ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC (ECPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:ECPG • US2925541029
Current stock price
74.78 USD
+1.02 (+1.38%)
At close:
74.78 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This ECPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ECPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ECPG was profitable.
- ECPG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years ECPG reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- ECPG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of ECPG (4.81%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- ECPG's Return On Equity of 26.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ECPG outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
- ECPG has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.37%) than 74.07% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ECPG is below the industry average of 9.87%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (9.37%) for ECPG is above the 3 year average (6.33%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.81% | ||
| ROE | 26.29% | ||
| ROIC | 9.37% |
ROA(3y)-0.85%
ROA(5y)1.87%
ROE(3y)-4.63%
ROE(5y)6.44%
ROIC(3y)6.33%
ROIC(5y)6.68%
1.3 Margins
- ECPG's Profit Margin of 14.52% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ECPG outperforms 62.96% of its industry peers.
- ECPG's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 35.43%, ECPG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ECPG has remained more or less at the same level.
- ECPG has a better Gross Margin (80.51%) than 74.07% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ECPG has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 35.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.52% | ||
| GM | 80.51% |
OM growth 3Y7.8%
OM growth 5Y0.12%
PM growth 3Y-0.88%
PM growth 5Y0.48%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-0.04%
2. ECPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ECPG is still creating some value.
- ECPG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- ECPG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- ECPG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.22, we must say that ECPG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- ECPG has a Altman-Z score of 1.22. This is in the better half of the industry: ECPG outperforms 70.37% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ECPG is 31.52, which is on the high side as it means it would take ECPG, 31.52 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of ECPG (31.52) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.10 is on the high side and indicates that ECPG has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 4.10, ECPG is not doing good in the industry: 62.96% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC7.75%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.99 indicates that ECPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- ECPG has a Current ratio of 0.99. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ECPG outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that ECPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- ECPG's Quick ratio of 0.99 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ECPG outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.99 |
3. ECPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 117.03% over the past year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, ECPG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.15% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, ECPG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 34.37%.
- Measured over the past years, ECPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.03%
EPS 3Y17.25%
EPS 5Y7.15%
EPS Q2Q%124.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.37%
Revenue growth 3Y10.66%
Revenue growth 5Y3.43%
Sales Q2Q%78.28%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, ECPG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.19% on average per year.
- ECPG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.98%
EPS Next 2Y6.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.54%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. ECPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 6.82, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ECPG.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ECPG is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- ECPG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.91, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.56, the valuation of ECPG can be described as very cheap.
- 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ECPG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.69. ECPG is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ECPG is valued a bit cheaper than 79.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ECPG is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- ECPG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- ECPG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.72
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y6.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. ECPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ECPG!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ECPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
74.78
+1.02 (+1.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryConsumer Finance
Earnings (Last)02-25 2026-02-25/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners107.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.19%
Ins Owner Change2.56%
Market Cap1.60B
Revenue(TTM)1.77B
Net Income(TTM)256.83M
Analysts80
Price Target84.32 (12.76%)
Short Float %5.11%
Short Ratio4.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)63.03%
Min EPS beat(2)57.52%
Max EPS beat(2)68.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)63.52%
Min EPS beat(4)55.86%
Max EPS beat(4)72.16%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)29.83%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)11.81%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.37%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.97%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.05%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.8%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.56%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.79%
PT rev (1m)21.57%
PT rev (3m)37.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.84%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.56 | ||
| P/S | 0.91 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.45 | ||
| P/B | 1.64 | ||
| P/tB | 3.63 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.28 |
EPS(TTM)10.96
EY14.66%
EPS(NY)11.4
Fwd EY15.24%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY7.93%
OCF(TTM)7.16
OCFY9.57%
SpS82.62
BVpS45.62
TBVpS20.57
PEG (NY)1.72
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number106.07
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.81% | ||
| ROE | 26.29% | ||
| ROCE | 12.26% | ||
| ROIC | 9.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.99% | ||
| OM | 35.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.52% | ||
| GM | 80.51% | ||
| FCFM | 7.18% |
ROA(3y)-0.85%
ROA(5y)1.87%
ROE(3y)-4.63%
ROE(5y)6.44%
ROIC(3y)6.33%
ROIC(5y)6.68%
ROICexc(3y)6.57%
ROICexc(5y)6.94%
ROICexgc(3y)7.68%
ROICexgc(5y)8.63%
ROCE(3y)8.29%
ROCE(5y)8.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.53%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.25%
OM growth 3Y7.8%
OM growth 5Y0.12%
PM growth 3Y-0.88%
PM growth 5Y0.48%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-0.04%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 4.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 91.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 23.37% | ||
| Profit Quality | 49.42% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
F-Score8
WACC7.75%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)80.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)117.03%
EPS 3Y17.25%
EPS 5Y7.15%
EPS Q2Q%124.67%
EPS Next Y3.98%
EPS Next 2Y6.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.37%
Revenue growth 3Y10.66%
Revenue growth 5Y3.43%
Sales Q2Q%78.28%
Revenue Next Year5.54%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y116.87%
EBIT growth 3Y19.3%
EBIT growth 5Y3.55%
EBIT Next Year13.39%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-0.18%
FCF growth 3Y-9.89%
FCF growth 5Y-14.53%
OCF growth 1Y-1.9%
OCF growth 3Y-10.08%
OCF growth 5Y-13.31%
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC / ECPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ECPG.
Can you provide the valuation status for ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC (ECPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of ECPG stock?
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC (ECPG) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC (ECPG) is expected to grow by 3.98% in the next year.