CSX CORP (CSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

Current stock price

45.41 USD
-0.77 (-1.67%)
At close:
45.56 USD
+0.15 (+0.33%)
After Hours:

This CSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CSX was profitable.
  • CSX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CSX (6.90%) is better than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 22.47%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.02%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CSX is above the industry average of 7.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.9%
ROE 22.47%
ROIC 9.02%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CSX has a Profit Margin of 21.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • CSX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CSX's Operating Margin of 34.22% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.51%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.22%
PM (TTM) 21.55%
GM 71.51%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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3

2. CSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CSX is destroying value.
  • CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CSX has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.68 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CSX has a Altman-Z score (2.68) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.91. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 9.91 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 9.91, CSX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.34. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • CSX has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.34) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF 9.91
Altman-Z 2.68
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10.22%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CSX has a Current Ratio of 0.97. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX's Current ratio of 0.97 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CSX is outperformed by 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX's Quick ratio of 0.83 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CSX is outperformed by 69.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.83
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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3

3. CSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CSX shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.58%.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.92% in the past year.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.58%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%26.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%1.72%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.70% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.02% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y10.7%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y4.02%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4

4. CSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 26.71 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CSX.
  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • CSX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • CSX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.51.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.29. CSX is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.71
Fwd PE 21.51
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 44.36
EV/EBITDA 15.67
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CSX's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.64
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%

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7

5. CSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.23%, CSX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.62, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.23%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.36%!
  • CSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 32.36% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CSX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP32.36%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (4/24/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 45.56 +0.15 (+0.33%)

45.41

-0.77 (-1.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)04-22
Earnings (Next)07-21
Inst Owners80.56%
Inst Owner Change-0.15%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change1.49%
Market Cap84.46B
Revenue(TTM)14.15B
Net Income(TTM)3.05B
Analysts80
Price Target42.32 (-6.8%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio3.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.23%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP32.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)9.25%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(4)9.25%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.45%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.5%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.6%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.28%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)3.98%
PT rev (3m)4.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.71
Fwd PE 21.51
P/S 5.97
P/FCF 44.36
P/OCF 18.24
P/B 6.22
P/tB 6.35
EV/EBITDA 15.67
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY3.74%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY4.65%
FCF(TTM)1.02
FCFY2.25%
OCF(TTM)2.49
OCFY5.48%
SpS7.61
BVpS7.3
TBVpS7.16
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.64
Graham Number16.7082 (-63.21%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.9%
ROE 22.47%
ROCE 11.81%
ROIC 9.02%
ROICexc 9.27%
ROICexgc 9.34%
OM 34.22%
PM (TTM) 21.55%
GM 71.51%
FCFM 13.45%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF 9.91
Debt/EBITDA 2.79
Cap/Depr 163.23%
Cap/Sales 19.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 71.09%
Profit Quality 62.43%
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 2.68
F-Score6
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.58%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%26.47%
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y10.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%1.72%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y4.02%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.04%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year44.05%
EBIT Next 3Y17.21%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y-36.72%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-13.41%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CSX stock?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 26.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.22.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 16.02% in the next year.