CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CPE • US13123X5086

Current stock price

35.76 USD
+0.64 (+1.82%)
At close:
35.95 USD
+0.19 (+0.53%)
After Hours:

This CPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CPE was profitable.
  • In the past year CPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CPE (5.98%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CPE has a Return On Equity of 10.05%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CPE underperforms 63.38% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.88%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 56.34% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CPE is significantly below the industry average of 22.49%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.07%) for CPE is well above the current ROIC(9.88%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROIC 9.88%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
CPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

  • CPE has a Profit Margin of 17.12%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 51.64% of its industry peers.
  • CPE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of CPE (32.37%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CPE has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of CPE (65.17%) is better than 67.61% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CPE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
CPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

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2

2. CPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • CPE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CPE Yearly Shares OutstandingCPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
CPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • CPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of CPE (1.14) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CPE is 15.53, which is on the high side as it means it would take CPE, 15.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CPE's Debt to FCF ratio of 15.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CPE is outperformed by 63.85% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that CPE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • CPE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CPE outperforms 49.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.24
WACC7.94%
CPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CPE has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of CPE (0.39) is worse than 92.49% of its industry peers.
  • CPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that CPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.39, CPE is doing worse than 88.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
CPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. CPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CPE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.21%.
  • CPE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.38% yearly.
  • The Revenue for CPE has decreased by -27.48% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • CPE shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 31.87% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CPE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.18% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.11% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
CPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10

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6

4. CPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 4.85, the valuation of CPE can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: CPE is cheaper than 88.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.79), we can say CPE is valued rather cheaply.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.68 indicates a rather cheap valuation of CPE.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.80), we can say CPE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
CPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 88.73% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CPE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CPE.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.25
EV/EBITDA 3.32
CPE Per share dataCPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CPE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALLON PETROLEUM CO

NYSE:CPE (3/28/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.95 +0.19 (+0.53%)

35.76

+0.64 (+1.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-01
Inst Owners1.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.44%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.34B
Net Income(TTM)401.20M
Analysts71.25
Price Target43.19 (20.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.26%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.14%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.23%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.17%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)5.19%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)4511.77%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)9%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)14.84%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)19.65%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)14.37%
PT rev (1m)0.46%
PT rev (3m)-6.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.85
Fwd PE 5.68
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 19.25
P/OCF 2.18
P/B 0.6
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 3.32
EPS(TTM)7.37
EY20.61%
EPS(NY)6.29
Fwd EY17.6%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY5.19%
OCF(TTM)16.43
OCFY45.94%
SpS35.23
BVpS60.01
TBVpS60.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.98%
ROE 10.05%
ROCE 12.51%
ROIC 9.88%
ROICexc 9.89%
ROICexgc 9.89%
OM 32.37%
PM (TTM) 17.12%
GM 65.17%
FCFM 5.27%
ROA(3y)8.03%
ROA(5y)-6.64%
ROE(3y)15.66%
ROE(5y)-61.53%
ROIC(3y)16.07%
ROIC(5y)10.73%
ROICexc(3y)16.09%
ROICexc(5y)10.74%
ROICexgc(3y)16.09%
ROICexgc(5y)10.74%
ROCE(3y)20.34%
ROCE(5y)13.58%
ROICexgc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y59.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.96%
OM growth 3Y41.16%
OM growth 5Y-6.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.25%
GM growth 3Y-2.42%
GM growth 5Y-4.53%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 15.53
Debt/EBITDA 1.48
Cap/Depr 180.9%
Cap/Sales 41.36%
Interest Coverage 4.33
Cash Conversion 84.42%
Profit Quality 30.79%
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score5
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC1.24
Cap/Depr(3y)156.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)174.18%
Cap/Sales(3y)29.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.15%
Profit Quality(3y)125.52%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.21%
EPS 3Y35.84%
EPS 5Y-1.38%
EPS Q2Q%-51.79%
EPS Next Y-14.59%
EPS Next 2Y1.06%
EPS Next 3Y1.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-27.48%
Revenue growth 3Y31.38%
Revenue growth 5Y31.87%
Sales Q2Q%-14.61%
Revenue Next Year-0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y3.07%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-54.89%
EBIT growth 3Y85.46%
EBIT growth 5Y23.93%
EBIT Next Year82.29%
EBIT Next 3Y27.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-75.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.41%
OCF growth 3Y24.97%
OCF growth 5Y18.49%

CALLON PETROLEUM CO / CPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to CPE.


Can you provide the valuation status for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CPE stock?

CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CPE stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is 4.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.6.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CALLON PETROLEUM CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CALLON PETROLEUM CO (CPE) is expected to decline by -14.59% in the next year.