CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSEARCA:CMCL • JE00BF0XVB15

Current stock price

21.57 USD
-1.17 (-5.15%)
At close:
21.57 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CMCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CMCL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CMCL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CMCL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years CMCL 4 years were profitable.
  • CMCL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

  • CMCL's Return On Assets of 9.44% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 82.39% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL has a better Return On Equity (15.41%) than 81.13% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Return On Invested Capital of 17.47% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 88.68% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMCL is significantly below the industry average of 60.43%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (12.13%) for CMCL is below the current ROIC(17.47%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.44%
ROE 15.41%
ROIC 17.47%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
CMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CMCL has a better Profit Margin (17.95%) than 79.25% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CMCL has a better Operating Margin (37.66%) than 86.16% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMCL has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of CMCL (49.47%) is better than 82.39% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 37.66%
PM (TTM) 17.95%
GM 49.47%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
CMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

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5

2. CMCL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMCL is still creating some value.
  • CMCL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CMCL has more shares outstanding
  • CMCL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingCMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M
CMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • CMCL has an Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is not the best score and indicates that CMCL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CMCL has a Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CMCL outperforms 44.03% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.48. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.48 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.48, CMCL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMCL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CMCL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CMCL outperforms 56.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1.48
Altman-Z 2.76
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC12.28%
CMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that CMCL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CMCL's Current ratio of 1.65 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMCL is outperformed by 66.04% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CMCL's Quick ratio of 1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CMCL is outperformed by 62.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
CMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. CMCL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CMCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 121.73%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -24.93% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 25.29% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • CMCL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 19.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)121.73%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%121.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.29%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%57.29%

3.2 Future

  • CMCL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.67% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMCL will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 22.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y37.97%
Revenue Next 3Y22.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M
CMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

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9

4. CMCL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CMCL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.52.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. CMCL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.09, the valuation of CMCL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.51, CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.52
Fwd PE 6.09
CMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CMCL is valued cheaper than 97.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CMCL is valued cheaper than 81.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22
EV/EBITDA 4.03
CMCL Per share dataCMCL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CMCL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMCL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. CMCL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CMCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.60%.
  • The stock price of CMCL dropped by -22.63% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • CMCL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.14. CMCL pays more dividend than 88.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMCL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.6%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CMCL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.05%!
  • CMCL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CMCL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
CMCL Yearly Dividends per shareCMCL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 42.63% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CMCL. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • CMCL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP42.63%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
CMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M 30M 40M
CMCL Dividend Payout.CMCL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CMCL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CMCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC

NYSEARCA:CMCL (3/26/2026, 8:12:20 PM)

After market: 21.57 0 (0%)

21.57

-1.17 (-5.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-23
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners55.81%
Inst Owner Change8.44%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap416.30M
Revenue(TTM)173.75M
Net Income(TTM)36.74M
Analysts82.5
Price Target42.74 (98.15%)
Short Float %7.32%
Short Ratio2.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.6%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
DP42.63%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)69.44%
Min EPS beat(2)1.53%
Max EPS beat(2)137.36%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.78%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)19.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.52
Fwd PE 6.09
P/S 2.03
P/FCF 22
P/OCF 7.03
P/B 1.75
P/tB 1.75
EV/EBITDA 4.03
EPS(TTM)2.87
EY13.31%
EPS(NY)3.54
Fwd EY16.41%
FCF(TTM)0.98
FCFY4.55%
OCF(TTM)3.07
OCFY14.23%
SpS10.61
BVpS12.35
TBVpS12.35
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number28.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.44%
ROE 15.41%
ROCE 22.99%
ROIC 17.47%
ROICexc 19.59%
ROICexgc 19.59%
OM 37.66%
PM (TTM) 17.95%
GM 49.47%
FCFM 9.24%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
ROICexc(3y)12.42%
ROICexc(5y)15.65%
ROICexgc(3y)12.42%
ROICexgc(5y)15.65%
ROCE(3y)16.21%
ROCE(5y)19.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.05%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1.48
Debt/EBITDA 0.29
Cap/Depr 254.24%
Cap/Sales 19.7%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 63.73%
Profit Quality 51.5%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 2.76
F-Score7
WACC12.28%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)280.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)382.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)26.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)121.73%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%121.34%
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.29%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%57.29%
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y37.97%
Revenue Next 3Y22.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y182.99%
EBIT growth 3Y9.64%
EBIT growth 5Y16.51%
EBIT Next Year164.04%
EBIT Next 3Y47.99%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y199.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y368.42%
OCF growth 3Y10.73%
OCF growth 5Y18.36%

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC / CMCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMCL.


What is the valuation status for CMCL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of CMCL stock?

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is 7.52 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.75.


What is the expected EPS growth for CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is expected to grow by 151.35% in the next year.