CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:COP • US20825C1045

Current stock price

121.76 USD
-2.61 (-2.1%)
At close:
121.8 USD
+0.04 (+0.03%)
After Hours:

This COP fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. COP Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • COP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year COP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COP has been profitable.
  • COP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
COP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • COP's Return On Assets of 6.53% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. COP outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a Return On Equity of 12.35%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.88%) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for COP is significantly below the industry average of 22.77%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 12.35%
ROIC 6.88%
ROA(3y)8.47%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)16.25%
ROE(5y)21.06%
ROIC(3y)8.46%
ROIC(5y)11.22%
COP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.51%, COP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • COP has a Operating Margin (19.63%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • COP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of COP (44.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • COP's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.51%
GM 44.6%
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-17.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.28%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
COP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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6

2. COP Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COP is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for COP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, COP has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, COP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
COP Yearly Shares OutstandingCOP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
COP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.21 indicates that COP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • COP has a Altman-Z score of 3.21. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of COP is 3.24, which is a good value as it means it would take COP, 3.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • COP has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.24. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 75.12% of its industry peers.
  • COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • COP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 62.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.24
Altman-Z 3.21
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.02%
COP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.30 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.30, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.14 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.14, COP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 1.14
COP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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5

3. COP Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • COP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.98%.
  • COP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.08% yearly.
  • COP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.67%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 25.70% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.11%
Revenue growth 5Y25.7%
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%

3.2 Future

  • COP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.15% yearly.
  • COP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y14.66%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y11.49%
EPS Next 5Y14.15%
Revenue Next Year4.08%
Revenue Next 2Y1.06%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
COP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
COP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 5 10

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3

4. COP Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.83, COP is valued on the expensive side.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as COP.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COP to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say COP is valued slightly cheaper.
  • COP is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.30.
  • COP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • COP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.24.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.83
Fwd PE 17.3
COP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • COP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. COP is cheaper than 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.49
EV/EBITDA 7.26
COP Per share dataCOP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y11.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. COP Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.76%, COP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.26, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, COP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.76%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of COP grows each year by 13.43%, which is quite nice.
  • COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • COP has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.43%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
COP Yearly Dividends per shareCOP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 50.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • COP's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP50.18%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y11.49%
COP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B
COP Dividend Payout.COP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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COP Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CONOCOPHILLIPS

NYSE:COP (4/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

After market: 121.8 +0.04 (+0.03%)

121.76

-2.61 (-2.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners84.88%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change20.21%
Market Cap148.41B
Revenue(TTM)58.94B
Net Income(TTM)7.96B
Analysts78.24
Price Target133.86 (9.94%)
Short Float %1.97%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.76%
Yearly Dividend3.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.43%
DP50.18%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.14%
Max EPS beat(2)11.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.14%
Max EPS beat(4)11.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.2%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.54%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.71%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.84%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.39%
PT rev (1m)12.47%
PT rev (3m)18.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)34.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)12.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)42.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)11.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.83
Fwd PE 17.3
P/S 2.52
P/FCF 20.49
P/OCF 7.5
P/B 2.3
P/tB 2.3
EV/EBITDA 7.26
EPS(TTM)6.14
EY5.04%
EPS(NY)7.04
Fwd EY5.78%
FCF(TTM)5.94
FCFY4.88%
OCF(TTM)16.24
OCFY13.34%
SpS48.36
BVpS52.91
TBVpS52.91
PEG (NY)1.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number85.4941 (-29.78%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 12.35%
ROCE 10.52%
ROIC 6.88%
ROICexc 7.35%
ROICexgc 7.35%
OM 19.63%
PM (TTM) 13.51%
GM 44.6%
FCFM 12.29%
ROA(3y)8.47%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)16.25%
ROE(5y)21.06%
ROIC(3y)8.46%
ROIC(5y)11.22%
ROICexc(3y)9.07%
ROICexc(5y)12.26%
ROICexgc(3y)9.07%
ROICexgc(5y)12.26%
ROCE(3y)12.95%
ROCE(5y)17.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-32.41%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-32.41%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-16.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-17.12%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.28%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.35
Debt/FCF 3.24
Debt/EBITDA 0.97
Cap/Depr 109.16%
Cap/Sales 21.3%
Interest Coverage 15.29
Cash Conversion 85.8%
Profit Quality 90.98%
Current Ratio 1.3
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z 3.21
F-Score7
WACC8.02%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)123.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.61%
Profit Quality(3y)85.88%
Profit Quality(5y)99.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.98%
EPS 3Y-23.08%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-48.48%
EPS Next Y14.66%
EPS Next 2Y11.18%
EPS Next 3Y11.49%
EPS Next 5Y14.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.67%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.11%
Revenue growth 5Y25.7%
Sales Q2Q%-3.75%
Revenue Next Year4.08%
Revenue Next 2Y1.06%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y4.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year93.47%
EBIT Next 3Y27%
EBIT Next 5Y18.2%
FCF growth 1Y-9.53%
FCF growth 3Y-26.38%
FCF growth 5Y142.15%
OCF growth 1Y-1.63%
OCF growth 3Y-11.25%
OCF growth 5Y32.75%

CONOCOPHILLIPS / COP Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to COP.


Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CONOCOPHILLIPS?

CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for COP stock?

The financial health rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 6 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) stock?

The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 50.18%.