Logo image of COTY

COTY INC-CL A (COTY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:COTY - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US2220702037 - Common Stock

7.14  -0.06 (-0.83%)

After market: 7.14 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, COTY scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. COTY was compared to 37 industry peers in the Personal Care Products industry. There are concerns on the financial health of COTY while its profitability can be described as average. COTY has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year COTY was profitable.
COTY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: COTY reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years COTY 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
COTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.26%, COTY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
COTY's Return On Equity of 3.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COTY outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
COTY has a Return On Invested Capital (3.85%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for COTY is significantly below the industry average of 13.52%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.85%) for COTY is above the 3 year average (3.16%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.26%
ROE 3.89%
ROIC 3.85%
ROA(3y)1.68%
ROA(5y)-0.65%
ROE(3y)5.64%
ROE(5y)-5.48%
ROIC(3y)3.16%
ROIC(5y)N/A
COTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

COTY has a Profit Margin of 2.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: COTY outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
COTY has a Operating Margin of 9.69%. This is in the better half of the industry: COTY outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
COTY's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 64.93%, COTY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COTY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.69%
PM (TTM) 2.56%
GM 64.93%
OM growth 3Y39.33%
OM growth 5Y19.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.4%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
COTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COTY is destroying value.
COTY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, COTY has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for COTY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
COTY Yearly Shares OutstandingCOTY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
COTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.51, we must say that COTY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.51, COTY is doing worse than 69.44% of the companies in the same industry.
COTY has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.18. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as COTY would need 17.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
COTY has a Debt to FCF ratio (17.18) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
COTY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.01, COTY is doing worse than 80.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF 17.18
Altman-Z 0.51
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.79%
COTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that COTY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
COTY has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: COTY underperforms 80.56% of its industry peers.
COTY has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that COTY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.55, COTY is not doing good in the industry: 86.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.55
COTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

COTY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.22%.
Measured over the past years, COTY shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -9.43% on average per year.
COTY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.90%.
Measured over the past years, COTY shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.22%
EPS 3Y40.71%
EPS 5Y-9.43%
EPS Q2Q%25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y9.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.55%
Sales Q2Q%1.83%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.33% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
COTY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y35.89%
EPS Next 2Y26.66%
EPS Next 3Y22.72%
EPS Next 5Y17.33%
Revenue Next Year1.84%
Revenue Next 2Y3.27%
Revenue Next 3Y4.08%
Revenue Next 5Y5.33%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
COTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B
COTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 0.5 1

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.00, COTY is valued on the expensive side.
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than COTY, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.96, COTY is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.41, the valuation of COTY can be described as reasonable.
COTY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. COTY is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COTY to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.11), we can say COTY is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17
Fwd PE 11.41
COTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COTY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
61.11% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than COTY, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.15
EV/EBITDA 9.91
COTY Per share dataCOTY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 -4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as COTY's earnings are expected to grow with 22.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.47
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.66%
EPS Next 3Y22.72%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

COTY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

COTY INC-CL A

NYSE:COTY (1/17/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.14 0 (0%)

7.14

-0.06 (-0.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupHousehold & Personal Products
GICS IndustryPersonal Care Products
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-10 2025-02-10/amc
Inst Owners38.17%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.85%
Ins Owner Change0.16%
Market Cap6.21B
Analysts75
Price Target10.49 (46.92%)
Short Float %3.66%
Short Ratio2.39
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)-49.18%
DP8.51%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-93.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-166.84%
Max EPS beat(2)-21.04%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-45.74%
Min EPS beat(4)-166.84%
Max EPS beat(4)25.01%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)34.39%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)38.14%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)34.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.31%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.85%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.11%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.18%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.37%
PT rev (1m)-1.57%
PT rev (3m)-18.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17
Fwd PE 11.41
P/S 1.01
P/FCF 26.15
P/OCF 12.53
P/B 1.54
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.91
EPS(TTM)0.42
EY5.88%
EPS(NY)0.63
Fwd EY8.76%
FCF(TTM)0.27
FCFY3.82%
OCF(TTM)0.57
OCFY7.98%
SpS7.07
BVpS4.65
TBVpS-4.08
PEG (NY)0.47
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.26%
ROE 3.89%
ROCE 6.03%
ROIC 3.85%
ROICexc 3.97%
ROICexgc 19.04%
OM 9.69%
PM (TTM) 2.56%
GM 64.93%
FCFM 3.86%
ROA(3y)1.68%
ROA(5y)-0.65%
ROE(3y)5.64%
ROE(5y)-5.48%
ROIC(3y)3.16%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.27%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)18.34%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.95%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y73.18%
ROICexcg growth 5Y49.37%
ROICexc growth 3Y62.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y29.53%
OM growth 3Y39.33%
OM growth 5Y19.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.4%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF 17.18
Debt/EBITDA 4.02
Cap/Depr 61.66%
Cap/Sales 4.2%
Interest Coverage 2.62
Cash Conversion 48.86%
Profit Quality 150.79%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 0.51
F-Score7
WACC6.79%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)48.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.15%
Profit Quality(3y)489.65%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.22%
EPS 3Y40.71%
EPS 5Y-9.43%
EPS Q2Q%25%
EPS Next Y35.89%
EPS Next 2Y26.66%
EPS Next 3Y22.72%
EPS Next 5Y17.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y9.74%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.55%
Sales Q2Q%1.83%
Revenue Next Year1.84%
Revenue Next 2Y3.27%
Revenue Next 3Y4.08%
Revenue Next 5Y5.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.37%
EBIT growth 3Y52.89%
EBIT growth 5Y19.15%
EBIT Next Year38.37%
EBIT Next 3Y16.49%
EBIT Next 5Y11.84%
FCF growth 1Y-40.62%
FCF growth 3Y36.64%
FCF growth 5Y11.64%
OCF growth 1Y-17.93%
OCF growth 3Y24.47%
OCF growth 5Y-0.79%