CUMMINS INC (CMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CMI • US2310211063
Current stock price
642.81 USD
+3.82 (+0.6%)
Last:
This CMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CMI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- CMI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year CMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years CMI has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CMI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CMI has a better Return On Assets (8.36%) than 77.86% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 23.02%, CMI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMI's Return On Invested Capital of 12.12% is amongst the best of the industry. CMI outperforms 80.92% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMI is above the industry average of 10.00%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of CMI (8.44%) is better than 70.23% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
- CMI has a Operating Margin of 11.45%. This is in the better half of the industry: CMI outperforms 60.31% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- CMI has a worse Gross Margin (25.29%) than 65.65% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% |
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
2. CMI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CMI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CMI has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for CMI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CMI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 5.00 indicates that CMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CMI has a better Altman-Z score (5.00) than 74.81% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI is 3.17, which is a good value as it means it would take CMI, 3.17 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI (3.17) is better than 67.94% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60 indicates that CMI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.60, CMI is doing worse than 61.07% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5 |
ROIC/WACC1.19
WACC10.2%
2.3 Liquidity
- CMI has a Current Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that CMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CMI has a Current ratio of 1.76. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMI underperforms 64.12% of its industry peers.
- CMI has a Quick Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that CMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.16, CMI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.75% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. CMI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CMI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.17%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 13.03% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has decreased by -1.27% in the past year.
- CMI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.19% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.27% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue Next Year7.14%
Revenue Next 2Y7.86%
Revenue Next 3Y7.83%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CMI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 28.89, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CMI.
- CMI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.66. CMI is around the same levels.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.42, CMI is valued on the expensive side.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.00. CMI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- CMI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 37.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of CMI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)2.22
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
5. CMI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.08, CMI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, CMI is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CMI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.87%!
- CMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- CMI has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
5.3 Sustainability
- 37.11% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CMI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- CMI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP37.11%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
CMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:CMI (4/22/2026, 1:43:39 PM)
642.81
+3.82 (+0.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners87.31%
Inst Owner Change0.53%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change3.86%
Market Cap88.87B
Revenue(TTM)33.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.84B
Analysts74.81
Price Target631.39 (-1.78%)
Short Float %1.59%
Short Ratio2.26
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
Yearly Dividend7.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
DP37.11%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date02-20 2026-02-20 (2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(4)24.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.98%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.87%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.19%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.82%
PT rev (1m)0.83%
PT rev (3m)15.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.42 | ||
| P/S | 2.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 37.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.54 | ||
| P/B | 7.2 | ||
| P/tB | 11.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.32 |
EPS(TTM)22.25
EY3.46%
EPS(NY)26.33
Fwd EY4.1%
FCF(TTM)17.26
FCFY2.68%
OCF(TTM)26.19
OCFY4.07%
SpS243.53
BVpS89.32
TBVpS57.56
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)2.22
Graham Number211.458 (-67.1%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROCE | 15.81% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.81% | ||
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% | ||
| FCFM | 7.09% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)14.66%
ROICexc(5y)13.52%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)17.59%
ROCE(3y)17.34%
ROCE(5y)15.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.61%
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.93% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5 |
F-Score5
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC1.19
Cap/Depr(3y)114.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)155.19%
Profit Quality(5y)116.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
Revenue Next Year7.14%
Revenue Next 2Y7.86%
Revenue Next 3Y7.83%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
EBIT growth 1Y5.19%
EBIT growth 3Y14.23%
EBIT growth 5Y16.87%
EBIT Next Year42.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.56%
EBIT Next 5Y17.49%
FCF growth 1Y755.2%
FCF growth 3Y31.64%
FCF growth 5Y2.13%
OCF growth 1Y143.51%
OCF growth 3Y22.66%
OCF growth 5Y5.87%
CUMMINS INC / CMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CMI.
What is the valuation status for CMI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CUMMINS INC (CMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CUMMINS INC?
CUMMINS INC (CMI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CMI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is expected to grow by 18.32% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
The dividend rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.11%.