Logo image of EPM

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE Arca - NYSEARCA:EPM - US30049A1079 - Common Stock

3.93 USD
+0.07 (+1.81%)
Last: 11/28/2025, 8:26:00 PM
3.93 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 11/28/2025, 8:26:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall EPM gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated EPM against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EPM have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, EPM is valued expensive at the moment. Finally EPM also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year EPM has reported negative net income.
EPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years EPM 4 years were profitable.
EPM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.71%, EPM is doing worse than 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM has a worse Return On Equity (1.59%) than 65.71% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.30%, EPM is doing worse than 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EPM is significantly below the industry average of 21.49%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(2.30%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROIC 2.3%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
EPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

EPM has a worse Profit Margin (1.33%) than 62.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EPM has declined.
EPM has a worse Operating Margin (4.86%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
EPM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 42.52%, EPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.90% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
EPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EPM is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EPM has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for EPM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for EPM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EPM Yearly Shares OutstandingEPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
EPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

EPM has an Altman-Z score of 1.71. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.71, EPM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.48% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EPM is 3.29, which is a good value as it means it would take EPM, 3.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.29, EPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52. This is a neutral value indicating EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.52, EPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Altman-Z 1.71
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC8.61%
EPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EPM has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 65.24% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EPM's Quick ratio of 0.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EPM outperforms 41.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

EPM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -107.14%.
EPM shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.42% yearly.
EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.04%.
EPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%

3.2 Future

EPM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 50.19% yearly.
EPM is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y-201%
EPS Next 2Y50.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.92%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
EPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

EPM reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
EPM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 58.08.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EPM is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.24% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.59, EPM is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 58.08
EPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300

4.2 Price Multiples

66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EPM, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EPM is valued a bit cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.83
EV/EBITDA 6.41
EPM Per share dataEPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 50.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y50.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.44%, EPM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
The stock price of EPM dropped by -23.84% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.93, EPM pays a better dividend. On top of this EPM pays more dividend than 95.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.44%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of EPM grows each year by 8.26%, which is quite nice.
EPM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
EPM Yearly Dividends per shareEPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

1428.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EPM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of EPM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y50.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M
EPM Dividend Payout.EPM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EPM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP

NYSEARCA:EPM (11/28/2025, 8:26:00 PM)

After market: 3.93 0 (0%)

3.93

+0.07 (+1.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)02-09 2026-02-09
Inst Owners57.23%
Inst Owner Change-2.21%
Ins Owners9.87%
Ins Owner Change2.87%
Market Cap136.33M
Revenue(TTM)85.84M
Net Income(TTM)1.14M
Analysts76.67
Price Target5.23 (33.08%)
Short Float %5.02%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.44%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP1428.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date12-15 2025-12-15 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)202.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-485.04%
Max EPS beat(2)890.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-494.06%
Max EPS beat(4)890.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.28%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.39%
PT rev (1m)-4.65%
PT rev (3m)0.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)-100%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-475%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.47%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 58.08
P/S 1.57
P/FCF 11.83
P/OCF 4.09
P/B 1.88
P/tB 1.88
EV/EBITDA 6.41
EPS(TTM)-0.01
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.07
Fwd EY1.72%
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY8.45%
OCF(TTM)0.96
OCFY24.48%
SpS2.5
BVpS2.09
TBVpS2.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROCE 3.01%
ROIC 2.3%
ROICexc 2.34%
ROICexgc 2.34%
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
FCFM 13.29%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 98.4%
Cap/Sales 25.21%
Interest Coverage 1.35
Cash Conversion 126.31%
Profit Quality 997.38%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 1.71
F-Score5
WACC8.61%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y-201%
EPS Next 2Y50.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
Revenue Next Year-1.92%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-47.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year771.36%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y142.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y45.42%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.


What is the valuation status for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EPM stock?

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


How financially healthy is EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?

The financial health rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -201% in the next year.