CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CWST • US1474481041

Current stock price

76.06 USD
-1.95 (-2.5%)
At close:
76.06 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CWST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CWST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CWST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CWST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years CWST has always been profitable.
  • CWST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • CWST has a Return On Assets (0.24%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CWST's Return On Equity of 0.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CWST (1.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CWST is significantly below the industry average of 10.18%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROIC 1.82%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CWST (0.43%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CWST's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.78%, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CWST has a Gross Margin of 33.77%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CWST outperforms 52.44% of its industry peers.
  • CWST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. CWST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CWST is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CWST has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CWST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CWST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.33 indicates that CWST is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CWST has a Altman-Z score of 2.33. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CWST outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
  • CWST has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CWST would need 13.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CWST has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.74) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 indicates that CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CWST has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.72) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Altman-Z 2.33
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC8.31%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.26 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CWST has a Current ratio of 1.26. This is in the lower half of the industry: CWST underperforms 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CWST has a Quick ratio (1.17) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. CWST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 42.70% over the past year.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.11% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.95% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 18.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CWST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.26% on average per year.
  • CWST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year7.89%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y7.91%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2

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2

4. CWST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 59.89, CWST can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • CWST's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CWST to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.50), we can say CWST is valued expensively.
  • CWST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 63.25.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CWST is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.67. CWST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 59.89
Fwd PE 63.25
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.48
EV/EBITDA 15.17
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 22.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.39
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CWST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CWST does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CWST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (3/24/2026, 4:30:01 PM)

After market: 76.06 0 (0%)

76.06

-1.95 (-2.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners126.41%
Inst Owner Change6.16%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change2.82%
Market Cap4.83B
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)7.87M
Analysts81.11
Price Target119.05 (56.52%)
Short Float %5.82%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.4%
Min EPS beat(2)25.96%
Max EPS beat(2)28.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.11%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)98.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)42.46%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 59.89
Fwd PE 63.25
P/S 2.63
P/FCF 57.48
P/OCF 14.65
P/B 3.08
P/tB 30.61
EV/EBITDA 15.17
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY1.67%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY1.58%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.74%
OCF(TTM)5.19
OCFY6.83%
SpS28.92
BVpS24.7
TBVpS2.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.39
Graham Number26.57
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROCE 2.92%
ROIC 1.82%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 3.71%
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
FCFM 4.57%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.09%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)3.73%
ROCE(5y)5.34%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.89%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 80.09%
Cap/Sales 13.38%
Interest Coverage 1.49
Cash Conversion 83.56%
Profit Quality 1067.63%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 2.33
F-Score4
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)85.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.93%
Profit Quality(3y)650.19%
Profit Quality(5y)451.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
Revenue Next Year7.89%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y7.91%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.92%
EBIT growth 5Y5.98%
EBIT Next Year217.33%
EBIT Next 3Y55.75%
EBIT Next 5Y36.08%
FCF growth 1Y7.94%
FCF growth 3Y-0.88%
FCF growth 5Y21.45%
OCF growth 1Y17.21%
OCF growth 3Y14.92%
OCF growth 5Y18.71%

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A / CWST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CWST.


What is the valuation status of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CWST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is expected to decline by -5.32% in the next year.