CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSEARCA:CMCL • JE00BF0XVB15

Current stock price

24.58 USD
+0.61 (+2.54%)
At close:
24.58 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CMCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. CMCL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CMCL was profitable.
  • CMCL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years CMCL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 14.19%, CMCL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMCL has a Return On Equity of 23.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMCL outperforms 91.72% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CMCL (19.09%) is better than 88.53% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMCL is significantly below the industry average of 61.64%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.93%) for CMCL is below the current ROIC(19.09%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.19%
ROE 23.16%
ROIC 19.09%
ROA(3y)5.38%
ROA(5y)6.5%
ROE(3y)8.62%
ROE(5y)9.55%
ROIC(3y)10.93%
ROIC(5y)11.8%
CMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 21.73%, CMCL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMCL has remained more or less at the same level.
  • CMCL has a Operating Margin of 43.59%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMCL outperforms 89.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMCL has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Gross Margin of CMCL (53.96%) is better than 87.90% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMCL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.59%
PM (TTM) 21.73%
GM 53.96%
OM growth 3Y8.47%
OM growth 5Y0.2%
PM growth 3Y17.9%
PM growth 5Y-0.15%
GM growth 3Y5.46%
GM growth 5Y1.88%
CMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

3

2. CMCL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMCL is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CMCL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CMCL has more shares outstanding
  • CMCL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingCMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M
CMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • CMCL has an Altman-Z score of 3.36. This indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 3.36, CMCL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that CMCL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CMCL (0.11) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.36
ROIC/WACC1.49
WACC12.83%
CMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

  • CMCL has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMCL has a Current ratio of 1.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMCL underperforms 66.88% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.10 indicates that CMCL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.10, CMCL is not doing good in the industry: 64.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
CMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

8

3. CMCL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 121.73% over the past year.
  • CMCL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -24.93% yearly.
  • CMCL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 46.26%.
  • CMCL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 19.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)121.73%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%121.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.26%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%57.29%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMCL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.67% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMCL will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 25.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y36.53%
Revenue Next 3Y20.56%
Revenue Next 5Y25.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 100M 200M 300M 400M
CMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

7

4. CMCL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.56 indicates a reasonable valuation of CMCL.
  • 99.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CMCL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.94, the valuation of CMCL can be described as very cheap.
  • 92.99% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CMCL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • CMCL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.56
Fwd PE 6.94
CMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CMCL Per share dataCMCL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CMCL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of CMCL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CMCL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%

7

5. CMCL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.51%, CMCL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • CMCL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.16. CMCL pays more dividend than 85.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, CMCL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CMCL grows each year by 15.05%, which is quite nice.
  • CMCL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CMCL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
CMCL Yearly Dividends per shareCMCL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • The dividend of CMCL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
CMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M 40M

CMCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC

NYSEARCA:CMCL (4/8/2026, 8:24:11 PM)

After market: 24.58 0 (0%)

24.58

+0.61 (+2.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-23
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners55.81%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change4.09%
Market Cap474.39M
Revenue(TTM)254.14M
Net Income(TTM)55.22M
Analysts82.5
Price Target42.74 (73.88%)
Short Float %7.41%
Short Ratio3.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date04-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)32.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.95%
Max EPS beat(4)137.36%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.75%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.59%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.7%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.78%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)2.11%
PT rev (3m)22.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)38.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)11.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)18.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.56
Fwd PE 6.94
P/S 1.87
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.99
P/tB 1.99
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)2.87
EY11.68%
EPS(NY)3.54
Fwd EY14.4%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS13.17
BVpS12.35
TBVpS12.35
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number28.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.19%
ROE 23.16%
ROCE 33.03%
ROIC 19.09%
ROICexc 21.41%
ROICexgc 21.41%
OM 43.59%
PM (TTM) 21.73%
GM 53.96%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.38%
ROA(5y)6.5%
ROE(3y)8.62%
ROE(5y)9.55%
ROIC(3y)10.93%
ROIC(5y)11.8%
ROICexc(3y)11.75%
ROICexc(5y)12.63%
ROICexgc(3y)11.75%
ROICexgc(5y)12.63%
ROCE(3y)19.14%
ROCE(5y)20.48%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.98%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.98%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.06%
OM growth 3Y8.47%
OM growth 5Y0.2%
PM growth 3Y17.9%
PM growth 5Y-0.15%
GM growth 3Y5.46%
GM growth 5Y1.88%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 3.36
F-ScoreN/A
WACC12.83%
ROIC/WACC1.49
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)121.73%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%121.34%
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)46.26%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%57.29%
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y36.53%
Revenue Next 3Y20.56%
Revenue Next 5Y25.78%
EBIT growth 1Y95.48%
EBIT growth 3Y33.94%
EBIT growth 5Y21.99%
EBIT Next Year39.93%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC / CMCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMCL.


What is the valuation status for CMCL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is 8.56 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.99.


Is the dividend of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC sustainable?

The dividend rating of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.