ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:EARN • US2885781078
Current stock price
4.49 USD
-0.11 (-2.39%)
At close:
4.4995 USD
+0.01 (+0.21%)
After Hours:
This EARN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EARN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EARN was profitable.
- EARN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EARN reported negative net income in multiple years.
- EARN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 3.56%, EARN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- EARN's Return On Equity of 6.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EARN outperforms 44.21% of its industry peers.
- EARN has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.19%) than 78.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.56% | ||
| ROE | 6.58% | ||
| ROIC | 7.19% |
ROA(3y)-0.53%
ROA(5y)-0.06%
ROE(3y)-6.71%
ROE(5y)-2.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 22.51%, EARN is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- EARN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- EARN has a Operating Margin of 48.72%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EARN outperforms 86.36% of its industry peers.
- EARN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EARN has a better Gross Margin (57.37%) than 65.70% of its industry peers.
- EARN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 48.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.51% | ||
| GM | 57.37% |
OM growth 3Y-43.57%
OM growth 5Y11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-23.61%
GM growth 3Y-38.4%
GM growth 5Y9.83%
2. EARN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The number of shares outstanding for EARN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- EARN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EARN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- EARN has an Altman-Z score of -0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that EARN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.09, EARN is doing worse than 76.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EARN is 0.48, which is an excellent value as it means it would take EARN, only 0.48 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.48, EARN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- EARN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.78. This is a neutral value indicating EARN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of EARN (0.78) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Although EARN's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.09 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.18 indicates that EARN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.18, EARN is doing worse than 87.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- EARN has a Quick Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that EARN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.18, EARN is not doing good in the industry: 87.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.18 |
3. EARN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for EARN have decreased strongly by -67.70% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, EARN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -31.03% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 34.56% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- Measured over the past years, EARN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.60% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-67.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-31.03%
EPS Q2Q%83.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.7%
Revenue growth 5Y2.6%
Sales Q2Q%161.58%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EARN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.31% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.81% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y16.76%
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year24.47%
Revenue Next 2Y16.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. EARN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.47 indicates a correct valuation of EARN.
- EARN's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EARN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say EARN is valued rather cheaply.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 4.19, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of EARN.
- 94.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EARN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. EARN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EARN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EARN is cheaper than 99.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 0.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EARN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. EARN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- EARN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 17.91%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.94, EARN pays a better dividend. On top of this EARN pays more dividend than 90.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, EARN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 17.91% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EARN decreases each year by -5.74%.
- EARN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of EARN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.74%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 74.71% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EARN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP74.71%
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EARN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
4.49
-0.11 (-2.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)03-10 2026-03-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-18 2026-05-18/amc
Inst Owners10.34%
Inst Owner Change-9.15%
Ins Owners0.95%
Ins Owner Change-1.2%
Market Cap168.69M
Revenue(TTM)65.80M
Net Income(TTM)14.81M
Analysts76
Price Target5.87 (30.73%)
Short Float %1.47%
Short Ratio1.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 17.91% |
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.74%
DP74.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.08)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)48.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)97.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)30.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)97.3%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)10.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-30.78%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.38%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.19 | ||
| P/S | 2.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 0.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 0.46 | ||
| P/B | 0.75 | ||
| P/tB | 0.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)1.07
Fwd EY23.85%
FCF(TTM)9.81
FCFY218.51%
OCF(TTM)9.81
OCFY218.51%
SpS1.75
BVpS5.99
TBVpS5.99
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.56% | ||
| ROE | 6.58% | ||
| ROCE | 13.96% | ||
| ROIC | 7.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.22% | ||
| OM | 48.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.51% | ||
| GM | 57.37% | ||
| FCFM | 560.17% |
ROA(3y)-0.53%
ROA(5y)-0.06%
ROE(3y)-6.71%
ROE(5y)-2.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.77%
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y29.4%
OM growth 3Y-43.57%
OM growth 5Y11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-23.61%
GM growth 3Y-38.4%
GM growth 5Y9.83%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | -1.58 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 2488.89% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.09 |
F-Score8
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-67.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-31.03%
EPS Q2Q%83.62%
EPS Next Y16.76%
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.7%
Revenue growth 5Y2.6%
Sales Q2Q%161.58%
Revenue Next Year24.47%
Revenue Next 2Y16.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2161.07%
EBIT growth 3Y-31.89%
EBIT growth 5Y13.89%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y1400.65%
FCF growth 3Y-31.12%
FCF growth 5Y-12.27%
OCF growth 1Y1400.65%
OCF growth 3Y-31.12%
OCF growth 5Y-12.27%
ELLINGTON CREDIT CO / EARN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to EARN.
What is the valuation status of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EARN stock?
ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EARN stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) is 12.47 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.75.
How financially healthy is ELLINGTON CREDIT CO?
The financial health rating of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) is 3 / 10.