CSX CORP (CSX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

43.17 USD
+0.48 (+1.12%)
At close: Mar 2, 2026
43.4017 USD
+0.23 (+0.54%)
After Hours: 3/2/2026, 8:11:33 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

CSX gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. CSX scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. CSX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally CSX also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CSX was profitable.
  • CSX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CSX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • CSX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CSX (6.61%) is better than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 21.96%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.81%, CSX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.96%. This is above the industry average of 7.32%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.50%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CSX has a Operating Margin of 33.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • CSX has a better Gross Margin (70.78%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • CSX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CSX is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has about the same debt to assets ratio.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.56, CSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 11.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 11.03, CSX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.38, CSX is doing worse than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z 2.56
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC10%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: CSX underperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX's Quick ratio of 0.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CSX is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CSX have decreased strongly by -12.02% in the last year.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.03% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
EPS Next 5Y11.03%
Revenue Next Year2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.34%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CSX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.81.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.13), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
  • CSX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.17.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CSX is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.11), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.81
Fwd PE 23.17
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.98
EV/EBITDA 15.37
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.71
PEG (5Y)4.65
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.22%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.66.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, CSX is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.22%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CSX grows each year by 8.36%, which is quite nice.
  • CSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CSX pays out 33.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of CSX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (3/2/2026, 8:11:33 PM)

After market: 43.4017 +0.23 (+0.54%)

43.17

+0.48 (+1.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-14
Inst Owners79.94%
Inst Owner Change0.46%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-1.76%
Market Cap80.39B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80.67
Price Target40.7 (-5.72%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.22%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)0.49%
PT rev (3m)1.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.98%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.81
Fwd PE 23.17
P/S 5.7
P/FCF 46.98
P/OCF 17.43
P/B 6.11
P/tB 6.24
EV/EBITDA 15.37
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.73%
EPS(NY)1.86
Fwd EY4.32%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.13%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.74%
SpS7.57
BVpS7.06
TBVpS6.92
PEG (NY)1.71
PEG (5Y)4.65
Graham Number16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROCE 11.53%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 9.02%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 172.74%
Cap/Sales 20.59%
Interest Coverage 5.37
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 59.22%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 2.56
F-Score5
WACC10%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
EPS Next 5Y11.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.34%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year43.59%
EBIT Next 3Y17.02%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.


Can you provide the valuation status for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CSX CORP?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for CSX stock?

The financial health rating of CSX CORP (CSX) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CSX CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 15.7% in the next year.