CSX CORP (CSX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

42.31 USD
+0.63 (+1.51%)
At close: Feb 20, 2026
42.37 USD
+0.06 (+0.14%)
After Hours: 2/20/2026, 8:26:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CSX. CSX was compared to 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. CSX has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. CSX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. CSX also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CSX was profitable.
  • CSX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CSX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CSX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • CSX's Return On Assets of 6.61% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CSX outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 21.95%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CSX (8.81%) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CSX is above the industry average of 7.38%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.95%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.50%, CSX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of CSX (33.17%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • CSX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CSX's Gross Margin of 70.78% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • CSX's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CSX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CSX has about the same debt to assets ratio.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 11.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CSX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 11.03. This is in the better half of the industry: CSX outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38 is on the high side and indicates that CSX has dependencies on debt financing.
  • CSX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.38. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CSX underperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC10.32%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CSX's Current ratio of 0.81 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CSX is outperformed by 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.81, CSX is doing worse than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • CSX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -12.02%.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.76% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.03% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
EPS Next 5Y11.03%
Revenue Next Year2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.34%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.28, CSX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.99, CSX is valued at the same level.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.71, the valuation of CSX can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 69.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.06), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.28
Fwd PE 22.71
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.05
EV/EBITDA 15.08
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CSX may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.56
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.28%, CSX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.68, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CSX's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.85.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.28%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CSX grows each year by 8.35%, which is quite nice.
  • CSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.35%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CSX pays out 33.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CSX's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (2/20/2026, 8:26:02 PM)

After market: 42.37 +0.06 (+0.14%)

42.31

+0.63 (+1.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-22
Earnings (Next)04-14
Inst Owners79.94%
Inst Owner Change0.49%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-1.26%
Market Cap78.79B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80.67
Price Target40.57 (-4.11%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.28%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.35%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)1.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.98%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.28
Fwd PE 22.71
P/S 5.59
P/FCF 46.05
P/OCF 17.08
P/B 5.99
P/tB 5.99
EV/EBITDA 15.08
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.81%
EPS(NY)1.86
Fwd EY4.4%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.17%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.86%
SpS7.57
BVpS7.07
TBVpS7.07
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.56
Graham Number16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.95%
ROCE 11.53%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 8.96%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.36%
ROICexgc(5y)10.83%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.37%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 172.74%
Cap/Sales 20.59%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 59.22%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC10.32%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y15.7%
EPS Next 2Y14.37%
EPS Next 3Y12.64%
EPS Next 5Y11.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.53%
Revenue Next 3Y3.67%
Revenue Next 5Y4.34%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year45%
EBIT Next 3Y17.26%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CSX.


Can you provide the valuation status for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CSX CORP?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for CSX stock?

The financial health rating of CSX CORP (CSX) is 2 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CSX CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 15.7% in the next year.