DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:DLTR • US2567461080

Current stock price

98.945 USD
-3.66 (-3.56%)
Last:

This DLTR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. DLTR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • DLTR has a Return On Assets of 9.52%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 83.78% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of DLTR (34.16%) is better than 86.49% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a Return On Invested Capital of 12.22%. This is in the better half of the industry: DLTR outperforms 78.38% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 34.77%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (11.14%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(12.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.52%
ROE 34.16%
ROIC 12.22%
ROA(3y)-3.75%
ROA(5y)0.37%
ROE(3y)-18.56%
ROE(5y)-4%
ROIC(3y)11.14%
ROIC(5y)9.93%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 6.61%, DLTR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of DLTR (8.56%) is better than 91.89% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of DLTR (36.40%) is better than 83.78% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.56%
PM (TTM) 6.61%
GM 36.4%
OM growth 3Y-14.36%
OM growth 5Y2.87%
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5Y4.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y3.58%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 10 -10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. DLTR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has less shares outstanding
  • DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for DLTR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.52 indicates that DLTR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DLTR has a Altman-Z score (3.52) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of DLTR is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take DLTR, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.74, DLTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • DLTR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.65. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DLTR outperforms 45.95% of its industry peers.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 3.52
ROIC/WACC1.49
WACC8.21%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DLTR has a Current Ratio of 1.07. This is a normal value and indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • DLTR's Current ratio of 1.07 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 48.65% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 1.07. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.29, DLTR is doing worse than 81.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for DLTR is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.29
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. DLTR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.07% over the past year.
  • DLTR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.21% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 54.32% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.32% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.07%
EPS 3Y-8.08%
EPS 5Y-0.21%
EPS Q2Q%21.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.32%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-34.06%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.28% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y21.68%
EPS Next 2Y15.97%
EPS Next 3Y14.67%
EPS Next 5Y16.28%
Revenue Next Year6.29%
Revenue Next 2Y5.95%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.39%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

6

4. DLTR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.67, the valuation of DLTR can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. DLTR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.52, which indicates a correct valuation of DLTR.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 70.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.67
Fwd PE 14.52
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • DLTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.05
EV/EBITDA 9.57
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of DLTR may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 14.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.97%
EPS Next 3Y14.67%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. DLTR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

DLTR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (4/10/2026, 10:21:03 AM)

98.945

-3.66 (-3.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners108.95%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change2.99%
Market Cap19.68B
Revenue(TTM)19.41B
Net Income(TTM)1.28B
Analysts65.29
Price Target126.22 (27.57%)
Short Float %6.36%
Short Ratio4.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.59%
Max EPS beat(2)8.64%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.79%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.22%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)0.68%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.27%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.41%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.84%
PT rev (3m)5.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.67
Fwd PE 14.52
P/S 1.01
P/FCF 14.05
P/OCF 7.76
P/B 5.24
P/tB 5.91
EV/EBITDA 9.57
EPS(TTM)5.6
EY5.66%
EPS(NY)6.81
Fwd EY6.89%
FCF(TTM)7.04
FCFY7.12%
OCF(TTM)12.74
OCFY12.88%
SpS97.62
BVpS18.88
TBVpS16.75
PEG (NY)0.81
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number48.78
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.52%
ROE 34.16%
ROCE 16.24%
ROIC 12.22%
ROICexc 13.14%
ROICexgc 13.75%
OM 8.56%
PM (TTM) 6.61%
GM 36.4%
FCFM 7.21%
ROA(3y)-3.75%
ROA(5y)0.37%
ROE(3y)-18.56%
ROE(5y)-4%
ROIC(3y)11.14%
ROIC(5y)9.93%
ROICexc(3y)12.15%
ROICexc(5y)10.68%
ROICexgc(3y)13.31%
ROICexgc(5y)12.79%
ROCE(3y)14.81%
ROCE(5y)13.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.44%
OM growth 3Y-14.36%
OM growth 5Y2.87%
PM growth 3Y-14.26%
PM growth 5Y4.66%
GM growth 3Y-0.99%
GM growth 5Y3.58%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.05
Cap/Depr 174.97%
Cap/Sales 5.84%
Interest Coverage 13.25
Cash Conversion 109.69%
Profit Quality 109.16%
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 3.52
F-Score7
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC1.49
Cap/Depr(3y)240.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)207.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.68%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.07%
EPS 3Y-8.08%
EPS 5Y-0.21%
EPS Q2Q%21.33%
EPS Next Y21.68%
EPS Next 2Y15.97%
EPS Next 3Y14.67%
EPS Next 5Y16.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.32%
Revenue growth 3Y8%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.32%
Sales Q2Q%-34.06%
Revenue Next Year6.29%
Revenue Next 2Y5.95%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.39%
EBIT growth 1Y6.31%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.51%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.6%
EBIT Next Year52.27%
EBIT Next 3Y17.83%
EBIT Next 5Y14.67%
FCF growth 1Y-10.37%
FCF growth 3Y12.97%
FCF growth 5Y-5.09%
OCF growth 1Y-11.48%
OCF growth 3Y16.21%
OCF growth 5Y-1.38%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for DOLLAR TREE INC?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for DLTR stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for DLTR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is expected to grow by 21.68% in the next year.