HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:DINO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US4039491000 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
DINO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of DINO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. DINO has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year DINO was profitable.
DINO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years DINO 4 years were profitable.
DINO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.78%, DINO is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.26% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO has a worse Return On Equity (6.65%) than 63.59% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of DINO (4.83%) is worse than 64.08% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DINO is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.07%) for DINO is well above the current ROIC(4.83%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.78% | ||
| ROE | 6.65% | ||
| ROIC | 4.83% |
ROA(3y)9.71%
ROA(5y)6.04%
ROE(3y)18.83%
ROE(5y)11.54%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.74%, DINO is doing worse than 70.39% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DINO has a worse Operating Margin (2.34%) than 77.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DINO has declined.
The Gross Margin of DINO (14.96%) is worse than 69.42% of its industry peers.
DINO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 14.96% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.42%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-4.41%
GM growth 3Y2.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.17%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
DINO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, DINO has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, DINO has more shares outstanding
DINO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
DINO has an Altman-Z score of 3.53. This indicates that DINO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.53, DINO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.55% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DINO is 2.56, which is a good value as it means it would take DINO, 2.56 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.56, DINO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.82% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.25. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of DINO (0.25) is better than 63.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.25 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.53 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC8.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.81 indicates that DINO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.81, DINO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.90% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that DINO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of DINO (0.90) is worse than 61.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
DINO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -75.32%.
DINO shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.12% yearly.
Looking at the last year, DINO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.45% in the last year.
DINO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75.32%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y8.12%
EPS Q2Q%-87.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.45%
Revenue growth 3Y41.91%
Revenue growth 5Y12.53%
Sales Q2Q%-19.07%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, DINO will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -8.25% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-76.76%
EPS Next 2Y-42.64%
EPS Next 3Y-23.42%
EPS Next 5Y-8.25%
Revenue Next Year-11.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.05%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.81%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.64, DINO is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DINO is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.28. DINO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.57, the valuation of DINO can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DINO is valued a bit cheaper than 62.14% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DINO to the average of the S&P500 Index (91.29), we can say DINO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
DINO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DINO is cheaper than 68.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DINO is valued a bit cheaper than 79.61% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
DINO's earnings are expected to decrease with -23.42% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.56
EPS Next 2Y-42.64%
EPS Next 3Y-23.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
DINO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.43%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.55, DINO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
DINO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.43% |
5.2 History
The dividend of DINO has a limited annual growth rate of 5.11%.
DINO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.11%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
DINO pays out 58.26% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DINO's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP58.26%
EPS Next 2Y-42.64%
EPS Next 3Y-23.42%
HF SINCLAIR CORP
NYSE:DINO (1/30/2025, 4:20:03 PM)
After market: 36.28 0 (0%)36.28
-0.2 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.29%
Inst Owner Change-1.45%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change17.69%
Market Cap6.83B
Analysts73.04
Price Target49.66 (36.88%)
Short Float %5.08%
Short Ratio3.95
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.43% |
Yearly Dividend1.72
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.11%
DP58.26%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)31.99%
Min EPS beat(2)7.35%
Max EPS beat(2)56.64%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)22.19%
Min EPS beat(4)6.4%
Max EPS beat(4)56.64%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.08%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)61.8%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)51.71%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.42%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.53%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)14.5%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)17%
PT rev (1m)-4.26%
PT rev (3m)-12.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.58%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.85%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.57 | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.61 | ||
| P/B | 0.71 | ||
| P/tB | 1.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.96 |
EPS(TTM)2.87
EY7.91%
EPS(NY)3.14
Fwd EY8.64%
FCF(TTM)5.63
FCFY15.53%
OCF(TTM)7.87
OCFY21.7%
SpS195.42
BVpS51.04
TBVpS30.19
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.56
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.78% | ||
| ROE | 6.65% | ||
| ROCE | 6.17% | ||
| ROIC | 4.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.67% | ||
| OM | 2.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.74% | ||
| GM | 14.96% | ||
| FCFM | 2.88% |
ROA(3y)9.71%
ROA(5y)6.04%
ROE(3y)18.83%
ROE(5y)11.54%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.41%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.42%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.68%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.2%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.72%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.42%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-4.41%
GM growth 3Y2.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.25 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.56 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.4 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.56 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | 165.87% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.53 |
F-Score6
WACC8.4%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)97.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.33%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-75.32%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y8.12%
EPS Q2Q%-87.44%
EPS Next Y-76.76%
EPS Next 2Y-42.64%
EPS Next 3Y-23.42%
EPS Next 5Y-8.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.45%
Revenue growth 3Y41.91%
Revenue growth 5Y12.53%
Sales Q2Q%-19.07%
Revenue Next Year-11.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.05%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.81%
EBIT growth 1Y-72.53%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y6.43%
EBIT Next Year-46.07%
EBIT Next 3Y-10.17%
EBIT Next 5Y-2.74%
FCF growth 1Y-42.6%
FCF growth 3Y146.46%
FCF growth 5Y8.99%
OCF growth 1Y-41.45%
OCF growth 3Y71.19%
OCF growth 5Y8.13%