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EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE Arca - NYSEARCA:EPM - US30049A1079 - Common Stock

3.56 USD
+0.01 (+0.28%)
Last: 12/23/2025, 11:40:00 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to EPM. EPM was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. EPM has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. EPM is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. Finally EPM also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EPM had negative earnings in the past year.
EPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years EPM 4 years were profitable.
EPM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of EPM (0.71%) is worse than 64.76% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of EPM (1.59%) is worse than 64.76% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.30%, EPM is not doing good in the industry: 68.10% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
EPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.05%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.09%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.05%) for EPM is well above the current ROIC(2.30%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROIC 2.3%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
EPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of EPM (1.33%) is worse than 62.38% of its industry peers.
EPM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
EPM has a Operating Margin of 4.86%. This is in the lower half of the industry: EPM underperforms 65.24% of its industry peers.
EPM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
EPM has a Gross Margin (42.52%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EPM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
EPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

EPM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
EPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
EPM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EPM Yearly Shares OutstandingEPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
EPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.65, we must say that EPM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
EPM has a Altman-Z score of 1.65. This is in the better half of the industry: EPM outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
EPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EPM would need 3.29 years to pay back of all of its debts.
EPM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.29. This is in the better half of the industry: EPM outperforms 75.71% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that EPM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
EPM has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.52) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Altman-Z 1.65
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC8.64%
EPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that EPM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EPM has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 66.19% of its industry peers.
EPM has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that EPM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EPM has a Quick ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
EPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for EPM have decreased strongly by -107.14% in the last year.
EPM shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.42% yearly.
Looking at the last year, EPM shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.04% in the last year.
EPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.74% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-93.27%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
EPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

EPM reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 70.50, the valuation of EPM can be described as expensive.
63.81% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than EPM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
EPM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.01.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 70.5
EPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300

4.2 Price Multiples

EPM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EPM is cheaper than 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
75.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EPM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.82
EV/EBITDA 6.04
EPM Per share dataEPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as EPM's earnings are expected to grow with 29.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

EPM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.48%, which is a nice return.
In the last 3 months the price of EPM has falen by -28.71%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.95. EPM pays more dividend than 96.19% of the companies in the same industry.
EPM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.48%

5.2 History

The dividend of EPM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.26%!
EPM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
EPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
EPM Yearly Dividends per shareEPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

1428.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EPM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of EPM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP1428.93%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M 40M
EPM Dividend Payout.EPM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EPM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP

NYSEARCA:EPM (12/23/2025, 11:40:00 AM)

3.56

+0.01 (+0.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)02-09 2026-02-09
Inst Owners58.04%
Inst Owner Change-2.23%
Ins Owners10.41%
Ins Owner Change5.56%
Market Cap123.50M
Revenue(TTM)85.84M
Net Income(TTM)1.14M
Analysts76.67
Price Target5.18 (45.51%)
Short Float %5.5%
Short Ratio4.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.48%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.26%
DP1428.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date12-15 2025-12-15 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)202.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-485.04%
Max EPS beat(2)890.1%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-10.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-494.06%
Max EPS beat(4)890.1%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.28%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)0%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.41%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.39%
PT rev (1m)-0.81%
PT rev (3m)-0.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)-100%
EPS NY rev (1m)106.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 70.5
P/S 1.44
P/FCF 10.82
P/OCF 3.74
P/B 1.72
P/tB 1.72
EV/EBITDA 6.04
EPS(TTM)-0.01
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.05
Fwd EY1.42%
FCF(TTM)0.33
FCFY9.24%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY26.76%
SpS2.47
BVpS2.07
TBVpS2.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 1.59%
ROCE 3.01%
ROIC 2.3%
ROICexc 2.34%
ROICexgc 2.34%
OM 4.86%
PM (TTM) 1.33%
GM 42.52%
FCFM 13.29%
ROA(3y)10.2%
ROA(5y)6.24%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)11.56%
ROIC(3y)12.05%
ROIC(5y)14.05%
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)15.24%
ROCE(3y)15.75%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-58.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y-16.27%
OM growth 3Y-51.13%
OM growth 5Y-22.27%
PM growth 3Y-64.96%
PM growth 5Y-42.25%
GM growth 3Y-8.4%
GM growth 5Y-4.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 3.29
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 98.4%
Cap/Sales 25.21%
Interest Coverage 1.35
Cash Conversion 126.31%
Profit Quality 997.38%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 1.65
F-Score5
WACC8.64%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)131.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)287.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-107.14%
EPS 3Y-68.61%
EPS 5Y-25.42%
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y-93.27%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.63%
Revenue growth 5Y23.73%
Sales Q2Q%-2.78%
Revenue Next Year-3.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-47.19%
EBIT growth 3Y-54.86%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.82%
EBIT Next Year738.28%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y142.41%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y53.61%
OCF growth 1Y45.42%
OCF growth 3Y-14.27%
OCF growth 5Y21.67%

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP / EPM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to EPM.


What is the valuation status for EPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EPM stock?

EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


How financially healthy is EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP?

The financial health rating of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM) is expected to decline by -93.27% in the next year.