CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CWST • US1474481041

Current stock price

87.985 USD
-0.47 (-0.54%)
Last:

This CWST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CWST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CWST was profitable.
  • In the past year CWST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years CWST has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CWST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CWST (0.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of CWST (0.50%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CWST's Return On Invested Capital of 1.82% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 43.90% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CWST is significantly below the industry average of 10.58%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROIC 1.82%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CWST has a Profit Margin (0.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CWST has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 4.78%, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CWST's Gross Margin of 33.77% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CWST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

3

2. CWST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CWST is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CWST has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CWST has more shares outstanding
  • CWST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CWST has an Altman-Z score of 2.56. This is not the best score and indicates that CWST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CWST (2.56) is better than 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • CWST has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CWST would need 13.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 13.74, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72. This is a neutral value indicating CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CWST has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.72) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Altman-Z 2.56
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.95%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CWST has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that CWST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CWST has a worse Current ratio (1.26) than 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • CWST has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that CWST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.17, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

7

3. CWST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CWST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.70%, which is quite impressive.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.11% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CWST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.95% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 18.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CWST will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year7.79%
Revenue Next 2Y7.13%
Revenue Next 3Y7.43%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2

2

4. CWST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 69.28, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.96, CWST is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 73.17, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, CWST is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 69.28
Fwd PE 73.17
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CWST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • CWST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 66.5
EV/EBITDA 16.85
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 22.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.54
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%

0

5. CWST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CWST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CWST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (3/17/2026, 2:02:23 PM)

87.985

-0.47 (-0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners126.41%
Inst Owner Change6.16%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change1.6%
Market Cap5.59B
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)7.87M
Analysts81.11
Price Target119.05 (35.31%)
Short Float %5.82%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.4%
Min EPS beat(2)25.96%
Max EPS beat(2)28.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.11%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)98.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)42.46%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 69.28
Fwd PE 73.17
P/S 3.04
P/FCF 66.5
P/OCF 16.94
P/B 3.56
P/tB 35.41
EV/EBITDA 16.85
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY1.44%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY1.37%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.5%
OCF(TTM)5.19
OCFY5.9%
SpS28.92
BVpS24.7
TBVpS2.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.54
Graham Number26.57
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROCE 2.92%
ROIC 1.82%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 3.71%
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
FCFM 4.57%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.09%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)3.73%
ROCE(5y)5.34%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.89%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 80.09%
Cap/Sales 13.38%
Interest Coverage 1.49
Cash Conversion 83.56%
Profit Quality 1067.63%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 2.56
F-Score4
WACC7.95%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)85.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.93%
Profit Quality(3y)650.19%
Profit Quality(5y)451.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
Revenue Next Year7.79%
Revenue Next 2Y7.13%
Revenue Next 3Y7.43%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.92%
EBIT growth 5Y5.98%
EBIT Next Year217.33%
EBIT Next 3Y55.75%
EBIT Next 5Y36.08%
FCF growth 1Y7.94%
FCF growth 3Y-0.88%
FCF growth 5Y21.45%
OCF growth 1Y17.21%
OCF growth 3Y14.92%
OCF growth 5Y18.71%

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A / CWST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CWST.


What is the valuation status of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CWST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is expected to decline by -5.32% in the next year.