CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:COP - US20825C1045 - Common Stock
94.36 USD
-1.18 (-1.24%)
Overall COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated COP against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of COP get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. COP has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
COP had positive earnings in the past year.
COP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years COP 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of COP (7.20%) is better than 79.33% of its industry peers.
COP's Return On Equity of 13.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 74.52% of its industry peers.
COP's Return On Invested Capital of 7.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 71.15% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COP is significantly below the industry average of 20.87%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.48%) for COP is well above the current ROIC(7.70%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of COP (14.76%) is better than 64.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COP has declined.
COP has a Operating Margin (21.10%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
COP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
COP has a Gross Margin (46.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COP has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
COP has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, COP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.88 indicates that COP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
COP has a better Altman-Z score (2.88) than 80.29% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP is 3.31, which is a good value as it means it would take COP, 3.31 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP (3.31) is better than 74.52% of its industry peers.
COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
COP's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 58.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.96
WACC8%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.32, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.62% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
COP has a Quick ratio of 1.18. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 61.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -13.31% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.24% in the last year.
COP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y-9.7%
EPS Next 3Y1.27%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue Next Year9%
Revenue Next 2Y2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y4.08%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.29 indicates a correct valuation of COP.
61.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than COP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.56. COP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.89, the valuation of COP can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as COP.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.79, COP is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
71.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than COP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as COP.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
COP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
EPS Next 2Y-9.7%
EPS Next 3Y1.27%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.47%, COP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.83, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, COP pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.47% |
5.2 History
The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 17.10%!
COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
43.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y-9.7%
EPS Next 3Y1.27%
NYSE:COP (12/15/2025, 9:39:05 AM)
94.36
-1.18 (-1.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.96%
Inst Owner Change3.25%
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner Change-1.43%
Market Cap116.60B
Revenue(TTM)59.79B
Net Income(TTM)8.82B
Analysts80.59
Price Target114.58 (21.43%)
Short Float %1.07%
Short Ratio2.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.47% |
Yearly Dividend2.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP43.68%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.69%
Min EPS beat(2)1.92%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)5.2%
Min EPS beat(4)0.59%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.07%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.93%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.85%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.19%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.59%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1%
PT rev (1m)-1.79%
PT rev (3m)-3.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.46%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.89 | ||
| P/S | 1.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.85 | ||
| P/B | 1.8 | ||
| P/tB | 1.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.65 |
EPS(TTM)7.1
EY7.52%
EPS(NY)6.34
Fwd EY6.71%
FCF(TTM)5.74
FCFY6.08%
OCF(TTM)16.13
OCFY17.1%
SpS48.38
BVpS52.54
TBVpS52.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
Graham Number91.61
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROCE | 11.42% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.17% | ||
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% | ||
| FCFM | 11.86% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.94 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 115.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 14.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.82% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.33% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
F-Score5
WACC8%
ROIC/WACC0.96
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y-9.7%
EPS Next 3Y1.27%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
Revenue Next Year9%
Revenue Next 2Y2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y4.08%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.43%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year69.46%
EBIT Next 3Y21.53%
EBIT Next 5Y13.71%
FCF growth 1Y-31.82%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%
CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.
What is the valuation status of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of CONOCOPHILLIPS based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 13.29 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.8.
What is the financial health of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?
The financial health rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10.