CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP)
US20825C1045 - Common Stock
Overall COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated COP against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COP has an average financial health and profitability rating. COP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year COP was profitable.
COP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
COP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
COP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 11.10%, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 21.41%, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
COP's Return On Invested Capital of 11.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for COP is significantly below the industry average of 23.70%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.1% | ||
| ROE | 21.41% | ||
| ROIC | 11.68% |
ROA(3y)13.37%
ROA(5y)9.2%
ROE(3y)26.23%
ROE(5y)18.04%
ROIC(3y)14.29%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.87%, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.42% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COP has grown nicely.
COP's Operating Margin of 26.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 56.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COP has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 47.53%, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.48% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COP has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 26.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.87% | ||
| GM | 47.53% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y2.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.58%
GM growth 3Y11.66%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COP is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has less shares outstanding
COP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
COP has an Altman-Z score of 3.68. This indicates that COP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
COP has a Altman-Z score of 3.68. This is amongst the best in the industry. COP outperforms 83.17% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP is 1.97, which is an excellent value as it means it would take COP, only 1.97 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
COP's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.97 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.34, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.68 |
ROIC/WACC1.53
WACC7.65%
2.3 Liquidity
COP has a Current Ratio of 1.33. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
COP has a Current ratio (1.33) which is in line with its industry peers.
COP has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that COP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
COP has a better Quick ratio (1.19) than 60.58% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for COP have decreased strongly by -18.61% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.10% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue for COP has decreased by -15.41% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.97% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y14.1%
EPS Q2Q%7.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.41%
Revenue growth 3Y44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y8.97%
Sales Q2Q%9.72%
3.2 Future
COP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.03% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.01%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y3.03%
Revenue Next Year-2.14%
Revenue Next 2Y6.87%
Revenue Next 3Y1.51%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.46%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.37, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as COP.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COP to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.62), we can say COP is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.55 indicates a reasonable valuation of COP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
COP is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.22, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.55 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of COP is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.69 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of COP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.88
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.03%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.04, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.24, COP has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 31.61%!
COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)31.61%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
COP pays out 43.04% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of COP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.04%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
CONOCOPHILLIPS
NYSE:COP (9/6/2024, 8:06:22 PM)
After market: 106.02 0 (0%)106.02
-1.43 (-1.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap123.44B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.03% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.55 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.88
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.1% | ||
| ROE | 21.41% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 26.58% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.87% | ||
| GM | 47.53% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.61%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next Y-2.01%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.41%
Revenue growth 3Y44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y