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DEERE & CO (DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:DE - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US2441991054 - Common Stock

463.15  +7.71 (+1.69%)

After market: 463.15 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, DE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. DE was compared to 131 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While DE belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. DE has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year DE was profitable.
In the past year DE had a positive cash flow from operations.
DE had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
DE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

DE's Return On Assets of 6.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. DE outperforms 64.57% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 31.09%, DE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.70% of the companies in the same industry.
DE has a Return On Invested Capital of 12.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: DE outperforms 77.95% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for DE is in line with the industry average of 11.19%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.62%
ROE 31.09%
ROIC 12.29%
ROA(3y)8.1%
ROA(5y)7.01%
ROE(3y)37.65%
ROE(5y)33.31%
ROIC(3y)12.67%
ROIC(5y)11.11%
DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

DE has a Profit Margin of 13.73%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DE outperforms 85.83% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DE has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of DE (24.27%) is better than 95.28% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of DE has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 40.49%, DE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.59% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.27%
PM (TTM) 13.73%
GM 40.49%
OM growth 3Y8.52%
OM growth 5Y11.73%
PM growth 3Y0.43%
PM growth 5Y10.67%
GM growth 3Y8.89%
GM growth 5Y6.87%
DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so DE is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, DE has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, DE has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for DE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
DE Yearly Shares OutstandingDE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of DE is 14.72, which is on the high side as it means it would take DE, 14.72 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of DE (14.72) is worse than 60.63% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.26 is on the high side and indicates that DE has dependencies on debt financing.
DE's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DE is outperformed by 92.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.26
Debt/FCF 14.72
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.36
WACC9.07%
DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that DE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
DE has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: DE underperforms 95.28% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.66 indicates that DE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.66, DE is doing worse than 88.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.66
DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

DE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -26.27%.
DE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 20.90% yearly.
DE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.57%.
DE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.62% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.27%
EPS 3Y10.6%
EPS 5Y20.9%
EPS Q2Q%-45.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.57%
Revenue growth 3Y5.54%
Revenue growth 5Y5.62%
Sales Q2Q%-32.79%

3.2 Future

DE is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.06% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.21% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-21.36%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.88%
EPS Next 5Y6.06%
Revenue Next Year-14.01%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.52%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.21%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10 20 30

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.09, the valuation of DE can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DE is valued a bit cheaper than 74.80% of the companies in the same industry.
DE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.01, the valuation of DE can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DE is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DE to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.44), we can say DE is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.09
Fwd PE 23.01
DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of DE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DE is cheaper than 68.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of DE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.4
EV/EBITDA 11.94
DE Per share dataDE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The excellent profitability rating of DE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.87
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.88%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.48%, DE has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
DE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.65.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, DE is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.48%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of DE grows each year by 14.18%, which is quite nice.
DE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
DE has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.18%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years33
DE Yearly Dividends per shareDE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

DE pays out 22.61% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of DE is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.61%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.88%
DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
DE Dividend Payout.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

DEERE & CO

NYSE:DE (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 463.15 0 (0%)

463.15

+7.71 (+1.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)11-21 2024-11-21/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-13 2025-02-13/amc
Inst Owners79.8%
Inst Owner Change-0.42%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change0.07%
Market Cap125.78B
Analysts75
Price Target476.92 (2.97%)
Short Float %1.97%
Short Ratio4.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.48%
Yearly Dividend5.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.18%
DP22.61%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years33
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.39%
Min EPS beat(2)8.49%
Max EPS beat(2)14.29%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.05%
Min EPS beat(4)5.32%
Max EPS beat(4)16.1%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)12.06%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)9.27%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)13.79%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.98%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.98%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.86%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.01%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.29%
PT rev (1m)1.83%
PT rev (3m)12.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.65%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.09
Fwd PE 23.01
P/S 2.43
P/FCF 28.4
P/OCF 13.63
P/B 5.51
P/tB 7.04
EV/EBITDA 11.94
EPS(TTM)25.6
EY5.53%
EPS(NY)20.13
Fwd EY4.35%
FCF(TTM)16.31
FCFY3.52%
OCF(TTM)33.99
OCFY7.34%
SpS190.42
BVpS84.09
TBVpS65.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.87
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.62%
ROE 31.09%
ROCE 17.73%
ROIC 12.29%
ROICexc 13.54%
ROICexgc 15.21%
OM 24.27%
PM (TTM) 13.73%
GM 40.49%
FCFM 8.56%
ROA(3y)8.1%
ROA(5y)7.01%
ROE(3y)37.65%
ROE(5y)33.31%
ROIC(3y)12.67%
ROIC(5y)11.11%
ROICexc(3y)13.82%
ROICexc(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc(3y)15.19%
ROICexgc(5y)13.56%
ROCE(3y)19.77%
ROCE(5y)16.94%
ROICexcg growth 3Y3.38%
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.46%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.63%
OM growth 3Y8.52%
OM growth 5Y11.73%
PM growth 3Y0.43%
PM growth 5Y10.67%
GM growth 3Y8.89%
GM growth 5Y6.87%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.26
Debt/FCF 14.72
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 226.72%
Cap/Sales 9.29%
Interest Coverage 3.81
Cash Conversion 62.92%
Profit Quality 62.38%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.66
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score6
WACC9.07%
ROIC/WACC1.36
Cap/Depr(3y)216.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)180.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.44%
Profit Quality(3y)38.56%
Profit Quality(5y)75.49%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.27%
EPS 3Y10.6%
EPS 5Y20.9%
EPS Q2Q%-45.31%
EPS Next Y-21.36%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.88%
EPS Next 5Y6.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.57%
Revenue growth 3Y5.54%
Revenue growth 5Y5.62%
Sales Q2Q%-32.79%
Revenue Next Year-14.01%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.52%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.21%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.34%
EBIT growth 3Y14.52%
EBIT growth 5Y18.01%
EBIT Next Year-7.24%
EBIT Next 3Y2.83%
EBIT Next 5Y4.34%
FCF growth 1Y7.47%
FCF growth 3Y-4.88%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y7.47%
OCF growth 3Y6.11%
OCF growth 5Y22.02%