CUMMINS INC (CMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CMI • US2310211063
Current stock price
627.18 USD
+18.29 (+3%)
At close:
626.319 USD
-0.86 (-0.14%)
After Hours:
This CMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CMI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CMI was profitable.
- In the past year CMI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years CMI has been profitable.
- CMI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- CMI has a Return On Assets of 8.36%. This is in the better half of the industry: CMI outperforms 77.86% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 23.02%, CMI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMI has a Return On Invested Capital of 12.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMI outperforms 80.92% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMI is above the industry average of 10.00%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
- CMI has a better Profit Margin (8.44%) than 70.23% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 11.45%, CMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- CMI has a worse Gross Margin (25.29%) than 65.65% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% |
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
2. CMI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMI is creating some value.
- CMI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- CMI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for CMI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- CMI has an Altman-Z score of 4.89. This indicates that CMI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- CMI's Altman-Z score of 4.89 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMI outperforms 73.28% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CMI is 3.17, which is a good value as it means it would take CMI, 3.17 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CMI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.17) than 67.94% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60 indicates that CMI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CMI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMI underperforms 61.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.89 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC10.39%
2.3 Liquidity
- CMI has a Current Ratio of 1.76. This is a normal value and indicates that CMI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- CMI has a worse Current ratio (1.76) than 64.12% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that CMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CMI has a Quick ratio (1.16) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. CMI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- CMI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.17%.
- CMI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 13.03% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -1.27% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 11.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CMI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue Next Year7.12%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CMI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.19 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMI.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CMI.
- CMI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.87, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.82, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of CMI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- CMI is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CMI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 36.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.48 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- CMI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.54
PEG (5Y)2.16
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
5. CMI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CMI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.08, CMI pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- CMI's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of CMI grows each year by 7.87%, which is quite nice.
- CMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- CMI has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
5.3 Sustainability
- CMI pays out 37.11% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CMI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP37.11%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
CMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
627.18
+18.29 (+3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners87.31%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change3.86%
Market Cap86.71B
Revenue(TTM)33.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.84B
Analysts74.81
Price Target631.39 (0.67%)
Short Float %1.59%
Short Ratio2.26
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
Yearly Dividend7.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
DP37.11%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date02-20 2026-02-20 (2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(4)24.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.98%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.87%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.19%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.82%
PT rev (1m)0.83%
PT rev (3m)16.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.82 | ||
| P/S | 2.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 36.34 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.95 | ||
| P/B | 7.02 | ||
| P/tB | 10.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.48 |
EPS(TTM)22.25
EY3.55%
EPS(NY)26.33
Fwd EY4.2%
FCF(TTM)17.26
FCFY2.75%
OCF(TTM)26.19
OCFY4.18%
SpS243.53
BVpS89.32
TBVpS57.56
PEG (NY)1.54
PEG (5Y)2.16
Graham Number211.458 (-66.28%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROCE | 15.81% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.81% | ||
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% | ||
| FCFM | 7.09% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)14.66%
ROICexc(5y)13.52%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)17.59%
ROCE(3y)17.34%
ROCE(5y)15.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.61%
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.93% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.89 |
F-Score5
WACC10.39%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)114.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)155.19%
Profit Quality(5y)116.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
Revenue Next Year7.12%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
EBIT growth 1Y5.19%
EBIT growth 3Y14.23%
EBIT growth 5Y16.87%
EBIT Next Year42.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.56%
EBIT Next 5Y17.49%
FCF growth 1Y755.2%
FCF growth 3Y31.64%
FCF growth 5Y2.13%
OCF growth 1Y143.51%
OCF growth 3Y22.66%
OCF growth 5Y5.87%
CUMMINS INC / CMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CMI.
What is the valuation status for CMI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CUMMINS INC (CMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CUMMINS INC?
CUMMINS INC (CMI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CMI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is expected to grow by 18.32% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
The dividend rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.11%.