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ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES-CL A (EL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:EL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US5184391044 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

82.97  -0.59 (-0.71%)

After market: 82.97 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

EL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 37 industry peers in the Personal Care Products industry. EL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. EL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EL had positive earnings in the past year.
EL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years EL has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years EL had a positive operating cash flow.
EL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

EL's Return On Assets of 0.95% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EL outperforms 47.22% of its industry peers.
EL has a Return On Equity of 3.99%. This is in the better half of the industry: EL outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
EL has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.33%. This is in the better half of the industry: EL outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EL is below the industry average of 13.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.95%
ROE 3.99%
ROIC 6.33%
ROA(3y)5.84%
ROA(5y)6.89%
ROE(3y)22.7%
ROE(5y)26.57%
ROIC(3y)9.14%
ROIC(5y)9.86%
EL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of EL (1.31%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EL has declined.
EL's Operating Margin of 10.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EL outperforms 69.44% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EL has declined.
EL has a Gross Margin of 72.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: EL outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.36%
PM (TTM) 1.31%
GM 72.29%
OM growth 3Y-18.75%
OM growth 5Y-10.71%
PM growth 3Y-47.93%
PM growth 5Y-26.95%
GM growth 3Y-2.09%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
EL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EL is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, EL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, EL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
EL Yearly Shares OutstandingEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
EL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.03 indicates that EL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
EL has a Altman-Z score (3.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
EL has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.86. This is a neutral value as EL would need 5.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 5.86, EL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
EL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.44. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.44, EL is not doing good in the industry: 86.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.44
Debt/FCF 5.86
Altman-Z 3.03
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC7.84%
EL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that EL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.32, EL is not doing good in the industry: 63.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that EL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of EL (0.90) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.9
EL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 20.09% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, EL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -13.41% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, EL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.44% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, EL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.09%
EPS 3Y-26.13%
EPS 5Y-13.41%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.26%
Revenue growth 5Y0.98%
Sales Q2Q%-4.46%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, EL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.84% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-37.74%
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y12.95%
EPS Next 5Y15.26%
Revenue Next Year-5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.71%
Revenue Next 3Y1.21%
Revenue Next 5Y3.84%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
EL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 31.55 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EL.
EL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.42), we can say EL is valued inline with the index average.
EL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.91.
EL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.39, EL is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.55
Fwd PE 29.91
EL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

EL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EL is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EL is valued a bit cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.34
EV/EBITDA 14.59
EL Per share dataEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

EL's earnings are expected to grow with 12.95% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y12.95%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

EL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.75%.
EL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.93.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, EL is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.75%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of EL grows each year by 9.59%, which is quite nice.
EL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
EL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.59%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
EL Yearly Dividends per shareEL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

468.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of EL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP468.47%
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y12.95%
EL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B
EL Dividend Payout.EL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES-CL A

NYSE:EL (1/28/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 82.97 0 (0%)

82.97

-0.59 (-0.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupHousehold & Personal Products
GICS IndustryPersonal Care Products
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-04 2025-02-04/amc
Inst Owners93.04%
Inst Owner Change-0.5%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change8.63%
Market Cap29.78B
Analysts66.67
Price Target81.45 (-1.83%)
Short Float %3.7%
Short Ratio1.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.75%
Yearly Dividend2.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.59%
DP468.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)88.75%
Min EPS beat(2)43.76%
Max EPS beat(2)133.75%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)81.74%
Min EPS beat(4)43.76%
Max EPS beat(4)133.75%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)97.36%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)68.89%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)59.63%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.43%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.96%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.68%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.26%
PT rev (1m)1.86%
PT rev (3m)-25.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-79.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-46.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.55
Fwd PE 29.91
P/S 1.93
P/FCF 22.34
P/OCF 14.2
P/B 5.86
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.59
EPS(TTM)2.63
EY3.17%
EPS(NY)2.77
Fwd EY3.34%
FCF(TTM)3.71
FCFY4.48%
OCF(TTM)5.84
OCFY7.04%
SpS43.04
BVpS14.16
TBVpS-6.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.95%
ROE 3.99%
ROCE 10.11%
ROIC 6.33%
ROICexc 7.44%
ROICexgc 16.41%
OM 10.36%
PM (TTM) 1.31%
GM 72.29%
FCFM 8.63%
ROA(3y)5.84%
ROA(5y)6.89%
ROE(3y)22.7%
ROE(5y)26.57%
ROIC(3y)9.14%
ROIC(5y)9.86%
ROICexc(3y)12.1%
ROICexc(5y)13.99%
ROICexgc(3y)27.91%
ROICexgc(5y)31.23%
ROCE(3y)14.59%
ROCE(5y)15.74%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-21.07%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-22.32%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.66%
ROICexc growth 5Y-23.4%
OM growth 3Y-18.75%
OM growth 5Y-10.71%
PM growth 3Y-47.93%
PM growth 5Y-26.95%
GM growth 3Y-2.09%
GM growth 5Y-1.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.44
Debt/FCF 5.86
Debt/EBITDA 3.01
Cap/Depr 92.17%
Cap/Sales 4.95%
Interest Coverage 4.4
Cash Conversion 86.3%
Profit Quality 656.65%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.9
Altman-Z 3.03
F-Score6
WACC7.84%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)232.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)179.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.09%
EPS 3Y-26.13%
EPS 5Y-13.41%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y-37.74%
EPS Next 2Y3.28%
EPS Next 3Y12.95%
EPS Next 5Y15.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.26%
Revenue growth 5Y0.98%
Sales Q2Q%-4.46%
Revenue Next Year-5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.71%
Revenue Next 3Y1.21%
Revenue Next 5Y3.84%
EBIT growth 1Y29.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-19.77%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.83%
EBIT Next Year32.63%
EBIT Next 3Y25.5%
EBIT Next 5Y19.51%
FCF growth 1Y-10.18%
FCF growth 3Y-21.63%
FCF growth 5Y-4.06%
OCF growth 1Y-15.1%
OCF growth 3Y-13.38%
OCF growth 5Y-1.28%