Logo image of CTC.CA

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:CTC - CA1366811034 - Common Stock

234.55 CAD
-0.45 (-0.19%)
Last: 12/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall CTC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated CTC against 3 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. The financial health of CTC is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. CTC has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally CTC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CTC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CTC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years CTC has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years CTC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

CTC has a worse Return On Assets (3.33%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Return On Equity of 12.37%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CTC (5.83%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CTC is below the industry average of 10.70%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROIC 5.83%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
CTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCTC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CTC (4.49%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
CTC has a worse Operating Margin (8.54%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 34.22%, CTC is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
CTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCTC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CTC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CTC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
CTC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CTC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCTC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
CTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCTC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

CTC has an Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is not the best score and indicates that CTC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.04, CTC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.07. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CTC would need 17.07 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CTC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.07. This is in the lower half of the industry: CTC underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.13 is on the high side and indicates that CTC has dependencies on debt financing.
CTC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.13. This is in the better half of the industry: CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Altman-Z 2.04
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC7.07%
CTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCTC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

CTC has a Current Ratio of 1.80. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of CTC (1.80) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.36. This is a normal value and indicates that CTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CTC has a Quick ratio of 1.36. This is in the better half of the industry: CTC outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
CTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCTC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CTC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 12.68%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, CTC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -0.74% on average per year.
CTC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.13%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.68%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.55% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.54% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.12%
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
CTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCTC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.48, CTC is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.56, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.62, which indicates a correct valuation of CTC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.79. CTC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.48
Fwd PE 16.62
CTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCTC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CTC is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.19
EV/EBITDA 8.75
CTC.CA Per share dataCTC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)3.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.37%, CTC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.98. CTC pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
CTC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.37%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CTC grows each year by 20.98%, which is quite nice.
CTC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CTC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
CTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCTC.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

49.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CTC. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of CTC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP49.67%
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%
CTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCTC.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CTC.CA Dividend Payout.CTC.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CTC.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CANADIAN TIRE CORP

TSX:CTC (12/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

234.55

-0.45 (-0.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11
Inst Owners34.79%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.57%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.48B
Revenue(TTM)16.27B
Net Income(TTM)730.40M
Analysts50.59
Price Target257.62 (9.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.37%
Yearly Dividend6.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)20.98%
DP49.67%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date01-30 2026-01-30 (1.8)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)9.62%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(2)29.28%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)16.39%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.03%
Max EPS beat(4)53.7%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)24.08%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)14.39%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)14.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.33%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.12%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.18%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-4.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.48
Fwd PE 16.62
P/S 0.77
P/FCF 27.19
P/OCF 12.14
P/B 2.11
P/tB 2.75
EV/EBITDA 8.75
EPS(TTM)13.42
EY5.72%
EPS(NY)14.11
Fwd EY6.02%
FCF(TTM)8.63
FCFY3.68%
OCF(TTM)19.33
OCFY8.24%
SpS305.86
BVpS110.95
TBVpS85.3
PEG (NY)3.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number183.03
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.33%
ROE 12.37%
ROCE 9%
ROIC 5.83%
ROICexc 6%
ROICexgc 6.56%
OM 8.54%
PM (TTM) 4.49%
GM 34.22%
FCFM 2.82%
ROA(3y)3.23%
ROA(5y)3.71%
ROE(3y)12.28%
ROE(5y)15.11%
ROIC(3y)6.91%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
ROICexc(3y)7.13%
ROICexc(5y)7.69%
ROICexgc(3y)8.31%
ROICexgc(5y)9.13%
ROCE(3y)10.78%
ROCE(5y)10.92%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.73%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.52%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y2.41%
PM growth 3Y-7.79%
PM growth 5Y0.27%
GM growth 3Y-1.38%
GM growth 5Y0.48%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 17.07
Debt/EBITDA 3.11
Cap/Depr 74.9%
Cap/Sales 3.5%
Interest Coverage 3.72
Cash Conversion 47.83%
Profit Quality 62.84%
Current Ratio 1.8
Quick Ratio 1.36
Altman-Z 2.04
F-Score7
WACC7.07%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)92.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.68%
EPS 3Y-12.66%
EPS 5Y-0.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.29%
EPS Next Y5.12%
EPS Next 2Y5.83%
EPS Next 3Y6.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.13%
Revenue growth 3Y0.13%
Revenue growth 5Y2.39%
Sales Q2Q%-2.08%
Revenue Next Year-1.34%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.54%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y4.86%
EBIT Next Year50.73%
EBIT Next 3Y16.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-44.51%
FCF growth 3Y11.28%
FCF growth 5Y24.67%
OCF growth 1Y-32.32%
OCF growth 3Y4.39%
OCF growth 5Y13.67%

CANADIAN TIRE CORP / CTC.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN TIRE CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CTC.CA.


What is the valuation status for CTC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is expected to grow by 5.12% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of CANADIAN TIRE CORP (CTC.CA) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 49.67%.