CARVANA CO (CVNA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CVNA • US1468691027

Current stock price

316.85 USD
+2.94 (+0.94%)
At close:
316 USD
-0.85 (-0.27%)
After Hours:

This CVNA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CVNA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CVNA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CVNA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years CVNA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In multiple years CVNA reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
CVNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCVNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • CVNA has a Return On Assets of 10.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CVNA outperforms 85.48% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 40.89%, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.74% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CVNA (12.66%) is better than 84.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.66%
ROE 40.89%
ROIC 12.66%
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CVNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCVNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 6.92%, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Operating Margin of CVNA (9.26%) is better than 82.26% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA has a Gross Margin of 20.62%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CVNA underperforms 75.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CVNA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.26%
PM (TTM) 6.92%
GM 20.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
CVNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCVNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

7

2. CVNA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CVNA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
  • CVNA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CVNA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CVNA Yearly Shares OutstandingCVNA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
CVNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCVNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • CVNA has an Altman-Z score of 6.69. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 6.69, CVNA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CVNA has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.75. This is a neutral value as CVNA would need 5.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CVNA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.75. This is in the better half of the industry: CVNA outperforms 62.90% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.42, CVNA is doing worse than 62.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.42
Debt/FCF 5.75
Altman-Z 6.69
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8.7%
CVNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCVNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 4.31 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 4.31, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.73 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CVNA has a Quick ratio of 2.73. This is amongst the best in the industry. CVNA outperforms 93.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.31
Quick Ratio 2.73
CVNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCVNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

8

3. CVNA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CVNA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 210.83%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Revenue has grown by 48.63% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, CVNA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 29.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%

3.2 Future

  • CVNA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.75% yearly.
  • CVNA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 23.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y46.14%
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue Next Year34.06%
Revenue Next 2Y28.7%
Revenue Next 3Y25.79%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CVNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCVNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
CVNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCVNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

3

4. CVNA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 64.93, CVNA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • CVNA's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • CVNA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.21, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.43 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CVNA.
  • CVNA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • CVNA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 64.93
Fwd PE 44.43
CVNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCVNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 60.48% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CVNA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CVNA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 78
EV/EBITDA 32.68
CVNA Per share dataCVNA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CVNA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CVNA's earnings are expected to grow with 37.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%

0

5. CVNA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CVNA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CVNA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CARVANA CO

NYSE:CVNA (4/6/2026, 5:33:39 PM)

After market: 316 -0.85 (-0.27%)

316.85

+2.94 (+0.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners103.75%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.11%
Ins Owner Change-0.2%
Market Cap69.34B
Revenue(TTM)20.32B
Net Income(TTM)1.41B
Analysts80.63
Price Target429.34 (35.5%)
Short Float %9.46%
Short Ratio3.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.45%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(4)130.76%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)53.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.4%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.04%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.65%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.94%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.46%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 64.93
Fwd PE 44.43
P/S 3.41
P/FCF 78
P/OCF 66.93
P/B 20.15
P/tB 20.49
EV/EBITDA 32.68
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY1.54%
EPS(NY)7.13
Fwd EY2.25%
FCF(TTM)4.06
FCFY1.28%
OCF(TTM)4.73
OCFY1.49%
SpS92.86
BVpS15.72
TBVpS15.46
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.55
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.66%
ROE 40.89%
ROCE 16.1%
ROIC 12.66%
ROICexc 16.65%
ROICexgc 16.75%
OM 9.26%
PM (TTM) 6.92%
GM 20.62%
FCFM 4.37%
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.42
Debt/FCF 5.75
Debt/EBITDA 2.27
Cap/Depr 53.45%
Cap/Sales 0.72%
Interest Coverage 5.6
Cash Conversion 48.05%
Profit Quality 63.18%
Current Ratio 4.31
Quick Ratio 2.73
Altman-Z 6.69
F-Score5
WACC8.7%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)36%
Cap/Depr(5y)166.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.06%
Profit Quality(3y)205.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
EPS Next Y46.14%
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%
Revenue Next Year34.06%
Revenue Next 2Y28.7%
Revenue Next 3Y25.79%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%
EBIT growth 1Y90%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year49.8%
EBIT Next 3Y34.05%
EBIT Next 5Y30.05%
FCF growth 1Y7.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y12.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CARVANA CO / CVNA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CVNA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CVNA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CARVANA CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CARVANA CO (CVNA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?

CARVANA CO (CVNA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for CVNA stock?

The financial health rating of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is 7 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is expected to grow by 46.14% in the next year.