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CME GROUP INC (CME) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:CME - US12572Q1058 - Common Stock

273.08 USD
-2.75 (-1%)
Last: 12/31/2025, 9:52:43 PM
273.08 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/31/2025, 9:52:43 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, CME scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CME was compared to 235 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. CME scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. CME is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CME had positive earnings in the past year.
CME had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CME has always been profitable.
CME had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CME Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCME Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

1.2 Ratios

CME's Return On Assets of 1.99% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CME outperforms 45.96% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CME (13.18%) is better than 72.77% of its industry peers.
CME has a better Return On Invested Capital (18.72%) than 95.74% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CME is significantly above the industry average of 7.13%.
The 3 year average ROIC (15.81%) for CME is below the current ROIC(18.72%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.99%
ROE 13.18%
ROIC 18.72%
ROA(3y)2.17%
ROA(5y)1.91%
ROE(3y)11.65%
ROE(5y)10.5%
ROIC(3y)15.81%
ROIC(5y)11.95%
CME Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCME Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

CME's Profit Margin of 32.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CME outperforms 79.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CME has declined.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 80.16%, CME belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.72% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CME has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 80.16%
PM (TTM) 32.91%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y9.92%
OM growth 5Y6.02%
PM growth 3Y-13.33%
PM growth 5Y-2.37%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
CME Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCME Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80 100

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CME has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CME has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
CME has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CME Yearly Shares OutstandingCME Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
CME Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCME Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of CME is 0.84, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CME, only 0.84 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CME's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.84 is amongst the best of the industry. CME outperforms 89.36% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 indicates that CME is not too dependend on debt financing.
CME has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.12) than 78.72% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 0.84
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
CME Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCME Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.02 indicates that CME should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CME has a Current ratio of 1.02. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CME outperforms 45.53% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.02 indicates that CME should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.02, CME is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 1.02
CME Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCME Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CME shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.41%, which is quite good.
CME shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.57% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CME shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.03% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.14% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.41%
EPS 3Y15.32%
EPS 5Y8.57%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.03%
Revenue growth 3Y26.89%
Revenue growth 5Y13.14%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CME will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.30% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CME will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y9.98%
EPS Next 2Y7.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.89%
EPS Next 5Y7.3%
Revenue Next Year6.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.53%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5Y4.71%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CME Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCME Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CME Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCME Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CME is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.92.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CME indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CME is more expensive than 63.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CME is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.19 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CME.
60.85% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CME, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
CME's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.92
Fwd PE 23.19
CME Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCME Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

CME's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CME is cheaper than 87.66% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CME.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.11
EV/EBITDA 10.57
CME Per share dataCME EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CME does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CME has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)2.91
EPS Next 2Y7.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.89%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.81%, CME has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.65, CME is paying slightly less dividend.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, CME has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.81%

5.2 History

The dividend of CME is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.00%!
CME has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CME has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
CME Yearly Dividends per shareCME Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

5.3 Sustainability

CME pays out 104.85% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CME is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP104.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.89%
CME Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCME Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
CME Dividend Payout.CME Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CME Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CME GROUP INC

NASDAQ:CME (12/31/2025, 9:52:43 PM)

After market: 273.08 0 (0%)

273.08

-2.75 (-1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)10-22 2025-10-22/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Inst Owners91.61%
Inst Owner Change0.46%
Ins Owners0.25%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap98.47B
Revenue(TTM)11.29B
Net Income(TTM)3.72B
Analysts69.52
Price Target291.65 (6.8%)
Short Float %1.72%
Short Ratio3.31
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.81%
Yearly Dividend9.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)16%
DP104.85%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.59%
Min EPS beat(2)0.43%
Max EPS beat(2)0.76%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.28%
Max EPS beat(4)2.05%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)0.72%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)0.95%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)1.13%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.54%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.54%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)7.34%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.88%
PT rev (1m)0.05%
PT rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.94%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.92
Fwd PE 23.19
P/S 8.72
P/FCF 24.11
P/OCF 23.67
P/B 3.49
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.57
EPS(TTM)10.96
EY4.01%
EPS(NY)11.77
Fwd EY4.31%
FCF(TTM)11.33
FCFY4.15%
OCF(TTM)11.54
OCFY4.23%
SpS31.32
BVpS78.18
TBVpS-6.01
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)2.91
Graham Number138.85
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.99%
ROE 13.18%
ROCE 24.11%
ROIC 18.72%
ROICexc 20.09%
ROICexgc 151.85%
OM 80.16%
PM (TTM) 32.91%
GM N/A
FCFM 36.16%
ROA(3y)2.17%
ROA(5y)1.91%
ROE(3y)11.65%
ROE(5y)10.5%
ROIC(3y)15.81%
ROIC(5y)11.95%
ROICexc(3y)17.24%
ROICexc(5y)12.98%
ROICexgc(3y)263.94%
ROICexgc(5y)202.43%
ROCE(3y)20.37%
ROCE(5y)15.39%
ROICexgc growth 3Y53.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.06%
OM growth 3Y9.92%
OM growth 5Y6.02%
PM growth 3Y-13.33%
PM growth 5Y-2.37%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 0.84
Debt/EBITDA 0.36
Cap/Depr 23.26%
Cap/Sales 0.68%
Interest Coverage 66.76
Cash Conversion 44.34%
Profit Quality 109.88%
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)24.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)29.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.86%
Profit Quality(3y)106.99%
Profit Quality(5y)105.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.41%
EPS 3Y15.32%
EPS 5Y8.57%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y9.98%
EPS Next 2Y7.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.89%
EPS Next 5Y7.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.03%
Revenue growth 3Y26.89%
Revenue growth 5Y13.14%
Sales Q2Q%-2.95%
Revenue Next Year6.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.53%
Revenue Next 3Y5.51%
Revenue Next 5Y4.71%
EBIT growth 1Y12.23%
EBIT growth 3Y39.48%
EBIT growth 5Y19.95%
EBIT Next Year12.32%
EBIT Next 3Y7.91%
EBIT Next 5Y7.1%
FCF growth 1Y23.34%
FCF growth 3Y16.49%
FCF growth 5Y8.18%
OCF growth 1Y22.71%
OCF growth 3Y15.38%
OCF growth 5Y6.67%

CME GROUP INC / CME FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CME GROUP INC (CME) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CME.


What is the valuation status of CME GROUP INC (CME) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CME GROUP INC (CME). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CME GROUP INC?

CME GROUP INC (CME) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CME GROUP INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CME GROUP INC (CME) is expected to grow by 9.98% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for CME stock?

The dividend rating of CME GROUP INC (CME) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 104.85%.