CSX CORP (CSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

Current stock price

45.09 USD
-0.34 (-0.75%)
At close:
44.86 USD
-0.23 (-0.51%)
After Hours:

This CSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CSX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.90%, CSX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 22.47%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.02%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CSX is above the industry average of 7.17%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.9%
ROE 22.47%
ROIC 9.02%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CSX has a Profit Margin of 21.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of CSX (34.22%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 71.51%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.22%
PM (TTM) 21.55%
GM 71.51%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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3

2. CSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CSX is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • CSX has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • CSX has an Altman-Z score of 2.68. This is not the best score and indicates that CSX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CSX (2.68) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CSX is 9.91, which is on the high side as it means it would take CSX, 9.91 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 9.91, CSX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.34. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.34, CSX is not doing good in the industry: 80.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF 9.91
Altman-Z 2.68
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10.29%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CSX has a Current Ratio of 0.97. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a Current ratio of 0.97. This is in the lower half of the industry: CSX underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Quick Ratio of 0.97. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a worse Quick ratio (0.83) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.83
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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3

3. CSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CSX shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.58%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.76% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.92% in the past year.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.58%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%26.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%1.72%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.70% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.02% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y10.7%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y4.02%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4

4. CSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CSX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.52.
  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • CSX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.35, the valuation of CSX can be described as rather expensive.
  • CSX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CSX is cheaper than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.52
Fwd PE 21.35
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • CSX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CSX is cheaper than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 44.05
EV/EBITDA 15.68
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CSX's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)4.6
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%

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7

5. CSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.25%, CSX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.62.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.25%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.36%!
  • CSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CSX pays out 32.36% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP32.36%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (5/1/2026, 8:19:25 PM)

After market: 44.86 -0.23 (-0.51%)

45.09

-0.34 (-0.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Industry Strength81.99
Industry Growth36.65
Earnings (Last)04-22
Earnings (Next)07-21
Inst Owners80.56%
Inst Owner Change-0.15%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change1.49%
Market Cap83.87B
Revenue(TTM)14.15B
Net Income(TTM)3.05B
Analysts80
Price Target46.3 (2.68%)
Short Float %2.27%
Short Ratio3.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.25%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP32.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)9.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(4)9.26%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.45%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.5%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.27%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.6%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.28%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)3.98%
PT rev (3m)4.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.52
Fwd PE 21.35
P/S 5.93
P/FCF 44.05
P/OCF 18.11
P/B 6.18
P/tB 6.3
EV/EBITDA 15.68
EPS(TTM)1.7
EY3.77%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY4.68%
FCF(TTM)1.02
FCFY2.27%
OCF(TTM)2.49
OCFY5.52%
SpS7.61
BVpS7.3
TBVpS7.16
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)4.6
Graham Number16.7082 (-62.94%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.9%
ROE 22.47%
ROCE 11.81%
ROIC 9.02%
ROICexc 9.27%
ROICexgc 9.34%
OM 34.22%
PM (TTM) 21.55%
GM 71.51%
FCFM 13.45%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF 9.91
Debt/EBITDA 2.79
Cap/Depr 163.23%
Cap/Sales 19.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 71.09%
Profit Quality 62.43%
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 2.68
F-Score6
WACC10.29%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.58%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%26.47%
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y10.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.92%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%1.72%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y4.02%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.04%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year44.05%
EBIT Next 3Y17.21%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y-36.72%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-13.41%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CSX stock?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 26.52 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.18.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 16.02% in the next year.