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DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:DLTR - US2567461080 - Common Stock

95.97 USD
+0.39 (+0.41%)
Last: 10/15/2025, 8:24:49 PM
95.96 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
After Hours: 10/15/2025, 8:24:49 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 39 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of DLTR (-21.90%) is worse than 87.18% of its industry peers.
DLTR's Return On Equity of -81.30% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 89.74% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.76%) than 82.05% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.76%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.9%
ROE -81.3%
ROIC 11.76%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

DLTR's Operating Margin of 9.44% is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 94.87% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 37.52%, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.05% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.44%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 37.52%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
DLTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.24. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
DLTR has a worse Altman-Z score (3.24) than 64.10% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 1.35, which is an excellent value as it means it would take DLTR, only 1.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DLTR's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.35 is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.76. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.76. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DLTR outperforms 41.03% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.76
Debt/FCF 1.35
Altman-Z 3.24
ROIC/WACC1.51
WACC7.81%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

DLTR has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of DLTR (1.04) is worse than 61.54% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of DLTR (0.27) is worse than 79.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.27
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for DLTR have decreased strongly by -10.76% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.24% on average over the past years.
The Revenue for DLTR has decreased by -45.82% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.76%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-14.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-45.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-38.06%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y6.16%
EPS Next 2Y10.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.46%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue Next Year-37.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.29%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.94%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.97, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
DLTR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.53.
DLTR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.78.
79.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.04, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.97
Fwd PE 14.78
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

DLTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DLTR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.67
EV/EBITDA 10.98
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DLTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of DLTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.08
PEG (5Y)8.45
EPS Next 2Y10.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.46%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (10/15/2025, 8:24:49 PM)

After market: 95.96 -0.01 (-0.01%)

95.97

+0.39 (+0.41%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)09-03 2025-09-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)12-02 2025-12-02/bmo
Inst Owners109.24%
Inst Owner Change0.44%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change0.27%
Market Cap19.58B
Analysts70.59
Price Target115.62 (20.48%)
Short Float %8.45%
Short Ratio4.17
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.8%
Min EPS beat(2)2.81%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.02%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.99%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.56%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.24%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.33%
PT rev (1m)2.78%
PT rev (3m)20.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.97
Fwd PE 14.78
P/S 1.17
P/FCF 9.67
P/OCF 6.89
P/B 5.43
P/tB 6.15
EV/EBITDA 10.98
EPS(TTM)5.06
EY5.27%
EPS(NY)6.49
Fwd EY6.77%
FCF(TTM)9.92
FCFY10.34%
OCF(TTM)13.94
OCFY14.52%
SpS82.26
BVpS17.67
TBVpS15.6
PEG (NY)3.08
PEG (5Y)8.45
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.9%
ROE -81.3%
ROCE 16%
ROIC 11.76%
ROICexc 12.59%
ROICexgc 13.17%
OM 9.44%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 37.52%
FCFM 12.06%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.76
Debt/FCF 1.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.4
Cap/Depr 227.77%
Cap/Sales 4.88%
Interest Coverage 11.56
Cash Conversion 146.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.27
Altman-Z 3.24
F-Score5
WACC7.81%
ROIC/WACC1.51
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.76%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-14.93%
EPS Next Y6.16%
EPS Next 2Y10.37%
EPS Next 3Y11.46%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-45.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-38.06%
Revenue Next Year-37.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.29%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.94%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-23%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year38.76%
EBIT Next 3Y17.98%
EBIT Next 5Y12.03%
FCF growth 1Y291.75%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y40.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%