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CVR ENERGY INC (CVI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CVI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US12662P1084 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

19.07  -0.6 (-3.05%)

After market: 19.07 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall CVI gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated CVI against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CVI while its profitability can be described as average. CVI has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CVI was profitable.
In the past year CVI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years CVI 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CVI had a positive operating cash flow.
CVI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCVI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.81%, CVI is not doing good in the industry: 68.93% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CVI has a Return On Equity of 10.37%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CVI outperforms 45.15% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.63%, CVI is doing worse than 65.53% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CVI is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.63%) for CVI is well below the 3 year average (20.65%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CVI had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.81%
ROE 10.37%
ROIC 4.63%
ROA(3y)9.41%
ROA(5y)6.3%
ROE(3y)60.84%
ROE(5y)36.93%
ROIC(3y)20.65%
ROIC(5y)N/A
CVI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCVI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

CVI has a Profit Margin of 0.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CVI underperforms 73.30% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CVI has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of CVI (2.06%) is worse than 79.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CVI has grown nicely.
CVI's Gross Margin of 3.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CVI is outperformed by 80.10% of its industry peers.
CVI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.06%
PM (TTM) 0.89%
GM 3.89%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y10.01%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y18%
GM growth 3Y89.9%
GM growth 5Y1.2%
CVI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCVI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 15

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CVI is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CVI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The number of shares outstanding for CVI remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CVI is higher compared to a year ago.
CVI Yearly Shares OutstandingCVI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CVI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCVI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.35 indicates that CVI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CVI's Altman-Z score of 2.35 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CVI outperforms 66.99% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CVI is 38.59, which is on the high side as it means it would take CVI, 38.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CVI's Debt to FCF ratio of 38.59 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CVI is outperformed by 64.08% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.33 is on the high side and indicates that CVI has dependencies on debt financing.
CVI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.33. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CVI underperforms 87.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF 38.59
Altman-Z 2.35
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC7.86%
CVI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCVI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.33 indicates that CVI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CVI's Current ratio of 1.33 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CVI outperforms 55.34% of its industry peers.
CVI has a Quick Ratio of 1.33. This is a bad value and indicates that CVI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CVI has a worse Quick ratio (0.86) than 64.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.86
CVI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCVI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CVI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -95.80%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.92% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue for CVI has decreased by -19.12% in the past year. This is quite bad
CVI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y15.92%
EPS Q2Q%-126.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.12%
Revenue growth 3Y33.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.36%
Sales Q2Q%-27.32%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -37.07% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.74% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-113.72%
EPS Next 2Y-76.31%
EPS Next 3Y-36.39%
EPS Next 5Y-37.07%
Revenue Next Year-18.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.53%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CVI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCVI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CVI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCVI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4 6

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 68.11, CVI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CVI is valued a bit more expensive than 73.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.28, CVI is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 60.35, the valuation of CVI can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CVI indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CVI is more expensive than 72.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CVI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 91.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 68.11
Fwd PE 60.35
CVI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCVI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CVI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CVI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.76
EV/EBITDA 6.53
CVI Per share dataCVI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CVI's earnings are expected to decrease with -36.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.28
EPS Next 2Y-76.31%
EPS Next 3Y-36.39%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.40%, CVI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.55, CVI pays a better dividend. On top of this CVI pays more dividend than 85.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, CVI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.4%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CVI grows each year by 12.14%, which is quite nice.
CVI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.14%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
CVI Yearly Dividends per shareCVI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

504.29% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CVI. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
CVI's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP504.29%
EPS Next 2Y-76.31%
EPS Next 3Y-36.39%
CVI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCVI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CVI Dividend Payout.CVI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CVI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CVR ENERGY INC

NYSE:CVI (1/30/2025, 4:15:00 PM)

After market: 19.07 0 (0%)

19.07

-0.6 (-3.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-28 2024-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2025-02-18/amc
Inst Owners104.13%
Inst Owner Change-6.21%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.92B
Analysts44.29
Price Target19.99 (4.82%)
Short Float %4.28%
Short Ratio2.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.4%
Yearly Dividend4.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.14%
DP504.29%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-168.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-477.59%
Max EPS beat(2)141.31%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-477.59%
Max EPS beat(4)141.31%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-30.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-49.91%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-70.14%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.73%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.43%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.91%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.43%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.64%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)7.99%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)9.08%
PT rev (1m)2.62%
PT rev (3m)-13.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-122.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-208.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 68.11
Fwd PE 60.35
P/S 0.24
P/FCF 46.76
P/OCF 7.1
P/B 2.84
P/tB 2.84
EV/EBITDA 6.53
EPS(TTM)0.28
EY1.47%
EPS(NY)0.32
Fwd EY1.66%
FCF(TTM)0.41
FCFY2.14%
OCF(TTM)2.69
OCFY14.08%
SpS78.24
BVpS6.71
TBVpS6.71
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.28
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.81%
ROE 10.37%
ROCE 5.74%
ROIC 4.63%
ROICexc 5.71%
ROICexgc 5.71%
OM 2.06%
PM (TTM) 0.89%
GM 3.89%
FCFM 0.52%
ROA(3y)9.41%
ROA(5y)6.3%
ROE(3y)60.84%
ROE(5y)36.93%
ROIC(3y)20.65%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)25.52%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)25.52%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)25.6%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.4%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y19.4%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y10.01%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y18%
GM growth 3Y89.9%
GM growth 5Y1.2%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover2.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.33
Debt/FCF 38.59
Debt/EBITDA 3.4
Cap/Depr 76.08%
Cap/Sales 2.91%
Interest Coverage 1.43
Cash Conversion 58.32%
Profit Quality 58.57%
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z 2.35
F-Score3
WACC7.86%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)88.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.64%
Profit Quality(3y)302.29%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.8%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y15.92%
EPS Q2Q%-126.46%
EPS Next Y-113.72%
EPS Next 2Y-76.31%
EPS Next 3Y-36.39%
EPS Next 5Y-37.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.12%
Revenue growth 3Y33.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.36%
Sales Q2Q%-27.32%
Revenue Next Year-18.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.53%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-87.01%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.9%
EBIT Next Year-69.91%
EBIT Next 3Y-11.4%
EBIT Next 5Y-9.94%
FCF growth 1Y-93.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y5.78%
OCF growth 1Y-69.39%
OCF growth 3Y119.21%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%