CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CPE • US13123X5086

Current stock price

35.76 USD
+0.64 (+1.82%)
At close:
35.95 USD
+0.19 (+0.53%)
After Hours:

This CPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CPE was profitable.
  • In the past year CPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CPE had a positive operating cash flow.
CPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • CPE has a Return On Assets (5.98%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.05%, CPE is doing worse than 63.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 9.88%, CPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CPE is significantly below the industry average of 22.53%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.07%) for CPE is well above the current ROIC(9.88%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROIC 9.88%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
CPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • CPE has a Profit Margin of 17.12%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CPE has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of CPE (32.37%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CPE has declined.
  • CPE has a better Gross Margin (65.17%) than 67.61% of its industry peers.
  • CPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
CPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

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2

2. CPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CPE is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CPE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CPE Yearly Shares OutstandingCPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.14, we must say that CPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of CPE (1.14) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.53. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CPE would need 15.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 15.53, CPE is not doing good in the industry: 63.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • CPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CPE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CPE outperforms 49.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC7.94%
CPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CPE has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CPE has a Current ratio of 0.39. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CPE underperforms 92.49% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that CPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CPE has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 88.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
CPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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4

3. CPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CPE have decreased strongly by -49.21% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.38% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue for CPE has decreased by -27.48% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • Measured over the past years, CPE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 31.87% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CPE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.18% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
CPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10

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6

4. CPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CPE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.85.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.77, CPE is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.68, the valuation of CPE can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: CPE is cheaper than 88.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CPE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
CPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CPE is cheaper than 88.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CPE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 3.32
CPE Per share dataCPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALLON PETROLEUM CO

NYSE:CPE (3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.95 +0.19 (+0.53%)

35.76

+0.64 (+1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength83.23
Industry Growth72.67
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners1.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.34B
Net Income(TTM)401.20M
Analysts71.25
Price Target43.19 (20.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.26%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.23%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.17%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)5.19%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)4511.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)9%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)14.84%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)19.65%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)14.37%
PT rev (1m)0.46%
PT rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 2.18
P/B 0.6
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)7.37
EY20.61%
EPS(NY)6.29
Fwd EY17.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)16.43
OCFY45.94%
SpS35.23
BVpS60.01
TBVpS60.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROCE 12.51%
ROIC 9.88%
ROICexc 9.89%
ROICexgc 9.89%
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
FCFM 5.27%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.09%
ROICexc(5y)10.74%
ROICexgc(3y)16.09%
ROICexgc(5y)10.74%
ROCE(3y)20.34%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 180.9%
Cap/Sales 41.36%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion 84.42%
Profit Quality 30.79%
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)156.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.15%
Profit Quality(3y)125.52%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-54.89%
EBIT growth 3Y85.46%
EBIT growth 5Y23.93%
EBIT Next Year82.29%
EBIT Next 3Y27.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-75.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.41%
OCF growth 3Y24.97%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

CALLON PETROLEUM CO / CPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) stock?

CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of CALLON PETROLEUM CO based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 4.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CPE stock?

The dividend rating of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.