CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CP • CA13646K1084
Current stock price
81.2 USD
-0.45 (-0.55%)
At close:
81.2 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This CP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CP Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CP had positive earnings in the past year.
- CP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- CP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years CP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.82%, CP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- CP's Return On Equity of 9.03% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CP outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of CP (5.36%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CP is below the industry average of 7.15%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (5.36%) for CP is above the 3 year average (4.95%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.82% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROIC | 5.36% |
ROA(3y)4.66%
ROA(5y)4.59%
ROE(3y)8.75%
ROE(5y)8.75%
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)4.45%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 27.46%, CP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- CP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 37.62%, CP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CP has declined.
- CP has a Gross Margin of 85.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CP outperforms 97.62% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CP has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 37.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.46% | ||
| GM | 85.38% |
OM growth 3Y-0.13%
OM growth 5Y-2.61%
PM growth 3Y-11.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.83%
GM growth 3Y1.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
2. CP Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- CP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.19 indicates that CP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 2.19, CP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CP is 10.69, which is on the high side as it means it would take CP, 10.69 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.69, CP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46 indicates that CP is not too dependend on debt financing.
- CP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.46. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CP outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC8.87%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that CP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- CP's Current ratio of 0.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CP is outperformed by 95.24% of its industry peers.
- CP has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that CP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of CP (0.41) is worse than 95.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. CP Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.22%, which is quite good.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.46% on average over the past years.
- CP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.66%.
- CP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.22%
EPS 3Y7.32%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%3.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.66%
Revenue growth 3Y19.6%
Revenue growth 5Y14.36%
Sales Q2Q%1.26%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 21.59% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.67% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y15.88%
EPS Next 2Y14.98%
EPS Next 3Y14.6%
EPS Next 5Y21.59%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.65%
Revenue Next 3Y6.3%
Revenue Next 5Y5.67%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CP Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.38, CP is valued on the expensive side.
- 69.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, CP is valued at the same level.
- CP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.07.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CP indicates a rather cheap valuation: CP is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CP to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.68), we can say CP is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CP.
- CP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CP is cheaper than 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 46.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CP's earnings are expected to grow with 14.60% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.54
PEG (5Y)4.47
EPS Next 2Y14.98%
EPS Next 3Y14.6%
5. CP Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.84%, CP is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.72, CP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.84, CP pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.84% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CP has a limited annual growth rate of 4.71%.
- CP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of CP decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.71%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- CP pays out 19.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CP's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP19.22%
EPS Next 2Y14.98%
EPS Next 3Y14.6%
CP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
81.2
-0.45 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28/amc
Inst Owners73.67%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap72.91B
Revenue(TTM)15.08B
Net Income(TTM)4.14B
Analysts82.86
Price Target91.4 (12.56%)
Short Float %0.79%
Short Ratio2.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.84% |
Yearly Dividend0.63
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.71%
DP19.22%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-27 2026-03-27 (0.228)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.7%
Max EPS beat(2)-4%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.7%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.24%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.32%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.19%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-3.1%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.53%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.78%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.84%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.75%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.43%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.63%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.07 | ||
| P/S | 6.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 46.59 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.04 | ||
| P/B | 2.2 | ||
| P/tB | 4.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.05 |
EPS(TTM)3.33
EY4.1%
EPS(NY)3.85
Fwd EY4.75%
FCF(TTM)1.74
FCFY2.15%
OCF(TTM)4.27
OCFY5.25%
SpS12.11
BVpS36.86
TBVpS19.71
PEG (NY)1.54
PEG (5Y)4.47
Graham Number52.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.82% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROCE | 7.09% | ||
| ROIC | 5.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.37% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.29% | ||
| OM | 37.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.46% | ||
| GM | 85.38% | ||
| FCFM | 14.39% |
ROA(3y)4.66%
ROA(5y)4.59%
ROE(3y)8.75%
ROE(5y)8.75%
ROIC(3y)4.95%
ROIC(5y)4.45%
ROICexc(3y)4.98%
ROICexc(5y)4.47%
ROICexgc(3y)6.83%
ROICexgc(5y)5.59%
ROCE(3y)6.57%
ROCE(5y)5.87%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.44%
OM growth 3Y-0.13%
OM growth 5Y-2.61%
PM growth 3Y-11.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.83%
GM growth 3Y1.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 155.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 20.83% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.57 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 52.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
F-Score7
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)156.06%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.45%
Profit Quality(3y)52.93%
Profit Quality(5y)61.58%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.22%
EPS 3Y7.32%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%3.1%
EPS Next Y15.88%
EPS Next 2Y14.98%
EPS Next 3Y14.6%
EPS Next 5Y21.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.66%
Revenue growth 3Y19.6%
Revenue growth 5Y14.36%
Sales Q2Q%1.26%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.65%
Revenue Next 3Y6.3%
Revenue Next 5Y5.67%
EBIT growth 1Y7.12%
EBIT growth 3Y19.44%
EBIT growth 5Y11.37%
EBIT Next Year38.95%
EBIT Next 3Y17.83%
EBIT Next 5Y13.95%
FCF growth 1Y-9.85%
FCF growth 3Y-5.68%
FCF growth 5Y13.91%
OCF growth 1Y0.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.63%
OCF growth 5Y13.63%
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY / CP Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CP.
What is the valuation status of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CP stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) is expected to grow by 15.88% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) stock?
The dividend rating of CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY (CP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.22%.