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DHL GROUP (DHL.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:DHL - Deutsche Boerse Ag - DE0005552004 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

43.05  -1.22 (-2.76%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, DHL scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. DHL was compared to 15 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of DHL get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. DHL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally DHL also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year DHL was profitable.
In the past year DHL had a positive cash flow from operations.
DHL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
DHL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
DHL.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDHL.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.81%, DHL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of DHL (14.46%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.56%, DHL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DHL is above the industry average of 7.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 14.46%
ROIC 8.56%
ROA(3y)7.09%
ROA(5y)6.34%
ROE(3y)21.99%
ROE(5y)21.23%
ROIC(3y)11.96%
ROIC(5y)10.58%
DHL.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDHL.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

DHL's Profit Margin of 3.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DHL outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
DHL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.63%, DHL is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
DHL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 49.28%, DHL is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
DHL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.63%
PM (TTM) 3.89%
GM 49.28%
OM growth 3Y-0.15%
OM growth 5Y8.11%
PM growth 3Y0.24%
PM growth 5Y5.93%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y0.17%
DHL.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDHL.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DHL is creating value.
DHL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
DHL.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingDHL.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
DHL.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDHL.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.61 indicates that DHL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
DHL has a better Altman-Z score (2.61) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DHL is 4.45, which is a neutral value as it means it would take DHL, 4.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
DHL's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.45 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DHL outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.80 indicates that DHL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of DHL (0.80) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.8
Debt/FCF 4.45
Altman-Z 2.61
ROIC/WACC1.51
WACC5.66%
DHL.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDHL.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.91 indicates that DHL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.91, DHL is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that DHL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.86, DHL is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.86
DHL.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDHL.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for DHL have decreased by -7.37% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, DHL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.37%
EPS 3Y-11.41%
EPS 5Y6.14%
EPS Q2Q%20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.14%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.16% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
DHL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.43% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y12.16%
EPS Next 5Y10.16%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y3.84%
Revenue Next 3Y5.5%
Revenue Next 5Y4.43%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
DHL.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDHL.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
DHL.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDHL.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.27, the valuation of DHL can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DHL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.35. DHL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
DHL is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.43.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as DHL.
DHL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.27
Fwd PE 13.43
DHL.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDHL.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

DHL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as DHL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.81
EV/EBITDA 6.94
DHL.DE Per share dataDHL.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
DHL's earnings are expected to grow with 12.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.1
PEG (5Y)2.48
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y12.16%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

DHL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.18%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.94, DHL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, DHL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.18%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of DHL grows each year by 10.07%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
DHL.DE Yearly Dividends per shareDHL.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

67.38% of the earnings are spent on dividend by DHL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DHL's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP67.38%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y12.16%
DHL.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDHL.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B
DHL.DE Dividend Payout.DHL.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.DHL.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

DHL GROUP

FRA:DHL (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

43.05

-1.22 (-2.76%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners35.55%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap51.66B
Analysts72.8
Price Target43.15 (0.23%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.18%
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.07%
DP67.38%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.63%
Max EPS beat(2)-4.04%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-4.04%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)1.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.16%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.16%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.75%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.38%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.27
Fwd PE 13.43
P/S 0.62
P/FCF 9.81
P/OCF 6.35
P/B 2.32
P/tB 6.71
EV/EBITDA 6.94
EPS(TTM)2.82
EY6.55%
EPS(NY)3.21
Fwd EY7.45%
FCF(TTM)4.39
FCFY10.19%
OCF(TTM)6.78
OCFY15.75%
SpS69.03
BVpS18.55
TBVpS6.42
PEG (NY)1.1
PEG (5Y)2.48
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 14.46%
ROCE 11.92%
ROIC 8.56%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 14.13%
OM 6.63%
PM (TTM) 3.89%
GM 49.28%
FCFM 6.36%
ROA(3y)7.09%
ROA(5y)6.34%
ROE(3y)21.99%
ROE(5y)21.23%
ROIC(3y)11.96%
ROIC(5y)10.58%
ROICexc(3y)13.72%
ROICexc(5y)12.13%
ROICexgc(3y)20.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.68%
ROCE(3y)16.66%
ROCE(5y)14.73%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-3.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.01%
OM growth 3Y-0.15%
OM growth 5Y8.11%
PM growth 3Y0.24%
PM growth 5Y5.93%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y0.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.8
Debt/FCF 4.45
Debt/EBITDA 1.75
Cap/Depr 61.37%
Cap/Sales 3.47%
Interest Coverage 6.22
Cash Conversion 80.02%
Profit Quality 163.56%
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z 2.61
F-Score6
WACC5.66%
ROIC/WACC1.51
Cap/Depr(3y)89.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)138.37%
Profit Quality(5y)133.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.37%
EPS 3Y-11.41%
EPS 5Y6.14%
EPS Q2Q%20%
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y12%
EPS Next 3Y12.16%
EPS Next 5Y10.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.14%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y3.84%
Revenue Next 3Y5.5%
Revenue Next 5Y4.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.04%
EBIT growth 3Y6.86%
EBIT growth 5Y14.43%
EBIT Next Year65.45%
EBIT Next 3Y23.5%
EBIT Next 5Y15.55%
FCF growth 1Y-20.32%
FCF growth 3Y7.13%
FCF growth 5Y13.54%
OCF growth 1Y-22.28%
OCF growth 3Y6.33%
OCF growth 5Y9.94%