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CONSUMER PORTFOLIO SERVICES (CPSS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CPSS - Nasdaq - US2105021008 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

11.86  -0.58 (-4.66%)

After market: 11.86 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

CPSS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 53 industry peers in the Consumer Finance industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CPSS while its profitability can be described as average. CPSS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CPSS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CPSS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years CPSS has always been profitable.
CPSS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CPSS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPSS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.61%, CPSS is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.38% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 7.45%, CPSS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.08% of the companies in the same industry.
CPSS has a Return On Invested Capital (0.17%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CPSS is significantly below the industry average of 7.34%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.61%
ROE 7.45%
ROIC 0.17%
ROA(3y)2.3%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)27.36%
ROE(5y)20.2%
ROIC(3y)2.17%
ROIC(5y)1.81%
CPSS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPSS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.93%, CPSS is doing worse than 65.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CPSS has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.21%, CPSS is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.38% of the companies in the same industry.
CPSS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CPSS has a Gross Margin (50.02%) which is in line with its industry peers.
CPSS's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.21%
PM (TTM) 5.93%
GM 50.02%
OM growth 3Y-11.99%
OM growth 5Y24.66%
PM growth 3Y22.71%
PM growth 5Y28.39%
GM growth 3Y-4.99%
GM growth 5Y-5.12%
CPSS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPSS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60 80

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CPSS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CPSS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CPSS has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CPSS has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CPSS Yearly Shares OutstandingCPSS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
CPSS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPSS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.25, we must say that CPSS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CPSS has a Altman-Z score of 0.25. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPSS outperforms 40.38% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CPSS is 14.04, which is on the high side as it means it would take CPSS, 14.04 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CPSS's Debt to FCF ratio of 14.04 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CPSS outperforms 42.31% of its industry peers.
CPSS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 10.89. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CPSS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (10.89) than 90.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 10.89
Debt/FCF 14.04
Altman-Z 0.25
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC5.09%
CPSS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPSS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.22 indicates that CPSS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CPSS's Current ratio of 0.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPSS is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
CPSS has a Quick Ratio of 0.22. This is a bad value and indicates that CPSS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.22, CPSS is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.22
Quick Ratio 0.22
CPSS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPSS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CPSS have decreased strongly by -58.54% in the last year.
CPSS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.97% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.25% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.70% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-58.54%
EPS 3Y25.95%
EPS 5Y24.97%
EPS Q2Q%-51.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.25%
Revenue growth 3Y4.18%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.7%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.84% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CPSS will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-51.78%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year17.17%
Revenue Next 2Y17.19%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CPSS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPSS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
CPSS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPSS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CPSS is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.63.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CPSS.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CPSS to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.46), we can say CPSS is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.37 indicates a rather cheap valuation of CPSS.
92.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CPSS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
CPSS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 92.56.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.63
Fwd PE 4.37
CPSS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPSS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

CPSS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
92.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CPSS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.15
EV/EBITDA 381.32
CPSS Per share dataCPSS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CPSS's earnings are expected to grow with 22.84% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CPSS!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CONSUMER PORTFOLIO SERVICES

NASDAQ:CPSS (1/31/2025, 8:22:31 PM)

After market: 11.86 0 (0%)

11.86

-0.58 (-4.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryConsumer Finance
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2025-02-18
Inst Owners24.1%
Inst Owner Change1.12%
Ins Owners38.35%
Ins Owner Change-4.38%
Market Cap253.92M
Analysts85.71
Price Target18.36 (54.81%)
Short Float %8.03%
Short Ratio18.16
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.63
Fwd PE 4.37
P/S 0.71
P/FCF 1.15
P/OCF 1.14
P/B 0.89
P/tB 0.89
EV/EBITDA 381.32
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY7.34%
EPS(NY)2.71
Fwd EY22.88%
FCF(TTM)10.33
FCFY87.12%
OCF(TTM)10.36
OCFY87.36%
SpS16.73
BVpS13.32
TBVpS13.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.61%
ROE 7.45%
ROCE 0.23%
ROIC 0.17%
ROICexc 0.17%
ROICexgc 0.17%
OM 2.21%
PM (TTM) 5.93%
GM 50.02%
FCFM 61.76%
ROA(3y)2.3%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)27.36%
ROE(5y)20.2%
ROIC(3y)2.17%
ROIC(5y)1.81%
ROICexc(3y)2.19%
ROICexc(5y)1.82%
ROICexgc(3y)2.21%
ROICexgc(5y)1.84%
ROCE(3y)2.93%
ROCE(5y)2.44%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-17.21%
ROICexcg growth 5Y17.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.15%
ROICexc growth 5Y17.72%
OM growth 3Y-11.99%
OM growth 5Y24.66%
PM growth 3Y22.71%
PM growth 5Y28.39%
GM growth 3Y-4.99%
GM growth 5Y-5.12%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 10.89
Debt/FCF 14.04
Debt/EBITDA 352.04
Cap/Depr 68.56%
Cap/Sales 0.17%
Interest Coverage 0.05
Cash Conversion 2514.89%
Profit Quality 1041.29%
Current Ratio 0.22
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z 0.25
F-Score4
WACC5.09%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)104.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)77.52%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.36%
Profit Quality(3y)395.09%
Profit Quality(5y)1257.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-58.54%
EPS 3Y25.95%
EPS 5Y24.97%
EPS Q2Q%-51.57%
EPS Next Y-51.78%
EPS Next 2Y22.84%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.25%
Revenue growth 3Y4.18%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.7%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year17.17%
Revenue Next 2Y17.19%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-87.52%
EBIT growth 3Y-8.31%
EBIT growth 5Y21.29%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y12.01%
FCF growth 3Y-0.19%
FCF growth 5Y1.99%
OCF growth 1Y11.03%
OCF growth 3Y-0.11%
OCF growth 5Y1.94%