HF SINCLAIR CORP (DINO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:DINO - US4039491000 - Common Stock
52.71 USD
+1.07 (+2.07%)
52.99 USD
+0.28 (+0.53%)
DINO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While DINO seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. DINO has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year DINO was profitable.
DINO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years DINO 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years DINO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.50%, DINO is doing worse than 69.05% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO's Return On Equity of -0.91% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DINO is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.15%, DINO is doing worse than 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.20%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.90%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.15%) for DINO is well below the 3 year average (12.20%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that DINO had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | ||
| ROE | -0.91% | ||
| ROIC | 0.15% |
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
DINO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DINO has a Operating Margin of 0.10%. This is in the lower half of the industry: DINO underperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
DINO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of DINO (14.26%) is worse than 68.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DINO has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 14.26% |
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
DINO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
DINO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
DINO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for DINO is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.96 indicates that DINO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of DINO (2.96) is better than 79.52% of its industry peers.
DINO has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.83. This is a neutral value as DINO would need 4.83 years to pay back of all of its debts.
DINO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.83. This is in the better half of the industry: DINO outperforms 66.19% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.30 indicates that DINO is not too dependend on debt financing.
DINO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.30. This is in the better half of the industry: DINO outperforms 61.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.96 |
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC8.42%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.82 indicates that DINO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.82, DINO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.86% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO has a Quick Ratio of 1.82. This is a bad value and indicates that DINO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DINO has a Quick ratio of 0.83. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DINO outperforms 43.81% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for DINO have decreased strongly by -85.67% in the last year.
The earnings per share for DINO have been decreasing by -27.46% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, DINO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -30.17% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.32% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-85.67%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%117.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-30.17%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-13.53%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, DINO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 52.11% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y223.8%
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
EPS Next 5Y52.11%
Revenue Next Year-4.44%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 57.29, the valuation of DINO can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DINO is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.19% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.27, DINO is valued quite expensively.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.11 indicates a correct valuation of DINO.
DINO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
DINO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.11 |
4.2 Price Multiples
DINO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. DINO is more expensive than 60.95% of the companies in the same industry.
DINO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.75 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as DINO's earnings are expected to grow with 66.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.87%, DINO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
DINO's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.15.
DINO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.87% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of DINO grows each year by 8.07%, which is quite nice.
DINO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
DINO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of DINO are negative and hence is the payout ratio. DINO will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DINO's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-449.39%
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
52.71
+1.07 (+2.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.03%
Inst Owner Change-3.81%
Ins Owners0.36%
Ins Owner Change-0.94%
Market Cap9.86B
Analysts75.45
Price Target53.58 (1.65%)
Short Float %4.96%
Short Ratio3.53
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.87% |
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.07%
DP-449.39%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)51.1%
Min EPS beat(2)39.31%
Max EPS beat(2)62.9%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)37.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)62.9%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)23.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)18.24%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.2%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.48%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)11.56%
PT rev (1m)4.65%
PT rev (3m)27.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)21.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)52.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)55.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)75.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.41%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.09%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 57.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.11 | ||
| P/S | 0.37 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.26 | ||
| P/B | 1.06 | ||
| P/tB | 1.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.75 |
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY1.75%
EPS(NY)3.74
Fwd EY7.09%
FCF(TTM)3.05
FCFY5.8%
OCF(TTM)5.69
OCFY10.8%
SpS143.58
BVpS49.62
TBVpS28.76
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.5% | ||
| ROE | -0.91% | ||
| ROCE | 0.19% | ||
| ROIC | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.23% | ||
| OM | 0.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 14.26% | ||
| FCFM | 2.13% |
ROA(3y)8.64%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)16.23%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)12.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.6%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)19.35%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.89%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-32.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-32.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y-32.02%
OM growth 3Y-39.29%
OM growth 5Y-34.73%
PM growth 3Y-41.1%
PM growth 5Y-32.62%
GM growth 3Y-6.02%
GM growth 5Y-7.76%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 56.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.84% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.18 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 117.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.96 |
F-Score3
WACC8.42%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)62.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.32%
Profit Quality(3y)199.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-85.67%
EPS 3Y-13.42%
EPS 5Y-27.46%
EPS Q2Q%117.95%
EPS Next Y223.8%
EPS Next 2Y95.26%
EPS Next 3Y66.13%
EPS Next 5Y52.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-30.17%
Revenue growth 3Y15.83%
Revenue growth 5Y10.32%
Sales Q2Q%-13.53%
Revenue Next Year-4.44%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.92%
Revenue Next 5Y0.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-98.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.67%
EBIT growth 5Y-27.99%
EBIT Next Year413.83%
EBIT Next 3Y85.27%
EBIT Next 5Y51.96%
FCF growth 1Y-72.38%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.6%
OCF growth 1Y-56.62%
OCF growth 3Y39.75%
OCF growth 5Y-6.44%