CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:COP - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US20825C1045 - Common Stock
Overall COP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated COP against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. COP has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. COP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year COP was profitable.
COP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
COP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years COP had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 10.25%, COP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.21% of the companies in the same industry.
COP has a Return On Equity of 19.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 73.30% of its industry peers.
COP has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.93%) than 71.36% of its industry peers.
COP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 14.29%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.25% | ||
| ROE | 19.88% | ||
| ROIC | 10.93% |
ROA(3y)13.37%
ROA(5y)9.2%
ROE(3y)26.23%
ROE(5y)18.04%
ROIC(3y)14.29%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
COP has a Profit Margin of 17.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: COP outperforms 63.11% of its industry peers.
COP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of COP (25.49%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of COP has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of COP (47.34%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
COP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.95% | ||
| GM | 47.34% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y2.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.58%
GM growth 3Y11.66%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COP is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has less shares outstanding
COP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, COP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
COP has an Altman-Z score of 3.74. This indicates that COP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.74, COP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.98% of the companies in the same industry.
COP has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of COP (1.98) is better than 76.70% of its industry peers.
COP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.34, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.34% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.74 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.44%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.30 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of COP (1.30) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that COP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.16, COP is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for COP have decreased by -9.90% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.10% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, COP shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.89% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, COP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.97% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y14.1%
EPS Q2Q%-17.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.89%
Revenue growth 3Y44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y8.97%
Sales Q2Q%-8.49%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -1.83% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, COP will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.53% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-11.11%
EPS Next 2Y-3.37%
EPS Next 3Y2.16%
EPS Next 5Y-1.83%
Revenue Next Year-4.29%
Revenue Next 2Y3.22%
Revenue Next 3Y3.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.53%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.58, which indicates a correct valuation of COP.
COP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COP to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.19), we can say COP is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.57, the valuation of COP can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as COP.
COP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.37.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COP is valued a bit cheaper than 61.65% of the companies in the same industry.
COP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
COP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.89
EPS Next 2Y-3.37%
EPS Next 3Y2.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
COP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.95%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.39, COP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, COP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.95% |
5.2 History
The dividend of COP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 31.61%!
COP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)31.61%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
COP pays out 41.93% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP41.93%
EPS Next 2Y-3.37%
EPS Next 3Y2.16%
CONOCOPHILLIPS
NYSE:COP (1/22/2025, 5:12:35 PM)
After market: 103.06 0 (0%)103.06
-1.22 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.66%
Inst Owner Change0.29%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-3.68%
Market Cap133.31B
Analysts82.5
Price Target136.33 (32.28%)
Short Float %0.93%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.95% |
Yearly Dividend4.65
Dividend Growth(5Y)31.61%
DP41.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.7%
Min EPS beat(2)0%
Max EPS beat(2)7.4%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)4.95%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)13.87%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)3.29%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.41%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.91%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.01%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.45%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.62%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.94%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)-1.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.57 | ||
| P/S | 2.41 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.37 | ||
| P/B | 2.67 | ||
| P/tB | 2.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.23 |
EPS(TTM)8.19
EY7.95%
EPS(NY)8.2
Fwd EY7.96%
FCF(TTM)7.15
FCFY6.94%
OCF(TTM)16.18
OCFY15.7%
SpS42.7
BVpS38.56
TBVpS38.56
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.25% | ||
| ROE | 19.88% | ||
| ROCE | 16.39% | ||
| ROIC | 10.93% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.87% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.87% | ||
| OM | 25.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 17.95% | ||
| GM | 47.34% | ||
| FCFM | 16.74% |
ROA(3y)13.37%
ROA(5y)9.2%
ROE(3y)26.23%
ROE(5y)18.04%
ROIC(3y)14.29%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)15.77%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)15.77%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)21.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.3%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y4.3%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y2.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y2.58%
GM growth 3Y11.66%
GM growth 5Y0.18%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 127.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.15% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 17.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.06% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.74 |
F-Score6
WACC8.44%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)115.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)107.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.87%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.03%
Profit Quality(3y)107.38%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y14.1%
EPS Q2Q%-17.59%
EPS Next Y-11.11%
EPS Next 2Y-3.37%
EPS Next 3Y2.16%
EPS Next 5Y-1.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.89%
Revenue growth 3Y44.04%
Revenue growth 5Y8.97%
Sales Q2Q%-8.49%
Revenue Next Year-4.29%
Revenue Next 2Y3.22%
Revenue Next 3Y3.85%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.53%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y11.65%
EBIT Next Year49.39%
EBIT Next 3Y21.27%
EBIT Next 5Y9.44%
FCF growth 1Y-49.77%
FCF growth 3Y364.46%
FCF growth 5Y7.11%
OCF growth 1Y-24.14%
OCF growth 3Y60.8%
OCF growth 5Y9.07%