CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CWST • US1474481041

Current stock price

76.06 USD
-1.95 (-2.5%)
At close:
76.06 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CWST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CWST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CWST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CWST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CWST has been profitable.
  • CWST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.24%, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST's Return On Equity of 0.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CWST (1.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CWST is significantly below the industry average of 10.18%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROIC 1.82%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CWST has a Profit Margin (0.43%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CWST's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of CWST (4.78%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CWST has declined.
  • CWST has a Gross Margin (33.77%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CWST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. CWST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CWST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CWST has more shares outstanding
  • CWST has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CWST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CWST has an Altman-Z score of 2.29. This is not the best score and indicates that CWST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CWST (2.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CWST has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CWST would need 13.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CWST has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.74) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 indicates that CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.72, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Altman-Z 2.29
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC8.36%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CWST has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that CWST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CWST's Current ratio of 1.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CWST is outperformed by 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CWST has a Quick ratio (1.17) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. CWST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CWST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.70%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.11% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.95%.
  • Measured over the past years, CWST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.85% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CWST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.26% on average per year.
  • CWST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year7.89%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y7.91%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2

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2

4. CWST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 59.89, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CWST.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.50. CWST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 63.25, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CWST to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.67), we can say CWST is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 59.89
Fwd PE 63.25
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CWST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • CWST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.48
EV/EBITDA 14.85
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 22.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.39
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CWST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CWST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CWST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (3/24/2026, 8:23:17 PM)

After market: 76.06 0 (0%)

76.06

-1.95 (-2.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners126.41%
Inst Owner Change6.16%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change2.82%
Market Cap4.83B
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)7.87M
Analysts81.11
Price Target119.05 (56.52%)
Short Float %5.82%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.4%
Min EPS beat(2)25.96%
Max EPS beat(2)28.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.11%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)98.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)42.46%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 59.89
Fwd PE 63.25
P/S 2.63
P/FCF 57.48
P/OCF 14.65
P/B 3.08
P/tB 30.61
EV/EBITDA 14.85
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY1.67%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY1.58%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.74%
OCF(TTM)5.19
OCFY6.83%
SpS28.92
BVpS24.7
TBVpS2.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.39
Graham Number26.57
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROCE 2.92%
ROIC 1.82%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 3.71%
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
FCFM 4.57%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.09%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)3.73%
ROCE(5y)5.34%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.89%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 80.09%
Cap/Sales 13.38%
Interest Coverage 1.49
Cash Conversion 83.56%
Profit Quality 1067.63%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 2.29
F-Score4
WACC8.36%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)85.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.93%
Profit Quality(3y)650.19%
Profit Quality(5y)451.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
Revenue Next Year7.89%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y7.91%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.92%
EBIT growth 5Y5.98%
EBIT Next Year217.33%
EBIT Next 3Y55.75%
EBIT Next 5Y36.08%
FCF growth 1Y7.94%
FCF growth 3Y-0.88%
FCF growth 5Y21.45%
OCF growth 1Y17.21%
OCF growth 3Y14.92%
OCF growth 5Y18.71%

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A / CWST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CWST.


What is the valuation status of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CWST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is expected to decline by -5.32% in the next year.