ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR (EC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:EC - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US2791581091 - ADR - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, EC scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EC was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EC get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. EC is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
EC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EC (5.22%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 19.50%, EC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.44%, EC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.59% of the companies in the same industry.
EC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.39%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.73%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.22% | ||
| ROE | 19.5% | ||
| ROIC | 9.44% |
ROA(3y)8.16%
ROA(5y)7.1%
ROE(3y)28.1%
ROE(5y)22.2%
ROIC(3y)12.39%
ROIC(5y)10.63%
1.3 Margins
EC has a Profit Margin (11.45%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EC has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 27.55%, EC is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.22% of the companies in the same industry.
EC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 35.80%, EC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.66% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.45% | ||
| GM | 35.8% |
OM growth 3Y32.57%
OM growth 5Y-1.4%
PM growth 3Y58.05%
PM growth 5Y-4.8%
GM growth 3Y15.45%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, EC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, EC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 1 year ago, EC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
EC has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.72. This is a neutral value as EC would need 4.72 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EC (4.72) is better than 62.14% of its industry peers.
EC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.35. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
EC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.35) than 78.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.68 indicates that EC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.68, EC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.50% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.38 indicates that EC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
EC has a Quick ratio of 1.38. This is in the better half of the industry: EC outperforms 65.53% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.38 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for EC have decreased strongly by -29.38% in the last year.
EC shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.53% yearly.
Looking at the last year, EC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -9.89% in the last year.
EC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 16.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.38%
EPS 3Y124.35%
EPS 5Y10.53%
EPS Q2Q%-28.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.89%
Revenue growth 3Y41.95%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%-1.49%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -14.74% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EC is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y-25.62%
EPS Next 2Y-19.11%
EPS Next 3Y-14.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EC's earnings are expected to decrease with -14.74% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-19.11%
EPS Next 3Y-14.74%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.73%, which is a nice return.
EC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.57. EC pays more dividend than 94.17% of the companies in the same industry.
EC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.73% |
5.2 History
The dividend of EC has a limited annual growth rate of 4.70%.
EC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of EC decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.7%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
109.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of EC has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP109.04%
EPS Next 2Y-19.11%
EPS Next 3Y-14.74%
ECOPETROL SA-SPONSORED ADR
NYSE:EC (2/4/2025, 8:04:00 PM)
After market: 9.82 -0.02 (-0.2%)9.84
+0.22 (+2.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners5.57%
Inst Owner Change-2.99%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap20.23B
Analysts47.69
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %6.33%
Short Ratio6.08
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.73% |
Yearly Dividend135.49
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.7%
DP109.04%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.25%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.84%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.66%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-8.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.84%
Max EPS beat(4)1.46%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.61%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.25%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.39%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.54%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-28.21%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-20.72%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | N/A | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)N/A
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpSN/A
BVpSN/A
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.22% | ||
| ROE | 19.5% | ||
| ROCE | 14.36% | ||
| ROIC | 9.44% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.05% | ||
| OM | 27.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.45% | ||
| GM | 35.8% | ||
| FCFM | 18.5% |
ROA(3y)8.16%
ROA(5y)7.1%
ROE(3y)28.1%
ROE(5y)22.2%
ROIC(3y)12.39%
ROIC(5y)10.63%
ROICexc(3y)13.31%
ROICexc(5y)11.43%
ROICexgc(3y)14.7%
ROICexgc(5y)12.32%
ROCE(3y)18.84%
ROCE(5y)16.14%
ROICexcg growth 3Y53.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y49.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.26%
OM growth 3Y32.57%
OM growth 5Y-1.4%
PM growth 3Y58.05%
PM growth 5Y-4.8%
GM growth 3Y15.45%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.72 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 141.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.92 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | 161.59% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)161.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)153.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.38%
EPS 3Y124.35%
EPS 5Y10.53%
EPS Q2Q%-28.21%
EPS Next Y-25.62%
EPS Next 2Y-19.11%
EPS Next 3Y-14.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.89%
Revenue growth 3Y41.95%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%-1.49%
Revenue Next Year-6.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.95%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-23.46%
EBIT growth 3Y88.18%
EBIT growth 5Y14.48%
EBIT Next Year17.21%
EBIT Next 3Y7.42%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y37.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y28.05%
OCF growth 3Y29.17%
OCF growth 5Y-2.43%