DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:DLTR • US2567461080

Current stock price

107.46 USD
-4.24 (-3.8%)
At close:
108 USD
+0.54 (+0.5%)
After Hours:

This DLTR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. DLTR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year DLTR was profitable.
  • In the past year DLTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: DLTR reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • DLTR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
DLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDLTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of DLTR (-21.38%) is worse than 89.47% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of DLTR (-84.27%) is worse than 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.62%) than 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.12%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.44%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.12%) for DLTR is below the current ROIC(11.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROIC 11.62%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
DLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDLTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of DLTR (11.41%) is better than 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DLTR has grown nicely.
  • DLTR has a Gross Margin of 45.09%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DLTR outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
DLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDLTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. DLTR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), DLTR is creating some value.
  • DLTR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DLTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DLTR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingDLTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
DLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDLTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • DLTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.06. This indicates that DLTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of DLTR (3.06) is worse than 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • DLTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.90. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.90, DLTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that DLTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • DLTR has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.88) than 60.53% of its industry peers.
  • Although DLTR's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Altman-Z 3.06
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC8.09%
DLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDLTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that DLTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.96, DLTR is doing worse than 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DLTR has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that DLTR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.22, DLTR is doing worse than 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
DLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDLTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. DLTR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for DLTR have decreased strongly by -10.75% in the last year.
  • DLTR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, DLTR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -55.28% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%

3.2 Future

  • DLTR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.72% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, DLTR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.49% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.5%
EPS Next 2Y13.07%
EPS Next 3Y12.21%
EPS Next 5Y13.72%
Revenue Next Year-36.85%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.72%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
DLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B
DLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDLTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. DLTR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.87, DLTR is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of DLTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.70), we can say DLTR is valued inline with the index average.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.77 indicates a correct valuation of DLTR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DLTR is cheaper than 63.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DLTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say DLTR is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.87
Fwd PE 15.77
DLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDLTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • DLTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DLTR is valued a bit cheaper than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.28
EV/EBITDA 12.92
DLTR Per share dataDLTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates DLTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • DLTR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.99
PEG (5Y)9.29
EPS Next 2Y13.07%
EPS Next 3Y12.21%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. DLTR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • DLTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

DLTR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DOLLAR TREE INC

NASDAQ:DLTR (3/13/2026, 8:21:20 PM)

After market: 108 +0.54 (+0.5%)

107.46

-4.24 (-3.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-03
Earnings (Next)06-02
Inst Owners108.95%
Inst Owner Change-6.13%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change-0.14%
Market Cap21.37B
Revenue(TTM)13.96B
Net Income(TTM)-2.92B
Analysts66.47
Price Target127.29 (18.45%)
Short Float %5.85%
Short Ratio3.82
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.72%
Min EPS beat(2)8.64%
Max EPS beat(2)36.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.74%
Max EPS beat(4)36.79%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.13%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.24%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.28%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.27%
PT rev (1m)2.62%
PT rev (3m)9.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.87
Fwd PE 15.77
P/S 1.53
P/FCF 13.28
P/OCF 8.99
P/B 6.17
P/tB 7.02
EV/EBITDA 12.92
EPS(TTM)5.15
EY4.79%
EPS(NY)6.81
Fwd EY6.34%
FCF(TTM)8.09
FCFY7.53%
OCF(TTM)11.95
OCFY11.12%
SpS70.21
BVpS17.42
TBVpS15.3
PEG (NY)1.99
PEG (5Y)9.29
Graham Number44.93
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.38%
ROE -84.27%
ROCE 16.32%
ROIC 11.62%
ROICexc 12.33%
ROICexgc 12.88%
OM 11.41%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.09%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)-4.59%
ROA(5y)-0.23%
ROE(3y)-23.79%
ROE(5y)-7.15%
ROIC(3y)10.12%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)10.93%
ROICexc(5y)10.07%
ROICexgc(3y)13.1%
ROICexgc(5y)13.01%
ROCE(3y)13.36%
ROCE(5y)12.32%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.09%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y9.44%
OM growth 5Y6.07%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.8%
GM growth 5Y3.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 1.9
Debt/EBITDA 1.64
Cap/Depr 286.3%
Cap/Sales 5.49%
Interest Coverage 11.21
Cash Conversion 127.67%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 3.06
F-Score4
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)236.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)196.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.75%
EPS 3Y-2.78%
EPS 5Y2.24%
EPS Q2Q%8.04%
EPS Next Y10.5%
EPS Next 2Y13.07%
EPS Next 3Y12.21%
EPS Next 5Y13.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-55.28%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.59%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.73%
Sales Q2Q%-37.22%
Revenue Next Year-36.85%
Revenue Next 2Y-18.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.72%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.49%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.69%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.01%
EBIT Next Year40.49%
EBIT Next 3Y17.49%
EBIT Next 5Y13.29%
FCF growth 1Y143.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.35%
FCF growth 5Y13.4%
OCF growth 1Y2.85%
OCF growth 3Y25.98%
OCF growth 5Y8.89%

DOLLAR TREE INC / DLTR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for DOLLAR TREE INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DLTR.


What is the valuation status of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) stock?

The financial health rating of DOLLAR TREE INC (DLTR) is 4 / 10.