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CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:CTC - CA1366811034 - Common Stock

240 CAD
-4 (-1.64%)
Last: 11/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CTC. CTC was compared to 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. CTC scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. CTC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. Finally CTC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CTC was profitable.
CTC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CTC has been profitable.
In the past 5 years CTC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.33%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC has a Return On Equity of 12.37%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.83%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CTC is below the industry average of 10.70%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROIC 5.83%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

CTC's Profit Margin of 4.49% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
CTC has a Operating Margin of 8.54%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 34.22%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CTC is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CTC remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CTC has less shares outstanding
CTC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

CTC has an Altman-Z score of 2.05. This is not the best score and indicates that CTC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CTC's Altman-Z score of 2.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CTC would need 17.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CTC's Debt to FCF ratio of 17.07 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.13. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CTC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Altman-Z 2.05
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC7.34%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

CTC has a Current Ratio of 1.80. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CTC's Current ratio of 1.80 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.36 indicates that CTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CTC has a better Quick ratio (1.36) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 20.92%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.74% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.13% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.92%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%-12.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%

3.2 Future

CTC is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.59% yearly.
CTC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.17%
Revenue Next 2Y0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.05, the valuation of CTC can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.07. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.47, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CTC.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.08. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.05
Fwd PE 17.47
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

CTC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.02
EV/EBITDA 8.93
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CTC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.19%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.86, CTC pays a better dividend. On top of this CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, CTC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.19%

5.2 History

The dividend of CTC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 20.98%!
CTC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CTC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

CTC pays out 49.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CTC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP49.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (11/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

240

-4 (-1.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11
Inst Owners34.2%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.55%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.86B
Revenue(TTM)16.27B
Net Income(TTM)730.40M
Analysts50.59
Price Target258.94 (7.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.19%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP49.67%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date10-31 2025-10-31 (1.775)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.12%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.18%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)-11.09%
PT rev (3m)3.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.05
Fwd PE 17.47
P/S 0.79
P/FCF 28.02
P/OCF 12.51
P/B 2.18
P/tB 2.83
EV/EBITDA 8.93
EPS(TTM)12.6
EY5.25%
EPS(NY)13.74
Fwd EY5.72%
FCF(TTM)8.57
FCFY3.57%
OCF(TTM)19.19
OCFY7.99%
SpS303.63
BVpS110.14
TBVpS84.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number176.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROCE 9%
ROIC 5.83%
ROICexc 6%
ROICexgc 6.56%
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
FCFM 2.82%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
ROICexc(3y)7.13%
ROICexc(5y)7.69%
ROICexgc(3y)8.31%
ROICexgc(5y)9.13%
ROCE(3y)10.78%
ROCE(5y)10.92%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.73%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.52%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Debt/EBITDA 3.11
Cap/Depr 74.9%
Cap/Sales 3.5%
Interest Coverage 3.72
Cash Conversion 47.83%
Profit Quality 62.84%
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
Altman-Z 2.05
F-Score7
WACC7.34%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)92.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)20.92%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%-12.73%
EPS Next Y-0.38%
EPS Next 2Y4.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.59%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%
Revenue Next Year-1.17%
Revenue Next 2Y0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y4.86%
EBIT Next Year46.76%
EBIT Next 3Y15.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-44.51%
FCF growth 3Y11.28%
FCF growth 5Y24.67%
OCF growth 1Y-32.32%
OCF growth 3Y4.39%
OCF growth 5Y13.67%

CANADIAN TIRE CORP / CTC.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CTC.CA.


What is the valuation status for CTC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is expected to decline by -0.38% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.67%.