CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CWST • US1474481041

Current stock price

77.96 USD
-1.58 (-1.99%)
At close:
80.41 USD
+2.45 (+3.14%)
After Hours:

This CWST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CWST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CWST was profitable.
  • CWST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CWST has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CWST had a positive operating cash flow.
CWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCWST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CWST (0.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 0.50%, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.82%, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.32%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.77%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROIC 1.82%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
CWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCWST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • CWST has a Profit Margin (0.43%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CWST has declined.
  • CWST has a Operating Margin of 4.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CWST outperforms 54.43% of its industry peers.
  • CWST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CWST's Gross Margin of 33.77% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CWST outperforms 51.90% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CWST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
CWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCWST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. CWST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CWST is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CWST has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for CWST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CWST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CWST Yearly Shares OutstandingCWST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCWST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CWST has an Altman-Z score of 2.37. This is not the best score and indicates that CWST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.37, CWST is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CWST has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.74. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CWST would need 13.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CWST has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.74) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.72 indicates that CWST is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CWST has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.72) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Altman-Z 2.37
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC8.45%
CWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCWST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.26 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CWST's Current ratio of 1.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CWST is outperformed by 63.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.17 indicates that CWST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of CWST (1.17) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
CWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCWST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. CWST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CWST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 42.70%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, CWST shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 8.11% on average per year.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.95%.
  • CWST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.85% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%

3.2 Future

  • CWST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.26% yearly.
  • CWST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y-5.67%
EPS Next 2Y12.58%
EPS Next 3Y21.15%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year8.69%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.92%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCWST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B
CWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCWST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 2

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2

4. CWST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 61.39, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CWST.
  • CWST's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CWST to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.71), we can say CWST is valued expensively.
  • CWST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 65.08.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CWST.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.09, CWST is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 61.39
Fwd PE 65.08
CWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCWST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CWST is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • CWST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 58.92
EV/EBITDA 15.41
CWST Per share dataCWST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CWST's earnings are expected to grow with 21.15% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.57
EPS Next 2Y12.58%
EPS Next 3Y21.15%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CWST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CWST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CWST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A

NASDAQ:CWST (4/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 80.41 +2.45 (+3.14%)

77.96

-1.58 (-1.99%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners127.21%
Inst Owner Change0.12%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change-1.38%
Market Cap4.95B
Revenue(TTM)1.84B
Net Income(TTM)7.87M
Analysts81.11
Price Target118.03 (51.4%)
Short Float %6.63%
Short Ratio4.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.4%
Min EPS beat(2)25.96%
Max EPS beat(2)28.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)40.11%
Min EPS beat(4)7.23%
Max EPS beat(4)98.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)42.46%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)26.26%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.42%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)-0.86%
PT rev (3m)0.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 61.39
Fwd PE 65.08
P/S 2.7
P/FCF 58.92
P/OCF 15.01
P/B 3.16
P/tB 31.38
EV/EBITDA 15.41
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY1.63%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY1.54%
FCF(TTM)1.32
FCFY1.7%
OCF(TTM)5.19
OCFY6.66%
SpS28.92
BVpS24.7
TBVpS2.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)7.57
Graham Number26.567 (-65.92%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.24%
ROE 0.5%
ROCE 2.92%
ROIC 1.82%
ROICexc 1.9%
ROICexgc 3.71%
OM 4.78%
PM (TTM) 0.43%
GM 33.77%
FCFM 4.57%
ROA(3y)0.55%
ROA(5y)1.71%
ROE(3y)1.29%
ROE(5y)4.85%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)3.32%
ROICexc(3y)2.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.09%
ROICexgc(5y)5.94%
ROCE(3y)3.73%
ROCE(5y)5.34%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-15.89%
OM growth 3Y-20.22%
OM growth 5Y-10.83%
PM growth 3Y-55.59%
PM growth 5Y-48.44%
GM growth 3Y0.4%
GM growth 5Y0.2%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.72
Debt/FCF 13.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 80.09%
Cap/Sales 13.38%
Interest Coverage 1.49
Cash Conversion 83.56%
Profit Quality 1067.63%
Current Ratio 1.26
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 2.37
F-Score4
WACC8.45%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)85.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.93%
Profit Quality(3y)650.19%
Profit Quality(5y)451.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)42.7%
EPS 3Y4.91%
EPS 5Y8.11%
EPS Q2Q%-26.83%
EPS Next Y-5.67%
EPS Next 2Y12.58%
EPS Next 3Y21.15%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.95%
Revenue growth 3Y19.18%
Revenue growth 5Y18.85%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
Revenue Next Year8.69%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.92%
Revenue Next 5Y8.32%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.92%
EBIT growth 5Y5.98%
EBIT Next Year218.23%
EBIT Next 3Y56.4%
EBIT Next 5Y36.08%
FCF growth 1Y7.94%
FCF growth 3Y-0.88%
FCF growth 5Y21.45%
OCF growth 1Y17.21%
OCF growth 3Y14.92%
OCF growth 5Y18.71%

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A / CWST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CWST.


What is the valuation status of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of CWST stock?

CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) stock?

The financial health rating of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC-A (CWST) is expected to decline by -5.67% in the next year.