HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:DINO • US4039491000

Current stock price

57.06 USD
+0.63 (+1.12%)
Last:

This DINO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. DINO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • DINO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year DINO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • DINO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years DINO had a positive operating cash flow.
DINO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDINO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.47%, DINO is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.20% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of DINO (6.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.44%, DINO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DINO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.49%. This is significantly below the industry average of 23.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.47%
ROE 6.24%
ROIC 5.44%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)6.73%
ROE(3y)7.88%
ROE(5y)12.92%
ROIC(3y)6.49%
ROIC(5y)9.65%
DINO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDINO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.13%, DINO is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • DINO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • DINO has a worse Operating Margin (3.45%) than 66.51% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DINO has declined.
  • DINO has a Gross Margin of 17.46%. This is in the lower half of the industry: DINO underperforms 66.99% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 17.46%
OM growth 3Y-31.55%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-34.41%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.71%
GM growth 5Y0.07%
DINO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDINO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15 20

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5

2. DINO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • DINO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DINO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, DINO has more shares outstanding
  • DINO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
DINO Yearly Shares OutstandingDINO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
DINO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDINO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • DINO has an Altman-Z score of 3.27. This indicates that DINO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DINO has a better Altman-Z score (3.27) than 80.86% of its industry peers.
  • DINO has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.30. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as DINO would need 3.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • DINO's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.30 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 74.64% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31 indicates that DINO is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of DINO (0.31) is better than 65.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF 3.3
Altman-Z 3.27
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC7.89%
DINO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDINO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.94 indicates that DINO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • DINO's Current ratio of 1.94 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 74.64% of its industry peers.
  • DINO has a Quick Ratio of 1.94. This is a bad value and indicates that DINO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • DINO's Quick ratio of 0.90 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DINO outperforms 45.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.94
Quick Ratio 0.9
DINO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDINO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. DINO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • DINO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 417.35%, which is quite impressive.
  • DINO shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.94% yearly.
  • The Revenue for DINO has decreased by -24.54% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • DINO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 19.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)417.35%
EPS 3Y-28.94%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%217.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.54%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.07%
Revenue growth 5Y19.16%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, DINO will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.52% on average per year.
  • DINO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.31% yearly.
EPS Next Y-24.06%
EPS Next 2Y-7.85%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5Y4.52%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y1.99%
Revenue Next 3Y2.28%
Revenue Next 5Y2.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
DINO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDINO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10B 20B 30B
DINO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDINO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

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5

4. DINO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.25, the valuation of DINO can be described as reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DINO indicates a rather cheap valuation: DINO is cheaper than 82.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of DINO to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say DINO is valued rather cheaply.
  • DINO is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.82.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DINO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DINO to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.68), we can say DINO is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.25
Fwd PE 14.82
DINO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDINO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DINO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DINO is cheaper than 72.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DINO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.47% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.88
EV/EBITDA 6.56
DINO Per share dataDINO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • DINO's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.41% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.85%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%

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5

5. DINO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.14%, DINO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • DINO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.16.
  • DINO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.14%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of DINO grows each year by 7.47%, which is quite nice.
  • DINO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.47%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
DINO Yearly Dividends per shareDINO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 65.62% of the earnings are spent on dividend by DINO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of DINO is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP65.62%
EPS Next 2Y-7.85%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
DINO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDINO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B
DINO Dividend Payout.DINO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.DINO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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DINO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HF SINCLAIR CORP

NYSE:DINO (4/10/2026, 3:17:07 PM)

57.06

+0.63 (+1.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners88.76%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change-9%
Market Cap10.29B
Revenue(TTM)26.87B
Net Income(TTM)573.00M
Analysts74.78
Price Target60.83 (6.61%)
Short Float %4.01%
Short Ratio2.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.14%
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.47%
DP65.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)98.39%
Min EPS beat(2)35.46%
Max EPS beat(2)161.32%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)74.75%
Min EPS beat(4)35.46%
Max EPS beat(4)161.32%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)44.85%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)35.68%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)66.72%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.14%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.14%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.72%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.72%
PT rev (1m)2.65%
PT rev (3m)-0.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)156.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-88.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.25
Fwd PE 14.82
P/S 0.38
P/FCF 11.88
P/OCF 7.82
P/B 1.12
P/tB 1.96
EV/EBITDA 6.56
EPS(TTM)5.07
EY8.89%
EPS(NY)3.85
Fwd EY6.75%
FCF(TTM)4.8
FCFY8.42%
OCF(TTM)7.29
OCFY12.78%
SpS149.05
BVpS50.95
TBVpS29.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number76.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.47%
ROE 6.24%
ROCE 6.61%
ROIC 5.44%
ROICexc 5.84%
ROICexgc 8.36%
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 17.46%
FCFM 3.22%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)6.73%
ROE(3y)7.88%
ROE(5y)12.92%
ROIC(3y)6.49%
ROIC(5y)9.65%
ROICexc(3y)7.07%
ROICexc(5y)10.6%
ROICexgc(3y)10.03%
ROICexgc(5y)15.05%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)11.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-38.82%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-38.87%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-31.55%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-34.41%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.71%
GM growth 5Y0.07%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.63
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF 3.3
Debt/EBITDA 1.55
Cap/Depr 49.39%
Cap/Sales 1.67%
Interest Coverage 6.67
Cash Conversion 71.62%
Profit Quality 151.13%
Current Ratio 1.94
Quick Ratio 0.9
Altman-Z 3.27
F-Score7
WACC7.89%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)51.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)79.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.06%
Profit Quality(3y)212.64%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)417.35%
EPS 3Y-28.94%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%217.65%
EPS Next Y-24.06%
EPS Next 2Y-7.85%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5Y4.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.54%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.07%
Revenue growth 5Y19.16%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y1.99%
Revenue Next 3Y2.28%
Revenue Next 5Y2.31%
EBIT growth 1Y34.07%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.12%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year61.6%
EBIT Next 3Y19.11%
EBIT Next 5Y13.68%
FCF growth 1Y35.31%
FCF growth 3Y-35.67%
FCF growth 5Y46.64%
OCF growth 1Y18.47%
OCF growth 3Y-29.65%
OCF growth 5Y23.49%

HF SINCLAIR CORP / DINO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for DINO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DINO.


Can you provide the valuation status for HF SINCLAIR CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HF SINCLAIR CORP?

HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is HF SINCLAIR CORP?

The financial health rating of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for DINO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) is expected to decline by -24.06% in the next year.