ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:ERO • CA2960061091

41.82 CAD
-1.36 (-3.15%)
Last: Feb 6, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to ERO. ERO was compared to 812 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While ERO belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: ERO is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ERO was profitable.
  • In the past year ERO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ERO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years ERO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.34%, ERO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of ERO (15.57%) is better than 93.49% of its industry peers.
  • ERO has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.11%) than 93.37% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ERO is below the industry average of 12.05%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.14%) for ERO is below the current ROIC(9.11%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.34%
ROE 15.57%
ROIC 9.11%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 23.43%, ERO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERO's Operating Margin of 29.97% is amongst the best of the industry. ERO outperforms 94.47% of its industry peers.
  • ERO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of ERO (39.72%) is better than 93.00% of its industry peers.
  • ERO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.97%
PM (TTM) 23.43%
GM 39.72%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
ERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ERO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ERO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.01 indicates that ERO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.01, ERO is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ERO is 14.97, which is on the high side as it means it would take ERO, 14.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ERO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.97. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERO outperforms 89.56% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that ERO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.64, ERO is doing worse than 72.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 14.97
Altman-Z 3.01
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC10.45%
ERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ERO has a Current Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that ERO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.82, ERO is not doing good in the industry: 64.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that ERO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.44, ERO is not doing good in the industry: 70.02% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.44
ERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 52.44% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ERO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.60% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 26.74% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.55% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.44%
EPS 3Y-30.56%
EPS 5Y-2.6%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y10.55%
Sales Q2Q%41.86%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 31.51% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • ERO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.22% yearly.
EPS Next Y179.88%
EPS Next 2Y122.58%
EPS Next 3Y71.31%
EPS Next 5Y31.51%
Revenue Next Year60.62%
Revenue Next 2Y52.71%
Revenue Next 3Y32.18%
Revenue Next 5Y16.22%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 1 2 3

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.46, ERO is valued on the expensive side.
  • 91.65% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.93. ERO is around the same levels.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.92, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ERO.
  • 95.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.77, ERO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.46
Fwd PE 7.92
ERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 93.37% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ERO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.14% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 74.37
EV/EBITDA 13.77
ERO.CA Per share dataERO.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ERO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ERO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • ERO's earnings are expected to grow with 71.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y122.58%
EPS Next 3Y71.31%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • ERO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ERO COPPER CORP

TSX:ERO (2/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

41.82

-1.36 (-3.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)03-05
Inst Owners76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.99%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.33B
Revenue(TTM)588.23M
Net Income(TTM)137.81M
Analysts75
Price Target46.15 (10.35%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-43.87%
Max EPS beat(2)11.2%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.95%
Max EPS beat(4)76.3%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.41%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.74%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.27%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.42%
PT rev (1m)20.09%
PT rev (3m)43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)18.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.46
Fwd PE 7.92
P/S 5.39
P/FCF 74.37
P/OCF 9.7
P/B 3.58
P/tB 3.58
EV/EBITDA 13.77
EPS(TTM)1.71
EY4.09%
EPS(NY)5.28
Fwd EY12.63%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY1.34%
OCF(TTM)4.31
OCFY10.31%
SpS7.76
BVpS11.68
TBVpS11.68
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number21.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.34%
ROE 15.57%
ROCE 10.86%
ROIC 9.11%
ROICexc 9.5%
ROICexgc 9.5%
OM 29.97%
PM (TTM) 23.43%
GM 39.72%
FCFM 7.25%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ROICexc(3y)9.9%
ROICexc(5y)23.79%
ROICexgc(3y)9.9%
ROICexgc(5y)23.79%
ROCE(3y)9.69%
ROCE(5y)22.87%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.21%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 14.97
Debt/EBITDA 2.1
Cap/Depr 297.66%
Cap/Sales 48.31%
Interest Coverage 4.25
Cash Conversion 120.25%
Profit Quality 30.94%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 3.01
F-Score8
WACC10.45%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)480.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)425.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)82.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)64.48%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.44%
EPS 3Y-30.56%
EPS 5Y-2.6%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y179.88%
EPS Next 2Y122.58%
EPS Next 3Y71.31%
EPS Next 5Y31.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y10.55%
Sales Q2Q%41.86%
Revenue Next Year60.62%
Revenue Next 2Y52.71%
Revenue Next 3Y32.18%
Revenue Next 5Y16.22%
EBIT growth 1Y69.59%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.68%
EBIT growth 5Y9.03%
EBIT Next Year204.36%
EBIT Next 3Y73.55%
EBIT Next 5Y33.96%
FCF growth 1Y115.56%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y121.29%
OCF growth 3Y-26.39%
OCF growth 5Y2.62%

ERO COPPER CORP / ERO.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ERO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ERO.CA.


What is the valuation status of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of ERO stock?

ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of ERO COPPER CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) is 24.46 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.58.