CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:CTCCA1366811034

Current stock price

213 CAD
-2.5 (-1.16%)
Last:

This CTC.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. CTC.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CTC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CTC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CTC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CTC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CTC (2.44%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CTC has a worse Return On Equity (8.99%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CTC (5.54%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CTC is below the industry average of 10.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.44%
ROE 8.99%
ROIC 5.54%
ROA(3y)2.47%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)9.09%
ROE(5y)13.57%
ROIC(3y)6.14%
ROIC(5y)7.39%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • CTC's Profit Margin of 3.23% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CTC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CTC has a Operating Margin of 7.20%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CTC has declined.
  • CTC's Gross Margin of 34.42% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.2%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM 34.42%
OM growth 3Y-6.24%
OM growth 5Y-1.82%
PM growth 3Y-18.05%
PM growth 5Y-8.6%
GM growth 3Y0.17%
GM growth 5Y0.16%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

4

2. CTC.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CTC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CTC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CTC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • CTC has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.99 indicates that CTC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CTC (1.99) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC is 26.59, which is on the high side as it means it would take CTC, 26.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC (26.59) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.12. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • CTC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.12 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF 26.59
Altman-Z 1.99
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC7.99%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.83 indicates that CTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CTC has a Current ratio of 1.83. This is in the better half of the industry: CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CTC's Quick ratio of 1.44 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1.44
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. CTC.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.68% over the past year.
  • CTC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.31% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CTC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.26% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.87% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.68%
EPS 3Y-9.83%
EPS 5Y1.31%
EPS Q2Q%9.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.88%
Revenue growth 5Y1.87%
Sales Q2Q%0.97%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.98% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • CTC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.75% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.6%
EPS Next 2Y8.78%
EPS Next 3Y12.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.95%
Revenue Next 2Y2.37%
Revenue Next 3Y2.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15

4

4. CTC.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CTC is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.41.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.95. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.32, the valuation of CTC can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CTC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.41
Fwd PE 14.32
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CTC is valued a bit more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 38.93
EV/EBITDA 8.89
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CTC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CTC's earnings are expected to grow with 12.98% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)11.77
EPS Next 2Y8.78%
EPS Next 3Y12.98%

7

5. CTC.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CTC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.59%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.48, CTC pays a better dividend. On top of this CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, CTC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.59%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
  • CTC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CTC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years23
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • CTC pays out 68.73% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of CTC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP68.73%
EPS Next 2Y8.78%
EPS Next 3Y12.98%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CTC.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (4/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

213

-2.5 (-1.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-14
Inst Owners36.08%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.59%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.23B
Revenue(TTM)16.32B
Net Income(TTM)526.30M
Analysts51.76
Price Target217.98 (2.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.59%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP68.73%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date04-30
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)21.69%
Min EPS beat(2)14.09%
Max EPS beat(2)29.28%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)21.76%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(4)53.7%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)29.9%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)13.75%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)13.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.02%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.56%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.27%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)-11.33%
PT rev (3m)-11.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.41
Fwd PE 14.32
P/S 0.69
P/FCF 38.93
P/OCF 11.79
P/B 1.92
P/tB 2.5
EV/EBITDA 8.89
EPS(TTM)13.82
EY6.49%
EPS(NY)14.87
Fwd EY6.98%
FCF(TTM)5.47
FCFY2.57%
OCF(TTM)18.06
OCFY8.48%
SpS309.53
BVpS111.09
TBVpS85.27
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)11.77
Graham Number185.859 (-12.74%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.44%
ROE 8.99%
ROCE 7.65%
ROIC 5.54%
ROICexc 5.78%
ROICexgc 6.34%
OM 7.2%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM 34.42%
FCFM 1.77%
ROA(3y)2.47%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)9.09%
ROE(5y)13.57%
ROIC(3y)6.14%
ROIC(5y)7.39%
ROICexc(3y)6.37%
ROICexc(5y)7.92%
ROICexgc(3y)7.22%
ROICexgc(5y)9.25%
ROCE(3y)8.58%
ROCE(5y)10.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.15%
OM growth 3Y-6.24%
OM growth 5Y-1.82%
PM growth 3Y-18.05%
PM growth 5Y-8.6%
GM growth 3Y0.17%
GM growth 5Y0.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF 26.59
Debt/EBITDA 3.38
Cap/Depr 86.87%
Cap/Sales 4.07%
Interest Coverage 3.19
Cash Conversion 49.13%
Profit Quality 54.8%
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1.44
Altman-Z 1.99
F-Score8
WACC7.99%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)83.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.33%
Profit Quality(3y)178.91%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.68%
EPS 3Y-9.83%
EPS 5Y1.31%
EPS Q2Q%9.83%
EPS Next Y7.6%
EPS Next 2Y8.78%
EPS Next 3Y12.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.88%
Revenue growth 5Y1.87%
Sales Q2Q%0.97%
Revenue Next Year1.95%
Revenue Next 2Y2.37%
Revenue Next 3Y2.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.87%
EBIT growth 3Y-8.94%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year70.83%
EBIT Next 3Y24%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.79%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-32.15%
OCF growth 1Y-53.87%
OCF growth 3Y18.93%
OCF growth 5Y-17.18%

CANADIAN TIRE CORP / CTC.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CTC.CA.


What is the valuation status of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What is the financial health of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CTC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is expected to grow by 7.6% in the next year.