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DELTA AIR LINES INC (DAL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:DAL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US2473617023 - Common Stock

68.34  +2.52 (+3.83%)

After market: 69.62 +1.28 (+1.87%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall DAL gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated DAL against 23 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. There are concerns on the financial health of DAL while its profitability can be described as average. DAL has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year DAL was profitable.
In the past year DAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years DAL 4 years were profitable.
DAL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
DAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFDAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

DAL has a Return On Assets of 4.59%. This is amongst the best in the industry. DAL outperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 22.64%, DAL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
DAL has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.64%) than 78.26% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for DAL is in line with the industry average of 9.04%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.73%) for DAL is below the current ROIC(9.64%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.59%
ROE 22.64%
ROIC 9.64%
ROA(3y)4.22%
ROA(5y)-0.83%
ROE(3y)28.06%
ROE(5y)-143.2%
ROIC(3y)8.73%
ROIC(5y)N/A
DAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICDAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600 -800

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of DAL (5.61%) is better than 82.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of DAL has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 9.73%, DAL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
DAL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
DAL has a Gross Margin (50.29%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
DAL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.73%
PM (TTM) 5.61%
GM 50.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.25%
PM growth 3Y81.6%
PM growth 5Y-11.17%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
DAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsDAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

DAL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for DAL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, DAL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, DAL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
DAL Yearly Shares OutstandingDAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
DAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsDAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of DAL is 5.61, which is a neutral value as it means it would take DAL, 5.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 5.61, DAL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
DAL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92. This is a neutral value indicating DAL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
DAL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.92. This is in the better half of the industry: DAL outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 5.61
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.2
WACC8.02%
DAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFDAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

DAL has a Current Ratio of 0.37. This is a bad value and indicates that DAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
DAL's Current ratio of 0.37 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. DAL is outperformed by 78.26% of its industry peers.
DAL has a Quick Ratio of 0.37. This is a bad value and indicates that DAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.32, DAL is doing worse than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.37
Quick Ratio 0.32
DAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesDAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for DAL have decreased by -1.28% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, DAL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.42% on average per year.
DAL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.19%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.57% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.28%
EPS 3Y129.73%
EPS 5Y-3.42%
EPS Q2Q%44.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y27.27%
Revenue growth 5Y5.57%
Sales Q2Q%13.89%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.72% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y17.93%
EPS Next 2Y14.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.71%
EPS Next 5Y2.72%
Revenue Next Year6.47%
Revenue Next 2Y5.98%
Revenue Next 3Y4.65%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
DAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesDAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 20B 40B 60B
DAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesDAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 5 -5 -10

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.09, the valuation of DAL can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, DAL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.29, DAL is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.41, the valuation of DAL can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, DAL is valued a bit cheaper than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
DAL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.09
Fwd PE 9.41
DAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsDAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, DAL is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, DAL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.27
EV/EBITDA 6.53
DAL Per share dataDAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of DAL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.71%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.91%, DAL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.58, DAL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, DAL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.91%

5.2 History

The dividend of DAL decreases each year by -17.64%.
DAL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
DAL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-17.64%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
DAL Yearly Dividends per shareDAL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2024 0.5 1

5.3 Sustainability

DAL pays out 9.26% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP9.26%
EPS Next 2Y14.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.71%
DAL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendDAL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5B -10B
DAL Dividend Payout.DAL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.DAL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

DELTA AIR LINES INC

NYSE:DAL (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 69.62 +1.28 (+1.87%)

68.34

+2.52 (+3.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)01-10 2025-01-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners78.22%
Inst Owner Change-0.14%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-7.67%
Market Cap44.10B
Analysts85.19
Price Target77.7 (13.7%)
Short Float %5.84%
Short Ratio4.63
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.91%
Yearly Dividend0.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)-17.64%
DP9.26%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.51%
Max EPS beat(2)4.73%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.51%
Max EPS beat(4)22.18%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.52%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.89%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)10.73%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.71%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.52%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.71%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.1%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.58%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.7%
PT rev (1m)2.35%
PT rev (3m)26.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.09
Fwd PE 9.41
P/S 0.72
P/FCF 15.27
P/OCF 5.49
P/B 2.89
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.53
EPS(TTM)6.16
EY9.01%
EPS(NY)7.26
Fwd EY10.63%
FCF(TTM)4.47
FCFY6.55%
OCF(TTM)12.44
OCFY18.2%
SpS95.53
BVpS23.66
TBVpS-0.71
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.59%
ROE 22.64%
ROCE 12.33%
ROIC 9.64%
ROICexc 10.29%
ROICexgc 15.71%
OM 9.73%
PM (TTM) 5.61%
GM 50.29%
FCFM 4.68%
ROA(3y)4.22%
ROA(5y)-0.83%
ROE(3y)28.06%
ROE(5y)-143.2%
ROIC(3y)8.73%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)15.09%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.16%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.92%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.25%
PM growth 3Y81.6%
PM growth 5Y-11.17%
GM growth 3Y9.2%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 5.61
Debt/EBITDA 1.65
Cap/Depr 204.5%
Cap/Sales 8.34%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 94.33%
Profit Quality 83.51%
Current Ratio 0.37
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.02%
ROIC/WACC1.2
Cap/Depr(3y)244.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)195.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.03%
Cap/Sales(5y)10.41%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.28%
EPS 3Y129.73%
EPS 5Y-3.42%
EPS Q2Q%44.53%
EPS Next Y17.93%
EPS Next 2Y14.86%
EPS Next 3Y9.71%
EPS Next 5Y2.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.19%
Revenue growth 3Y27.27%
Revenue growth 5Y5.57%
Sales Q2Q%13.89%
Revenue Next Year6.47%
Revenue Next 2Y5.98%
Revenue Next 3Y4.65%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.09%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-2.08%
EBIT Next Year62.58%
EBIT Next 3Y20.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y153.02%
FCF growth 3Y453.77%
FCF growth 5Y-3.72%
OCF growth 1Y24.16%
OCF growth 3Y34.97%
OCF growth 5Y-0.97%