EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • NYSE Arca • NYSEARCA:EPM • US30049A1079

4.005 USD
+0.04 (+1.14%)
Last: Feb 6, 2026, 09:31 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, EPM scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EPM was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of EPM have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, EPM is valued expensive at the moment. Finally EPM also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EPM had negative earnings in the past year.
  • EPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • EPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EPM had a positive operating cash flow.
EPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.71%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • EPM's Return On Equity of 1.59% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EPM is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • EPM has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.30%) than 67.63% of its industry peers.
  • EPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.05%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.95%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(2.30%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROIC 2.3%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
EPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • EPM has a worse Profit Margin (1.33%) than 62.80% of its industry peers.
  • EPM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • EPM's Operating Margin of 4.86% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EPM is outperformed by 64.73% of its industry peers.
  • EPM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 42.52%, EPM is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EPM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
EPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EPM is creating some value.
  • EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EPM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EPM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EPM Yearly Shares OutstandingEPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
EPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

  • EPM has an Altman-Z score of 1.74. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of EPM (1.74) is better than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • EPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EPM would need 3.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EPM (3.29) is better than 75.36% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • EPM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.52 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EPM outperforms 44.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Altman-Z 1.74
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC8.6%
EPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, EPM is doing worse than 67.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EPM has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EPM's Quick ratio of 0.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EPM outperforms 40.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • EPM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -107.14%.
  • The earnings per share for EPM have been decreasing by -25.42% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.04% in the past year.
  • EPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EPM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 65.61% on average per year.
  • EPM is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y-77.54%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2029 2030 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
EPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for EPM. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • EPM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1190.79.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EPM indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: EPM is more expensive than 67.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • EPM is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1190.79
EPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 500 1K

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EPM is valued a bit cheaper than 67.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EPM is valued a bit cheaper than 73.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.18
EV/EBITDA 6.59
EPM Per share dataEPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 82.32% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.31%, EPM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.65. EPM pays more dividend than 97.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EPM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.31%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of EPM grows each year by 8.26%, which is quite nice.
  • EPM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
EPM Yearly Dividends per shareEPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • EPM pays out 1428.93% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of EPM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M
EPM Dividend Payout.EPM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EPM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP

NYSEARCA:EPM (2/6/2026, 9:31:01 AM)

4.005

+0.04 (+1.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)02-10
Inst Owners57.78%
Inst Owner Change-1.99%
Ins Owners10.76%
Ins Owner Change6.18%
Market Cap138.93M
Revenue(TTM)85.84M
Net Income(TTM)1.14M
Analysts77.5
Price Target5.24 (30.84%)
Short Float %7.02%
Short Ratio4.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.31%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP1428.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)202.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-485.04%
Max EPS beat(2)890.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-494.06%
Max EPS beat(4)890.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.28%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.39%
PT rev (1m)1.07%
PT rev (3m)-4.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)233.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)122.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1190.79
P/S 1.62
P/FCF 12.18
P/OCF 4.2
P/B 1.93
P/tB 1.93
EV/EBITDA 6.59
EPS(TTM)-0.01
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0
Fwd EY0.08%
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY8.21%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY23.79%
SpS2.47
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROCE 3.01%
ROIC 2.3%
ROICexc 2.34%
ROICexgc 2.34%
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
FCFM 13.29%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 98.4%
Cap/Sales 25.21%
Interest Coverage 1.35
Cash Conversion 126.31%
Profit Quality 997.38%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 1.74
F-Score5
WACC8.6%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y-77.54%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-47.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year727.12%
EBIT Next 3Y105.63%
EBIT Next 5Y59.84%
FCF growth 1Y142.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y45.42%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.


What is the valuation status of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -77.54% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for EPM stock?

The dividend rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 1428.93%.