DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:DCO • US2641471097

Current stock price

137 USD
-4.35 (-3.08%)
Last:

This DCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. DCO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year DCO was profitable.
  • In the past year DCO has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • DCO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years DCO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
DCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -2.86%, DCO is not doing good in the industry: 66.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -5.13%, DCO is not doing good in the industry: 63.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.54%, DCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DCO is below the industry average of 9.30%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.30%) for DCO is below the current ROIC(6.54%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.86%
ROE -5.13%
ROIC 6.54%
ROA(3y)0.45%
ROA(5y)3.6%
ROE(3y)0.66%
ROE(5y)7.2%
ROIC(3y)5.3%
ROIC(5y)5.19%
DCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • DCO has a Operating Margin (9.37%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • DCO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • DCO's Gross Margin of 26.87% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. DCO outperforms 56.25% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of DCO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 26.87%
OM growth 3Y12.82%
OM growth 5Y3.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.75%
GM growth 5Y4.18%
DCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

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5

2. DCO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • DCO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for DCO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, DCO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, DCO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
DCO Yearly Shares OutstandingDCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M
DCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.28 indicates that DCO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • DCO has a Altman-Z score of 4.28. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: DCO outperforms 55.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45 indicates that DCO is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.45, DCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 4.28
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC10.02%
DCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • DCO has a Current Ratio of 3.50. This indicates that DCO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of DCO (3.50) is better than 63.75% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.47 indicates that DCO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.47, DCO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.5
Quick Ratio 2.47
DCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. DCO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • DCO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 14.68%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.27% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.85% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.57% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.68%
EPS 3Y4.99%
EPS 5Y8.27%
EPS Q2Q%40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.85%
Revenue growth 3Y4.99%
Revenue growth 5Y5.57%
Sales Q2Q%9.38%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, DCO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.06% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.44% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y15.27%
EPS Next 2Y18.68%
EPS Next 3Y17.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.14%
Revenue Next 2Y7.36%
Revenue Next 3Y7.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
DCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
DCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

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2

4. DCO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 36.53, which means the current valuation is very expensive for DCO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of DCO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: DCO is cheaper than 63.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.38, DCO is valued a bit more expensive.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 31.69, which means the current valuation is very expensive for DCO.
  • DCO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. DCO is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of DCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.20), we can say DCO is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.53
Fwd PE 31.69
DCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 68.75% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than DCO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.44
DCO Per share dataDCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as DCO's earnings are expected to grow with 17.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.39
PEG (5Y)4.42
EPS Next 2Y18.68%
EPS Next 3Y17.06%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. DCO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • DCO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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DCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

DUCOMMUN INC

NYSE:DCO (4/16/2026, 11:03:04 AM)

137

-4.35 (-3.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners93.09%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners4.73%
Ins Owner Change1.97%
Market Cap2.05B
Revenue(TTM)824.73M
Net Income(TTM)-33.94M
Analysts82.22
Price Target146.06 (6.61%)
Short Float %2.95%
Short Ratio2.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.34%
Min EPS beat(2)2.91%
Max EPS beat(2)7.78%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.39%
Min EPS beat(4)2.91%
Max EPS beat(4)16.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)14.51%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)11.58%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)10.41%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.35%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.12%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.38%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.15%
PT rev (1m)10.15%
PT rev (3m)32.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.53
Fwd PE 31.69
P/S 2.49
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.1
P/tB 7.21
EV/EBITDA 21.44
EPS(TTM)3.75
EY2.74%
EPS(NY)4.32
Fwd EY3.16%
FCF(TTM)-3.25
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.23
OCFYN/A
SpS55.02
BVpS44.17
TBVpS18.99
PEG (NY)2.39
PEG (5Y)4.42
Graham Number61.048 (-55.44%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.86%
ROE -5.13%
ROCE 7.67%
ROIC 6.54%
ROICexc 6.85%
ROICexgc 11.28%
OM 9.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 26.87%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.45%
ROA(5y)3.6%
ROE(3y)0.66%
ROE(5y)7.2%
ROIC(3y)5.3%
ROIC(5y)5.19%
ROICexc(3y)5.54%
ROICexc(5y)5.5%
ROICexgc(3y)9.61%
ROICexgc(5y)9.7%
ROCE(3y)6.21%
ROCE(5y)6.08%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.18%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y10.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.02%
OM growth 3Y12.82%
OM growth 5Y3.88%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.75%
GM growth 5Y4.18%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.69
Cap/Depr 45.27%
Cap/Sales 1.85%
Interest Coverage 6.98
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.5
Quick Ratio 2.47
Altman-Z 4.28
F-Score4
WACC10.02%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)166.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)173.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.68%
EPS 3Y4.99%
EPS 5Y8.27%
EPS Q2Q%40%
EPS Next Y15.27%
EPS Next 2Y18.68%
EPS Next 3Y17.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.85%
Revenue growth 3Y4.99%
Revenue growth 5Y5.57%
Sales Q2Q%9.38%
Revenue Next Year6.14%
Revenue Next 2Y7.36%
Revenue Next 3Y7.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y29.02%
EBIT growth 3Y18.45%
EBIT growth 5Y9.66%
EBIT Next Year84.81%
EBIT Next 3Y32.65%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-342.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-197.73%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

DUCOMMUN INC / DCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to DCO.


What is the valuation status for DCO stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to DUCOMMUN INC (DCO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) stock?

DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for DCO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of DUCOMMUN INC (DCO) is expected to grow by 15.27% in the next year.