ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:ERO • CA2960061091

Current stock price

33.98 CAD
+1.57 (+4.84%)
Last:

This ERO.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. ERO.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ERO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ERO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years ERO 4 years were profitable.
  • ERO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 13.71%, ERO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 28.19%, ERO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERO has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.17%) than 95.27% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ERO is below the industry average of 12.70%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (13.17%) for ERO is above the 3 year average (8.91%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.71%
ROE 28.19%
ROIC 13.17%
ROA(3y)5.05%
ROA(5y)10.57%
ROE(3y)9.36%
ROE(5y)19.62%
ROIC(3y)8.91%
ROIC(5y)15.07%
ERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 33.56%, ERO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ERO has grown nicely.
  • ERO's Operating Margin of 34.57% is amongst the best of the industry. ERO outperforms 94.40% of its industry peers.
  • ERO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ERO's Gross Margin of 43.99% is amongst the best of the industry. ERO outperforms 92.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ERO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.57%
PM (TTM) 33.56%
GM 43.99%
OM growth 3Y4.33%
OM growth 5Y-5.81%
PM growth 3Y12.01%
PM growth 5Y16.08%
GM growth 3Y0.07%
GM growth 5Y-5.39%
ERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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4

2. ERO.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ERO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ERO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
  • ERO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • ERO has an Altman-Z score of 2.92. This is not the best score and indicates that ERO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ERO's Altman-Z score of 2.92 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ERO outperforms 50.25% of its industry peers.
  • ERO has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.61. This is a neutral value as ERO would need 5.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ERO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.61) than 90.42% of its industry peers.
  • ERO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60. This is a neutral value indicating ERO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • ERO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.60) than 72.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 5.61
Altman-Z 2.92
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC11.42%
ERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ERO has a Current Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that ERO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.06, ERO is not doing good in the industry: 61.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • ERO has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a bad value and indicates that ERO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.63, ERO is not doing good in the industry: 67.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.63
ERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ERO.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 171.79% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.14% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has grown by 67.11% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, ERO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)171.79%
EPS 3Y32.57%
EPS 5Y11.14%
EPS Q2Q%511.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)67.11%
Revenue growth 3Y22.61%
Revenue growth 5Y19.38%
Sales Q2Q%161.35%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -1.37% on average over the next years.
  • ERO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.45% yearly.
EPS Next Y92.19%
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.17%
EPS Next 5Y-1.37%
Revenue Next Year54.77%
Revenue Next 2Y24.41%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y4.45%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 1 2 3 4

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9

4. ERO.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.68, the valuation of ERO can be described as reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ERO indicates a rather cheap valuation: ERO is cheaper than 94.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • ERO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.54.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.08, the valuation of ERO can be described as very cheap.
  • ERO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ERO is cheaper than 95.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, ERO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.68
Fwd PE 6.08
ERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ERO indicates a rather cheap valuation: ERO is cheaper than 95.02% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ERO is valued cheaper than 94.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.9
EV/EBITDA 7.72
ERO.CA Per share dataERO.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ERO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ERO's earnings are expected to grow with 17.17% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.17%

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0

5. ERO.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ERO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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ERO.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ERO COPPER CORP

TSX:ERO (3/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

33.98

+1.57 (+4.84%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners73.07%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.86%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.54B
Revenue(TTM)785.84M
Net Income(TTM)263.72M
Analysts74
Price Target47.58 (40.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.39%
Min EPS beat(2)-43.87%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.91%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)10.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-43.87%
Max EPS beat(4)76.3%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)5.58%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)2.04%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-8.27%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.91%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.15%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.05%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.38%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.04%
PT rev (1m)3.09%
PT rev (3m)26.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.99%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)14.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)14.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.68
Fwd PE 6.08
P/S 3.28
P/FCF 22.9
P/OCF 6.53
P/B 2.76
P/tB 2.76
EV/EBITDA 7.72
EPS(TTM)2.91
EY8.56%
EPS(NY)5.59
Fwd EY16.45%
FCF(TTM)1.48
FCFY4.37%
OCF(TTM)5.2
OCFY15.31%
SpS10.35
BVpS12.32
TBVpS12.32
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number28.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.71%
ROE 28.19%
ROCE 16.33%
ROIC 13.17%
ROICexc 14.06%
ROICexgc 14.06%
OM 34.57%
PM (TTM) 33.56%
GM 43.99%
FCFM 14.34%
ROA(3y)5.05%
ROA(5y)10.57%
ROE(3y)9.36%
ROE(5y)19.62%
ROIC(3y)8.91%
ROIC(5y)15.07%
ROICexc(3y)9.49%
ROICexc(5y)18.57%
ROICexgc(3y)9.49%
ROICexgc(5y)18.57%
ROCE(3y)11.05%
ROCE(5y)18.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.12%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.92%
OM growth 3Y4.33%
OM growth 5Y-5.81%
PM growth 3Y12.01%
PM growth 5Y16.08%
GM growth 3Y0.07%
GM growth 5Y-5.39%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.6
Debt/FCF 5.61
Debt/EBITDA 1.45
Cap/Depr 244.1%
Cap/Sales 35.94%
Interest Coverage 6.36
Cash Conversion 102%
Profit Quality 42.73%
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 2.92
F-Score8
WACC11.42%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)395.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)414.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)71.83%
Cap/Sales(5y)64.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)171.79%
EPS 3Y32.57%
EPS 5Y11.14%
EPS Q2Q%511.76%
EPS Next Y92.19%
EPS Next 2Y42.52%
EPS Next 3Y17.17%
EPS Next 5Y-1.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)67.11%
Revenue growth 3Y22.61%
Revenue growth 5Y19.38%
Sales Q2Q%161.35%
Revenue Next Year54.77%
Revenue Next 2Y24.41%
Revenue Next 3Y10.21%
Revenue Next 5Y4.45%
EBIT growth 1Y124.57%
EBIT growth 3Y27.92%
EBIT growth 5Y12.45%
EBIT Next Year155.58%
EBIT Next 3Y29.39%
EBIT Next 5Y13.82%
FCF growth 1Y158.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y20.15%
OCF growth 1Y171.72%
OCF growth 3Y40.2%
OCF growth 5Y19.4%

ERO COPPER CORP / ERO.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ERO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ERO.CA.


What is the valuation status of ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of ERO stock?

ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of ERO COPPER CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) is 11.68 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.76.