ERO COPPER CORP (ERO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) stock?
ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) stock?
The financial health rating of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) is 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO) is expected to grow by 175.26% in the next year.