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CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSEARCA:CMCL - NYSE Arca - JE00BF0XVB15 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

13.17  +0.11 (+0.84%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall CMCL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated CMCL against 153 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CMCL scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CMCL. Finally CMCL also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CMCL had positive earnings in the past year.
CMCL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CMCL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
CMCL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of CMCL (5.14%) is better than 74.51% of its industry peers.
CMCL has a better Return On Equity (8.37%) than 73.20% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CMCL (14.12%) is better than 94.12% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMCL is above the industry average of 8.53%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (14.12%) for CMCL is above the 3 year average (12.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.14%
ROE 8.37%
ROIC 14.12%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
CMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

CMCL has a better Profit Margin (10.30%) than 81.05% of its industry peers.
CMCL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
CMCL has a better Operating Margin (32.61%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMCL has declined.
CMCL has a better Gross Margin (44.49%) than 85.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMCL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.61%
PM (TTM) 10.3%
GM 44.49%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
CMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMCL is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CMCL remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
CMCL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CMCL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingCMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M
CMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.91 indicates that CMCL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CMCL has a Altman-Z score of 1.91. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CMCL outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CMCL is 2.35, which is a good value as it means it would take CMCL, 2.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.35, CMCL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that CMCL is not too dependend on debt financing.
CMCL has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.11) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 2.35
Altman-Z 1.91
ROIC/WACC1.41
WACC9.98%
CMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

CMCL has a Current Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMCL's Current ratio of 1.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMCL is outperformed by 75.82% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that CMCL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CMCL has a worse Quick ratio (0.83) than 74.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.83
CMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 466.85% over the past year.
CMCL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -24.93% yearly.
CMCL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 25.29%.
Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)466.85%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%1165%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.29%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%22.9%

3.2 Future

CMCL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.24% yearly.
CMCL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.97% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.13%
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
CMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.21, which indicates a very decent valuation of CMCL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaper than 92.16% of the companies in the same industry.
CMCL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.78.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.85, which indicates a very decent valuation of CMCL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.32, CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.21
Fwd PE 8.85
CMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMCL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CMCL is cheaper than 96.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CMCL is valued a bit cheaper than 74.51% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.77
EV/EBITDA 3.54
CMCL Per share dataCMCL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CMCL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of CMCL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CMCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.20%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, CMCL pays a better dividend. On top of this CMCL pays more dividend than 90.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.46, CMCL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.2%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CMCL grows each year by 15.05%, which is quite nice.
CMCL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CMCL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
CMCL Yearly Dividends per shareCMCL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

CMCL pays out 68.73% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
CMCL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP68.73%
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
CMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M 30M 40M
CMCL Dividend Payout.CMCL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CMCL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC

NYSEARCA:CMCL (4/28/2025, 2:10:29 PM)

13.17

+0.11 (+0.84%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-31 2025-03-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-19 2025-05-19
Inst Owners50.48%
Inst Owner Change0.27%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap253.00M
Analysts82.5
Price Target15.22 (15.57%)
Short Float %1.63%
Short Ratio3.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.2%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
DP68.73%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-Date04-04 2025-04-04 (0.14)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)7.18%
PT rev (3m)0.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-26.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)14.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)7.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.21
Fwd PE 8.85
P/S 1.46
P/FCF 23.77
P/OCF 6.03
P/B 1.18
P/tB 1.18
EV/EBITDA 3.54
EPS(TTM)1.29
EY9.79%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY11.3%
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY4.21%
OCF(TTM)2.18
OCFY16.58%
SpS9.05
BVpS11.13
TBVpS11.13
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.14%
ROE 8.37%
ROCE 18.7%
ROIC 14.12%
ROICexc 14.31%
ROICexgc 14.31%
OM 32.61%
PM (TTM) 10.3%
GM 44.49%
FCFM 6.13%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
ROICexc(3y)12.42%
ROICexc(5y)15.65%
ROICexgc(3y)12.42%
ROICexgc(5y)15.65%
ROCE(3y)16.21%
ROCE(5y)19.06%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.05%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 2.35
Debt/EBITDA 0.33
Cap/Depr 195.44%
Cap/Sales 18.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 57.72%
Profit Quality 59.46%
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 1.91
F-Score6
WACC9.98%
ROIC/WACC1.41
Cap/Depr(3y)280.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)382.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)26.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)466.85%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%1165%
EPS Next Y15.13%
EPS Next 2Y8.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.29%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%22.9%
Revenue Next Year13.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y177.18%
EBIT growth 3Y9.64%
EBIT growth 5Y16.51%
EBIT Next Year95.98%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y168.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y184.08%
OCF growth 3Y10.73%
OCF growth 5Y18.36%