CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CNQ • CA1363851017

Current stock price

46.35 USD
+0.65 (+1.42%)
At close:
46.2 USD
-0.15 (-0.32%)
After Hours:

This CNQ fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CNQ Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CNQ had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CNQ had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CNQ has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CNQ had a positive operating cash flow.
CNQ Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCNQ Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 11.78%, CNQ belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CNQ's Return On Equity of 24.39% is amongst the best of the industry. CNQ outperforms 89.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.40%, CNQ belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CNQ had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.51%. This is significantly below the industry average of 23.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.78%
ROE 24.39%
ROIC 9.4%
ROA(3y)9.93%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)20.18%
ROE(5y)21.98%
ROIC(3y)10.51%
ROIC(5y)11.92%
CNQ Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCNQ Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • CNQ has a better Profit Margin (27.91%) than 84.69% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CNQ has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 25.81%, CNQ is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CNQ's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of CNQ (48.46%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CNQ's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.81%
PM (TTM) 27.91%
GM 48.46%
OM growth 3Y-9.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.58%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.61%
GM growth 5Y6.01%
CNQ Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCNQ Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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5

2. CNQ Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CNQ has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • CNQ has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CNQ has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CNQ has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CNQ Yearly Shares OutstandingCNQ Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CNQ Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCNQ Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • CNQ has an Altman-Z score of 2.94. This is not the best score and indicates that CNQ is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.94, CNQ is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CNQ is 2.42, which is a good value as it means it would take CNQ, 2.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CNQ has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.42. This is amongst the best in the industry. CNQ outperforms 82.30% of its industry peers.
  • CNQ has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.43. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.43, CNQ perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.43
Debt/FCF 2.42
Altman-Z 2.94
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC7.22%
CNQ Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCNQ Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.95 indicates that CNQ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.95, CNQ is doing worse than 61.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CNQ has a Quick Ratio of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that CNQ is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of CNQ (0.63) is worse than 70.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.95
Quick Ratio 0.63
CNQ Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCNQ Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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4

3. CNQ Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.45% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for CNQ have been decreasing by -14.02% on average. This is quite bad
  • CNQ shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.71%.
  • Measured over the past years, CNQ shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.45%
EPS 3Y-14.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.87%
Revenue growth 5Y18.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.49%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.02% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-18.2%
EPS Next 2Y0%
EPS Next 3Y23%
EPS Next 5Y0.02%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y1.19%
Revenue Next 5Y0.24%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CNQ Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCNQ Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 10B 20B 30B 40B
CNQ Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCNQ Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6

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4

4. CNQ Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.11 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CNQ.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CNQ is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.78. CNQ is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.10, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CNQ.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CNQ.
  • CNQ is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.11
Fwd PE 22.1
CNQ Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCNQ Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CNQ is valued a bit cheaper than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 65.07% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CNQ, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.09
EV/EBITDA 7.8
CNQ Per share dataCNQ EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CNQ has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CNQ's earnings are expected to grow with 23.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0%
EPS Next 3Y23%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. CNQ Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CNQ has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.60%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.16, CNQ pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CNQ's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.6%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CNQ grows each year by 23.13%, which is quite nice.
  • CNQ has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of CNQ decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.13%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
CNQ Yearly Dividends per shareCNQ Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • CNQ pays out 45.02% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of CNQ is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.02%
EPS Next 2Y0%
EPS Next 3Y23%
CNQ Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCNQ Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
CNQ Dividend Payout.CNQ Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CNQ Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CNQ Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES

NYSE:CNQ (4/10/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 46.2 -0.15 (-0.32%)

46.35

+0.65 (+1.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners75.39%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap96.62B
Revenue(TTM)38.76B
Net Income(TTM)10.82B
Analysts70.83
Price Target39.54 (-14.69%)
Short Float %7.25%
Short Ratio13.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.6%
Yearly Dividend1.67
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.13%
DP45.02%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-20
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(2)17.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)17.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.69%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.63%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.64%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.11%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.24%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.61%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)18.81%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)16.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.11
Fwd PE 22.1
P/S 3.45
P/FCF 16.09
P/OCF 8.85
P/B 3.01
P/tB 3.01
EV/EBITDA 7.8
EPS(TTM)2.56
EY5.52%
EPS(NY)2.1
Fwd EY4.53%
FCF(TTM)2.88
FCFY6.22%
OCF(TTM)5.23
OCFY11.29%
SpS13.43
BVpS15.37
TBVpS15.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number29.76
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.78%
ROE 24.39%
ROCE 11.94%
ROIC 9.4%
ROICexc 9.48%
ROICexgc 9.48%
OM 25.81%
PM (TTM) 27.91%
GM 48.46%
FCFM 21.45%
ROA(3y)9.93%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)20.18%
ROE(5y)21.98%
ROIC(3y)10.51%
ROIC(5y)11.92%
ROICexc(3y)10.63%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)10.63%
ROICexgc(5y)12.09%
ROCE(3y)13.35%
ROCE(5y)15.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.62%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.62%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-9.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.58%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.61%
GM growth 5Y6.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.43
Debt/FCF 2.42
Debt/EBITDA 0.99
Cap/Depr 72.37%
Cap/Sales 17.52%
Interest Coverage 10.23
Cash Conversion 77.92%
Profit Quality 76.85%
Current Ratio 0.95
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 2.94
F-Score7
WACC7.22%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)122.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)103%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.45%
EPS 3Y-14.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.83%
EPS Next Y-18.2%
EPS Next 2Y0%
EPS Next 3Y23%
EPS Next 5Y0.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.87%
Revenue growth 5Y18.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.49%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y1.19%
Revenue Next 5Y0.24%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.16%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year105.56%
EBIT Next 3Y34.18%
EBIT Next 5Y23.1%
FCF growth 1Y816.81%
FCF growth 3Y-16.45%
FCF growth 5Y31.02%
OCF growth 1Y12.85%
OCF growth 3Y-7.99%
OCF growth 5Y26.23%

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES / CNQ Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CNQ.


Can you provide the valuation status for CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ) stock?

CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CNQ stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ) is expected to decline by -18.2% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ) stock?

The dividend rating of CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 45.02%.