ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:EARN • US2885781078

Current stock price

4.63 USD
+0.02 (+0.43%)
At close:
4.62 USD
-0.01 (-0.22%)
After Hours:

This EARN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. EARN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EARN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year EARN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EARN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years EARN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
EARN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEARN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • EARN has a Return On Assets of 3.56%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EARN outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of EARN (6.58%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of EARN (7.19%) is better than 77.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.56%
ROE 6.58%
ROIC 7.19%
ROA(3y)-0.53%
ROA(5y)-0.06%
ROE(3y)-6.71%
ROE(5y)-2.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EARN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEARN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • EARN has a Profit Margin (22.51%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EARN has declined.
  • EARN has a better Operating Margin (48.72%) than 86.25% of its industry peers.
  • EARN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • EARN's Gross Margin of 57.37% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EARN outperforms 65.83% of its industry peers.
  • EARN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 48.72%
PM (TTM) 22.51%
GM 57.37%
OM growth 3Y-43.57%
OM growth 5Y11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-23.61%
GM growth 3Y-38.4%
GM growth 5Y9.83%
EARN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEARN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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3

2. EARN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, EARN has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EARN has more shares outstanding
  • EARN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EARN Yearly Shares OutstandingEARN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
EARN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEARN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • EARN has an Altman-Z score of -0.07. This is a bad value and indicates that EARN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of -0.07, EARN is not doing good in the industry: 75.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • EARN has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.48. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.48 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EARN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.48. This is amongst the best in the industry. EARN outperforms 92.08% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.78 indicates that EARN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • EARN's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EARN outperforms 60.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.78
Debt/FCF 0.48
Altman-Z -0.07
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
EARN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEARN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • EARN has a Current Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that EARN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EARN has a worse Current ratio (0.18) than 89.58% of its industry peers.
  • EARN has a Quick Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that EARN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.18, EARN is not doing good in the industry: 89.58% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.18
Quick Ratio 0.18
EARN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEARN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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5

3. EARN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EARN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -67.70%.
  • Measured over the past years, EARN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -31.03% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 34.56% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.60% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-67.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-31.03%
EPS Q2Q%83.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.7%
Revenue growth 5Y2.6%
Sales Q2Q%161.58%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EARN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.57% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EARN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.40% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0%
EPS Next 2Y8.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.57%
Revenue Next 2Y14.4%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EARN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEARN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
EARN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEARN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

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5

4. EARN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.86, which indicates a correct valuation of EARN.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EARN is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • EARN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.30, the valuation of EARN can be described as very cheap.
  • 95.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EARN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.18, EARN is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.86
Fwd PE 4.3
EARN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEARN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EARN indicates a rather cheap valuation: EARN is cheaper than 98.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 0.47
EV/EBITDA N/A
EARN Per share dataEARN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EARN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EARN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 17.91%, which is a nice return.
  • EARN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.65. EARN pays more dividend than 90.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EARN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 17.91%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EARN decreases each year by -5.74%.
  • EARN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • EARN has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.74%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
EARN Yearly Dividends per shareEARN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • EARN pays out 74.71% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP74.71%
EPS Next 2Y8.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EARN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEARN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M
EARN Dividend Payout.EARN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EARN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EARN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ELLINGTON CREDIT CO

NYSE:EARN (4/14/2026, 6:40:00 PM)

After market: 4.62 -0.01 (-0.22%)

4.63

+0.02 (+0.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)05-18
Inst Owners10.28%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.95%
Ins Owner Change-1.97%
Market Cap173.95M
Revenue(TTM)65.80M
Net Income(TTM)14.81M
Analysts76
Price Target5.61 (21.17%)
Short Float %3%
Short Ratio2.12
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 17.91%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.74%
DP74.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date04-30
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)43.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)96.54%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)29.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)96.54%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.79%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-31.25%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.74%
PT rev (1m)-4.35%
PT rev (3m)-6.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-14.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-14.35%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.86
Fwd PE 4.3
P/S 2.64
P/FCF 0.47
P/OCF 0.47
P/B 0.77
P/tB 0.77
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY7.78%
EPS(NY)1.08
Fwd EY23.24%
FCF(TTM)9.81
FCFY211.9%
OCF(TTM)9.81
OCFY211.9%
SpS1.75
BVpS5.99
TBVpS5.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.97
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.56%
ROE 6.58%
ROCE 13.96%
ROIC 7.19%
ROICexc 7.19%
ROICexgc 7.22%
OM 48.72%
PM (TTM) 22.51%
GM 57.37%
FCFM 560.17%
ROA(3y)-0.53%
ROA(5y)-0.06%
ROE(3y)-6.71%
ROE(5y)-2.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.77%
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y29.4%
OM growth 3Y-43.57%
OM growth 5Y11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-23.61%
GM growth 3Y-38.4%
GM growth 5Y9.83%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.78
Debt/FCF 0.48
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage -1.58
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 2488.89%
Current Ratio 0.18
Quick Ratio 0.18
Altman-Z -0.07
F-Score8
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-67.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-31.03%
EPS Q2Q%83.62%
EPS Next Y0%
EPS Next 2Y8.57%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.7%
Revenue growth 5Y2.6%
Sales Q2Q%161.58%
Revenue Next Year19.57%
Revenue Next 2Y14.4%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2161.07%
EBIT growth 3Y-31.89%
EBIT growth 5Y13.89%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y1400.65%
FCF growth 3Y-31.12%
FCF growth 5Y-12.27%
OCF growth 1Y1400.65%
OCF growth 3Y-31.12%
OCF growth 5Y-12.27%

ELLINGTON CREDIT CO / EARN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EARN.


What is the valuation status of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

The financial health rating of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) is 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) is expected to decline by 0% in the next year.