CUMMINS INC (CMI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:CMI • US2310211063
Current stock price
618.28 USD
+2.14 (+0.35%)
At close:
618.28 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This CMI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CMI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CMI was profitable.
- CMI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- CMI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years CMI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of CMI (8.36%) is better than 77.86% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Return On Equity of 23.02% is amongst the best of the industry. CMI outperforms 89.31% of its industry peers.
- CMI has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.12%) than 80.92% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMI is above the industry average of 10.01%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
1.3 Margins
- CMI has a better Profit Margin (8.44%) than 70.23% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
- CMI's Operating Margin of 11.45% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMI outperforms 60.31% of its industry peers.
- CMI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 25.29%, CMI is not doing good in the industry: 65.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% |
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
2. CMI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CMI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CMI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- CMI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CMI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 4.92 indicates that CMI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.92, CMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- CMI has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.17. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as CMI would need 3.17 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.17, CMI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60 indicates that CMI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CMI has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.60) than 61.07% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.92 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC10.34%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.76 indicates that CMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.76, CMI is doing worse than 64.12% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that CMI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CMI has a Quick ratio of 1.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CMI outperforms 42.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. CMI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.17% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, CMI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 13.03% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -1.27% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 11.19% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue Next Year7.12%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. CMI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.79 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- CMI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.86, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.49 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CMI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMI to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.39), we can say CMI is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CMI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CMI is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 35.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.69 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of CMI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.80% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)2.13
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
5. CMI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%, CMI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- CMI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.07.
- CMI's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of CMI grows each year by 7.87%, which is quite nice.
- CMI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- CMI has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
5.3 Sustainability
- 37.11% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CMI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- CMI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP37.11%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
CMI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
618.28
+2.14 (+0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners87.31%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change3.86%
Market Cap85.48B
Revenue(TTM)33.67B
Net Income(TTM)2.84B
Analysts74.81
Price Target631.39 (2.12%)
Short Float %1.19%
Short Ratio1.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.31% |
Yearly Dividend7.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.87%
DP37.11%
Div Incr Years20
Div Non Decr Years21
Ex-Date02-20 2026-02-20 (2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.11%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(2)15.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.22%
Max EPS beat(4)24.03%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.81%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.98%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.87%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.19%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.82%
PT rev (1m)0.83%
PT rev (3m)16.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.49 | ||
| P/S | 2.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 35.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.61 | ||
| P/B | 6.92 | ||
| P/tB | 10.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.69 |
EPS(TTM)22.25
EY3.6%
EPS(NY)26.33
Fwd EY4.26%
FCF(TTM)17.26
FCFY2.79%
OCF(TTM)26.19
OCFY4.24%
SpS243.53
BVpS89.32
TBVpS57.56
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)2.13
Graham Number211.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.36% | ||
| ROE | 23.02% | ||
| ROCE | 15.81% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.81% | ||
| OM | 11.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.44% | ||
| GM | 25.29% | ||
| FCFM | 7.09% |
ROA(3y)7.72%
ROA(5y)7.85%
ROE(3y)23.25%
ROE(5y)23.77%
ROIC(3y)12.81%
ROIC(5y)11.69%
ROICexc(3y)14.66%
ROICexc(5y)13.52%
ROICexgc(3y)19.32%
ROICexgc(5y)17.59%
ROCE(3y)17.34%
ROCE(5y)15.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.12%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.89%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.61%
OM growth 3Y7.51%
OM growth 5Y5.11%
PM growth 3Y3.29%
PM growth 5Y-1.33%
GM growth 3Y2.38%
GM growth 5Y0.83%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.17 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.5 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.51 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.93% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.76 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.92 |
F-Score5
WACC10.34%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)114.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)155.19%
Profit Quality(5y)116.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.17%
EPS 3Y11.09%
EPS 5Y13.03%
EPS Q2Q%-16.93%
EPS Next Y18.32%
EPS Next 2Y18.66%
EPS Next 3Y16.8%
EPS Next 5Y16.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.27%
Revenue growth 3Y6.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.19%
Sales Q2Q%1.05%
Revenue Next Year7.12%
Revenue Next 2Y7.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.57%
EBIT growth 1Y5.19%
EBIT growth 3Y14.23%
EBIT growth 5Y16.87%
EBIT Next Year42.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.56%
EBIT Next 5Y17.49%
FCF growth 1Y755.2%
FCF growth 3Y31.64%
FCF growth 5Y2.13%
OCF growth 1Y143.51%
OCF growth 3Y22.66%
OCF growth 5Y5.87%
CUMMINS INC / CMI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CMI.
What is the valuation status for CMI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CUMMINS INC (CMI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CUMMINS INC?
CUMMINS INC (CMI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CMI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is expected to grow by 18.32% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of CUMMINS INC (CMI) stock?
The dividend rating of CUMMINS INC (CMI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.11%.