3.54 USD
-0.02 (-0.56%)
3.5682 USD
+0.03 (+0.8%)
Overall EPM gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated EPM against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EPM has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EPM is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EPM has reported negative net income.
In the past year EPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years EPM 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years EPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EPM (0.71%) is worse than 65.07% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.59%, EPM is doing worse than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.30%, EPM is doing worse than 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EPM is significantly below the industry average of 21.18%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(2.30%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.71% | ||
| ROE | 1.59% | ||
| ROIC | 2.3% |
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.33%, EPM is doing worse than 62.68% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EPM has declined.
The Operating Margin of EPM (4.86%) is worse than 65.07% of its industry peers.
EPM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of EPM (42.52%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EPM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 42.52% |
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EPM is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EPM has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for EPM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for EPM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.65, we must say that EPM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.65, EPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EPM would need 3.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
EPM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is in the better half of the industry: EPM outperforms 75.60% of its industry peers.
EPM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52. This is a neutral value indicating EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of EPM (0.52) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.52 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC8.67%
2.3 Liquidity
EPM has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of EPM (0.81) is worse than 66.51% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.81, EPM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EPM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -107.14%.
Measured over the past years, EPM shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -25.42% on average per year.
EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.04%.
EPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EPM will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -58.27% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.07% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-116.83%
EPS Next 2Y-58.27%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for EPM. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for EPM. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EPM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EPM is cheaper than 67.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
74.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EPM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.06 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as EPM's earnings are expected to decrease with -58.27% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-58.27%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.15%, EPM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of EPM has falen by -27.90%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.93. EPM pays more dividend than 96.65% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, EPM pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.15% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EPM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.26%!
EPM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
1428.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EPM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of EPM has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y-58.27%
EPS Next 3YN/A
3.54
-0.02 (-0.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners58.04%
Inst Owner Change-2.23%
Ins Owners10.41%
Ins Owner Change5.56%
Market Cap122.80M
Revenue(TTM)85.84M
Net Income(TTM)1.14M
Analysts76.67
Price Target5.18 (46.33%)
Short Float %5.95%
Short Ratio4.48
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.15% |
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP1428.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)202.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-485.04%
Max EPS beat(2)890.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-494.06%
Max EPS beat(4)890.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.28%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.39%
PT rev (1m)-0.81%
PT rev (3m)-0.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)-100%
EPS NY rev (1m)83.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)83.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 1.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.72 | ||
| P/B | 1.71 | ||
| P/tB | 1.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.06 |
EPS(TTM)-0.01
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.02
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY9.29%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY26.91%
SpS2.47
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.71% | ||
| ROE | 1.59% | ||
| ROCE | 3.01% | ||
| ROIC | 2.3% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.34% | ||
| OM | 4.86% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.33% | ||
| GM | 42.52% | ||
| FCFM | 13.29% |
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.52 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.43 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.4% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 25.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 126.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 997.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.65 |
F-Score5
WACC8.67%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y-116.83%
EPS Next 2Y-58.27%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-47.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year727.12%
EBIT Next 3Y105.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y142.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y45.42%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.
What is the valuation status for EPM stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EPM stock?
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
How financially healthy is EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?
The financial health rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -116.83% in the next year.