Logo image of CTC.CA

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:CTC - CA1366811034 - Common Stock

220 CAD
-4.17 (-1.86%)
Last: 12/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall CTC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated CTC against 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. While CTC seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CTC is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. CTC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CTC was profitable.
CTC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CTC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CTC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

CTC has a worse Return On Assets (3.33%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CTC (12.37%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC's Return On Invested Capital of 5.83% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.91%. This is below the industry average of 11.07%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROIC 5.83%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CTC (4.49%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
CTC has a worse Operating Margin (8.54%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 34.22%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CTC is destroying value.
CTC has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CTC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CTC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.01 indicates that CTC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CTC has a Altman-Z score of 2.01. This is in the better half of the industry: CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC is 17.07, which is on the high side as it means it would take CTC, 17.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CTC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.07. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.13 is on the high side and indicates that CTC has dependencies on debt financing.
CTC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Altman-Z 2.01
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.32%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.80 indicates that CTC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CTC (1.80) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.36. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CTC has a Quick ratio of 1.36. This is in the better half of the industry: CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.68%, which is quite good.
CTC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.74% yearly.
CTC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.13%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.68%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CTC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.55% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CTC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.54% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.12%
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CTC is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.39.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.60. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
CTC is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.59.
CTC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.23.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.39
Fwd PE 15.59
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.5
EV/EBITDA 8.39
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)3.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CTC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.18%, which is a nice return.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.85. CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, CTC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.18%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
CTC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CTC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

49.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CTC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CTC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP49.67%
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (12/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

220

-4.17 (-1.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11
Inst Owners34.79%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.57%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.70B
Revenue(TTM)16.27B
Net Income(TTM)730.40M
Analysts50.59
Price Target245.82 (11.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.18%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP49.67%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date01-30 2026-01-30 (1.8)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)9.62%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(2)29.28%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)16.39%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(4)53.7%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)24.08%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)14.39%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)14.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.12%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.18%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)-4.58%
PT rev (3m)-3.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.39
Fwd PE 15.59
P/S 0.72
P/FCF 25.5
P/OCF 11.38
P/B 1.98
P/tB 2.58
EV/EBITDA 8.39
EPS(TTM)13.42
EY6.1%
EPS(NY)14.11
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)8.63
FCFY3.92%
OCF(TTM)19.33
OCFY8.79%
SpS305.86
BVpS110.95
TBVpS85.3
PEG (NY)3.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number183.03
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROCE 9%
ROIC 5.83%
ROICexc 6%
ROICexgc 6.56%
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
FCFM 2.82%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
ROICexc(3y)7.13%
ROICexc(5y)7.69%
ROICexgc(3y)8.31%
ROICexgc(5y)9.13%
ROCE(3y)10.78%
ROCE(5y)10.92%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.73%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.52%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Debt/EBITDA 3.11
Cap/Depr 74.9%
Cap/Sales 3.5%
Interest Coverage 3.72
Cash Conversion 47.83%
Profit Quality 62.84%
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
Altman-Z 2.01
F-Score7
WACC7.32%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)92.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.68%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.29%
EPS Next Y5.12%
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y4.86%
EBIT Next Year50.73%
EBIT Next 3Y16.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-44.51%
FCF growth 3Y11.28%
FCF growth 5Y24.67%
OCF growth 1Y-32.32%
OCF growth 3Y4.39%
OCF growth 5Y13.67%

CANADIAN TIRE CORP / CTC.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CTC.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


How financially healthy is CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

The financial health rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of CANADIAN TIRE CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.67%.