CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CPE • US13123X5086

Current stock price

35.76 USD
+0.64 (+1.82%)
At close:
35.95 USD
+0.19 (+0.53%)
After Hours:

This CPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CPE was profitable.
  • In the past year CPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CPE (5.98%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CPE's Return On Equity of 10.05% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPE is outperformed by 63.38% of its industry peers.
  • CPE's Return On Invested Capital of 9.88% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CPE outperforms 56.34% of its industry peers.
  • CPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.07%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.52%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.07%) for CPE is well above the current ROIC(9.88%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROIC 9.88%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
CPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • CPE has a Profit Margin (17.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CPE has declined.
  • CPE has a Operating Margin of 32.37%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 59.15% of its industry peers.
  • CPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CPE's Gross Margin of 65.17% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CPE outperforms 67.61% of its industry peers.
  • CPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
CPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

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2

2. CPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CPE is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CPE has more shares outstanding
  • CPE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CPE Yearly Shares OutstandingCPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.14, we must say that CPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of CPE (1.14) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CPE is 15.53, which is on the high side as it means it would take CPE, 15.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CPE (15.53) is worse than 63.85% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CPE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 49.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC7.94%
CPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that CPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CPE has a Current ratio of 0.39. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CPE underperforms 92.49% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CPE's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPE is outperformed by 88.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
CPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. CPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CPE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.21%.
  • CPE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.38% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, CPE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -27.48% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CPE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 31.87% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 1.18% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
CPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10

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6

4. CPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.85, the valuation of CPE can be described as very cheap.
  • 88.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CPE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.54, CPE is valued rather cheaply.
  • CPE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.68.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.68), we can say CPE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
CPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • CPE's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 3.32
CPE Per share dataCPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALLON PETROLEUM CO

NYSE:CPE (3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.95 +0.19 (+0.53%)

35.76

+0.64 (+1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength83.85
Industry Growth72.67
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners1.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.34B
Net Income(TTM)401.20M
Analysts71.25
Price Target43.19 (20.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.26%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.23%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.17%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)5.19%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)4511.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)9%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)14.84%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)19.65%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)14.37%
PT rev (1m)0.46%
PT rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 2.18
P/B 0.6
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)7.37
EY20.61%
EPS(NY)6.29
Fwd EY17.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)16.43
OCFY45.94%
SpS35.23
BVpS60.01
TBVpS60.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROCE 12.51%
ROIC 9.88%
ROICexc 9.89%
ROICexgc 9.89%
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
FCFM 5.27%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.09%
ROICexc(5y)10.74%
ROICexgc(3y)16.09%
ROICexgc(5y)10.74%
ROCE(3y)20.34%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 180.9%
Cap/Sales 41.36%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion 84.42%
Profit Quality 30.79%
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)156.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.15%
Profit Quality(3y)125.52%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-54.89%
EBIT growth 3Y85.46%
EBIT growth 5Y23.93%
EBIT Next Year82.29%
EBIT Next 3Y27.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-75.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.41%
OCF growth 3Y24.97%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

CALLON PETROLEUM CO / CPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) stock?

CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of CALLON PETROLEUM CO based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 4.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CPE stock?

The dividend rating of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.