Logo image of ERO.CA

ERO COPPER CORP (ERO.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:ERO - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA2960061091 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

22.96  -0.75 (-3.16%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, ERO scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ERO was compared to 808 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While ERO has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. ERO is evaluated to be cheap and growing strongly. This does not happen too often!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ERO had positive earnings in the past year.
ERO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years ERO 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ERO had a positive operating cash flow.
ERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERO.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

ERO's Return On Assets of 1.12% is amongst the best of the industry. ERO outperforms 86.14% of its industry peers.
ERO has a better Return On Equity (2.65%) than 87.38% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of ERO (8.65%) is better than 94.18% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ERO is below the industry average of 12.36%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.14%) for ERO is below the current ROIC(8.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.12%
ROE 2.65%
ROIC 8.65%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERO.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.86%, ERO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.35% of the companies in the same industry.
ERO has a better Operating Margin (30.81%) than 94.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ERO has remained more or less at the same level.
ERO has a better Gross Margin (41.85%) than 94.06% of its industry peers.
ERO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 30.81%
PM (TTM) 3.86%
GM 41.85%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
ERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERO.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ERO is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ERO has more shares outstanding
ERO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ERO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingERO.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
ERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERO.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.17 indicates that ERO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
ERO's Altman-Z score of 2.17 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ERO outperforms 56.31% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84 indicates that ERO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.84, ERO is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.17
ROIC/WACC1.07
WACC8.05%
ERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERO.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.05 indicates that ERO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ERO has a Current ratio (1.05) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that ERO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ERO has a Quick ratio of 0.78. This is in the lower half of the industry: ERO underperforms 61.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.78
ERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERO.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ERO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 22.78%, which is quite impressive.
ERO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.60% yearly.
Looking at the last year, ERO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 13.24% in the last year.
ERO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.78%
EPS 3Y-30.56%
EPS 5Y-2.6%
EPS Q2Q%118.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.24%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y10.55%
Sales Q2Q%18.24%

3.2 Future

ERO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 46.14% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ERO will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 19.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y175.88%
EPS Next 2Y97.55%
EPS Next 3Y64.71%
EPS Next 5Y46.14%
Revenue Next Year66.59%
Revenue Next 2Y41.49%
Revenue Next 3Y27.6%
Revenue Next 5Y19.76%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
ERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERO.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.39 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ERO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ERO indicates a rather cheap valuation: ERO is cheaper than 91.21% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ERO to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.45), we can say ERO is valued slightly cheaper.
ERO is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.53.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ERO indicates a rather cheap valuation: ERO is cheaper than 95.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.90, ERO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.39
Fwd PE 5.53
ERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERO.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ERO is valued cheaper than 92.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.21
ERO.CA Per share dataERO.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ERO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ERO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ERO's earnings are expected to grow with 64.71% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y97.55%
EPS Next 3Y64.71%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ERO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ERO COPPER CORP

TSX:ERO (7/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

22.96

-0.75 (-3.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Inst Owners72.53%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners6.17%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.38B
Analysts82.22
Price Target26.32 (14.63%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)15.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.95%
Max EPS beat(2)76.3%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)6.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.95%
Max EPS beat(4)76.3%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)4.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.23%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.64%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-17.25%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-20.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.62%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.35%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.91%
PT rev (1m)6.34%
PT rev (3m)-1.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.39
Fwd PE 5.53
P/S 3.56
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 9
P/B 2.44
P/tB 2.44
EV/EBITDA 10.21
EPS(TTM)1.32
EY5.75%
EPS(NY)4.15
Fwd EY18.09%
FCF(TTM)-1.26
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.55
OCFY11.11%
SpS6.45
BVpS9.41
TBVpS9.41
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.12%
ROE 2.65%
ROCE 10.31%
ROIC 8.65%
ROICexc 9.15%
ROICexgc 9.15%
OM 30.81%
PM (TTM) 3.86%
GM 41.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)9.91%
ROE(3y)6.26%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)8.14%
ROIC(5y)19.2%
ROICexc(3y)9.9%
ROICexc(5y)23.79%
ROICexgc(3y)9.9%
ROICexgc(5y)23.79%
ROCE(3y)9.69%
ROCE(5y)22.87%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-14.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-45.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.21%
OM growth 3Y-22.63%
OM growth 5Y-1.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-16.13%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.56
Cap/Depr 349.72%
Cap/Sales 59.1%
Interest Coverage 4.22
Cash Conversion 82.9%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 2.17
F-Score6
WACC8.05%
ROIC/WACC1.07
Cap/Depr(3y)480.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)425.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)82.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)64.48%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.78%
EPS 3Y-30.56%
EPS 5Y-2.6%
EPS Q2Q%118.75%
EPS Next Y175.88%
EPS Next 2Y97.55%
EPS Next 3Y64.71%
EPS Next 5Y46.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.24%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y10.55%
Sales Q2Q%18.24%
Revenue Next Year66.59%
Revenue Next 2Y41.49%
Revenue Next 3Y27.6%
Revenue Next 5Y19.76%
EBIT growth 1Y76.53%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.68%
EBIT growth 5Y9.03%
EBIT Next Year216.04%
EBIT Next 3Y61.79%
EBIT Next 5Y45.5%
FCF growth 1Y54.71%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y67.22%
OCF growth 3Y-26.39%
OCF growth 5Y2.62%