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CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:CPX - CA14042M1023 - Common Stock

61.33 CAD
+0.95 (+1.57%)
Last: 11/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CPX. CPX was compared to 33 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. While CPX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, CPX is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CPX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years CPX has been profitable.
In the past 5 years CPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CPX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

CPX's Return On Assets of 2.50% is amongst the best of the industry. CPX outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
CPX has a Return On Equity of 7.64%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CPX outperforms 84.85% of its industry peers.
CPX has a Return On Invested Capital (2.38%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CPX is above the industry average of 3.80%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.5%
ROE 7.64%
ROIC 2.38%
ROA(3y)4.16%
ROA(5y)2.78%
ROE(3y)13.61%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)5.9%
ROIC(5y)5.1%
CPX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

CPX's Profit Margin of 10.96% is amongst the best of the industry. CPX outperforms 87.88% of its industry peers.
CPX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CPX has a Operating Margin (11.65%) which is in line with its industry peers.
CPX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 47.75%, CPX is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CPX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.65%
PM (TTM) 10.96%
GM 47.75%
OM growth 3Y8.09%
OM growth 5Y-8.02%
PM growth 3Y99.71%
PM growth 5Y35.39%
GM growth 3Y-7.47%
GM growth 5Y-7.72%
CPX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CPX is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CPX has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for CPX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CPX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCPX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CPX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.81, we must say that CPX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CPX's Altman-Z score of 0.81 is amongst the best of the industry. CPX outperforms 93.94% of its industry peers.
CPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 31.16. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CPX would need 31.16 years to pay back of all of its debts.
CPX's Debt to FCF ratio of 31.16 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CPX outperforms 48.48% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.22 is on the high side and indicates that CPX has dependencies on debt financing.
CPX has a better Debt to Equity ratio (1.22) than 78.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 31.16
Altman-Z 0.81
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC6.28%
CPX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

CPX has a Current Ratio of 0.74. This is a bad value and indicates that CPX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.74, CPX is doing worse than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
CPX has a Quick Ratio of 0.74. This is a bad value and indicates that CPX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.63, CPX is not doing good in the industry: 60.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.74
Quick Ratio 0.63
CPX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CPX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.37%.
Measured over the past years, CPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.29% on average per year.
The Revenue for CPX has decreased by -10.55% in the past year. This is quite bad
CPX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.37%
EPS 3Y37.52%
EPS 5Y31.29%
EPS Q2Q%-28.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.55%
Revenue growth 3Y23.8%
Revenue growth 5Y13.98%
Sales Q2Q%17.77%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CPX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.17% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.43% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-64.64%
EPS Next 2Y-18.44%
EPS Next 3Y-9.88%
EPS Next 5Y9.17%
Revenue Next Year-0.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.58%
Revenue Next 5Y0.43%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CPX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CPX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 21.90, the valuation of CPX can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CPX is valued a bit cheaper than 78.79% of the companies in the same industry.
CPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.90 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CPX.
CPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CPX is cheaper than 75.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.59. CPX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.9
Fwd PE 17.9
CPX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 200 400 600

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CPX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CPX is more expensive than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 43.56
EV/EBITDA 16.75
CPX.CA Per share dataCPX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
CPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.88% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.7
EPS Next 2Y-18.44%
EPS Next 3Y-9.88%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CPX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.58%, which is a nice return.
CPX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.78.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, CPX pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.58%

5.2 History

The dividend of CPX decreases each year by -1.04%.
CPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CPX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.04%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
CPX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCPX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

CPX pays out 84.33% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP84.33%
EPS Next 2Y-18.44%
EPS Next 3Y-9.88%
CPX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCPX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
CPX.CA Dividend Payout.CPX.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CPX.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CAPITAL POWER CORP

TSX:CPX (11/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

61.33

+0.95 (+1.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Inst Owners21.36%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.54B
Revenue(TTM)3.50B
Net Income(TTM)383.00M
Analysts73.75
Price Target76.12 (24.12%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.58%
Yearly Dividend2.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.04%
DP84.33%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date12-31 2025-12-31 (0.691)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-130.18%
Min EPS beat(2)-253.19%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.16%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-22.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-253.19%
Max EPS beat(4)101.4%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)7.39%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)27.64%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)25.28%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.69%
Min Revenue beat(2)-45.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)24.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-45.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)24.45%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.37%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)25.13%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)23.25%
PT rev (1m)10.28%
PT rev (3m)14.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-19.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.91%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.9
Fwd PE 17.9
P/S 2.73
P/FCF 43.56
P/OCF 8.02
P/B 1.9
P/tB 2.18
EV/EBITDA 16.75
EPS(TTM)2.8
EY4.57%
EPS(NY)3.43
Fwd EY5.59%
FCF(TTM)1.41
FCFY2.3%
OCF(TTM)7.65
OCFY12.47%
SpS22.47
BVpS32.24
TBVpS28.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.7
Graham Number45.07
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.5%
ROE 7.64%
ROCE 3.04%
ROIC 2.38%
ROICexc 2.41%
ROICexgc 2.54%
OM 11.65%
PM (TTM) 10.96%
GM 47.75%
FCFM 6.27%
ROA(3y)4.16%
ROA(5y)2.78%
ROE(3y)13.61%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)5.9%
ROIC(5y)5.1%
ROICexc(3y)6.62%
ROICexc(5y)5.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.3%
ROICexgc(5y)6.15%
ROCE(3y)7.55%
ROCE(5y)6.53%
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.86%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.56%
ROICexc growth 3Y19.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.64%
OM growth 3Y8.09%
OM growth 5Y-8.02%
PM growth 3Y99.71%
PM growth 5Y35.39%
GM growth 3Y-7.47%
GM growth 5Y-7.72%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.22
Debt/FCF 31.16
Debt/EBITDA 6.34
Cap/Depr 174.01%
Cap/Sales 27.78%
Interest Coverage 1.47
Cash Conversion 123.32%
Profit Quality 57.18%
Current Ratio 0.74
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 0.81
F-Score4
WACC6.28%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)154%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)22.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.11%
Profit Quality(3y)93.29%
Profit Quality(5y)241.73%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.37%
EPS 3Y37.52%
EPS 5Y31.29%
EPS Q2Q%-28.79%
EPS Next Y-64.64%
EPS Next 2Y-18.44%
EPS Next 3Y-9.88%
EPS Next 5Y9.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.55%
Revenue growth 3Y23.8%
Revenue growth 5Y13.98%
Sales Q2Q%17.77%
Revenue Next Year-0.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.58%
Revenue Next 5Y0.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-55.37%
EBIT growth 3Y33.82%
EBIT growth 5Y4.84%
EBIT Next Year53.25%
EBIT Next 3Y21.28%
EBIT Next 5Y13.35%
FCF growth 1Y-2.23%
FCF growth 3Y-34.45%
FCF growth 5Y-4.09%
OCF growth 1Y34.92%
OCF growth 3Y9.52%
OCF growth 5Y9.61%

CAPITAL POWER CORP / CPX.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CPX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CPX.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for CAPITAL POWER CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) stock?

CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is CAPITAL POWER CORP?

The financial health rating of CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) is 2 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 84.33%.