280.81 USD
-15.65 (-5.28%)
280.81 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, ERIE scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ERIE was compared to 147 industry peers in the Insurance industry. ERIE scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. ERIE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. This makes ERIE very considerable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ERIE was profitable.
In the past year ERIE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ERIE has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ERIE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 19.49%, ERIE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 28.06%, ERIE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.56% of the companies in the same industry.
ERIE's Return On Invested Capital of 23.76% is amongst the best of the industry. ERIE outperforms 98.64% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ERIE is significantly above the industry average of 14.90%.
The 3 year average ROIC (22.70%) for ERIE is below the current ROIC(23.76%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.49% | ||
| ROE | 28.06% | ||
| ROIC | 23.76% |
ROA(3y)17.39%
ROA(5y)15.86%
ROE(3y)25.89%
ROE(5y)24.91%
ROIC(3y)22.7%
ROIC(5y)20.35%
1.3 Margins
ERIE has a Profit Margin of 16.04%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERIE outperforms 82.31% of its industry peers.
ERIE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 17.99%, ERIE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.03% of the companies in the same industry.
ERIE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ERIE has a Gross Margin of 17.99%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ERIE outperforms 86.39% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ERIE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.04% | ||
| GM | 17.99% |
OM growth 3Y13.86%
OM growth 5Y4.33%
PM growth 3Y11.83%
PM growth 5Y4.34%
GM growth 3Y13.86%
GM growth 5Y4.33%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ERIE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ERIE has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
ERIE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ERIE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
ERIE has an Altman-Z score of 12.29. This indicates that ERIE is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ERIE (12.29) is better than 99.32% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for ERIE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 12.29 |
ROIC/WACC2.71
WACC8.78%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.67 indicates that ERIE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ERIE has a better Current ratio (1.67) than 89.80% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.67 indicates that ERIE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ERIE's Quick ratio of 1.67 is amongst the best of the industry. ERIE outperforms 89.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 16.00% over the past year.
ERIE shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.63% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 9.53% in the past year. This is quite good.
ERIE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.91% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16%
EPS 3Y26.36%
EPS 5Y13.63%
EPS Q2Q%14.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.53%
Revenue growth 3Y12.95%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%6.69%
3.2 Future
ERIE is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.51% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ERIE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.86%
EPS Next 2Y11.57%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.65, ERIE is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ERIE is valued a bit more expensive than 74.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.34, ERIE is valued at the same level.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.65, ERIE is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ERIE is valued a bit more expensive than 73.47% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.56. ERIE is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
69.39% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than ERIE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ERIE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.91
PEG (5Y)1.66
EPS Next 2Y11.57%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ERIE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.82%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.48, ERIE has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
ERIE's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.82% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of ERIE grows each year by 7.09%, which is quite nice.
ERIE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
ERIE has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.09%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
38.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ERIE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of ERIE is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP38.69%
EPS Next 2Y11.57%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
280.81
-15.65 (-5.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners41.54%
Inst Owner Change1.77%
Ins Owners9.21%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap14.68B
Revenue(TTM)4.04B
Net Income(TTM)647.96M
Analysts85.71
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %8.65%
Short Ratio15.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.82% |
Yearly Dividend4.54
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.09%
DP38.69%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.97%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.77%
Max EPS beat(2)1.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-16.06%
Max EPS beat(4)3.37%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.8%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.73%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.64%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.39%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.59%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.54%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.65 | ||
| P/S | 3.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.74 | ||
| P/B | 6.36 | ||
| P/tB | 6.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)12.4
EY4.42%
EPS(NY)14.29
Fwd EY5.09%
FCF(TTM)11.02
FCFY3.92%
OCF(TTM)13.54
OCFY4.82%
SpS77.27
BVpS44.16
TBVpS44.16
PEG (NY)1.91
PEG (5Y)1.66
Graham Number110.99
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.49% | ||
| ROE | 28.06% | ||
| ROCE | 29.95% | ||
| ROIC | 23.76% | ||
| ROICexc | 31.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 31.64% | ||
| OM | 17.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.04% | ||
| GM | 17.99% | ||
| FCFM | 14.26% |
ROA(3y)17.39%
ROA(5y)15.86%
ROE(3y)25.89%
ROE(5y)24.91%
ROIC(3y)22.7%
ROIC(5y)20.35%
ROICexc(3y)26.07%
ROICexc(5y)23.37%
ROICexgc(3y)26.07%
ROICexgc(5y)23.37%
ROCE(3y)28.61%
ROCE(5y)25.66%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.5%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.69%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.5%
OM growth 3Y13.86%
OM growth 5Y4.33%
PM growth 3Y11.83%
PM growth 5Y4.34%
GM growth 3Y13.86%
GM growth 5Y4.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.22
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 88.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 12.29 |
F-Score6
WACC8.78%
ROIC/WACC2.71
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)2.83%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.27%
Profit Quality(3y)81.95%
Profit Quality(5y)85.8%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16%
EPS 3Y26.36%
EPS 5Y13.63%
EPS Q2Q%14.38%
EPS Next Y11.86%
EPS Next 2Y11.57%
EPS Next 3Y6.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.53%
Revenue growth 3Y12.95%
Revenue growth 5Y8.91%
Sales Q2Q%6.69%
Revenue Next Year7.8%
Revenue Next 2Y6.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.32%
EBIT growth 3Y28.6%
EBIT growth 5Y13.62%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y111.44%
FCF growth 3Y24.18%
FCF growth 5Y13.13%
OCF growth 1Y96.2%
OCF growth 3Y14.91%
OCF growth 5Y10.89%
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A / ERIE FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A (ERIE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ERIE.
What is the valuation status for ERIE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A (ERIE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of ERIE stock?
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A (ERIE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A (ERIE) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A (ERIE) is 22.65 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.36.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY-CL A (ERIE) is expected to grow by 11.86% in the next year.