CARVANA CO (CVNA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CVNA • US1468691027
Current stock price
316.85 USD
+2.94 (+0.94%)
At close:
316.52 USD
-0.33 (-0.1%)
After Hours:
This CVNA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CVNA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CVNA had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CVNA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative net income in multiple years.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: CVNA reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of CVNA (10.66%) is better than 85.48% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 40.89%, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- CVNA has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.66%) than 84.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.66% | ||
| ROE | 40.89% | ||
| ROIC | 12.66% |
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- CVNA has a better Profit Margin (6.92%) than 83.06% of its industry peers.
- CVNA has a better Operating Margin (9.26%) than 82.26% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.62%, CVNA is doing worse than 75.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CVNA has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.92% | ||
| GM | 20.62% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
2. CVNA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CVNA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, CVNA has more shares outstanding
- CVNA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- CVNA has an Altman-Z score of 6.73. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.73, CVNA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CVNA is 5.75, which is a neutral value as it means it would take CVNA, 5.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CVNA has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.75) than 62.90% of its industry peers.
- CVNA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.42. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- CVNA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: CVNA underperforms 62.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.73 |
ROIC/WACC1.45
WACC8.7%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 4.31 indicates that CVNA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- CVNA has a better Current ratio (4.31) than 95.16% of its industry peers.
- CVNA has a Quick Ratio of 2.73. This indicates that CVNA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of CVNA (2.73) is better than 93.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.73 |
3. CVNA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 210.83% over the past year.
- Looking at the last year, CVNA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 48.63%.
- CVNA shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 29.47% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CVNA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.75% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 23.68% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y46.14%
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue Next Year34.06%
Revenue Next 2Y28.7%
Revenue Next 3Y25.79%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. CVNA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 64.93, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CVNA.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CVNA.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, CVNA is valued quite expensively.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.43 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CVNA.
- CVNA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, CVNA is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 64.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CVNA is valued a bit more expensive than 60.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CVNA is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CVNA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CVNA's earnings are expected to grow with 37.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
5. CVNA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CVNA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
CVNA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
316.85
+2.94 (+0.94%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-18 2026-02-18/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners103.75%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.11%
Ins Owner Change-0.2%
Market Cap69.34B
Revenue(TTM)20.32B
Net Income(TTM)1.41B
Analysts80.63
Price Target429.34 (35.5%)
Short Float %9.46%
Short Ratio3.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.45%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.89%
Max EPS beat(4)130.76%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)53.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.4%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.04%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.65%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.94%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.46%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 64.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.43 | ||
| P/S | 3.41 | ||
| P/FCF | 78 | ||
| P/OCF | 66.93 | ||
| P/B | 20.15 | ||
| P/tB | 20.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 32.98 |
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY1.54%
EPS(NY)7.13
Fwd EY2.25%
FCF(TTM)4.06
FCFY1.28%
OCF(TTM)4.73
OCFY1.49%
SpS92.86
BVpS15.72
TBVpS15.46
PEG (NY)1.41
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.66% | ||
| ROE | 40.89% | ||
| ROCE | 16.1% | ||
| ROIC | 12.66% | ||
| ROICexc | 16.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.75% | ||
| OM | 9.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.92% | ||
| GM | 20.62% | ||
| FCFM | 4.37% |
ROA(3y)6.5%
ROA(5y)-0.13%
ROE(3y)80.91%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y31.08%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.27 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | 63.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.73 |
F-Score5
WACC8.7%
ROIC/WACC1.45
Cap/Depr(3y)36%
Cap/Depr(5y)166.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.06%
Profit Quality(3y)205.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)210.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%89.29%
EPS Next Y46.14%
EPS Next 2Y43.13%
EPS Next 3Y37.51%
EPS Next 5Y18.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)48.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.31%
Revenue growth 5Y29.47%
Sales Q2Q%57.96%
Revenue Next Year34.06%
Revenue Next 2Y28.7%
Revenue Next 3Y25.79%
Revenue Next 5Y23.68%
EBIT growth 1Y90%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year49.8%
EBIT Next 3Y34.05%
EBIT Next 5Y30.05%
FCF growth 1Y7.5%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y12.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
CARVANA CO / CVNA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CVNA stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CVNA.
Can you provide the valuation status for CARVANA CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CARVANA CO (CVNA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?
CARVANA CO (CVNA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for CVNA stock?
The financial health rating of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is 7 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for CARVANA CO (CVNA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CARVANA CO (CVNA) is expected to grow by 46.14% in the next year.