CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CYD • BMG210821051

Current stock price

40.14 USD
-1.07 (-2.6%)
Last:

This CYD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. CYD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CYD was profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CYD has always been profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years CYD 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CYD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCYD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.66%, CYD is doing worse than 61.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 4.89%, CYD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.51% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.34%, CYD is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CYD is significantly below the industry average of 10.06%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (4.34%) for CYD is above the 3 year average (2.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.66%
ROE 4.89%
ROIC 4.34%
ROA(3y)1.07%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)3.64%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.19%
CYD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCYD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

  • CYD has a Profit Margin of 1.98%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CYD underperforms 61.07% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CYD has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of CYD (3.45%) is worse than 65.65% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CYD has declined.
  • CYD has a worse Gross Margin (12.93%) than 87.02% of its industry peers.
  • CYD's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 1.98%
GM 12.93%
OM growth 3Y0.63%
OM growth 5Y-14.1%
PM growth 3Y9.61%
PM growth 5Y-12.85%
GM growth 3Y2%
GM growth 5Y-3.1%
CYD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCYD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. CYD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CYD is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CYD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CYD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CYD has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CYD Yearly Shares OutstandingCYD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
CYD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCYD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • CYD has an Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is not the best score and indicates that CYD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CYD's Altman-Z score of 1.97 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CYD is outperformed by 64.89% of its industry peers.
  • CYD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CYD (0.07) is better than 80.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.97
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC7.4%
CYD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCYD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.55 indicates that CYD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CYD (1.55) is worse than 70.99% of its industry peers.
  • CYD has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that CYD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CYD has a Quick ratio (1.20) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.55
Quick Ratio 1.2
CYD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCYD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. CYD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 40.42% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CYD shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -11.05% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.99% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, CYD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.21% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)40.42%
EPS 3Y7.17%
EPS 5Y-11.05%
EPS Q2Q%65.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.46%
Revenue growth 5Y1.21%
Sales Q2Q%33.96%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CYD will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 28.68% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CYD will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 13.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y74.2%
EPS Next 2Y42.06%
EPS Next 3Y32.46%
EPS Next 5Y28.68%
Revenue Next Year32.42%
Revenue Next 2Y18.68%
Revenue Next 3Y15.24%
Revenue Next 5Y13.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CYD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCYD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B
CYD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCYD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15 20 25

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5

4. CYD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.94, the valuation of CYD can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CYD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CYD to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.77), we can say CYD is valued inline with the index average.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.82, CYD is valued correctly.
  • CYD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CYD is cheaper than 87.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.75, CYD is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.94
Fwd PE 13.82
CYD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCYD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CYD indicates a rather cheap valuation: CYD is cheaper than 91.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.78
CYD Per share dataCYD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CYD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CYD's earnings are expected to grow with 32.46% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.06%
EPS Next 3Y32.46%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. CYD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CYD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.17%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.13, CYD pays a better dividend. On top of this CYD pays more dividend than 89.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, CYD has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.17%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CYD decreases each year by -15.59%.
  • CYD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of CYD decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.59%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
CYD Yearly Dividends per shareCYD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y42.06%
EPS Next 3Y32.46%
CYD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCYD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

More info and screens

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CYD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD

NYSE:CYD (5/1/2026, 1:15:51 PM)

40.14

-1.07 (-2.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Industry StrengthN/A
Industry GrowthN/A
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)08-06
Inst Owners23.18%
Inst Owner Change0.61%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.51B
Revenue(TTM)22.63B
Net Income(TTM)448.51M
Analysts80
Price Target56.36 (40.41%)
Short Float %2.73%
Short Ratio1.69
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.17%
Yearly Dividend0.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.59%
DPN/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)6.25%
PT rev (3m)27.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.94
Fwd PE 13.82
P/S 0.45
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.12
P/tB 1.42
EV/EBITDA 8.78
EPS(TTM)1.75
EY4.36%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY7.24%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS88.34
BVpS35.77
TBVpS28.26
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number37.5289 (-6.5%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.66%
ROE 4.89%
ROCE 5.66%
ROIC 4.34%
ROICexc 4.34%
ROICexgc 5.04%
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 1.98%
GM 12.93%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.07%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)3.02%
ROE(5y)3.64%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.19%
ROICexc(3y)2.75%
ROICexc(5y)4.91%
ROICexgc(3y)3.37%
ROICexgc(5y)6.19%
ROCE(3y)3.02%
ROCE(5y)4.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-24.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-20.29%
ROICexc growth 3Y-21.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.81%
OM growth 3Y0.63%
OM growth 5Y-14.1%
PM growth 3Y9.61%
PM growth 5Y-12.85%
GM growth 3Y2%
GM growth 5Y-3.1%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.45
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.55
Quick Ratio 1.2
Altman-Z 1.97
F-ScoreN/A
WACC7.4%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)51.74%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.67%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.28%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)40.42%
EPS 3Y7.17%
EPS 5Y-11.05%
EPS Q2Q%65.75%
EPS Next Y74.2%
EPS Next 2Y42.06%
EPS Next 3Y32.46%
EPS Next 5Y28.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.46%
Revenue growth 5Y1.21%
Sales Q2Q%33.96%
Revenue Next Year32.42%
Revenue Next 2Y18.68%
Revenue Next 3Y15.24%
Revenue Next 5Y13.38%
EBIT growth 1Y18.65%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.85%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.06%
EBIT Next Year174.36%
EBIT Next 3Y52.19%
EBIT Next 5Y39.86%
FCF growth 1Y-57.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-12.85%
OCF growth 1Y-36.43%
OCF growth 3Y15.6%
OCF growth 5Y-13.21%

CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD / CYD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CYD.


What is the valuation status for CYD stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CYD stock?

CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the financial health of CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD) stock?

The financial health rating of CHINA YUCHAI INTL LTD (CYD) is 4 / 10.