CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP)
US20825C1045 - Common Stock
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to COP. COP was compared to 204 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COP has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. COP has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
COP had positive earnings in the past year.
COP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years COP 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.25%, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.88% of the companies in the same industry.
COP has a Return On Equity of 19.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 70.44% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of COP (10.93%) is better than 68.47% of its industry peers.
COP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 14.29%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.54%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.25% | ||
| ROE | 19.88% | ||
| ROIC | 10.93% |
ROA(3y)13.37%
ROA(5y)9.2%
ROE(3y)26.23%
ROE(5y)18.04%
ROIC(3y)14.29%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
COP has a Profit Margin of 17.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 60.59% of its industry peers.
COP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 25.49%, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.69% of the companies in the same industry.
COP's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
COP has a Gross Margin (47.34%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
COP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.95% | ||
| GM | 47.34% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y2.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.58%
GM growth 3Y11.66%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), COP is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for COP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
COP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for COP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.68 indicates that COP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.68, COP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP is 1.98, which is an excellent value as it means it would take COP, only 1.98 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP (1.98) is better than 75.86% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34 indicates that COP is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.34, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.68 |
ROIC/WACC1.32
WACC8.27%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.30 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
COP has a Current ratio (1.30) which is in line with its industry peers.
COP has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
COP has a Quick ratio (1.16) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for COP have decreased by -9.90% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.10% on average per year.
COP shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.89%.
Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.97% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y14.1%
EPS Q2Q%-17.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.89%
Revenue growth 3Y44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y8.97%
Sales Q2Q%-8.49%
3.2 Future
COP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.03% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.46% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.63%
EPS Next 2Y-3.57%
EPS Next 3Y1.25%
EPS Next 5Y3.03%
Revenue Next Year-5.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.46%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.66, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.96, COP is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.71, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as COP.
COP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.82, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
COP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
COP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of COP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.97
EPS Next 2Y-3.57%
EPS Next 3Y1.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.76%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.45, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.23, COP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
5.2 History
The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 31.61%!
COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)31.61%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
41.93% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP41.93%
EPS Next 2Y-3.57%
EPS Next 3Y1.25%
CONOCOPHILLIPS
NYSE:COP (11/21/2024, 8:20:38 PM)
After market: 112.02 +0.12 (+0.11%)111.9
-1.53 (-1.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap128.79B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.71 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.25% | ||
| ROE | 19.88% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 25.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.95% | ||
| GM | 47.34% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next Y-10.63%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.89%
Revenue growth 3Y44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y