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DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:DLTR - US2567461080 - Common Stock

97.45 USD
-1.94 (-1.95%)
Last: 9/12/2025, 8:00:01 PM
98 USD
+0.55 (+0.56%)
Pre-Market: 9/15/2025, 8:04:44 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DLTR against 40 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of DLTR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. DLTR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year DLTR was profitable.
In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -21.90%, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 87.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -81.30%, DLTR is doing worse than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.76%) than 82.50% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is in line with the industry average of 8.47%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.76%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.9%
ROE -81.3%
ROIC 11.76%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

DLTR has a better Operating Margin (9.44%) than 95.00% of its industry peers.
DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of DLTR (37.52%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.44%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 37.52%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.26. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.26, DLTR is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.35. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.35 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR (1.35) is better than 82.50% of its industry peers.
DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.76. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.76, DLTR is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.76
Debt/FCF 1.35
Altman-Z 3.26
ROIC/WACC1.5
WACC7.85%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.04 indicates that DLTR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
DLTR has a worse Current ratio (1.04) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.27 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.27, DLTR is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.27
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.76%.
Measured over the past 5 years, DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.24% on average per year.
The Revenue for DLTR has decreased by -45.82% in the past year. This is quite bad
DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.76%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-14.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-45.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-38.06%

3.2 Future

DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.26% yearly.
DLTR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.23% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.57%
EPS Next 2Y9.87%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-37.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.83%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.23%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8 10

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.26, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
DLTR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
DLTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.15, DLTR is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.73, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.26
Fwd PE 15.15
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
85.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DLTR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.82
EV/EBITDA 11.14
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of DLTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.21
PEG (5Y)8.58
EPS Next 2Y9.87%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for DLTR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (9/12/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

Premarket: 98 +0.55 (+0.56%)

97.45

-1.94 (-1.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)09-03 2025-09-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)12-02 2025-12-02/bmo
Inst Owners109.2%
Inst Owner Change-5.37%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change6.91%
Market Cap19.88B
Analysts72.12
Price Target114.15 (17.14%)
Short Float %7.94%
Short Ratio5.16
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.8%
Min EPS beat(2)2.81%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.02%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.99%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.27%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.56%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.24%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.33%
PT rev (1m)10.74%
PT rev (3m)27.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.41%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.18%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.26
Fwd PE 15.15
P/S 1.18
P/FCF 9.82
P/OCF 6.99
P/B 5.51
P/tB 6.25
EV/EBITDA 11.14
EPS(TTM)5.06
EY5.19%
EPS(NY)6.43
Fwd EY6.6%
FCF(TTM)9.92
FCFY10.18%
OCF(TTM)13.94
OCFY14.3%
SpS82.26
BVpS17.67
TBVpS15.6
PEG (NY)4.21
PEG (5Y)8.58
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.9%
ROE -81.3%
ROCE 16%
ROIC 11.76%
ROICexc 12.59%
ROICexgc 13.17%
OM 9.44%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 37.52%
FCFM 12.06%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.76
Debt/FCF 1.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.4
Cap/Depr 227.77%
Cap/Sales 4.88%
Interest Coverage 11.56
Cash Conversion 146.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.27
Altman-Z 3.26
F-Score5
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC1.5
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.76%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%-14.93%
EPS Next Y4.57%
EPS Next 2Y9.87%
EPS Next 3Y11.22%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-45.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-38.06%
Revenue Next Year-37.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.83%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.23%
EBIT growth 1Y-23%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year38.4%
EBIT Next 3Y18.58%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y291.75%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y40.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%