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CAPITAL POWER CORP (CPX.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CPX - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA14042M1023 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

58.69  +1.27 (+2.21%)

Fundamental Rating

5

CPX gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 37 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. While CPX belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. CPX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally CPX also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CPX was profitable.
CPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CPX has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CPX had a positive operating cash flow.
CPX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.78%, CPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.23%, CPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 5.07%, CPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CPX is in line with the industry average of 5.07%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.78%
ROE 13.23%
ROIC 5.07%
ROA(3y)4.16%
ROA(5y)2.78%
ROE(3y)13.61%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)5.9%
ROIC(5y)5.1%
CPX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 16.84%, CPX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.19% of the companies in the same industry.
CPX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 20.19%, CPX is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.65% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CPX has declined.
CPX has a Gross Margin (51.99%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CPX has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.19%
PM (TTM) 16.84%
GM 51.99%
OM growth 3Y8.09%
OM growth 5Y-8.02%
PM growth 3Y99.71%
PM growth 5Y35.39%
GM growth 3Y-7.47%
GM growth 5Y-7.72%
CPX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CPX is destroying value.
CPX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CPX has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for CPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CPX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCPX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CPX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.16, we must say that CPX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CPX's Altman-Z score of 1.16 is amongst the best of the industry. CPX outperforms 91.89% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99 indicates that CPX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CPX has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.99) than 83.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.16
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC6.29%
CPX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that CPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CPX's Current ratio of 1.19 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CPX outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
CPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that CPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CPX has a better Quick ratio (1.06) than 78.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 1.06
CPX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CPX have decreased strongly by -16.33% in the last year.
CPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.29% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CPX shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -11.83% in the last year.
CPX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.33%
EPS 3Y37.52%
EPS 5Y31.29%
EPS Q2Q%-34.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.83%
Revenue growth 3Y23.8%
Revenue growth 5Y13.98%
Sales Q2Q%-11.71%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.14% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
CPX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.20% yearly.
EPS Next Y-43.12%
EPS Next 2Y-22.17%
EPS Next 3Y-16.2%
EPS Next 5Y9.14%
Revenue Next Year-0.03%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y15.45%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.2%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CPX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
CPX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CPX is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.73.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CPX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.51), we can say CPX is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.81, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CPX.
CPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CPX is cheaper than 78.38% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (35.58), we can say CPX is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.73
Fwd PE 18.81
CPX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CPX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.85
CPX.CA Per share dataCPX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as CPX's earnings are expected to decrease with -16.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.41
EPS Next 2Y-22.17%
EPS Next 3Y-16.2%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.62%, CPX is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.45, CPX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
CPX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.35.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.62%

5.2 History

The dividend of CPX decreases each year by -1.04%.
CPX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CPX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.04%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
CPX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareCPX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

48.21% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CPX. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP48.21%
EPS Next 2Y-22.17%
EPS Next 3Y-16.2%
CPX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCPX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
CPX.CA Dividend Payout.CPX.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CPX.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CAPITAL POWER CORP

TSX:CPX (7/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

58.69

+1.27 (+2.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)04-30 2025-04-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30
Inst Owners18.26%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.10B
Analysts77.33
Price Target63.92 (8.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.62%
Yearly Dividend2.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.04%
DP48.21%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date06-30 2025-06-30 (0.6519)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)85.07%
Min EPS beat(2)68.75%
Max EPS beat(2)101.4%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)48.59%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.83%
Max EPS beat(4)101.4%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)47.12%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)55.43%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)38.06%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)14.01%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.46%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)21.9%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)33.02%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)21.87%
PT rev (1m)0.13%
PT rev (3m)-3.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)26.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.73
Fwd PE 18.81
P/S 2.5
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.97
P/B 1.96
P/tB 2.33
EV/EBITDA 10.85
EPS(TTM)4.61
EY7.85%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY5.32%
FCF(TTM)-0.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.55
OCFY11.15%
SpS23.5
BVpS29.92
TBVpS25.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.41
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.78%
ROE 13.23%
ROCE 6.49%
ROIC 5.07%
ROICexc 5.4%
ROICexgc 5.8%
OM 20.19%
PM (TTM) 16.84%
GM 51.99%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.16%
ROA(5y)2.78%
ROE(3y)13.61%
ROE(5y)9.04%
ROIC(3y)5.9%
ROIC(5y)5.1%
ROICexc(3y)6.62%
ROICexc(5y)5.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.3%
ROICexgc(5y)6.15%
ROCE(3y)7.55%
ROCE(5y)6.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y17.86%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.56%
ROICexc growth 3Y19.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.64%
OM growth 3Y8.09%
OM growth 5Y-8.02%
PM growth 3Y99.71%
PM growth 5Y35.39%
GM growth 3Y-7.47%
GM growth 5Y-7.72%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.7
Cap/Depr 224.85%
Cap/Sales 31.28%
Interest Coverage 2.96
Cash Conversion 81.66%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 1.06
Altman-Z 1.16
F-Score6
WACC6.29%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)154%
Cap/Depr(5y)128.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)22.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.11%
Profit Quality(3y)93.29%
Profit Quality(5y)241.73%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-16.33%
EPS 3Y37.52%
EPS 5Y31.29%
EPS Q2Q%-34.39%
EPS Next Y-43.12%
EPS Next 2Y-22.17%
EPS Next 3Y-16.2%
EPS Next 5Y9.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.83%
Revenue growth 3Y23.8%
Revenue growth 5Y13.98%
Sales Q2Q%-11.71%
Revenue Next Year-0.03%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y15.45%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.2%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.97%
EBIT growth 3Y33.82%
EBIT growth 5Y4.84%
EBIT Next Year48.37%
EBIT Next 3Y21.56%
EBIT Next 5Y10.82%
FCF growth 1Y-153.65%
FCF growth 3Y-34.45%
FCF growth 5Y-4.09%
OCF growth 1Y16.8%
OCF growth 3Y9.52%
OCF growth 5Y9.61%