ERG SPA (ERG.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - Euronext Milan - BIT:ERG - IT0001157020 - Common Stock
22.66 EUR
+0.3 (+1.34%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ERG. ERG was compared to 20 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. While ERG belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ERG is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. ERG also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ERG was profitable.
- In the past year ERG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- ERG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years ERG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ERG (3.69%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- ERG has a Return On Equity of 10.40%. This is in the better half of the industry: ERG outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.33%, ERG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ERG is in line with the industry average of 5.11%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.33%) for ERG is above the 3 year average (4.72%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.69% | ||
| ROE | 10.4% | ||
| ROIC | 5.33% |
ROA(3y)4.55%
ROA(5y)3.78%
ROE(3y)11.87%
ROE(5y)10.57%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)3.97%
1.3 Margins
- ERG has a better Profit Margin (19.28%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
- ERG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of ERG (33.37%) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
- ERG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 98.63%, ERG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- ERG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 33.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.28% | ||
| GM | 98.63% |
OM growth 3Y4.11%
OM growth 5Y13.88%
PM growth 3Y-4.11%
PM growth 5Y52.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y6.64%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ERG is still creating some value.
- ERG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- ERG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ERG is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.51, we must say that ERG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.51, ERG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ERG is 9.46, which is on the high side as it means it would take ERG, 9.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- ERG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.46) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.30 is on the high side and indicates that ERG has dependencies on debt financing.
- ERG's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ERG is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
ROIC/WACC1.13
WACC4.72%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.71 indicates that ERG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of ERG (1.71) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ERG has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that ERG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ERG has a Quick ratio (1.65) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.65 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- ERG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.52%.
- ERG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 43.27% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -3.11% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -6.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.52%
EPS 3Y3.62%
EPS 5Y43.27%
EPS Q2Q%-39.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.11%
Revenue growth 3Y7.06%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.29%
Sales Q2Q%-0.99%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -1.76% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, ERG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-7.59%
EPS Next 2Y3.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.31%
EPS Next 5Y-1.76%
Revenue Next Year6.13%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.74, ERG is valued correctly.
- ERG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ERG is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.47, ERG is valued a bit cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60, ERG is valued correctly.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ERG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ERG is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.26, ERG is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ERG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ERG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ERG is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.88 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ERG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.36
EPS Next 2Y3.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.47%, ERG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.25, ERG pays a better dividend. On top of this ERG pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, ERG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.47% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of ERG grows each year by 6.57%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 72.21% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ERG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of ERG has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP72.21%
EPS Next 2Y3.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.31%
BIT:ERG (1/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
22.66
+0.3 (+1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)11-14 2025-11-14
Earnings (Next)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Inst Owners19.16%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.41B
Revenue(TTM)1.09B
Net Income(TTM)210.37M
Analysts74.29
Price Target24.3 (7.24%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.47% |
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.57%
DP72.21%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.38%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 3.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.35 | ||
| P/B | 1.68 | ||
| P/tB | 6.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.88 |
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY6.35%
EPS(NY)1.45
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY8.32%
OCF(TTM)3.08
OCFY13.6%
SpS7.26
BVpS13.46
TBVpS3.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.36
Graham Number20.88
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.69% | ||
| ROE | 10.4% | ||
| ROCE | 6.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.33% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.48% | ||
| OM | 33.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.28% | ||
| GM | 98.63% | ||
| FCFM | 25.97% |
ROA(3y)4.55%
ROA(5y)3.78%
ROE(3y)11.87%
ROE(5y)10.57%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)3.97%
ROICexc(3y)5.64%
ROICexc(5y)4.82%
ROICexgc(3y)8.71%
ROICexgc(5y)7.19%
ROCE(3y)6.04%
ROCE(5y)5.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.32%
OM growth 3Y4.11%
OM growth 5Y13.88%
PM growth 3Y-4.11%
PM growth 5Y52.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y6.64%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.99 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 17.92 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 134.72% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.71 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
F-Score6
WACC4.72%
ROIC/WACC1.13
Cap/Depr(3y)113.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)34.75%
Profit Quality(3y)163.12%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.52%
EPS 3Y3.62%
EPS 5Y43.27%
EPS Q2Q%-39.18%
EPS Next Y-7.59%
EPS Next 2Y3.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.31%
EPS Next 5Y-1.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.11%
Revenue growth 3Y7.06%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.29%
Sales Q2Q%-0.99%
Revenue Next Year6.13%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.6%
EBIT growth 3Y11.47%
EBIT growth 5Y6.71%
EBIT Next Year96.28%
EBIT Next 3Y29.6%
EBIT Next 5Y21.48%
FCF growth 1Y218.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.63%
OCF growth 1Y7.02%
OCF growth 3Y39.84%
OCF growth 5Y-2.18%
ERG SPA / ERG.MI FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ERG.MI.
Can you provide the valuation status for ERG SPA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ERG SPA (ERG.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of ERG stock?
ERG SPA (ERG.MI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?
The financial health rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) is 4 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?
The dividend rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 72.21%.