CSX CORP (CSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

Current stock price

43.405 USD
-0.3 (-0.7%)
Last:

This CSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CSX was profitable.
  • In the past year CSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CSX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • CSX has a better Return On Assets (6.61%) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Return On Equity of 21.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.81%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CSX is above the industry average of 7.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CSX's Profit Margin of 20.50% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • CSX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of CSX (33.17%) is better than 88.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • CSX has a Gross Margin of 70.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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2

2. CSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CSX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for CSX has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.60 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.60, CSX is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 11.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CSX has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.03) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • CSX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.38. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CSX underperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z 2.6
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC10.29%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CSX has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a Quick ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CSX underperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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3

3. CSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CSX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -12.02%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.76% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, CSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.94% on average per year.
  • CSX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4

4. CSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 26.96 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CSX.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CSX is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.95), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.24, CSX is valued on the expensive side.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.81% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • CSX is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.96
Fwd PE 23.24
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CSX.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CSX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CSX is cheaper than 64.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 47.18
EV/EBITDA 15.66
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)4.68
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%

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6

5. CSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%, CSX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.65.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.36%!
  • CSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CSX pays out 33.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (4/21/2026, 2:25:08 PM)

43.405

-0.3 (-0.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners80.56%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change2.51%
Market Cap80.73B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80
Price Target42.32 (-2.5%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio3.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)3.98%
PT rev (3m)4.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.96
Fwd PE 23.24
P/S 5.73
P/FCF 47.18
P/OCF 17.5
P/B 6.14
P/tB 6.26
EV/EBITDA 15.66
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.71%
EPS(NY)1.87
Fwd EY4.3%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.12%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.71%
SpS7.58
BVpS7.07
TBVpS6.93
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)4.68
Graham Number16.0064 (-63.12%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROCE 11.53%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 9.02%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 172.74%
Cap/Sales 20.59%
Interest Coverage 5.37
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 59.22%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 2.6
F-Score5
WACC10.29%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year44.05%
EBIT Next 3Y17.21%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CSX stock?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 26.96 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.14.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 16.02% in the next year.