CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CP • CA13646K1084
Current stock price
86.89 USD
+0.71 (+0.82%)
At close:
86.89 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This CP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CP had positive earnings in the past year.
- CP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years CP has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years CP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- CP has a Return On Assets of 4.82%. This is in the better half of the industry: CP outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of CP (9.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- CP's Return On Invested Capital of 5.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CP outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
- CP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.95%. This is below the industry average of 7.15%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.36%) for CP is above the 3 year average (4.95%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.82% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.36% |
ROA(3y)4.66%
ROA(5y)4.59%
ROE(3y)8.75%
ROE(5y)8.75%
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)4.45%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of CP (27.46%) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
- CP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CP has a better Operating Margin (37.62%) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CP has declined.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 85.38%, CP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- CP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 37.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.46% | ||
| GM | 85.38% |
OM growth 3Y-0.13%
OM growth 5Y-2.61%
PM growth 3Y-11.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.83%
GM growth 3Y1.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
2. CP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- CP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for CP has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for CP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- CP has an Altman-Z score of 2.27. This is not the best score and indicates that CP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.27, CP is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- CP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.69. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CP would need 10.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- CP's Debt to FCF ratio of 10.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CP outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
- CP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- CP has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.46) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.27 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC9.29%
2.3 Liquidity
- CP has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that CP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CP has a Current ratio of 0.49. This is amonst the worse of the industry: CP underperforms 95.24% of its industry peers.
- CP has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that CP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CP's Quick ratio of 0.41 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CP is outperformed by 95.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. CP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.22%, which is quite good.
- CP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.46% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.66% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, CP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.22%
EPS 3Y7.32%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%3.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.66%
Revenue growth 3Y19.6%
Revenue growth 5Y14.36%
Sales Q2Q%1.26%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.07% on average per year.
- CP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
EPS Next 5Y11.07%
Revenue Next Year5.31%
Revenue Next 2Y5.73%
Revenue Next 3Y6.39%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 25.78, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CP.
- 69.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.42, CP is valued at the same level.
- CP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.30.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CP is cheaper than 73.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.29. CP is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.3 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CP is on the same level as its industry peers.
- CP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.71 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CP's earnings are expected to grow with 14.66% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)4.72
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
5. CP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.77%, CP is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- CP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.62.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, CP's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.77% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CP has a limited annual growth rate of 4.71%.
- CP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of CP decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.71%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 19.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CP. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of CP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP19.22%
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
CP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
86.89
+0.71 (+0.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners73.46%
Inst Owner Change0.4%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap77.97B
Revenue(TTM)15.08B
Net Income(TTM)4.14B
Analysts82.86
Price Target92.53 (6.49%)
Short Float %0.99%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.77% |
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.71%
DP19.22%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-27 2026-03-27 (0.228)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.7%
Max EPS beat(2)-4%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.7%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.24%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.32%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.19%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-3.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.53%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.78%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.84%
PT rev (1m)1.24%
PT rev (3m)1.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.34%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.3 | ||
| P/S | 7.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.09 | ||
| P/B | 2.33 | ||
| P/tB | 4.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.71 |
EPS(TTM)3.37
EY3.88%
EPS(NY)3.9
Fwd EY4.48%
FCF(TTM)1.77
FCFY2.03%
OCF(TTM)4.32
OCFY4.98%
SpS12.28
BVpS37.37
TBVpS19.98
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)4.72
Graham Number53.2327 (-38.74%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.82% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROCE | 7.09% | ||
| ROIC | 5.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.37% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.29% | ||
| OM | 37.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.46% | ||
| GM | 85.38% | ||
| FCFM | 14.39% |
ROA(3y)4.66%
ROA(5y)4.59%
ROE(3y)8.75%
ROE(5y)8.75%
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)4.45%
ROICexc(3y)4.98%
ROICexc(5y)4.47%
ROICexgc(3y)6.83%
ROICexgc(5y)5.59%
ROCE(3y)6.57%
ROCE(5y)5.87%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.44%
OM growth 3Y-0.13%
OM growth 5Y-2.61%
PM growth 3Y-11.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.83%
GM growth 3Y1.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 155.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.83% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 52.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.27 |
F-Score7
WACC9.29%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)156.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.45%
Profit Quality(3y)52.93%
Profit Quality(5y)61.58%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.22%
EPS 3Y7.32%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%3.1%
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
EPS Next 5Y11.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.66%
Revenue growth 3Y19.6%
Revenue growth 5Y14.36%
Sales Q2Q%1.26%
Revenue Next Year5.31%
Revenue Next 2Y5.73%
Revenue Next 3Y6.39%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
EBIT growth 1Y7.12%
EBIT growth 3Y19.44%
EBIT growth 5Y11.37%
EBIT Next Year39.09%
EBIT Next 3Y17.84%
EBIT Next 5Y11.09%
FCF growth 1Y-9.85%
FCF growth 3Y-5.68%
FCF growth 5Y13.91%
OCF growth 1Y0.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.63%
OCF growth 5Y13.63%
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY / CP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CP.
What is the valuation status of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CP stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) is expected to grow by 15.63% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
The dividend rating of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.22%.