ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ERO • CA2960061091

Current stock price

35.86 CAD
-1.34 (-3.6%)
Last:

This ERO.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ERO.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ERO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ERO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ERO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ERO had a positive operating cash flow.
ERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ERO (7.34%) is better than 90.31% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 15.57%, ERO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERO's Return On Invested Capital of 9.11% is amongst the best of the industry. ERO outperforms 93.37% of its industry peers.
  • ERO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.14%. This is below the industry average of 12.69%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.14%) for ERO is below the current ROIC(9.11%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.34%
ROE 15.57%
ROIC 9.11%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 23.43%, ERO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERO has a Operating Margin of 29.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERO outperforms 94.11% of its industry peers.
  • ERO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • ERO has a better Gross Margin (39.72%) than 92.52% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ERO has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.97%
PM (TTM) 23.43%
GM 39.72%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
ERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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3

2. ERO.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ERO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ERO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ERO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.82 indicates that ERO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ERO has a Altman-Z score (2.82) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ERO has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.97. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ERO would need 14.97 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ERO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.97. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERO outperforms 89.82% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that ERO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ERO (0.64) is worse than 71.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 14.97
Altman-Z 2.82
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC10.24%
ERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that ERO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ERO (0.82) is worse than 64.17% of its industry peers.
  • ERO has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that ERO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.44, ERO is not doing good in the industry: 70.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.44
ERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ERO.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 171.79% over the past year.
  • ERO shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 11.14% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)171.79%
EPS 3Y32.57%
EPS 5Y11.14%
EPS Q2Q%511.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%161.39%

3.2 Future

  • ERO is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -1.37% yearly.
  • ERO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.45% yearly.
EPS Next Y92.19%
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.17%
EPS Next 5Y-1.37%
Revenue Next Year54.77%
Revenue Next 2Y24.41%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y4.45%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 1 2 3 4

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9

4. ERO.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ERO is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.45.
  • 95.34% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.70. ERO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.47, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ERO.
  • ERO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ERO is cheaper than 96.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. ERO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.45
Fwd PE 6.47
ERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ERO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ERO indicates a rather cheap valuation: ERO is cheaper than 91.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 64.43
EV/EBITDA 12.59
ERO.CA Per share dataERO.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ERO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ERO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • ERO's earnings are expected to grow with 17.17% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.17%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ERO.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ERO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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ERO.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ERO COPPER CORP

TSX:ERO (3/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

35.86

-1.34 (-3.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners73.07%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.86%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.74B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)137.81M
Analysts74
Price Target47.58 (32.68%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-43.87%
Max EPS beat(2)11.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.95%
Max EPS beat(4)76.3%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.41%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.74%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.27%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.42%
PT rev (1m)3.09%
PT rev (3m)26.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.45
Fwd PE 6.47
P/S 4.67
P/FCF 64.43
P/OCF 8.41
P/B 3.1
P/tB 3.1
EV/EBITDA 12.59
EPS(TTM)2.88
EY8.03%
EPS(NY)5.54
Fwd EY15.45%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY1.55%
OCF(TTM)4.27
OCFY11.9%
SpS7.68
BVpS11.56
TBVpS11.56
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)1.12
Graham Number27.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.34%
ROE 15.57%
ROCE 10.86%
ROIC 9.11%
ROICexc 9.5%
ROICexgc 9.5%
OM 29.97%
PM (TTM) 23.43%
GM 39.72%
FCFM 7.25%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ROICexc(3y)9.9%
ROICexc(5y)23.79%
ROICexgc(3y)9.9%
ROICexgc(5y)23.79%
ROCE(3y)9.69%
ROCE(5y)22.87%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.21%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 14.97
Debt/EBITDA 2.1
Cap/Depr 297.66%
Cap/Sales 48.31%
Interest Coverage 4.25
Cash Conversion 120.25%
Profit Quality 30.94%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 2.82
F-Score8
WACC10.24%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)480.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)425.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)82.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)64.48%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)171.79%
EPS 3Y32.57%
EPS 5Y11.14%
EPS Q2Q%511.76%
EPS Next Y92.19%
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.17%
EPS Next 5Y-1.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%161.39%
Revenue Next Year54.77%
Revenue Next 2Y24.41%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y4.45%
EBIT growth 1Y69.59%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.68%
EBIT growth 5Y9.03%
EBIT Next Year199.83%
EBIT Next 3Y77.81%
EBIT Next 5Y37.2%
FCF growth 1Y115.56%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y121.29%
OCF growth 3Y-26.39%
OCF growth 5Y2.62%

ERO COPPER CORP / ERO.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ERO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ERO.CA.


What is the valuation status of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of ERO stock?

ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of ERO COPPER CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) is 12.45 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.1.