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CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CTC - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1366811034 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

235  +3 (+1.29%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, CTC scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CTC was compared to 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. The financial health of CTC is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CTC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. CTC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CTC was profitable.
In the past year CTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years CTC has been profitable.
CTC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.84%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of CTC (11.34%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a worse Return On Invested Capital (5.62%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.84%
ROE 11.34%
ROIC 5.62%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 3.98%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CTC's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.33%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CTC has remained more or less at the same level.
With a Gross Margin value of 34.53%, CTC is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.33%
PM (TTM) 3.98%
GM 34.53%
OM growth 3Y-6.25%
OM growth 5Y-0.51%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CTC is destroying value.
CTC has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.93 indicates that CTC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CTC's Altman-Z score of 1.93 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CTC is 6.65, which is on the high side as it means it would take CTC, 6.65 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CTC's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.65 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CTC is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.25. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CTC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.25 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.25
Debt/FCF 6.65
Altman-Z 1.93
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC9.86%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

CTC has a Current Ratio of 1.60. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CTC's Current ratio of 1.60 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CTC (1.19) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.19
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 319.21%, which is quite impressive.
CTC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.89% yearly.
CTC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.79%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)319.21%
EPS 3Y-4.68%
EPS 5Y4.89%
EPS Q2Q%138.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.79%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%1.45%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.45% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.02% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y2.73%
EPS Next 2Y5.81%
EPS Next 3Y7.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.48%
Revenue Next 2Y1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y2.02%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CTC is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.77.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.35, CTC is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.38, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CTC.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CTC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CTC to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say CTC is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.77
Fwd PE 17.38
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

CTC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CTC is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CTC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.08
EV/EBITDA 9.23
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200 250

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CTC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)5.41
PEG (5Y)3.02
EPS Next 2Y5.81%
EPS Next 3Y7.45%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.92%, CTC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.36. CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.92%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 25.86%, which is quite nice.
CTC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CTC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)25.86%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

55.13% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CTC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CTC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP55.13%
EPS Next 2Y5.81%
EPS Next 3Y7.45%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

235

+3 (+1.29%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)02-13 2025-02-13/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2025-05-07
Inst Owners34.37%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.49%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.07B
Analysts71
Price Target234.94 (-0.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.92%
Yearly Dividend6.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)25.86%
DP55.13%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date04-30 2025-04-30 (1.775)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)29.14%
Min EPS beat(2)15.47%
Max EPS beat(2)42.82%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)31.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.48%
Max EPS beat(4)101.26%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)13.39%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)13.84%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)31.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.65%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.26%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.78%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-0.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.77
Fwd PE 17.38
P/S 0.8
P/FCF 10.08
P/OCF 6.35
P/B 2.29
P/tB 3.71
EV/EBITDA 9.23
EPS(TTM)15.91
EY6.77%
EPS(NY)13.52
Fwd EY5.75%
FCF(TTM)23.3
FCFY9.92%
OCF(TTM)37.01
OCFY15.75%
SpS292.94
BVpS102.84
TBVpS63.28
PEG (NY)5.41
PEG (5Y)3.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.84%
ROE 11.34%
ROCE 8.83%
ROIC 5.62%
ROICexc 5.8%
ROICexgc 6.72%
OM 8.33%
PM (TTM) 3.98%
GM 34.53%
FCFM 7.96%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-6.25%
OM growth 5Y-0.51%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.25
Debt/FCF 6.65
Debt/EBITDA 3.33
Cap/Depr 96.36%
Cap/Sales 4.68%
Interest Coverage 3.43
Cash Conversion 95.8%
Profit Quality 199.82%
Current Ratio 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.19
Altman-Z 1.93
F-Score6
WACC9.86%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)92.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)319.21%
EPS 3Y-4.68%
EPS 5Y4.89%
EPS Q2Q%138.4%
EPS Next Y2.73%
EPS Next 2Y5.81%
EPS Next 3Y7.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.79%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%1.45%
Revenue Next Year1.48%
Revenue Next 2Y1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y2.02%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-16.72%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.12%
EBIT growth 5Y1.87%
EBIT Next Year64.79%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y56.7%
FCF growth 3Y11.28%
FCF growth 5Y24.67%
OCF growth 1Y35.5%
OCF growth 3Y4.39%
OCF growth 5Y13.67%