DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:DLTR • US2567461080

Current stock price

103.75 USD
+1.5 (+1.47%)
At close:
103.75 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This DLTR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. DLTR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.52%, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR has a Return On Equity of 34.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 89.19% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.22%) than 78.38% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.14%. This is significantly below the industry average of 34.78%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.14%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(12.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.52%
ROE 34.16%
ROIC 12.22%
ROA(3y)-3.75%
ROA(5y)0.37%
ROE(3y)-18.56%
ROE(5y)-4%
ROIC(3y)11.14%
ROIC(5y)9.93%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.61%, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.56%, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of DLTR (36.40%) is better than 83.78% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.56%
PM (TTM) 6.61%
GM 36.4%
OM growth 3Y-14.36%
OM growth 5Y2.87%
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5Y4.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y3.58%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 -10 20 30

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. DLTR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for DLTR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.51 indicates that DLTR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DLTR's Altman-Z score of 3.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 45.95% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • DLTR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is in the better half of the industry: DLTR outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Although DLTR's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 3.51
ROIC/WACC1.48
WACC8.26%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DLTR has a Current Ratio of 1.07. This is a normal value and indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.07, DLTR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • DLTR has a worse Quick ratio (0.29) than 81.08% of its industry peers.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for DLTR is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.29
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. DLTR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.07%.
  • DLTR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.21% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, DLTR shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 54.32%.
  • Measured over the past years, DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.32% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.07%
EPS 3Y-8.08%
EPS 5Y-0.21%
EPS Q2Q%21.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.32%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-34.06%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.28% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.2%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y12.67%
EPS Next 5Y16.28%
Revenue Next Year6.06%
Revenue Next 2Y5.98%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.39%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. DLTR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.53, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
  • DLTR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • DLTR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.16, DLTR is valued correctly.
  • 70.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • DLTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.53
Fwd PE 15.16
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • DLTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • 78.38% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.62
EV/EBITDA 9.47
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • DLTR has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.83
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y12.67%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. DLTR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for DLTR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

DLTR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (4/24/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 103.75 0 (0%)

103.75

+1.5 (+1.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners110.24%
Inst Owner Change-0.14%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change3.04%
Market Cap20.47B
Revenue(TTM)19.41B
Net Income(TTM)1.28B
Analysts65.29
Price Target126.22 (21.66%)
Short Float %6.62%
Short Ratio4.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.59%
Max EPS beat(2)8.64%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.79%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.22%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.68%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.27%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.41%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.84%
PT rev (3m)3.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.47%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.53
Fwd PE 15.16
P/S 1.05
P/FCF 14.62
P/OCF 8.08
P/B 5.45
P/tB 6.14
EV/EBITDA 9.47
EPS(TTM)5.6
EY5.4%
EPS(NY)6.84
Fwd EY6.6%
FCF(TTM)7.1
FCFY6.84%
OCF(TTM)12.84
OCFY12.38%
SpS98.39
BVpS19.03
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)0.83
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number48.969 (-52.8%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.52%
ROE 34.16%
ROCE 16.24%
ROIC 12.22%
ROICexc 13.14%
ROICexgc 13.75%
OM 8.56%
PM (TTM) 6.61%
GM 36.4%
FCFM 7.21%
ROA(3y)-3.75%
ROA(5y)0.37%
ROE(3y)-18.56%
ROE(5y)-4%
ROIC(3y)11.14%
ROIC(5y)9.93%
ROICexc(3y)12.15%
ROICexc(5y)10.68%
ROICexgc(3y)13.31%
ROICexgc(5y)12.79%
ROCE(3y)14.81%
ROCE(5y)13.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.44%
OM growth 3Y-14.36%
OM growth 5Y2.87%
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5Y4.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y3.58%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.05
Cap/Depr 174.97%
Cap/Sales 5.84%
Interest Coverage 13.25
Cash Conversion 109.69%
Profit Quality 109.16%
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 3.51
F-Score7
WACC8.26%
ROIC/WACC1.48
Cap/Depr(3y)240.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)207.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.68%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.07%
EPS 3Y-8.08%
EPS 5Y-0.21%
EPS Q2Q%21.33%
EPS Next Y22.2%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y12.67%
EPS Next 5Y16.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.32%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-34.06%
Revenue Next Year6.06%
Revenue Next 2Y5.98%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.39%
EBIT growth 1Y6.31%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.51%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.6%
EBIT Next Year52.74%
EBIT Next 3Y18.78%
EBIT Next 5Y14.67%
FCF growth 1Y-10.37%
FCF growth 3Y12.97%
FCF growth 5Y-5.09%
OCF growth 1Y-11.48%
OCF growth 3Y16.21%
OCF growth 5Y-1.38%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for DOLLAR TREE INC?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for DLTR stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for DLTR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is expected to grow by 22.2% in the next year.