CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CWST • US1474481041

Current stock price

82.32 USD
-1.94 (-2.3%)
Last:

This CWST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CWST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CWST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CWST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CWST had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CWST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.24%, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST has a Return On Equity of 0.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CWST outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
  • CWST has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.82%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CWST outperforms 43.90% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CWST is significantly below the industry average of 10.58%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROIC 1.82%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CWST has a Profit Margin (0.43%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CWST has declined.
  • CWST has a Operating Margin (4.78%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CWST has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 33.77%, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. CWST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CWST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • CWST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • CWST has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CWST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.47 indicates that CWST is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CWST's Altman-Z score of 2.47 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 56.10% of its industry peers.
  • CWST has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CWST would need 13.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CWST's Debt to FCF ratio of 13.74 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 56.10% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 indicates that CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CWST has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.72) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Altman-Z 2.47
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.9%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.26 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CWST (1.26) is worse than 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.17, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. CWST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CWST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.70%, which is quite impressive.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.11% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CWST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.95% in the last year.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.85% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CWST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.26% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.32% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year7.79%
Revenue Next 2Y7.13%
Revenue Next 3Y7.43%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2

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2

4. CWST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 64.82, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.73.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 68.46, the valuation of CWST can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CWST is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • CWST is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.72, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 64.82
Fwd PE 68.46
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CWST.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CWST.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 62.22
EV/EBITDA 16.17
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 22.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.99
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CWST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CWST does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CWST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (3/20/2026, 11:02:27 AM)

82.32

-1.94 (-2.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners126.41%
Inst Owner Change6.16%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change1.6%
Market Cap5.23B
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)7.87M
Analysts81.11
Price Target119.05 (44.62%)
Short Float %5.82%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.4%
Min EPS beat(2)25.96%
Max EPS beat(2)28.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.11%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)98.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)42.46%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 64.82
Fwd PE 68.46
P/S 2.85
P/FCF 62.22
P/OCF 15.85
P/B 3.33
P/tB 33.13
EV/EBITDA 16.17
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY1.54%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY1.46%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.61%
OCF(TTM)5.19
OCFY6.31%
SpS28.92
BVpS24.7
TBVpS2.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.99
Graham Number26.57
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROCE 2.92%
ROIC 1.82%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 3.71%
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
FCFM 4.57%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.09%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)3.73%
ROCE(5y)5.34%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.89%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 80.09%
Cap/Sales 13.38%
Interest Coverage 1.49
Cash Conversion 83.56%
Profit Quality 1067.63%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 2.47
F-Score4
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)85.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.93%
Profit Quality(3y)650.19%
Profit Quality(5y)451.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
Revenue Next Year7.79%
Revenue Next 2Y7.13%
Revenue Next 3Y7.43%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.92%
EBIT growth 5Y5.98%
EBIT Next Year217.33%
EBIT Next 3Y55.75%
EBIT Next 5Y36.08%
FCF growth 1Y7.94%
FCF growth 3Y-0.88%
FCF growth 5Y21.45%
OCF growth 1Y17.21%
OCF growth 3Y14.92%
OCF growth 5Y18.71%

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A / CWST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CWST.


What is the valuation status of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CWST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is expected to decline by -5.32% in the next year.