CSX CORP (CSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

Current stock price

42.135 USD
-0.37 (-0.88%)
Last:

This CSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CSX was profitable.
  • CSX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX had a positive operating cash flow.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.61%, CSX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 21.96%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.81%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CSX is above the industry average of 7.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CSX's Profit Margin of 20.50% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 33.17%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
  • CSX's Gross Margin of 70.78% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • CSX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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2

2. CSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CSX is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • CSX has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • CSX has an Altman-Z score of 2.55. This is not the best score and indicates that CSX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CSX has a Altman-Z score (2.55) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 11.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CSX has a Debt to FCF ratio (11.03) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.38, CSX is doing worse than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z 2.55
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC9.97%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.81, CSX is not doing good in the industry: 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a Quick ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CSX underperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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3

3. CSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CSX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -12.02%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.76% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.94% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • CSX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue Next Year2.64%
Revenue Next 2Y3.9%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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4

4. CSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 26.17 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CSX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.33), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.56, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CSX.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.81% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.16), we can say CSX is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.17
Fwd PE 22.56
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 45.8
EV/EBITDA 15.3
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.63
PEG (5Y)4.54
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%

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6

5. CSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.32%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.66, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, CSX is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.32%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.36%!
  • CSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 33.64% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CSX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (4/15/2026, 2:32:09 PM)

42.135

-0.37 (-0.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners80.56%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change2.51%
Market Cap78.37B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80
Price Target41.87 (-0.63%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio3.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.32%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)2.89%
PT rev (3m)3.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.17
Fwd PE 22.56
P/S 5.56
P/FCF 45.8
P/OCF 16.99
P/B 5.96
P/tB 6.08
EV/EBITDA 15.3
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.82%
EPS(NY)1.87
Fwd EY4.43%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.18%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.89%
SpS7.58
BVpS7.07
TBVpS6.93
PEG (NY)1.63
PEG (5Y)4.54
Graham Number16.0064 (-62.01%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROCE 11.53%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 9.02%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 172.74%
Cap/Sales 20.59%
Interest Coverage 5.37
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 59.22%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 2.55
F-Score5
WACC9.97%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year2.64%
Revenue Next 2Y3.9%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year44.05%
EBIT Next 3Y17.21%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CSX stock?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 26.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.96.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 16.02% in the next year.