EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSEARCA:EPM • US30049A1079
Current stock price
4.44 USD
0 (0%)
At close:
4.4096 USD
-0.03 (-0.68%)
After Hours:
This EPM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EPM Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EPM was profitable.
- In the past year EPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
- EPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years EPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- EPM has a Return On Assets (1.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- EPM has a Return On Equity (4.07%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.78%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 68.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EPM is significantly below the industry average of 22.60%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(1.78%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.62% | ||
| ROE | 4.07% | ||
| ROIC | 1.78% |
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
1.3 Margins
- EPM has a Profit Margin of 3.21%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EPM outperforms 42.58% of its industry peers.
- EPM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.09%, EPM is doing worse than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EPM has declined.
- EPM has a Gross Margin (42.37%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EPM has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.21% | ||
| GM | 42.37% |
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
2. EPM Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EPM is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EPM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EPM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- EPM has an Altman-Z score of 1.63. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- EPM has a Altman-Z score (1.63) which is in line with its industry peers.
- EPM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.81. This is a neutral value indicating EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- EPM has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.81) than 62.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.63 |
ROIC/WACC0.21
WACC8.39%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.90 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of EPM (0.90) is worse than 63.64% of its industry peers.
- EPM has a Quick Ratio of 0.90. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EPM has a Quick ratio (0.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. EPM Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 60.00%, which is quite impressive.
- The earnings per share for EPM have been decreasing by -25.42% on average. This is quite bad
- EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.91%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 23.73% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)60%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%150%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.91%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%1.99%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EPM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 65.61% on average per year.
- EPM is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y-32.67%
EPS Next 2Y-75.18%
EPS Next 3Y18.96%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue Next Year-4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.57%
Revenue Next 3Y0.68%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. EPM Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 55.50, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EPM.
- EPM's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. EPM is more expensive than 64.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.86, EPM is valued quite expensively.
- EPM is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 55.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EPM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EPM is cheaper than 62.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 18.96% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-75.18%
EPS Next 3Y18.96%
5. EPM Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.81%, EPM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.23. EPM pays more dividend than 95.69% of the companies in the same industry.
- EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.81% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of EPM grows each year by 8.26%, which is quite nice.
- EPM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- EPM has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 603.71% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EPM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- EPM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP603.71%
EPS Next 2Y-75.18%
EPS Next 3Y18.96%
EPM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
4.44
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-11 2026-05-11
Inst Owners51.08%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners10.64%
Ins Owner Change1.98%
Market Cap155.40M
Revenue(TTM)85.64M
Net Income(TTM)2.75M
Analysts77.5
Price Target5.16 (16.22%)
Short Float %5.6%
Short Ratio4.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.81% |
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP603.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-16 2026-03-16 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.91%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.85%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.11%
PT rev (1m)-1.46%
PT rev (3m)-0.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-100%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-249.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)19.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)500%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.18%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.9%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 55.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 1.81 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.02 | ||
| P/B | 2.3 | ||
| P/tB | 2.3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.86 |
EPS(TTM)0.08
EY1.8%
EPS(NY)-0.03
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.88
OCFY19.92%
SpS2.45
BVpS1.93
TBVpS1.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number1.86
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.62% | ||
| ROE | 4.07% | ||
| ROCE | 2.33% | ||
| ROIC | 1.78% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 4.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.21% | ||
| GM | 42.37% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.08 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 172.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 45.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 118.06% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.63 |
F-Score4
WACC8.39%
ROIC/WACC0.21
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)60%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%150%
EPS Next Y-32.67%
EPS Next 2Y-75.18%
EPS Next 3Y18.96%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.91%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%1.99%
Revenue Next Year-4.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.57%
Revenue Next 3Y0.68%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-39%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year731.13%
EBIT Next 3Y91.42%
EBIT Next 5Y59.84%
FCF growth 1Y-132.54%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y-11.27%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.
What is the valuation status of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EPM stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 55.5 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.3.
Can you provide the financial health for EPM stock?
The financial health rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 1 / 10.