CARVANA CO (CVNA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CVNA • US1468691027
Current stock price
409.08 USD
+6.06 (+1.5%)
At close:
409.49 USD
+0.41 (+0.1%)
After Hours:
This CVNA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CVNA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CVNA was profitable.
- In the past year CVNA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative net income in multiple years.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- CVNA has a Return On Assets of 10.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CVNA outperforms 85.37% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of CVNA (40.89%) is better than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of CVNA (12.66%) is better than 82.93% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.66% | ||
| ROE | 40.89% | ||
| ROIC | 12.66% |
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of CVNA (6.92%) is better than 84.55% of its industry peers.
- CVNA's Operating Margin of 9.26% is amongst the best of the industry. CVNA outperforms 82.11% of its industry peers.
- CVNA has a Gross Margin of 20.62%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CVNA underperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CVNA has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.92% | ||
| GM | 20.62% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
2. CVNA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CVNA is creating some value.
- CVNA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
- CVNA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- CVNA has an Altman-Z score of 7.89. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 7.89, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- CVNA has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.75. This is a neutral value as CVNA would need 5.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- CVNA's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.75 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CVNA outperforms 63.41% of its industry peers.
- CVNA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- CVNA's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.42 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CVNA is outperformed by 64.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.89 |
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 4.31 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- CVNA's Current ratio of 4.31 is amongst the best of the industry. CVNA outperforms 95.94% of its industry peers.
- CVNA has a Quick Ratio of 2.73. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- CVNA has a better Quick ratio (2.73) than 93.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.73 |
3. CVNA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 210.83% over the past year.
- The Revenue has grown by 48.63% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- CVNA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 29.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.75% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- CVNA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 23.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y50.32%
EPS Next 2Y45.27%
EPS Next 3Y38.05%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue Next Year34.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.66%
Revenue Next 3Y25.89%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. CVNA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 83.83, the valuation of CVNA can be described as expensive.
- CVNA's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- CVNA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 55.76, CVNA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- CVNA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- CVNA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.24.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 83.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 55.76 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CVNA indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CVNA is more expensive than 62.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- CVNA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 100.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 41.77 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CVNA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of CVNA may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CVNA's earnings are expected to grow with 38.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.27%
EPS Next 3Y38.05%
5. CVNA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for CVNA!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
CVNA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
409.08
+6.06 (+1.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners103.92%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners2.21%
Ins Owner Change-0.2%
Market Cap89.63B
Revenue(TTM)20.32B
Net Income(TTM)1.41B
Analysts80.63
Price Target425.87 (4.1%)
Short Float %11.16%
Short Ratio4.27
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.45%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(4)130.76%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)53.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.4%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.04%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.65%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.94%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.46%
PT rev (1m)-0.81%
PT rev (3m)-6.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.84%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 83.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 55.76 | ||
| P/S | 4.41 | ||
| P/FCF | 100.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 86.51 | ||
| P/B | 26.05 | ||
| P/tB | 26.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 41.77 |
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY1.19%
EPS(NY)7.34
Fwd EY1.79%
FCF(TTM)4.06
FCFY0.99%
OCF(TTM)4.73
OCFY1.16%
SpS92.75
BVpS15.71
TBVpS15.45
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.5262 (-89.85%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.66% | ||
| ROE | 40.89% | ||
| ROCE | 16.1% | ||
| ROIC | 12.66% | ||
| ROICexc | 16.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.75% | ||
| OM | 9.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.92% | ||
| GM | 20.62% | ||
| FCFM | 4.37% |
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.27 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | 63.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.89 |
F-Score5
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)36%
Cap/Depr(5y)166.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.06%
Profit Quality(3y)205.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
EPS Next Y50.32%
EPS Next 2Y45.27%
EPS Next 3Y38.05%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%
Revenue Next Year34.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.66%
Revenue Next 3Y25.89%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%
EBIT growth 1Y90%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year49.85%
EBIT Next 3Y34.18%
EBIT Next 5Y30.05%
FCF growth 1Y7.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y12.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
CARVANA CO / CVNA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CVNA stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CVNA.
Can you provide the valuation status for CARVANA CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CARVANA CO (CVNA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?
CARVANA CO (CVNA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for CVNA stock?
The financial health rating of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is 7 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is expected to grow by 50.32% in the next year.