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CARVANA CO (CVNA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CVNA - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1468691027 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

211.41  +2.11 (+1.01%)

After market: 212.732 +1.32 (+0.63%)

Fundamental Rating

5

CVNA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. CVNA has an average financial health and profitability rating. CVNA is valued quite expensive, but it does show an excellent growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CVNA was profitable.
CVNA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years CVNA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
CVNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCVNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

CVNA has a Return On Assets of 2.48%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CVNA outperforms 59.50% of its industry peers.
CVNA's Return On Equity of 16.67% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CVNA outperforms 74.38% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.76%, CVNA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.51% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.48%
ROE 16.67%
ROIC 11.76%
ROA(3y)-3.14%
ROA(5y)-3.39%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CVNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCVNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.54%, CVNA is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.85% of the companies in the same industry.
CVNA's Operating Margin of 7.24% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CVNA outperforms 74.38% of its industry peers.
With a Gross Margin value of 21.03%, CVNA is not doing good in the industry: 77.69% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CVNA's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.24%
PM (TTM) 1.54%
GM 21.03%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y11.8%
GM growth 5Y10.37%
CVNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCVNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CVNA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for CVNA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CVNA Yearly Shares OutstandingCVNA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CVNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCVNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

CVNA has an Altman-Z score of 6.01. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.01, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CVNA is 6.81, which is on the high side as it means it would take CVNA, 6.81 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CVNA has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CVNA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.22. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CVNA's Debt to Equity ratio of 4.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CVNA is outperformed by 76.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.22
Debt/FCF 6.81
Altman-Z 6.01
ROIC/WACC1.36
WACC8.68%
CVNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCVNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.64 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.64, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.21% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.44 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.44, CVNA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.04% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.64
Quick Ratio 2.44
CVNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCVNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

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8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CVNA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 144.60%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 26.94% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, CVNA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 28.25% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)144.6%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%156%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.94%
Revenue growth 3Y2.19%
Revenue growth 5Y28.25%
Sales Q2Q%46.33%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CVNA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 41.53% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CVNA will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 20.86% on average per year.
EPS Next Y80.85%
EPS Next 2Y68.45%
EPS Next 3Y51.8%
EPS Next 5Y41.53%
Revenue Next Year23.96%
Revenue Next 2Y21.06%
Revenue Next 3Y20.38%
Revenue Next 5Y20.86%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
CVNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCVNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 20B 40B 60B
CVNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCVNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 10 -10

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CVNA is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 134.66.
CVNA's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.29. CVNA is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 74.46, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CVNA.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CVNA indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CVNA is more expensive than 60.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.08. CVNA is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 134.66
Fwd PE 74.46
CVNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCVNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

65.29% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CVNA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CVNA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 54.57
EV/EBITDA 37.82
CVNA Per share dataCVNA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CVNA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
CVNA's earnings are expected to grow with 51.80% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y68.45%
EPS Next 3Y51.8%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CVNA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CARVANA CO

NYSE:CVNA (4/17/2025, 8:11:22 PM)

After market: 212.732 +1.32 (+0.63%)

211.41

+2.11 (+1.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2025-05-07/amc
Inst Owners98.22%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners1.79%
Ins Owner Change-1.06%
Market Cap45.13B
Analysts76
Price Target260 (22.98%)
Short Float %7.04%
Short Ratio2.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)115.82%
Min EPS beat(2)81.55%
Max EPS beat(2)150.09%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)167.03%
Min EPS beat(4)81.55%
Max EPS beat(4)305.93%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)97.5%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)62.02%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)55.47%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.94%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)12.25%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.26%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.18%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.55%
PT rev (1m)-2.9%
PT rev (3m)5.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)24.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)21.81%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.89%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 134.66
Fwd PE 74.46
P/S 3.3
P/FCF 54.57
P/OCF 49.16
P/B 35.82
P/tB 36.81
EV/EBITDA 37.82
EPS(TTM)1.57
EY0.74%
EPS(NY)2.84
Fwd EY1.34%
FCF(TTM)3.87
FCFY1.83%
OCF(TTM)4.3
OCFY2.03%
SpS64.05
BVpS5.9
TBVpS5.74
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.48%
ROE 16.67%
ROCE 13.85%
ROIC 11.76%
ROICexc 15.44%
ROICexgc 15.53%
OM 7.24%
PM (TTM) 1.54%
GM 21.03%
FCFM 6.05%
ROA(3y)-3.14%
ROA(5y)-3.39%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y11.8%
GM growth 5Y10.37%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.22
Debt/FCF 6.81
Debt/EBITDA 4.11
Cap/Depr 29.84%
Cap/Sales 0.67%
Interest Coverage 8.61
Cash Conversion 70.89%
Profit Quality 393.81%
Current Ratio 3.64
Quick Ratio 2.44
Altman-Z 6.01
F-Score7
WACC8.68%
ROIC/WACC1.36
Cap/Depr(3y)83.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)253.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)144.6%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%156%
EPS Next Y80.85%
EPS Next 2Y68.45%
EPS Next 3Y51.8%
EPS Next 5Y41.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)26.94%
Revenue growth 3Y2.19%
Revenue growth 5Y28.25%
Sales Q2Q%46.33%
Revenue Next Year23.96%
Revenue Next 2Y21.06%
Revenue Next 3Y20.38%
Revenue Next 5Y20.86%
EBIT growth 1Y1494.37%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year94.08%
EBIT Next 3Y42.85%
EBIT Next 5Y31.57%
FCF growth 1Y15.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14.32%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A