CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CPE • US13123X5086

Current stock price

35.76 USD
+0.64 (+1.82%)
At close:
35.95 USD
+0.19 (+0.53%)
After Hours:

This CPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CPE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years CPE 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CPE had a positive operating cash flow.
CPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.98%, CPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CPE has a Return On Equity of 10.05%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CPE underperforms 63.38% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 9.88%, CPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CPE is significantly below the industry average of 22.74%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (9.88%) for CPE is well below the 3 year average (16.07%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CPE had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROIC 9.88%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
CPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • CPE has a Profit Margin (17.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CPE has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 32.37%, CPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CPE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CPE has a better Gross Margin (65.17%) than 67.61% of its industry peers.
  • CPE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
CPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

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2

2. CPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CPE is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CPE has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CPE Yearly Shares OutstandingCPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.14, we must say that CPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • CPE's Altman-Z score of 1.14 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CPE outperforms 44.60% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.53. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CPE would need 15.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CPE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 15.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: CPE underperforms 63.85% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CPE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC7.94%
CPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that CPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CPE's Current ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPE is outperformed by 92.49% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CPE's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPE is outperformed by 88.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
CPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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4

3. CPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CPE have decreased strongly by -49.21% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CPE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.38% on average per year.
  • CPE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -27.48%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 31.87% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 1.18% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
CPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10

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6

4. CPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 4.85, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of CPE.
  • CPE's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CPE is cheaper than 88.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.89, CPE is valued rather cheaply.
  • CPE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.68.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: CPE is cheaper than 88.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.50. CPE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
CPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CPE is cheaper than 88.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CPE.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 3.32
CPE Per share dataCPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CPE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALLON PETROLEUM CO

NYSE:CPE (3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.95 +0.19 (+0.53%)

35.76

+0.64 (+1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners1.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.34B
Net Income(TTM)401.20M
Analysts71.25
Price Target43.19 (20.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.26%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.23%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.17%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)5.19%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)4511.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)9%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)14.84%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)19.65%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)14.37%
PT rev (1m)0.46%
PT rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 2.18
P/B 0.6
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)7.37
EY20.61%
EPS(NY)6.29
Fwd EY17.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)16.43
OCFY45.94%
SpS35.23
BVpS60.01
TBVpS60.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROCE 12.51%
ROIC 9.88%
ROICexc 9.89%
ROICexgc 9.89%
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
FCFM 5.27%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.09%
ROICexc(5y)10.74%
ROICexgc(3y)16.09%
ROICexgc(5y)10.74%
ROCE(3y)20.34%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 180.9%
Cap/Sales 41.36%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion 84.42%
Profit Quality 30.79%
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)156.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.15%
Profit Quality(3y)125.52%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-54.89%
EBIT growth 3Y85.46%
EBIT growth 5Y23.93%
EBIT Next Year82.29%
EBIT Next 3Y27.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-75.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.41%
OCF growth 3Y24.97%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

CALLON PETROLEUM CO / CPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) stock?

CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of CALLON PETROLEUM CO based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 4.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CPE stock?

The dividend rating of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.