CSX CORP (CSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

Current stock price

42.24 USD
-0.25 (-0.59%)
At close:
42.4 USD
+0.16 (+0.38%)
After Hours:

This CSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CSX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years CSX has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX had a positive operating cash flow.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • CSX's Return On Assets of 6.61% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CSX outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Return On Equity of 21.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CSX is above the industry average of 7.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 20.50%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 33.17%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 70.78%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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3

2. CSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CSX is still creating some value.
  • CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has about the same debt to assets ratio.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.55 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.55, CSX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CSX is 11.03, which is on the high side as it means it would take CSX, 11.03 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 11.03, CSX is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.38, CSX is doing worse than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z 2.55
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC9.94%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, CSX is not doing good in the industry: 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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3

3. CSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CSX have decreased strongly by -12.02% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.76% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • CSX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.94% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue Next Year2.64%
Revenue Next 2Y3.9%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4

4. CSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 26.24 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CSX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.68, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CSX.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.54. CSX is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.24
Fwd PE 22.68
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 45.91
EV/EBITDA 15.3
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CSX's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.62% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.55
EPS Next 2Y14.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.62%

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6

5. CSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.41%.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.72.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, CSX is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.36%!
  • CSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CSX pays out 33.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.62%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (4/10/2026, 8:15:12 PM)

After market: 42.4 +0.16 (+0.38%)

42.24

-0.25 (-0.59%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners80.95%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change2.51%
Market Cap78.55B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80
Price Target41.65 (-1.4%)
Short Float %1.91%
Short Ratio2.57
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.41%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)2.34%
PT rev (3m)3.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.24
Fwd PE 22.68
P/S 5.57
P/FCF 45.91
P/OCF 17.03
P/B 5.97
P/tB 6.09
EV/EBITDA 15.3
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.81%
EPS(NY)1.86
Fwd EY4.41%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.18%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.87%
SpS7.58
BVpS7.07
TBVpS6.93
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.55
Graham Number16.01
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROCE 11.53%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 9.02%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 172.74%
Cap/Sales 20.59%
Interest Coverage 5.37
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 59.22%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 2.55
F-Score5
WACC9.94%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year2.64%
Revenue Next 2Y3.9%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year43.59%
EBIT Next 3Y17%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CSX stock?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 26.24 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.97.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 15.7% in the next year.