CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:CTC • CA1366811034

Current stock price

213.93 CAD
-0.57 (-0.27%)
Last:

This CTC.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. CTC.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CTC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CTC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CTC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CTC had a positive operating cash flow.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • CTC has a worse Return On Assets (2.44%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 8.99%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CTC's Return On Invested Capital of 5.54% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CTC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.14%. This is below the industry average of 10.88%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.44%
ROE 8.99%
ROIC 5.54%
ROA(3y)2.47%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)9.09%
ROE(5y)13.57%
ROIC(3y)6.14%
ROIC(5y)7.39%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 3.23%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • CTC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CTC's Operating Margin of 7.20% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • CTC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 34.42%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.2%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM 34.42%
OM growth 3Y-6.24%
OM growth 5Y-1.82%
PM growth 3Y-18.05%
PM growth 5Y-8.6%
GM growth 3Y0.17%
GM growth 5Y0.16%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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4

2. CTC.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CTC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CTC has less shares outstanding
  • CTC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • CTC has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • CTC has an Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is not the best score and indicates that CTC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CTC (1.97) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC is 26.59, which is on the high side as it means it would take CTC, 26.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 26.59, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.12 is on the high side and indicates that CTC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CTC (1.12) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF 26.59
Altman-Z 1.97
ROIC/WACC0.71
WACC7.76%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.83 indicates that CTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.83, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.44, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1.44
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. CTC.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.68% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, CTC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 1.31% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CTC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.26% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CTC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.87% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.68%
EPS 3Y-9.83%
EPS 5Y1.31%
EPS Q2Q%9.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.88%
Revenue growth 5Y1.87%
Sales Q2Q%0.97%

3.2 Future

  • CTC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.61% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CTC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.22% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.46%
EPS Next 2Y7.83%
EPS Next 3Y8.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.46%
Revenue Next 2Y1.96%
Revenue Next 3Y2.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15

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3

4. CTC.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CTC is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.48.
  • CTC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.54, which indicates a correct valuation of CTC.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.51, CTC is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.48
Fwd PE 14.54
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • CTC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CTC is more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 39.1
EV/EBITDA 8.65
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)11.83
EPS Next 2Y7.83%
EPS Next 3Y8.61%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. CTC.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.93%, CTC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.70, CTC pays a better dividend. On top of this CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, CTC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.93%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
  • CTC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CTC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • CTC pays out 68.73% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of CTC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP68.73%
EPS Next 2Y7.83%
EPS Next 3Y8.61%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CTC.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (3/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

213.93

-0.57 (-0.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners35.93%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.58%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.28B
Revenue(TTM)16.32B
Net Income(TTM)526.30M
Analysts51.76
Price Target245.82 (14.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.93%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP68.73%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date04-30
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)21.69%
Min EPS beat(2)14.09%
Max EPS beat(2)29.28%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)21.76%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(4)53.7%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)29.9%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)13.75%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)13.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.02%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.56%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.27%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.15%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.13%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.48
Fwd PE 14.54
P/S 0.69
P/FCF 39.1
P/OCF 11.84
P/B 1.93
P/tB 2.51
EV/EBITDA 8.65
EPS(TTM)13.82
EY6.46%
EPS(NY)14.71
Fwd EY6.88%
FCF(TTM)5.47
FCFY2.56%
OCF(TTM)18.06
OCFY8.44%
SpS309.53
BVpS111.09
TBVpS85.27
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)11.83
Graham Number185.86
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.44%
ROE 8.99%
ROCE 7.65%
ROIC 5.54%
ROICexc 5.78%
ROICexgc 6.34%
OM 7.2%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM 34.42%
FCFM 1.77%
ROA(3y)2.47%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)9.09%
ROE(5y)13.57%
ROIC(3y)6.14%
ROIC(5y)7.39%
ROICexc(3y)6.37%
ROICexc(5y)7.92%
ROICexgc(3y)7.22%
ROICexgc(5y)9.25%
ROCE(3y)8.58%
ROCE(5y)10.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.15%
OM growth 3Y-6.24%
OM growth 5Y-1.82%
PM growth 3Y-18.05%
PM growth 5Y-8.6%
GM growth 3Y0.17%
GM growth 5Y0.16%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.12
Debt/FCF 26.59
Debt/EBITDA 3.38
Cap/Depr 86.87%
Cap/Sales 4.07%
Interest Coverage 3.19
Cash Conversion 49.13%
Profit Quality 54.8%
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1.44
Altman-Z 1.97
F-Score8
WACC7.76%
ROIC/WACC0.71
Cap/Depr(3y)83.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.33%
Profit Quality(3y)178.91%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.68%
EPS 3Y-9.83%
EPS 5Y1.31%
EPS Q2Q%9.83%
EPS Next Y6.46%
EPS Next 2Y7.83%
EPS Next 3Y8.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.26%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.88%
Revenue growth 5Y1.87%
Sales Q2Q%0.97%
Revenue Next Year1.46%
Revenue Next 2Y1.96%
Revenue Next 3Y2.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.87%
EBIT growth 3Y-8.94%
EBIT growth 5Y0.02%
EBIT Next Year69.92%
EBIT Next 3Y22.3%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.79%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-32.15%
OCF growth 1Y-53.87%
OCF growth 3Y18.93%
OCF growth 5Y-17.18%

CANADIAN TIRE CORP / CTC.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CTC.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


How financially healthy is CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

The financial health rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of CANADIAN TIRE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 68.73%.