CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CP • CA13646K1084
Current stock price
81.48 USD
+1.34 (+1.67%)
At close:
81.4102 USD
-0.07 (-0.09%)
After Hours:
This CP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CP was profitable.
- CP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years CP has always been profitable.
- CP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.82%, CP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- CP's Return On Equity of 9.03% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CP outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of CP (5.36%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CP is below the industry average of 7.15%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (4.95%) for CP is below the current ROIC(5.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.82% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.36% |
ROA(3y)4.66%
ROA(5y)4.59%
ROE(3y)8.75%
ROE(5y)8.75%
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)4.45%
1.3 Margins
- CP's Profit Margin of 27.46% is amongst the best of the industry. CP outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- CP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CP has a better Operating Margin (37.62%) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
- CP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CP's Gross Margin of 85.38% is amongst the best of the industry. CP outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- CP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 37.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.46% | ||
| GM | 85.38% |
OM growth 3Y-0.13%
OM growth 5Y-2.61%
PM growth 3Y-11.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.83%
GM growth 3Y1.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
2. CP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CP has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for CP has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- CP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- CP has an Altman-Z score of 2.17. This is not the best score and indicates that CP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CP has a worse Altman-Z score (2.17) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CP is 10.69, which is on the high side as it means it would take CP, 10.69 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CP's Debt to FCF ratio of 10.69 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CP outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
- CP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of CP (0.46) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC8.97%
2.3 Liquidity
- CP has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that CP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.49, CP is not doing good in the industry: 95.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- CP has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that CP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.41, CP is not doing good in the industry: 95.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. CP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.22%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past 5 years, CP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.46% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, CP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.66% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, CP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.22%
EPS 3Y7.32%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%3.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.66%
Revenue growth 3Y19.6%
Revenue growth 5Y14.36%
Sales Q2Q%1.26%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 21.59% on average per year.
- CP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.67% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
EPS Next 5Y21.59%
Revenue Next Year5.31%
Revenue Next 2Y5.73%
Revenue Next 3Y6.39%
Revenue Next 5Y5.67%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. CP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- CP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.18.
- CP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CP is cheaper than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.87. CP is around the same levels.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.90 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CP.
- 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CP, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- CP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 38.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CP.
- CP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CP is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 46.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CP's earnings are expected to grow with 14.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)4.43
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
5. CP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.83%, CP is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- CP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.65.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, CP's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.83% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CP has a limited annual growth rate of 4.71%.
- CP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of CP decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.71%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 19.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CP. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of CP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP19.22%
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
CP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
81.48
+1.34 (+1.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners73.46%
Inst Owner Change0.03%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap73.11B
Revenue(TTM)15.08B
Net Income(TTM)4.14B
Analysts82.86
Price Target92.53 (13.56%)
Short Float %0.99%
Short Ratio3.01
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.83% |
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.71%
DP19.22%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-27 2026-03-27 (0.228)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.7%
Max EPS beat(2)-4%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.7%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.24%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.32%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.19%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-3.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.53%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.78%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.84%
PT rev (1m)1.24%
PT rev (3m)1.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.34%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.9 | ||
| P/S | 6.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 46.09 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.83 | ||
| P/B | 2.18 | ||
| P/tB | 4.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.84 |
EPS(TTM)3.37
EY4.14%
EPS(NY)3.9
Fwd EY4.78%
FCF(TTM)1.77
FCFY2.17%
OCF(TTM)4.33
OCFY5.31%
SpS12.29
BVpS37.4
TBVpS20
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)4.43
Graham Number53.2497 (-34.65%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.82% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROCE | 7.09% | ||
| ROIC | 5.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.37% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.29% | ||
| OM | 37.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.46% | ||
| GM | 85.38% | ||
| FCFM | 14.39% |
ROA(3y)4.66%
ROA(5y)4.59%
ROE(3y)8.75%
ROE(5y)8.75%
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)4.45%
ROICexc(3y)4.98%
ROICexc(5y)4.47%
ROICexgc(3y)6.83%
ROICexgc(5y)5.59%
ROCE(3y)6.57%
ROCE(5y)5.87%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.44%
OM growth 3Y-0.13%
OM growth 5Y-2.61%
PM growth 3Y-11.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.83%
GM growth 3Y1.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 155.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.83% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 52.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
F-Score7
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)156.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.45%
Profit Quality(3y)52.93%
Profit Quality(5y)61.58%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.22%
EPS 3Y7.32%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%3.1%
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y14.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.66%
EPS Next 5Y21.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.66%
Revenue growth 3Y19.6%
Revenue growth 5Y14.36%
Sales Q2Q%1.26%
Revenue Next Year5.31%
Revenue Next 2Y5.73%
Revenue Next 3Y6.39%
Revenue Next 5Y5.67%
EBIT growth 1Y7.12%
EBIT growth 3Y19.44%
EBIT growth 5Y11.37%
EBIT Next Year39.09%
EBIT Next 3Y17.84%
EBIT Next 5Y13.95%
FCF growth 1Y-9.85%
FCF growth 3Y-5.68%
FCF growth 5Y13.91%
OCF growth 1Y0.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.63%
OCF growth 5Y13.63%
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY / CP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CP.
What is the valuation status of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CP stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) is expected to grow by 15.63% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
The dividend rating of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.22%.