Enerplus Corporation (ERF) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ERF • CA2927661025

Current stock price

20.09 USD
-0.1 (-0.5%)
At close:
20.08 USD
-0.01 (-0.05%)
After Hours:

This ERF fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. ERF Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ERF had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ERF had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ERF reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • ERF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ERF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFERF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 18.87%, ERF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERF has a better Return On Equity (30.88%) than 82.08% of its industry peers.
  • ERF's Return On Invested Capital of 23.71% is amongst the best of the industry. ERF outperforms 93.87% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ERF is significantly above the industry average of 22.49%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (44.47%) for ERF is well above the current ROIC(23.71%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.87%
ROE 30.88%
ROIC 23.71%
ROA(3y)27%
ROA(5y)1.58%
ROE(3y)53.52%
ROE(5y)-5.89%
ROIC(3y)44.47%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ERF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICERF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • ERF has a Profit Margin of 23.87%. This is in the better half of the industry: ERF outperforms 67.45% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ERF has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 29.94%, ERF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ERF has a better Gross Margin (66.55%) than 70.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ERF has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.94%
PM (TTM) 23.87%
GM 66.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-1.29%
GM growth 3Y13.58%
GM growth 5Y-1.2%
ERF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsERF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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6

2. ERF Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ERF is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ERF has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ERF has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ERF Yearly Shares OutstandingERF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M
ERF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsERF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.80 indicates that ERF is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.80, ERF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ERF is 0.66, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ERF, only 0.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.66, ERF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that ERF is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.08, ERF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.72% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 0.66
Altman-Z 3.8
ROIC/WACC2.89
WACC8.21%
ERF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFERF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ERF has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that ERF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ERF has a Current ratio of 0.70. This is in the lower half of the industry: ERF underperforms 77.83% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates that ERF may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ERF's Quick ratio of 0.70 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ERF is outperformed by 71.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.7
ERF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesERF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ERF Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ERF have decreased strongly by -52.71% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.39% on average over the past years.
  • ERF shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.47%.
  • Measured over the past years, ERF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.17% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.71%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y6.39%
EPS Q2Q%-48.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.47%
Revenue growth 3Y31.15%
Revenue growth 5Y5.17%
Sales Q2Q%-17.93%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.13% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • ERF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.12% yearly.
EPS Next Y28.69%
EPS Next 2Y19.13%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y4.12%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ERF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesERF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
ERF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesERF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 -2 -4 -6

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7

4. ERF Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ERF is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.16.
  • ERF's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ERF to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.11), we can say ERF is valued rather cheaply.
  • ERF is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.74.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ERF is valued cheaper than 80.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.16
Fwd PE 6.74
ERF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsERF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ERF is valued a bit cheaper than 68.40% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ERF's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.62
EV/EBITDA 4.9
ERF Per share dataERF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ERF has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • ERF's earnings are expected to grow with 19.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.39
PEG (5Y)1.75
EPS Next 2Y19.13%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ERF Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ERF!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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ERF Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Enerplus Corporation

NYSE:ERF (5/30/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 20.08 -0.01 (-0.05%)

20.09

-0.1 (-0.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-08
Earnings (Next)08-07
Inst Owners0.43%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.10B
Revenue(TTM)1.61B
Net Income(TTM)384.73M
Analysts75.56
Price Target19.29 (-3.98%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP12.97%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.69%
Max EPS beat(2)6.99%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-29.95%
Max EPS beat(4)8.31%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)16.37%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.94%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-240.98%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.23%
PT rev (3m)6.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.16
Fwd PE 6.74
P/S 2.55
P/FCF 15.62
P/OCF 4.97
P/B 3.29
P/tB 3.29
EV/EBITDA 4.9
EPS(TTM)1.8
EY8.96%
EPS(NY)2.98
Fwd EY14.83%
FCF(TTM)1.29
FCFY6.4%
OCF(TTM)4.04
OCFY20.12%
SpS7.89
BVpS6.1
TBVpS6.1
PEG (NY)0.39
PEG (5Y)1.75
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.87%
ROE 30.88%
ROCE 30.38%
ROIC 23.71%
ROICexc 24.22%
ROICexgc 24.22%
OM 29.94%
PM (TTM) 23.87%
GM 66.55%
FCFM 16.3%
ROA(3y)27%
ROA(5y)1.58%
ROE(3y)53.52%
ROE(5y)-5.89%
ROIC(3y)44.47%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)46.07%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)46.07%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)56.98%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.21%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y13.19%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-1.29%
GM growth 3Y13.58%
GM growth 5Y-1.2%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 0.66
Debt/EBITDA 0.11
Cap/Depr 146.97%
Cap/Sales 34.91%
Interest Coverage 29
Cash Conversion 95.37%
Profit Quality 68.29%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 3.8
F-Score5
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC2.89
Cap/Depr(3y)132.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)33.65%
Profit Quality(3y)100.55%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-52.71%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y6.39%
EPS Q2Q%-48.37%
EPS Next Y28.69%
EPS Next 2Y19.13%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.47%
Revenue growth 3Y31.15%
Revenue growth 5Y5.17%
Sales Q2Q%-17.93%
Revenue Next Year2.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y4.12%
EBIT growth 1Y-58.92%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y3.35%
EBIT Next Year86.17%
EBIT Next 3Y38.47%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-43%
FCF growth 3Y55.34%
FCF growth 5Y27.23%
OCF growth 1Y8.09%
OCF growth 3Y28.09%
OCF growth 5Y4.89%

Enerplus Corporation / ERF Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Enerplus Corporation (ERF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ERF.


What is the valuation status for ERF stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to Enerplus Corporation (ERF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Enerplus Corporation?

Enerplus Corporation (ERF) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for Enerplus Corporation?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Enerplus Corporation (ERF) is expected to grow by 28.69% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ERF stock?

The dividend rating of Enerplus Corporation (ERF) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.97%.