CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CPE • US13123X5086

35.76 USD
+0.64 (+1.82%)
At close: Mar 28, 2024
35.95 USD
+0.19 (+0.53%)
After Hours: 3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM

This CPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, CPE scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CPE was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of CPE while its profitability can be described as average. CPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. CPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CPE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years CPE 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • CPE has a Return On Assets of 5.98%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 44.60% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Return On Equity of 10.05%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CPE underperforms 63.38% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CPE (9.88%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CPE is significantly below the industry average of 22.17%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.07%) for CPE is well above the current ROIC(9.88%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROIC 9.88%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
CPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • CPE has a Profit Margin (17.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CPE has a Operating Margin (32.37%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CPE has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 65.17%, CPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CPE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
CPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

2

2. CPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CPE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • CPE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CPE Yearly Shares OutstandingCPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • CPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • CPE's Altman-Z score of 1.14 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CPE outperforms 44.60% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CPE is 15.53, which is on the high side as it means it would take CPE, 15.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CPE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 15.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: CPE underperforms 63.85% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.48, CPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC7.94%
CPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CPE has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CPE has a Current ratio of 0.39. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CPE underperforms 92.49% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that CPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of CPE (0.39) is worse than 88.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
CPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. CPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CPE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.21%.
  • CPE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.38% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CPE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.48% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 31.87% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CPE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.18% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
CPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10

6

4. CPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CPE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.85.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: CPE is cheaper than 88.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.29.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.68, the valuation of CPE can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: CPE is cheaper than 88.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.57.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
CPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CPE is cheaper than 88.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CPE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 3.32
CPE Per share dataCPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%

0

5. CPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALLON PETROLEUM CO

NYSE:CPE (3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.95 +0.19 (+0.53%)

35.76

+0.64 (+1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners1.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.34B
Net Income(TTM)401.20M
Analysts71.25
Price Target43.19 (20.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.26%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.23%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.17%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)5.19%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)4511.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)9%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)14.84%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)19.65%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)14.37%
PT rev (1m)0.46%
PT rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 2.18
P/B 0.6
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)7.37
EY20.61%
EPS(NY)6.29
Fwd EY17.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)16.43
OCFY45.94%
SpS35.23
BVpS60.01
TBVpS60.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROCE 12.51%
ROIC 9.88%
ROICexc 9.89%
ROICexgc 9.89%
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
FCFM 5.27%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.09%
ROICexc(5y)10.74%
ROICexgc(3y)16.09%
ROICexgc(5y)10.74%
ROCE(3y)20.34%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 180.9%
Cap/Sales 41.36%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion 84.42%
Profit Quality 30.79%
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)156.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.15%
Profit Quality(3y)125.52%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-54.89%
EBIT growth 3Y85.46%
EBIT growth 5Y23.93%
EBIT Next Year82.29%
EBIT Next 3Y27.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-75.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.41%
OCF growth 3Y24.97%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

CALLON PETROLEUM CO / CPE FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CPE stock?

CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CPE stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 4.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is expected to decline by -14.59% in the next year.