HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:DINO - US4039491000 - Common Stock
54.73 USD
+1.1 (+2.05%)
55.1 USD
+0.37 (+0.68%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to DINO. DINO was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of DINO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. DINO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year DINO was profitable.
DINO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
DINO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
DINO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
DINO has a Return On Assets (2.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 4.11%, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 60.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
DINO has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.01%. This is in the lower half of the industry: DINO underperforms 63.81% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DINO is significantly below the industry average of 21.78%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.20%) for DINO is well above the current ROIC(4.01%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.25% | ||
| ROE | 4.11% | ||
| ROIC | 4.01% |
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.44%, DINO is not doing good in the industry: 60.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DINO has declined.
DINO has a worse Operating Margin (2.61%) than 69.52% of its industry peers.
DINO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DINO has a worse Gross Margin (16.64%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 16.64% |
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DINO is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, DINO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
DINO has an Altman-Z score of 3.09. This indicates that DINO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
DINO's Altman-Z score of 3.09 is amongst the best of the industry. DINO outperforms 81.43% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DINO is 4.22, which is a neutral value as it means it would take DINO, 4.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DINO's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.22 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 67.62% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30 indicates that DINO is not too dependend on debt financing.
DINO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.30. This is in the better half of the industry: DINO outperforms 60.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.09 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.26%
2.3 Liquidity
DINO has a Current Ratio of 1.91. This is a normal value and indicates that DINO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.91, DINO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.97 indicates that DINO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DINO has a Quick ratio (0.97) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for DINO have decreased by -0.70% in the last year.
DINO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -27.46% yearly.
DINO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -26.82%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.32% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.7%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%378.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.82%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%0.61%
3.2 Future
DINO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 56.50% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.21% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y326.28%
EPS Next 2Y109.71%
EPS Next 3Y65.54%
EPS Next 5Y56.5%
Revenue Next Year-6.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.98%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.48%
Revenue Next 5Y0.21%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.20, DINO is valued on the expensive side.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as DINO.
DINO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.70 indicates a correct valuation of DINO.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as DINO.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.68, DINO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
DINO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DINO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.95% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
DINO's earnings are expected to grow with 65.54% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y109.71%
EPS Next 3Y65.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.73%, DINO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
DINO's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.76.
DINO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.73% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of DINO grows each year by 8.09%, which is quite nice.
DINO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.09%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
DINO pays out 97.68% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of DINO is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP97.68%
EPS Next 2Y109.71%
EPS Next 3Y65.54%
54.73
+1.1 (+2.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.89%
Inst Owner Change-1.59%
Ins Owners0.36%
Ins Owner Change-12.83%
Market Cap10.24B
Revenue(TTM)26.90B
Net Income(TTM)388.00M
Analysts74.78
Price Target58.09 (6.14%)
Short Float %4.95%
Short Ratio4.05
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.73% |
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.09%
DP97.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)49.18%
Min EPS beat(2)35.46%
Max EPS beat(2)62.9%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)31.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)62.9%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)26.98%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)20.64%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)54.29%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.91%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.95%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.62%
PT rev (1m)8.42%
PT rev (3m)24.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)51.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)20.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)93.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.7 | ||
| P/S | 0.38 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.77 | ||
| P/B | 1.09 | ||
| P/tB | 1.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.05 |
EPS(TTM)2.85
EY5.21%
EPS(NY)4.31
Fwd EY7.87%
FCF(TTM)3.61
FCFY6.6%
OCF(TTM)6.24
OCFY11.4%
SpS143.81
BVpS50.41
TBVpS29.52
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number56.85
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.25% | ||
| ROE | 4.11% | ||
| ROCE | 4.9% | ||
| ROIC | 4.01% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.52% | ||
| OM | 2.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 16.64% | ||
| FCFM | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.6%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)19.35%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.89%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-32.97%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-32.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-32.02%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.56
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.78 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 54.62% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.82% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.77 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.94% | ||
| Profit Quality | 174.23% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.09 |
F-Score6
WACC8.26%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)62.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.32%
Profit Quality(3y)199.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.7%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%378.43%
EPS Next Y326.28%
EPS Next 2Y109.71%
EPS Next 3Y65.54%
EPS Next 5Y56.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.82%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%0.61%
Revenue Next Year-6.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.98%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.48%
Revenue Next 5Y0.21%
EBIT growth 1Y-18.33%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.67%
EBIT growth 5Y-27.99%
EBIT Next Year467.45%
EBIT Next 3Y86.7%
EBIT Next 5Y52.17%
FCF growth 1Y-74.14%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.6%
OCF growth 1Y-60.86%
OCF growth 3Y39.75%
OCF growth 5Y-6.44%
HF SINCLAIR CORP / DINO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DINO.
What is the valuation status of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) stock?
HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is HF SINCLAIR CORP?
The financial health rating of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) is 5 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) stock?
The dividend rating of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 97.68%.