Logo image of DLTR

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:DLTR - US2567461080 - Common Stock

139.95 USD
-1.26 (-0.89%)
Last: 1/16/2026, 6:32:54 PM
139.95 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/16/2026, 6:32:54 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, DLTR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. DLTR was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • DLTR has a Return On Assets of -21.38%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: DLTR underperforms 89.47% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a worse Return On Equity (-84.27%) than 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.62%, DLTR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 28.32%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (11.62%) for DLTR is above the 3 year average (10.12%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROIC 11.62%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • DLTR has a Operating Margin of 11.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • DLTR has a Gross Margin of 45.09%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • DLTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.41 indicates that DLTR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of DLTR (3.41) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • DLTR's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.90 is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.88, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 60.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Although DLTR does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Altman-Z 3.41
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC8.17%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.96, DLTR is doing worse than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.22 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • DLTR has a worse Quick ratio (0.22) than 86.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for DLTR have decreased strongly by -10.75% in the last year.
  • DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
  • DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -55.28%.
  • Measured over the past years, DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%

3.2 Future

  • DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.49% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue Next Year-36.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.75%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 27.17, the valuation of DLTR can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.47. DLTR is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.57 indicates a rather expensive valuation of DLTR.
  • DLTR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • DLTR is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.26, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.17
Fwd PE 20.57
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • DLTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. DLTR is more expensive than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DLTR is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.29
EV/EBITDA 16.07
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DLTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)12.1
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (1/16/2026, 6:32:54 PM)

After market: 139.95 0 (0%)

139.95

-1.26 (-0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-03
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners115.95%
Inst Owner Change0.21%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap27.83B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target119.67 (-14.49%)
Short Float %8.02%
Short Ratio4.5
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)2.99%
PT rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.17
Fwd PE 20.57
P/S 1.99
P/FCF 17.29
P/OCF 11.71
P/B 8.03
P/tB 9.15
EV/EBITDA 16.07
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY3.68%
EPS(NY)6.8
Fwd EY4.86%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY5.78%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY8.54%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)12.1
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROCE 16.32%
ROIC 11.62%
ROICexc 12.33%
ROICexgc 12.88%
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 286.3%
Cap/Sales 5.49%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 127.67%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 3.41
F-Score4
WACC8.17%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.67%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.75%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.55%
EBIT Next 3Y17.29%
EBIT Next 5Y12.28%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.