CUMMINS INC (CMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CMI • US2310211063
Current stock price
549.68 USD
-0.41 (-0.07%)
At close:
549.5 USD
-0.18 (-0.03%)
After Hours:
This CMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CMI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CMI was profitable.
- In the past year CMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years CMI has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CMI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CMI has a better Return On Assets (8.36%) than 75.57% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Return On Equity of 23.02% is amongst the best of the industry. CMI outperforms 89.31% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Return On Invested Capital of 12.12% is amongst the best of the industry. CMI outperforms 80.92% of its industry peers.
- CMI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.81%. This is above the industry average of 10.17%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.44%, CMI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMI's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of CMI (11.45%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- CMI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of CMI (25.29%) is worse than 64.89% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% |
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
2. CMI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMI is still creating some value.
- CMI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, CMI has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, CMI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 4.66 indicates that CMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CMI has a Altman-Z score of 4.66. This is in the better half of the industry: CMI outperforms 70.99% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI is 3.17, which is a good value as it means it would take CMI, 3.17 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI (3.17) is better than 67.94% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60 indicates that CMI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CMI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMI underperforms 60.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.66 |
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC10.01%
2.3 Liquidity
- CMI has a Current Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that CMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CMI's Current ratio of 1.76 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMI is outperformed by 62.60% of its industry peers.
- CMI has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that CMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CMI has a Quick ratio of 1.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CMI outperforms 42.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. CMI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CMI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.17%.
- Measured over the past years, CMI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.03% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -1.27% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 11.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
3.2 Future
- CMI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.27% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18.82%
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue Next Year7.12%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CMI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.70, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CMI.
- CMI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.60), we can say CMI is valued inline with the index average.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.79 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CMI.
- CMI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.84. CMI is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CMI.
- CMI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 31.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CMI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- CMI's earnings are expected to grow with 17.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)1.9
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
5. CMI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.51%, CMI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.20, CMI pays a better dividend. On top of this CMI pays more dividend than 81.68% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, CMI has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.51% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CMI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.87%!
- CMI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- CMI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years20
5.3 Sustainability
- CMI pays out 37.11% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CMI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP37.11%
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
CMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
549.68
-0.41 (-0.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/bmo
Inst Owners87.15%
Inst Owner Change2.92%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change3.83%
Market Cap75.95B
Revenue(TTM)33.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.84B
Analysts75.56
Price Target631.39 (14.87%)
Short Float %1.19%
Short Ratio1.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.51% |
Yearly Dividend7.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
DP37.11%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years20
Ex-Date02-20 2026-02-20 (2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(4)24.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.98%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.87%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.19%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.82%
PT rev (1m)0.83%
PT rev (3m)16.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.79 | ||
| P/S | 2.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 31.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.97 | ||
| P/B | 6.15 | ||
| P/tB | 9.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.82 |
EPS(TTM)22.25
EY4.05%
EPS(NY)26.44
Fwd EY4.81%
FCF(TTM)17.27
FCFY3.14%
OCF(TTM)26.21
OCFY4.77%
SpS243.69
BVpS89.38
TBVpS57.6
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)1.9
Graham Number211.53
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROCE | 15.81% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.81% | ||
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% | ||
| FCFM | 7.09% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)14.66%
ROICexc(5y)13.52%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)17.59%
ROCE(3y)17.34%
ROCE(5y)15.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.61%
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.93% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.66 |
F-Score5
WACC10.01%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)114.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)155.19%
Profit Quality(5y)116.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
EPS Next Y18.82%
EPS Next 2Y19.04%
EPS Next 3Y17.47%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
Revenue Next Year7.12%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
EBIT growth 1Y5.19%
EBIT growth 3Y14.23%
EBIT growth 5Y16.87%
EBIT Next Year42.53%
EBIT Next 3Y20.49%
EBIT Next 5Y17.49%
FCF growth 1Y755.2%
FCF growth 3Y31.64%
FCF growth 5Y2.13%
OCF growth 1Y143.51%
OCF growth 3Y22.66%
OCF growth 5Y5.87%
CUMMINS INC / CMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMI.
What is the valuation status for CMI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CUMMINS INC (CMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CUMMINS INC?
CUMMINS INC (CMI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CMI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is expected to grow by 18.82% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
The dividend rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.11%.