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DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:DLTR - US2567461080 - Common Stock

139.95 USD
-1.26 (-0.89%)
Last: 1/16/2026, 6:32:54 PM
138.25 USD
-1.7 (-1.21%)
Pre-Market: 1/20/2026, 7:04:47 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

DLTR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. DLTR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. DLTR does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year DLTR was profitable.
  • In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years DLTR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years DLTR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -21.38%, DLTR is not doing good in the industry: 89.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Return On Equity of DLTR (-84.27%) is worse than 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Return On Invested Capital of 11.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DLTR outperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DLTR is significantly below the industry average of 28.30%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROIC 11.62%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • DLTR has a better Operating Margin (11.41%) than 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • DLTR has a better Gross Margin (45.09%) than 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • DLTR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for DLTR is higher compared to a year ago.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.39. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DLTR has a Altman-Z score (3.39) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.90, DLTR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of DLTR (0.88) is worse than 60.53% of its industry peers.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for DLTR, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Altman-Z 3.39
ROIC/WACC1.41
WACC8.23%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • DLTR has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.96, DLTR is doing worse than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.22, DLTR is doing worse than 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for DLTR have decreased strongly by -10.75% in the last year.
  • DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
  • DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -55.28%.
  • Measured over the past years, DLTR shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, DLTR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.76% on average per year.
  • DLTR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.49% yearly.
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue Next Year-36.55%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.97%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 27.17, the valuation of DLTR can be described as expensive.
  • DLTR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • DLTR is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.57 indicates a rather expensive valuation of DLTR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. DLTR is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.17
Fwd PE 20.57
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DLTR indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: DLTR is more expensive than 63.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • DLTR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DLTR is cheaper than 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.29
EV/EBITDA 15.94
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)12.1
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for DLTR!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (1/16/2026, 6:32:54 PM)

Premarket: 138.25 -1.7 (-1.21%)

139.95

-1.26 (-0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-03
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners115.95%
Inst Owner Change0.21%
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap27.83B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts67.88
Price Target121.63 (-13.09%)
Short Float %7.24%
Short Ratio4.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)4.68%
PT rev (3m)5.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.99%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.17
Fwd PE 20.57
P/S 1.99
P/FCF 17.29
P/OCF 11.71
P/B 8.03
P/tB 9.15
EV/EBITDA 15.94
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY3.68%
EPS(NY)6.8
Fwd EY4.86%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY5.78%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY8.54%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)2.85
PEG (5Y)12.1
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROCE 16.32%
ROIC 11.62%
ROICexc 12.33%
ROICexgc 12.88%
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 286.3%
Cap/Sales 5.49%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 127.67%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 3.39
F-Score4
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC1.41
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y9.52%
EPS Next 2Y12.98%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y10.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.55%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.97%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.74%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.55%
EBIT Next 3Y17.29%
EBIT Next 5Y12.28%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 5 / 10.