123.95 USD
+1.94 (+1.59%)
123.95 USD
0 (0%)
Overall DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated DLTR against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of DLTR (-21.38%) is worse than 86.84% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of DLTR (-84.27%) is worse than 84.21% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.62%, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is in line with the industry average of 8.25%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
1.3 Margins
DLTR has a better Operating Margin (11.41%) than 94.74% of its industry peers.
DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
DLTR's Gross Margin of 45.09% is amongst the best of the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% |
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.18. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
DLTR has a Altman-Z score of 3.18. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DLTR outperforms 42.11% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 1.90, which is an excellent value as it means it would take DLTR, only 1.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DLTR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.90) than 81.58% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.88) which is in line with its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.18 |
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC8.07%
2.3 Liquidity
DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DLTR's Current ratio of 0.96 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 71.05% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.22 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DLTR's Quick ratio of 0.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR is outperformed by 86.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
DLTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.75%.
Measured over the past 5 years, DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.24% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -55.28% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
3.2 Future
DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.27% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, DLTR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -5.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.46%
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue Next Year-36.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.27%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.93%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.07 indicates a rather expensive valuation of DLTR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.57. DLTR is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.96, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as DLTR.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of DLTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DLTR is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DLTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of DLTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.41
PEG (5Y)10.72
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for DLTR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
123.95
+1.94 (+1.59%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.92%
Inst Owner Change7.98%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change0.28%
Market Cap24.65B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target116.19 (-6.26%)
Short Float %9.63%
Short Ratio4.7
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)4.55%
PT rev (3m)1.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.96 | ||
| P/S | 1.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.31 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.37 | ||
| P/B | 7.11 | ||
| P/tB | 8.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.02 |
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)6.54
Fwd EY5.27%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY6.53%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY9.64%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)4.41
PEG (5Y)10.72
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -21.38% | ||
| ROE | -84.27% | ||
| ROCE | 16.32% | ||
| ROIC | 11.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.33% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.88% | ||
| OM | 11.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 45.09% | ||
| FCFM | 11.53% |
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 286.3% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 11.21 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.67% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.18 |
F-Score4
WACC8.07%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y5.46%
EPS Next 2Y10.75%
EPS Next 3Y10.63%
EPS Next 5Y8.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.27%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.93%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.26%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year42.99%
EBIT Next 3Y17.07%
EBIT Next 5Y12.03%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%
DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.
Can you provide the valuation status for DOLLAR TREE INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?
DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for DLTR stock?
The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.