CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:CNQ • CA1363851017
Current stock price
64.16 CAD
+1.02 (+1.62%)
Last:
This CNQ.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CNQ.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CNQ had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CNQ had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years CNQ has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CNQ always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CNQ has a better Return On Assets (11.78%) than 95.69% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 24.39%, CNQ belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.09% of the companies in the same industry.
- CNQ has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.40%) than 92.82% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CNQ is above the industry average of 6.90%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.78% | ||
| ROE | 24.39% | ||
| ROIC | 9.4% |
ROA(3y)9.93%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)20.18%
ROE(5y)21.98%
ROIC(3y)10.51%
ROIC(5y)11.92%
1.3 Margins
- CNQ's Profit Margin of 27.91% is amongst the best of the industry. CNQ outperforms 93.30% of its industry peers.
- CNQ's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- CNQ has a better Operating Margin (25.81%) than 81.34% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CNQ has declined.
- CNQ's Gross Margin of 48.46% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CNQ outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
- CNQ's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.91% | ||
| GM | 48.46% |
OM growth 3Y-9.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.58%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.61%
GM growth 5Y6.01%
2. CNQ.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CNQ is still creating some value.
- CNQ has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- CNQ has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CNQ has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.97 indicates that CNQ is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.97, CNQ is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.99% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CNQ is 2.37, which is a good value as it means it would take CNQ, 2.37 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.37, CNQ belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- CNQ has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.43. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- CNQ has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.43. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CNQ outperforms 54.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.43 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.37 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.97 |
ROIC/WACC1.27
WACC7.39%
2.3 Liquidity
- CNQ has a Current Ratio of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that CNQ is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CNQ has a Current ratio (0.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that CNQ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- CNQ has a Quick ratio of 0.63. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CNQ outperforms 51.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.63 |
3. CNQ.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CNQ shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.45%.
- Measured over the past years, CNQ shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -14.02% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, CNQ shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.71% in the last year.
- CNQ shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.45%
EPS 3Y-14.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.87%
Revenue growth 5Y18.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.49%
3.2 Future
- CNQ is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.02% yearly.
- CNQ is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-0.55%
EPS Next 3Y2.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.02%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y1.19%
Revenue Next 5Y0.24%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. CNQ.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.07, the valuation of CNQ can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CNQ indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CNQ is cheaper than 68.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CNQ to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say CNQ is valued slightly cheaper.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.18, the valuation of CNQ can be described as rather expensive.
- 65.07% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CNQ, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- CNQ's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.54.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CNQ is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.03% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CNQ is valued a bit cheaper than 77.03% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.89 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The excellent profitability rating of CNQ may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.55%
EPS Next 3Y2.29%
5. CNQ.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.96%, CNQ has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.58, CNQ pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, CNQ pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.96% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of CNQ grows each year by 23.13%, which is quite nice.
- CNQ has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of CNQ decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.13%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- CNQ pays out 45.02% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of CNQ is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.02%
EPS Next 2Y-0.55%
EPS Next 3Y2.29%
CNQ.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:CNQ (4/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
64.16
+1.02 (+1.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)03-05 2026-03-05/dmh
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners75.31%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.17%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap133.84B
Revenue(TTM)38.76B
Net Income(TTM)10.82B
Analysts70.83
Price Target63.72 (-0.69%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.96% |
Yearly Dividend2.33
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.13%
DP45.02%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-20 2026-03-20 (0.625)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(2)17.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.27%
Max EPS beat(4)17.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.69%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.63%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.64%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.16%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.11%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.24%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.61%
PT rev (1m)17.61%
PT rev (3m)18.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.37%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)10.93%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)16.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.18 | ||
| P/S | 3.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.86 | ||
| P/B | 3.02 | ||
| P/tB | 3.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.89 |
EPS(TTM)3.55
EY5.53%
EPS(NY)2.89
Fwd EY4.51%
FCF(TTM)3.99
FCFY6.21%
OCF(TTM)7.24
OCFY11.29%
SpS18.58
BVpS21.27
TBVpS21.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.78% | ||
| ROE | 24.39% | ||
| ROCE | 11.94% | ||
| ROIC | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.48% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.48% | ||
| OM | 25.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 27.91% | ||
| GM | 48.46% | ||
| FCFM | 21.45% |
ROA(3y)9.93%
ROA(5y)10.83%
ROE(3y)20.18%
ROE(5y)21.98%
ROIC(3y)10.51%
ROIC(5y)11.92%
ROICexc(3y)10.63%
ROICexc(5y)12.09%
ROICexgc(3y)10.63%
ROICexgc(5y)12.09%
ROCE(3y)13.35%
ROCE(5y)15.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.62%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.62%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-9.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y2.58%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.61%
GM growth 5Y6.01%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.43 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.37 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 72.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | 76.85% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.97 |
F-Score8
WACC7.39%
ROIC/WACC1.27
Cap/Depr(3y)122.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)103%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.45%
EPS 3Y-14.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.83%
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-0.55%
EPS Next 3Y2.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.71%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.87%
Revenue growth 5Y18.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.49%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y1.19%
Revenue Next 5Y0.24%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.16%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year132.17%
EBIT Next 3Y30.56%
EBIT Next 5Y23.1%
FCF growth 1Y816.81%
FCF growth 3Y-16.45%
FCF growth 5Y31.02%
OCF growth 1Y12.85%
OCF growth 3Y-7.99%
OCF growth 5Y26.23%
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES / CNQ.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CNQ.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA) stock?
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CNQ stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA) is expected to decline by -18.51% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA) stock?
The dividend rating of CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES (CNQ.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 45.02%.