EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • NYSE Arca • NYSEARCA:EPM • US30049A1079

4.1 USD
+0.14 (+3.54%)
At close: Feb 6, 2026
4.1 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

EPM gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EPM may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, EPM is valued expensive at the moment. EPM also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EPM has reported negative net income.
  • EPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • EPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • EPM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

  • EPM's Return On Assets of 0.71% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EPM is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.59%, EPM is doing worse than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of EPM (2.30%) is worse than 67.63% of its industry peers.
  • EPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.05%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(2.30%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROIC 2.3%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
EPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of EPM (1.33%) is worse than 62.80% of its industry peers.
  • EPM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • EPM's Operating Margin of 4.86% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EPM is outperformed by 64.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EPM has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of EPM (42.52%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EPM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
EPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EPM is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EPM has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EPM has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EPM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EPM Yearly Shares OutstandingEPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
EPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.74, we must say that EPM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of EPM (1.74) is better than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • EPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EPM would need 3.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EPM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is in the better half of the industry: EPM outperforms 75.36% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • EPM has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.52) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Altman-Z 1.74
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC8.49%
EPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

  • EPM has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, EPM is doing worse than 67.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EPM has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for EPM have decreased strongly by -107.14% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for EPM have been decreasing by -25.42% on average. This is quite bad
  • EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.04%.
  • Measured over the past years, EPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EPM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 65.61% on average per year.
  • EPM is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y-77.54%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2029 2030 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
EPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • EPM reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • EPM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1219.04.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EPM indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: EPM is more expensive than 67.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.78, EPM is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1219.04
EPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 500 1K

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EPM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.63% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 73.43% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EPM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.47
EV/EBITDA 6.59
EPM Per share dataEPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 82.32% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • EPM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.12%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.64, EPM pays a better dividend. On top of this EPM pays more dividend than 97.58% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, EPM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.12%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EPM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.26%!
  • EPM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
EPM Yearly Dividends per shareEPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • EPM pays out 1428.93% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • EPM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M
EPM Dividend Payout.EPM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EPM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP

NYSEARCA:EPM (2/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 4.1 0 (0%)

4.1

+0.14 (+3.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)02-10
Inst Owners57.78%
Inst Owner Change-1.99%
Ins Owners10.76%
Ins Owner Change6.18%
Market Cap142.23M
Revenue(TTM)85.84M
Net Income(TTM)1.14M
Analysts77.5
Price Target5.24 (27.8%)
Short Float %7.02%
Short Ratio4.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.12%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP1428.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)202.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-485.04%
Max EPS beat(2)890.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-494.06%
Max EPS beat(4)890.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.28%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.39%
PT rev (1m)1.07%
PT rev (3m)-4.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)233.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)122.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 1219.04
P/S 1.66
P/FCF 12.47
P/OCF 4.3
P/B 1.98
P/tB 1.98
EV/EBITDA 6.59
EPS(TTM)-0.01
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0
Fwd EY0.08%
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY8.02%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY23.24%
SpS2.47
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROCE 3.01%
ROIC 2.3%
ROICexc 2.34%
ROICexgc 2.34%
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
FCFM 13.29%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 98.4%
Cap/Sales 25.21%
Interest Coverage 1.35
Cash Conversion 126.31%
Profit Quality 997.38%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 1.74
F-Score5
WACC8.49%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y-77.54%
EPS Next 2Y-66.52%
EPS Next 3Y82.32%
EPS Next 5Y65.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-47.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year727.12%
EBIT Next 3Y105.63%
EBIT Next 5Y59.84%
FCF growth 1Y142.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y45.42%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.


What is the valuation status of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -77.54% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for EPM stock?

The dividend rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 1428.93%.