34.28 USD
+0.6 (+1.78%)
34.28 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, CSX scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CSX was compared to 43 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While CSX has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. CSX is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CSX was profitable.
In the past year CSX had a positive cash flow from operations.
CSX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CSX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CSX's Return On Assets of 6.71% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CSX outperforms 79.07% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CSX (22.76%) is better than 88.37% of its industry peers.
CSX has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 83.72% of its industry peers.
CSX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.70%. This is above the industry average of 7.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | 22.76% | ||
| ROIC | 9.01% |
ROA(3y)8.91%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)30.47%
ROE(5y)28.11%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)10.22%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 20.55%, CSX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.05% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CSX has declined.
CSX's Operating Margin of 33.82% is amongst the best of the industry. CSX outperforms 90.70% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CSX has declined.
CSX has a Gross Margin of 71.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CSX outperforms 83.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CSX has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 33.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.55% | ||
| GM | 71.17% |
OM growth 3Y-3.63%
OM growth 5Y-2.08%
PM growth 3Y-7.54%
PM growth 5Y-3.07%
GM growth 3Y-1.48%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CSX is destroying value.
CSX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CSX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CSX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.24 indicates that CSX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CSX has a Altman-Z score of 2.24. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CSX outperforms 51.16% of its industry peers.
CSX has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.35. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CSX would need 12.35 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CSX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (12.35) than 67.44% of its industry peers.
CSX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.45. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CSX (1.45) is worse than 76.74% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.35 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.24 |
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC10.72%
2.3 Liquidity
CSX has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that CSX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CSX has a worse Current ratio (0.85) than 72.09% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that CSX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.71, CSX is not doing good in the industry: 79.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for CSX have decreased strongly by -11.83% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.65% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.80% in the past year.
CSX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.83%
EPS 3Y5.69%
EPS 5Y5.65%
EPS Q2Q%-4.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.11%
Revenue growth 5Y4.02%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.18% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CSX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.83% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-8.34%
EPS Next 2Y2.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.5%
EPS Next 5Y7.18%
Revenue Next Year-2.74%
Revenue Next 2Y0.65%
Revenue Next 3Y1.87%
Revenue Next 5Y2.83%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.90, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CSX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CSX is cheaper than 74.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CSX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.45), we can say CSX is valued inline with the index average.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.77, CSX is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.46, CSX is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CSX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CSX is valued a bit cheaper than 69.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CSX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.7
EPS Next 2Y2.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CSX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.49%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.74, CSX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.45, CSX is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CSX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.56%!
CSX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CSX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.56%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
5.3 Sustainability
33.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CSX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
CSX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP33.08%
EPS Next 2Y2.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.5%
34.28
+0.6 (+1.78%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners80.87%
Inst Owner Change1.53%
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner Change0.19%
Market Cap63.83B
Revenue(TTM)14.12B
Net Income(TTM)2.90B
Analysts79.38
Price Target39.99 (16.66%)
Short Float %1.34%
Short Ratio1.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.56%
DP33.08%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.61%
Min EPS beat(2)2.68%
Max EPS beat(2)4.53%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.88%
Max EPS beat(4)4.53%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.59%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.23%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)1.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.66%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.22%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.87%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.02%
PT rev (1m)3.04%
PT rev (3m)2.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.38%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.77 | ||
| P/S | 4.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.83 | ||
| P/B | 5.01 | ||
| P/tB | 5.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.55 |
EPS(TTM)1.64
EY4.78%
EPS(NY)1.93
Fwd EY5.63%
FCF(TTM)0.83
FCFY2.43%
OCF(TTM)2.48
OCFY7.23%
SpS7.58
BVpS6.85
TBVpS6.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.7
Graham Number15.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | 22.76% | ||
| ROCE | 11.85% | ||
| ROIC | 9.01% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.22% | ||
| OM | 33.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.55% | ||
| GM | 71.17% | ||
| FCFM | 10.99% |
ROA(3y)8.91%
ROA(5y)8.6%
ROE(3y)30.47%
ROE(5y)28.11%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)10.22%
ROICexc(3y)11.14%
ROICexc(5y)10.77%
ROICexgc(3y)11.31%
ROICexgc(5y)10.9%
ROCE(3y)14.07%
ROCE(5y)13.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.33%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.55%
OM growth 3Y-3.63%
OM growth 5Y-2.08%
PM growth 3Y-7.54%
PM growth 5Y-3.07%
GM growth 3Y-1.48%
GM growth 5Y-1.36%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.35 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.87 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 180.39% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.29% | ||
| Profit Quality | 53.48% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.24 |
F-Score5
WACC10.72%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)145.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)135.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.36%
Profit Quality(3y)83.6%
Profit Quality(5y)86.73%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.83%
EPS 3Y5.69%
EPS 5Y5.65%
EPS Q2Q%-4.35%
EPS Next Y-8.34%
EPS Next 2Y2.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.5%
EPS Next 5Y7.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.8%
Revenue growth 3Y5.11%
Revenue growth 5Y4.02%
Sales Q2Q%-0.88%
Revenue Next Year-2.74%
Revenue Next 2Y0.65%
Revenue Next 3Y1.87%
Revenue Next 5Y2.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.17%
EBIT growth 3Y1.29%
EBIT growth 5Y1.85%
EBIT Next Year21.82%
EBIT Next 3Y11.73%
EBIT Next 5Y8.89%
FCF growth 1Y-50.29%
FCF growth 3Y-6.34%
FCF growth 5Y-3.17%
OCF growth 1Y-14.36%
OCF growth 3Y0.96%
OCF growth 5Y1.59%
CSX CORP / CSX FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CSX CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CSX.
What is the valuation status for CSX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CSX CORP (CSX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CSX CORP?
CSX CORP (CSX) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CSX CORP (CSX) is 20.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.01.
How sustainable is the dividend of CSX CORP (CSX) stock?
The dividend rating of CSX CORP (CSX) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 33.08%.