CARVANA CO (CVNA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CVNA • US1468691027

Current stock price

299.6 USD
+18.32 (+6.51%)
At close:
297 USD
-2.6 (-0.87%)
Pre-Market:

This CVNA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CVNA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CVNA was profitable.
  • CVNA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
CVNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCVNA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • CVNA's Return On Assets of 10.66% is amongst the best of the industry. CVNA outperforms 86.99% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA's Return On Equity of 40.89% is amongst the best of the industry. CVNA outperforms 92.68% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CVNA (12.66%) is better than 84.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.66%
ROE 40.89%
ROIC 12.66%
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CVNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCVNA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 200 300

1.3 Margins

  • CVNA has a better Profit Margin (6.92%) than 82.93% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA has a Operating Margin of 9.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CVNA outperforms 82.11% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA has a worse Gross Margin (20.62%) than 77.24% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.26%
PM (TTM) 6.92%
GM 20.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
CVNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCVNA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

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7

2. CVNA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CVNA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for CVNA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • CVNA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CVNA Yearly Shares OutstandingCVNA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
CVNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCVNA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • CVNA has an Altman-Z score of 6.50. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CVNA's Altman-Z score of 6.50 is amongst the best of the industry. CVNA outperforms 94.31% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.75. This is a neutral value as CVNA would need 5.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CVNA's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.75 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CVNA outperforms 61.79% of its industry peers.
  • CVNA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.42, CVNA is not doing good in the industry: 62.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.42
Debt/FCF 5.75
Altman-Z 6.5
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8.72%
CVNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCVNA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CVNA has a Current Ratio of 4.31. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CVNA's Current ratio of 4.31 is amongst the best of the industry. CVNA outperforms 95.94% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.73 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CVNA has a better Quick ratio (2.73) than 92.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.31
Quick Ratio 2.73
CVNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCVNA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. CVNA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 210.83% over the past year.
  • Looking at the last year, CVNA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 48.63%.
  • CVNA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 29.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%

3.2 Future

  • CVNA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.75% yearly.
  • CVNA is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 23.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y46.14%
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue Next Year34.06%
Revenue Next 2Y28.7%
Revenue Next 3Y25.79%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CVNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCVNA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
CVNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCVNA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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3

4. CVNA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 61.39, the valuation of CVNA can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CVNA is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • CVNA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.54.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 42.01, CVNA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CVNA.
  • CVNA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 61.39
Fwd PE 42.01
CVNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCVNA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CVNA indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CVNA is more expensive than 62.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CVNA is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 73.75
EV/EBITDA 31.23
CVNA Per share dataCVNA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CVNA may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CVNA's earnings are expected to grow with 37.51% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CVNA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CVNA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CVNA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CARVANA CO

NYSE:CVNA (3/23/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 297 -2.6 (-0.87%)

299.6

+18.32 (+6.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners103.75%
Inst Owner Change4.94%
Ins Owners2.11%
Ins Owner Change-0.18%
Market Cap65.57B
Revenue(TTM)20.32B
Net Income(TTM)1.41B
Analysts80.63
Price Target429.34 (43.3%)
Short Float %9.57%
Short Ratio3.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.45%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(4)130.76%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)53.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.4%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.04%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.65%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.94%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.46%
PT rev (1m)-10.45%
PT rev (3m)-4.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 61.39
Fwd PE 42.01
P/S 3.23
P/FCF 73.75
P/OCF 63.29
P/B 19.05
P/tB 19.38
EV/EBITDA 31.23
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY1.63%
EPS(NY)7.13
Fwd EY2.38%
FCF(TTM)4.06
FCFY1.36%
OCF(TTM)4.73
OCFY1.58%
SpS92.86
BVpS15.72
TBVpS15.46
PEG (NY)1.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.55
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.66%
ROE 40.89%
ROCE 16.1%
ROIC 12.66%
ROICexc 16.65%
ROICexgc 16.75%
OM 9.26%
PM (TTM) 6.92%
GM 20.62%
FCFM 4.37%
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.42
Debt/FCF 5.75
Debt/EBITDA 2.27
Cap/Depr 53.45%
Cap/Sales 0.72%
Interest Coverage 5.6
Cash Conversion 48.05%
Profit Quality 63.18%
Current Ratio 4.31
Quick Ratio 2.73
Altman-Z 6.5
F-Score5
WACC8.72%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)36%
Cap/Depr(5y)166.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.06%
Profit Quality(3y)205.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
EPS Next Y46.14%
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%
Revenue Next Year34.06%
Revenue Next 2Y28.7%
Revenue Next 3Y25.79%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%
EBIT growth 1Y90%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year49.8%
EBIT Next 3Y34.05%
EBIT Next 5Y30.05%
FCF growth 1Y7.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y12.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CARVANA CO / CVNA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CVNA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CVNA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CARVANA CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CARVANA CO (CVNA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of CVNA stock?

CARVANA CO (CVNA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?

The financial health rating of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is 7 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?

The dividend rating of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.