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CARNIVAL PLC-ADR (CUK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CUK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US14365C1036 - ADR

23.23  -0.16 (-0.68%)

Premarket: 23.58 +0.35 (+1.51%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, CUK scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CUK was compared to 134 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CUK have multiple concerns. CUK is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CUK was profitable.
In the past year CUK had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years CUK always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years CUK reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
CUK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCUK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.82%, CUK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.27%, CUK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.52% of the companies in the same industry.
CUK has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.20%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CUK outperforms 54.20% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 13.27%
ROIC 6.2%
ROA(3y)-9.92%
ROA(5y)-8.44%
ROE(3y)-55.19%
ROE(5y)-40.71%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CUK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCUK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

CUK has a Profit Margin of 3.86%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CUK outperforms 53.44% of its industry peers.
CUK's Operating Margin of 12.13% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CUK outperforms 60.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CUK has declined.
CUK has a Gross Margin of 35.78%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CUK underperforms 69.47% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CUK has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.13%
PM (TTM) 3.86%
GM 35.78%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-12.45%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-3.97%
CUK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCUK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CUK is destroying value.
There is no outstanding debt for CUK. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
CUK Yearly Shares OutstandingCUK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
CUK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCUK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

CUK has an Altman-Z score of 0.86. This is a bad value and indicates that CUK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.86, CUK is doing worse than 70.23% of the companies in the same industry.
CUK has a debt to FCF ratio of 18.41. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CUK would need 18.41 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 18.41, CUK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.33% of the companies in the same industry.
CUK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.99. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CUK's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.99 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CUK outperforms 42.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.99
Debt/FCF 18.41
Altman-Z 0.86
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC6.88%
CUK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCUK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.28 indicates that CUK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CUK (0.28) is worse than 95.42% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.24 indicates that CUK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CUK has a worse Quick ratio (0.24) than 92.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.28
Quick Ratio 0.24
CUK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCUK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1650.56% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, CUK shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -20.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1650.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%10.02%

3.2 Future

CUK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.28% yearly.
CUK is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y26.03%
EPS Next 2Y21.57%
EPS Next 3Y20.65%
EPS Next 5Y19.28%
Revenue Next Year5.14%
Revenue Next 2Y4.35%
Revenue Next 3Y3.83%
Revenue Next 5Y3.84%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CUK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCUK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
CUK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCUK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.34, CUK is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CUK is valued a bit cheaper than 77.86% of the companies in the same industry.
CUK's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.75, which indicates a correct valuation of CUK.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CUK indicates a rather cheap valuation: CUK is cheaper than 83.21% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CUK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.34
Fwd PE 13.75
CUK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCUK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

CUK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CUK is cheaper than 61.07% of the companies in the same industry.
76.34% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CUK, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.09
EV/EBITDA 11
CUK Per share dataCUK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CUK's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CUK's earnings are expected to grow with 20.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.57%
EPS Next 3Y20.65%

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CUK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.91%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CUK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.98. CUK pays more dividend than 90.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, CUK pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%

5.2 History

CUK has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
CUK Yearly Dividends per shareCUK Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y21.57%
EPS Next 3Y20.65%
CUK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCUK Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B -4B -6B -8B -10B

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CARNIVAL PLC-ADR

NYSE:CUK (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 23.58 +0.35 (+1.51%)

23.23

-0.16 (-0.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)12-20 2024-12-20/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners44.76%
Inst Owner Change-0.11%
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap30.40B
Analysts78.95
Price Target22.52 (-3.06%)
Short Float %2.25%
Short Ratio2.37
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)557.89%
Min EPS beat(2)14.87%
Max EPS beat(2)1100.9%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)292.13%
Min EPS beat(4)4.61%
Max EPS beat(4)1100.9%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)96.62%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)58.85%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)42.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.39%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.58%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-27.38%
PT rev (1m)0.94%
PT rev (3m)4.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.34
Fwd PE 13.75
P/S 1.3
P/FCF 19.09
P/OCF 4.63
P/B 4.46
P/tB 6
EV/EBITDA 11
EPS(TTM)1.34
EY5.77%
EPS(NY)1.69
Fwd EY7.27%
FCF(TTM)1.22
FCFY5.24%
OCF(TTM)5.01
OCFY21.58%
SpS17.91
BVpS5.21
TBVpS3.87
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 13.27%
ROCE 7.85%
ROIC 6.2%
ROICexc 6.5%
ROICexgc 6.84%
OM 12.13%
PM (TTM) 3.86%
GM 35.78%
FCFM 6.8%
ROA(3y)-9.92%
ROA(5y)-8.44%
ROE(3y)-55.19%
ROE(5y)-40.71%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.2%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-12.45%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-3.97%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.99
Debt/FCF 18.41
Debt/EBITDA 5.14
Cap/Depr 203.82%
Cap/Sales 21.2%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 124.23%
Profit Quality 176.22%
Current Ratio 0.28
Quick Ratio 0.24
Altman-Z 0.86
F-Score7
WACC6.88%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)172.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)81.62%
Cap/Sales(5y)67.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1650.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%300%
EPS Next Y26.03%
EPS Next 2Y21.57%
EPS Next 3Y20.65%
EPS Next 5Y19.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%10.02%
Revenue Next Year5.14%
Revenue Next 2Y4.35%
Revenue Next 3Y3.83%
Revenue Next 5Y3.84%
EBIT growth 1Y374.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-10.07%
EBIT Next Year226.4%
EBIT Next 3Y55.12%
EBIT Next 5Y32.72%
FCF growth 1Y122.35%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.15%
OCF growth 1Y367.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-5.06%