ERG SPA (ERG.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe Euronext Milan BIT:ERG • IT0001157020

22.12 EUR
-0.38 (-1.69%)
Last: Feb 5, 2026, 05:35 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall ERG gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated ERG against 22 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. While ERG has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ERG has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. ERG also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ERG was profitable.
  • In the past year ERG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ERG has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years ERG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ERG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • ERG has a better Return On Assets (3.69%) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 10.40%, ERG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.33%, ERG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ERG is in line with the industry average of 4.98%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.72%) for ERG is below the current ROIC(5.33%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.69%
ROE 10.4%
ROIC 5.33%
ROA(3y)4.55%
ROA(5y)3.78%
ROE(3y)11.87%
ROE(5y)10.57%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)3.97%
ERG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 19.28%, ERG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 33.37%, ERG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ERG has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 98.63%, ERG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.37%
PM (TTM) 19.28%
GM 98.63%
OM growth 3Y4.11%
OM growth 5Y13.88%
PM growth 3Y-4.11%
PM growth 5Y52.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y6.64%
ERG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ERG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ERG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ERG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • ERG has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ERG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingERG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
ERG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • ERG has an Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that ERG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ERG has a Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is in the better half of the industry: ERG outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
  • ERG has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.46. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ERG would need 9.46 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ERG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.46) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.30 is on the high side and indicates that ERG has dependencies on debt financing.
  • ERG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: ERG underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF 9.46
Altman-Z 1.51
ROIC/WACC1.12
WACC4.75%
ERG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.71 indicates that ERG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ERG has a Current ratio of 1.71. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ERG outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
  • ERG has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that ERG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ERG's Quick ratio of 1.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ERG outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1.65
ERG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ERG have decreased strongly by -36.52% in the last year.
  • ERG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 43.27% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.11% in the past year.
  • ERG shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -6.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.52%
EPS 3Y3.62%
EPS 5Y43.27%
EPS Q2Q%-39.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.11%
Revenue growth 3Y7.06%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.29%
Sales Q2Q%-0.99%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -1.76% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.19% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-9.19%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5Y-1.76%
Revenue Next Year6.13%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
ERG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
ERG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.36, which indicates a correct valuation of ERG.
  • ERG's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. ERG is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.25.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.27, which indicates a correct valuation of ERG.
  • ERG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ERG is cheaper than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.50.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.36
Fwd PE 15.27
ERG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ERG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ERG is cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 77.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ERG, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.73
EV/EBITDA 7.91
ERG.MI Per share dataERG.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of ERG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.36
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • ERG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.48%, which is a nice return.
  • ERG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.41. ERG pays more dividend than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.48%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ERG grows each year by 6.57%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • 72.21% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ERG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of ERG has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP72.21%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
ERG.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendERG.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M
ERG.MI Dividend Payout.ERG.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ERG.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ERG SPA

BIT:ERG (2/5/2026, 5:35:15 PM)

22.12

-0.38 (-1.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)11-14
Earnings (Next)03-09
Inst Owners19.16%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.33B
Revenue(TTM)1.09B
Net Income(TTM)210.37M
Analysts74.29
Price Target24.3 (9.86%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.48%
Yearly Dividend1.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.57%
DP72.21%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.36
Fwd PE 15.27
P/S 3.05
P/FCF 11.73
P/OCF 7.18
P/B 1.64
P/tB 6.76
EV/EBITDA 7.91
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY6.51%
EPS(NY)1.45
Fwd EY6.55%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY8.52%
OCF(TTM)3.08
OCFY13.94%
SpS7.26
BVpS13.46
TBVpS3.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.36
Graham Number20.88
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.69%
ROE 10.4%
ROCE 6.94%
ROIC 5.33%
ROICexc 5.86%
ROICexgc 8.48%
OM 33.37%
PM (TTM) 19.28%
GM 98.63%
FCFM 25.97%
ROA(3y)4.55%
ROA(5y)3.78%
ROE(3y)11.87%
ROE(5y)10.57%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)3.97%
ROICexc(3y)5.64%
ROICexc(5y)4.82%
ROICexgc(3y)8.71%
ROICexgc(5y)7.19%
ROCE(3y)6.04%
ROCE(5y)5.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.32%
OM growth 3Y4.11%
OM growth 5Y13.88%
PM growth 3Y-4.11%
PM growth 5Y52.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y6.64%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF 9.46
Debt/EBITDA 3.99
Cap/Depr 61.02%
Cap/Sales 16.49%
Interest Coverage 17.92
Cash Conversion 70.3%
Profit Quality 134.72%
Current Ratio 1.71
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 1.51
F-Score6
WACC4.75%
ROIC/WACC1.12
Cap/Depr(3y)113.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)39.21%
Cap/Sales(5y)34.75%
Profit Quality(3y)163.12%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.52%
EPS 3Y3.62%
EPS 5Y43.27%
EPS Q2Q%-39.18%
EPS Next Y-9.19%
EPS Next 2Y3.83%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5Y-1.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.11%
Revenue growth 3Y7.06%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.29%
Sales Q2Q%-0.99%
Revenue Next Year6.13%
Revenue Next 2Y6.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.6%
EBIT growth 3Y11.47%
EBIT growth 5Y6.71%
EBIT Next Year96.28%
EBIT Next 3Y29.6%
EBIT Next 5Y21.48%
FCF growth 1Y218.17%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.63%
OCF growth 1Y7.02%
OCF growth 3Y39.84%
OCF growth 5Y-2.18%

ERG SPA / ERG.MI FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ERG.MI.


Can you provide the valuation status for ERG SPA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ERG SPA (ERG.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ERG stock?

ERG SPA (ERG.MI) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?

The financial health rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) is 4 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) stock?

The dividend rating of ERG SPA (ERG.MI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 72.21%.