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CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A (CMLS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CMLS - Nasdaq - US2310828015 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.88  -0.07 (-6.98%)

Fundamental Rating

2

CMLS gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 93 industry peers in the Media industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CMLS have multiple concerns. CMLS is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CMLS has reported negative net income.
In the past year CMLS has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CMLS reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years CMLS had a positive operating cash flow.
CMLS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMLS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

CMLS's Return On Assets of -11.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS is outperformed by 79.31% of its industry peers.
CMLS has a Return On Equity of -63.45%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMLS underperforms 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.01%
ROE -63.45%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-2.06%
ROA(5y)-1.18%
ROE(3y)-11.01%
ROE(5y)-6.92%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CMLS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMLS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -1K -2K -3K

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMLS has declined.
CMLS's Gross Margin of 60.54% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMLS outperforms 72.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMLS has remained more or less at the same level.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CMLS so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.54%
OM growth 3Y53.91%
OM growth 5Y-26.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.16%
GM growth 5Y-1.24%
CMLS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMLS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CMLS does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
CMLS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CMLS has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, CMLS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CMLS Yearly Shares OutstandingCMLS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
CMLS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMLS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

CMLS has an Altman-Z score of 0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that CMLS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of CMLS (0.64) is worse than 60.92% of its industry peers.
CMLS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.83. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
CMLS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.83. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMLS underperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.83
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.64
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.7%
CMLS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMLS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.89 indicates that CMLS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.89, CMLS is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.77% of the companies in the same industry.
CMLS has a Quick Ratio of 1.89. This is a normal value and indicates that CMLS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.89, CMLS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.89
Quick Ratio 1.89
CMLS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMLS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CMLS shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -374.77%.
The Revenue has decreased by -5.11% in the past year.
CMLS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.83% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-374.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-481.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.11%
Revenue growth 3Y1.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CMLS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.94% on average per year.
CMLS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.04% yearly.
EPS Next Y-22.73%
EPS Next 2Y-4.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.94%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.63%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5Y1.04%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CMLS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMLS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
CMLS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMLS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 -10 20 30

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CMLS. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year CMLS is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CMLS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMLS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMLS is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.24
CMLS Per share dataCMLS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CMLS's earnings are expected to grow with 14.94% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.94%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CMLS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CUMULUS MEDIA INC-CL A

NASDAQ:CMLS (2/21/2025, 8:10:12 PM)

0.88

-0.07 (-6.98%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)11-01 2024-11-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-27 2025-02-27/bmo
Inst Owners40.09%
Inst Owner Change-74%
Ins Owners10.97%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap14.86M
Analysts45.71
Price Target11.22 (1175%)
Short Float %0.71%
Short Ratio1.93
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-121.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-231.51%
Max EPS beat(2)-10.75%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-108.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-231.51%
Max EPS beat(4)37.11%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-38.16%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-18.23%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)29.63%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.28%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.22%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.94%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.61%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.02
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.06
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.24
EPS(TTM)-5.08
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-3.3
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-2.16
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1
OCFYN/A
SpS49.13
BVpS14.02
TBVpS-34.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -11.01%
ROE -63.45%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-2.06%
ROA(5y)-1.18%
ROE(3y)-11.01%
ROE(5y)-6.92%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.38%
ROCE(5y)4.34%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y53.91%
OM growth 5Y-26.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.16%
GM growth 5Y-1.24%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.83
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 11.9
Cap/Depr 33.53%
Cap/Sales 2.37%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.89
Quick Ratio 1.89
Altman-Z 0.64
F-Score2
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)55.15%
Cap/Depr(5y)50%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.92%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-374.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-481.25%
EPS Next Y-22.73%
EPS Next 2Y-4.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.94%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.11%
Revenue growth 3Y1.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%
Revenue Next Year-1.9%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.63%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5Y1.04%
EBIT growth 1Y-105.19%
EBIT growth 3Y55.67%
EBIT growth 5Y-30.35%
EBIT Next Year190.4%
EBIT Next 3Y51.46%
EBIT Next 5Y36.35%
FCF growth 1Y-157.07%
FCF growth 3Y-27.94%
FCF growth 5Y-26.44%
OCF growth 1Y-118.77%
OCF growth 3Y-1.57%
OCF growth 5Y-12.44%