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CSX CORP (CSX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:CSX - US1264081035 - Common Stock

37.67 USD
+0.2 (+0.53%)
Last: 1/27/2026, 4:20:03 PM
37.67 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/27/2026, 4:20:03 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, CSX scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CSX was compared to 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While CSX has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. CSX has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. CSX also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CSX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • CSX has a better Return On Assets (6.61%) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 21.95%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CSX is above the industry average of 6.92%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.95%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.50%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
  • CSX's Operating Margin of 33.17% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 70.78%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CSX is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has about the same debt to assets ratio.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CSX is 11.03, which is on the high side as it means it would take CSX, 11.03 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CSX (11.03) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38 is on the high side and indicates that CSX has dependencies on debt financing.
  • CSX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.38. This is in the lower half of the industry: CSX underperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC9.79%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a worse Quick ratio (0.81) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CSX have decreased strongly by -12.02% in the last year.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.76% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.20% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y17.91%
EPS Next 2Y15.08%
EPS Next 3Y13.54%
EPS Next 5Y11.2%
Revenue Next Year2.82%
Revenue Next 2Y3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y3.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 23.40, the valuation of CSX can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.81% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.25, CSX is valued at the same level.
  • CSX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.84.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.81% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.98), we can say CSX is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.4
Fwd PE 19.84
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 69.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 41
EV/EBITDA 13.84
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CSX's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CSX may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 13.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)4.06
EPS Next 2Y15.08%
EPS Next 3Y13.54%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.42%.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.69.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.42%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.35%!
  • CSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.35%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 33.64% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CSX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y15.08%
EPS Next 3Y13.54%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CSX CORP / CSX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CSX.


Can you provide the valuation status for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CSX CORP?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for CSX stock?

The financial health rating of CSX CORP (CSX) is 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CSX CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 17.91% in the next year.