CUMMINS INC (CMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CMI • US2310211063
Current stock price
638.95 USD
-3.5 (-0.54%)
At close:
636.09 USD
-2.86 (-0.45%)
After Hours:
This CMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CMI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CMI had positive earnings in the past year.
- CMI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years CMI has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CMI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CMI's Return On Assets of 8.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMI outperforms 77.86% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Return On Equity of 23.02% is amongst the best of the industry. CMI outperforms 89.31% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Return On Invested Capital of 12.12% is amongst the best of the industry. CMI outperforms 80.92% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMI is above the industry average of 10.06%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
- CMI has a better Profit Margin (8.44%) than 69.47% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 11.45%, CMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMI has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.29%, CMI is doing worse than 66.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% |
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
2. CMI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMI is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CMI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- CMI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CMI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 5.02 indicates that CMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CMI's Altman-Z score of 5.02 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMI outperforms 75.57% of its industry peers.
- CMI has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.17. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as CMI would need 3.17 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.17, CMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60. This is a neutral value indicating CMI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of CMI (0.60) is worse than 61.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.02 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC10.37%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.76 indicates that CMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.76, CMI is not doing good in the industry: 64.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that CMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CMI's Quick ratio of 1.16 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CMI outperforms 41.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. CMI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CMI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.17%.
- Measured over the past years, CMI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.03% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -1.27% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 11.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
3.2 Future
- CMI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.27% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue Next Year7.14%
Revenue Next 2Y7.86%
Revenue Next 3Y7.83%
Revenue Next 5Y7.41%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CMI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 28.72, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CMI.
- CMI's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say CMI is valued inline with the index average.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 24.27, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CMI.
- CMI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.68), we can say CMI is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.27 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- CMI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 37.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CMI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CMI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CMI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.80% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.57
PEG (5Y)2.2
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
5. CMI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.22%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.13, CMI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- CMI's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CMI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.87%!
- CMI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- CMI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
5.3 Sustainability
- CMI pays out 37.11% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CMI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP37.11%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
CMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
638.95
-3.5 (-0.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Industry Strength84.47
Industry Growth69.57
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners87.31%
Inst Owner Change0.55%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change3.86%
Market Cap88.34B
Revenue(TTM)33.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.84B
Analysts74.81
Price Target631.39 (-1.18%)
Short Float %1.48%
Short Ratio2.41
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.22% |
Yearly Dividend7.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
DP37.11%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date02-20 2026-02-20 (2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(4)24.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.98%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.87%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.19%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.82%
PT rev (1m)0.83%
PT rev (3m)15.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.27 | ||
| P/S | 2.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 37.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.4 | ||
| P/B | 7.15 | ||
| P/tB | 11.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.42 |
EPS(TTM)22.25
EY3.48%
EPS(NY)26.33
Fwd EY4.12%
FCF(TTM)17.26
FCFY2.7%
OCF(TTM)26.19
OCFY4.1%
SpS243.53
BVpS89.32
TBVpS57.56
PEG (NY)1.57
PEG (5Y)2.2
Graham Number211.458 (-66.91%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROCE | 15.81% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.81% | ||
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% | ||
| FCFM | 7.09% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)14.66%
ROICexc(5y)13.52%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)17.59%
ROCE(3y)17.34%
ROCE(5y)15.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.61%
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.93% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.02 |
F-Score5
WACC10.37%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)114.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)155.19%
Profit Quality(5y)116.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
Revenue Next Year7.14%
Revenue Next 2Y7.86%
Revenue Next 3Y7.83%
Revenue Next 5Y7.41%
EBIT growth 1Y5.19%
EBIT growth 3Y14.23%
EBIT growth 5Y16.87%
EBIT Next Year42.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.56%
EBIT Next 5Y17.49%
FCF growth 1Y755.2%
FCF growth 3Y31.64%
FCF growth 5Y2.13%
OCF growth 1Y143.51%
OCF growth 3Y22.66%
OCF growth 5Y5.87%
CUMMINS INC / CMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CMI.
What is the valuation status for CMI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CUMMINS INC (CMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CUMMINS INC?
CUMMINS INC (CMI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CMI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is expected to grow by 18.32% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
The dividend rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.11%.