CSX CORP (CSX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035
42.65 USD
+0.43 (+1.02%)
At close: Feb 26, 2026
42.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/26/2026, 4:15:13 PM
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to CSX. CSX was compared to 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While CSX has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. CSX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally CSX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CSX was profitable.
- CSX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- CSX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- CSX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- CSX has a better Return On Assets (6.61%) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
- CSX has a Return On Equity of 21.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of CSX (8.81%) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CSX is above the industry average of 7.34%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.61% | ||
| ROE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
1.3 Margins
- CSX has a Profit Margin of 20.50%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
- CSX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of CSX (33.17%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
- CSX has a Gross Margin of 70.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 33.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.5% | ||
| GM | 70.78% |
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CSX is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has about the same debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.54 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CSX has a Altman-Z score (2.54) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CSX is 11.03, which is on the high side as it means it would take CSX, 11.03 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CSX's Debt to FCF ratio of 11.03 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CSX outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
- CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.38, CSX is not doing good in the industry: 80.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10.04%
2.3 Liquidity
- CSX has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CSX's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CSX is outperformed by 76.19% of its industry peers.
- CSX has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, CSX is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CSX have decreased strongly by -12.02% in the last year.
- CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.76% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, CSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.03% on average per year.
- CSX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
EPS Next 5Y11.03%
Revenue Next Year2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.34%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 26.49, the valuation of CSX can be described as expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.05, CSX is valued at the same level.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.90, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CSX.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CSX is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.03. CSX is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 46.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CSX's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)4.6
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.25%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.67, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- CSX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.80.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.25% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.36%!
- CSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- CSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
5.3 Sustainability
- CSX pays out 33.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of CSX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
42.65
+0.43 (+1.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-22 2026-01-22/amc
Earnings (Next)04-14 2026-04-14
Inst Owners79.94%
Inst Owner Change0.44%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-1.76%
Market Cap79.42B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80.67
Price Target40.57 (-4.88%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.25% |
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)0.16%
PT rev (3m)1.19%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.78%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.98%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.9 | ||
| P/S | 5.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 46.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.22 | ||
| P/B | 6.04 | ||
| P/tB | 6.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.23 |
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.77%
EPS(NY)1.86
Fwd EY4.37%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.15%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.81%
SpS7.57
BVpS7.06
TBVpS6.92
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)4.6
Graham Number16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.61% | ||
| ROE | 21.96% | ||
| ROCE | 11.53% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.96% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.02% | ||
| OM | 33.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.5% | ||
| GM | 70.78% | ||
| FCFM | 12.14% |
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 11.03 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 172.74% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.59% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.37 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | 59.22% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score5
WACC10.04%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
EPS Next 5Y11.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.34%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year45%
EBIT Next 3Y17.26%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%
CSX CORP / CSX FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.
Can you provide the valuation status for CSX CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CSX CORP?
CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for CSX stock?
The financial health rating of CSX CORP (CSX) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CSX CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 15.7% in the next year.