CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CWST • US1474481041

Current stock price

84.26 USD
-1.65 (-1.92%)
At close:
84.26 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CWST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CWST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CWST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CWST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CWST has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CWST had a positive operating cash flow.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.24%, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST has a Return On Equity (0.50%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.82%, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.32%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.58%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROIC 1.82%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CWST has a Profit Margin (0.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CWST has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.78%, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CWST has a Gross Margin of 33.77%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CWST outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CWST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

3

2. CWST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CWST is destroying value.
  • CWST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CWST has more shares outstanding
  • CWST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CWST has an Altman-Z score of 2.51. This is not the best score and indicates that CWST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.51, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CWST would need 13.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 13.74, CWST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72. This is a neutral value indicating CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CWST (0.72) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Altman-Z 2.51
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.9%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CWST has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that CWST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CWST has a worse Current ratio (1.26) than 60.98% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CWST has a Quick ratio (1.17) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

7

3. CWST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 42.70% over the past year.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.11% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CWST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.95% in the last year.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.85% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CWST will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year7.79%
Revenue Next 2Y7.13%
Revenue Next 3Y7.43%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2

2

4. CWST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 66.35, the valuation of CWST can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CWST.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.73. CWST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 70.07, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.72. CWST is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 66.35
Fwd PE 70.07
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 63.68
EV/EBITDA 16.44
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 22.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.18
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%

0

5. CWST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CWST does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CWST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (3/19/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 84.26 0 (0%)

84.26

-1.65 (-1.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners126.41%
Inst Owner Change6.16%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change1.6%
Market Cap5.35B
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)7.87M
Analysts81.11
Price Target119.05 (41.29%)
Short Float %5.82%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.4%
Min EPS beat(2)25.96%
Max EPS beat(2)28.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.11%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)98.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)42.46%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 66.35
Fwd PE 70.07
P/S 2.91
P/FCF 63.68
P/OCF 16.23
P/B 3.41
P/tB 33.91
EV/EBITDA 16.44
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY1.51%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY1.43%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.57%
OCF(TTM)5.19
OCFY6.16%
SpS28.92
BVpS24.7
TBVpS2.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)8.18
Graham Number26.57
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROCE 2.92%
ROIC 1.82%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 3.71%
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
FCFM 4.57%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.09%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)3.73%
ROCE(5y)5.34%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.89%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 80.09%
Cap/Sales 13.38%
Interest Coverage 1.49
Cash Conversion 83.56%
Profit Quality 1067.63%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 2.51
F-Score4
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)85.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.93%
Profit Quality(3y)650.19%
Profit Quality(5y)451.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
EPS Next Y-5.32%
EPS Next 2Y13.42%
EPS Next 3Y22.28%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
Revenue Next Year7.79%
Revenue Next 2Y7.13%
Revenue Next 3Y7.43%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.92%
EBIT growth 5Y5.98%
EBIT Next Year217.33%
EBIT Next 3Y55.75%
EBIT Next 5Y36.08%
FCF growth 1Y7.94%
FCF growth 3Y-0.88%
FCF growth 5Y21.45%
OCF growth 1Y17.21%
OCF growth 3Y14.92%
OCF growth 5Y18.71%

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A / CWST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CWST.


What is the valuation status of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CWST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is expected to decline by -5.32% in the next year.