CSX CORP (CSX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CSX • US1264081035

Current stock price

43.18 USD
-0.19 (-0.44%)
At close:
46.1999 USD
+3.02 (+6.99%)
After Hours:

This CSX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CSX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CSX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CSX had a positive operating cash flow.
CSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCSX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • CSX's Return On Assets of 6.61% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CSX outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Return On Equity of 21.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.81%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CSX is above the industry average of 7.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
CSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCSX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CSX has a Profit Margin of 20.50%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 33.17%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CSX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of CSX (70.78%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
CSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCSX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

2

2. CSX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CSX is destroying value.
  • CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CSX has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for CSX has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
CSX Yearly Shares OutstandingCSX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCSX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • CSX has an Altman-Z score of 2.58. This is not the best score and indicates that CSX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CSX has a Altman-Z score (2.58) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 11.03. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 11.03 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CSX's Debt to FCF ratio of 11.03 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CSX outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.38 is on the high side and indicates that CSX has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CSX (1.38) is worse than 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Altman-Z 2.58
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC10.35%
CSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCSX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CSX has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: CSX underperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • CSX has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CSX's Quick ratio of 0.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CSX is outperformed by 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
CSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCSX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. CSX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CSX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -12.02%.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.76% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CSX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the last year.
  • CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%

3.2 Future

  • CSX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.94% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCSX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
CSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCSX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. CSX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.82, CSX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.79), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
  • CSX is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.12.
  • CSX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CSX is cheaper than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.88. CSX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.82
Fwd PE 23.12
CSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCSX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CSX is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CSX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.94
EV/EBITDA 15.56
CSX Per share dataCSX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CSX's earnings are expected to grow with 12.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.65
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. CSX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.65, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, CSX is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CSX grows each year by 8.36%, which is quite nice.
  • CSX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
CSX Yearly Dividends per shareCSX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CSX pays out 33.64% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of CSX is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.64%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
CSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCSX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CSX Dividend Payout.CSX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CSX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

CSX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CSX CORP

NASDAQ:CSX (4/22/2026, 8:17:42 PM)

After market: 46.1999 +3.02 (+6.99%)

43.18

-0.19 (-0.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)04-22
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners80.56%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change2.51%
Market Cap80.31B
Revenue(TTM)14.09B
Net Income(TTM)2.89B
Analysts80
Price Target42.32 (-1.99%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio3.1
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%
Yearly Dividend0.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.36%
DP33.64%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.07%
Max EPS beat(2)2.41%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.27%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.51%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.33%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.97%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.24%
PT rev (1m)3.98%
PT rev (3m)4.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.82
Fwd PE 23.12
P/S 5.7
P/FCF 46.94
P/OCF 17.41
P/B 6.11
P/tB 6.23
EV/EBITDA 15.56
EPS(TTM)1.61
EY3.73%
EPS(NY)1.87
Fwd EY4.33%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY2.13%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY5.74%
SpS7.58
BVpS7.07
TBVpS6.93
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)4.65
Graham Number16.0064 (-62.93%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.61%
ROE 21.96%
ROCE 11.53%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 9.02%
OM 33.17%
PM (TTM) 20.5%
GM 70.78%
FCFM 12.14%
ROA(3y)7.81%
ROA(5y)8.54%
ROE(3y)26.78%
ROE(5y)28.28%
ROIC(3y)9.96%
ROIC(5y)10.27%
ROICexc(3y)10.24%
ROICexc(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc(3y)10.38%
ROICexgc(5y)10.84%
ROCE(3y)13.03%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.24%
ROICexc growth 3Y-8.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.37%
OM growth 3Y-5.14%
OM growth 5Y-4.21%
PM growth 3Y-9.92%
PM growth 5Y-4.73%
GM growth 3Y-0.06%
GM growth 5Y-2.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.38
Debt/FCF 11.03
Debt/EBITDA 2.86
Cap/Depr 172.74%
Cap/Sales 20.59%
Interest Coverage 5.37
Cash Conversion 72.59%
Profit Quality 59.22%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 2.58
F-Score5
WACC10.35%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)155.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)146.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.41%
Profit Quality(3y)75.45%
Profit Quality(5y)79.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.02%
EPS 3Y-5.54%
EPS 5Y5.76%
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y16.02%
EPS Next 2Y14.52%
EPS Next 3Y12.9%
EPS Next 5Y9.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.74%
Revenue growth 5Y5.89%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year3.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.07%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5Y3.82%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.79%
EBIT growth 5Y1.44%
EBIT Next Year44.05%
EBIT Next 3Y17.21%
EBIT Next 5Y12.83%
FCF growth 1Y-37.05%
FCF growth 3Y-21.12%
FCF growth 5Y-8.29%
OCF growth 1Y-12.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.36%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%

CSX CORP / CSX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CSX.


What is the valuation status of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CSX stock?

CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 26.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.11.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CSX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CSX CORP (CSX) is expected to grow by 16.02% in the next year.