CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSEARCA:CMCL • JE00BF0XVB15

Current stock price

23.58 USD
-1.27 (-5.11%)
At close:
23.93 USD
+0.35 (+1.48%)
After Hours:

This CMCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CMCL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CMCL was profitable.
  • In the past year CMCL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years CMCL 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CMCL had a positive operating cash flow.
CMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCMCL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

  • CMCL's Return On Assets of 9.44% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 82.80% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL has a better Return On Equity (15.41%) than 82.80% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 17.47%, CMCL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMCL is in line with the industry average of 11.64%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (17.47%) for CMCL is above the 3 year average (12.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.44%
ROE 15.41%
ROIC 17.47%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
CMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCMCL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • CMCL has a better Profit Margin (17.95%) than 78.98% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CMCL's Operating Margin of 37.66% is amongst the best of the industry. CMCL outperforms 85.99% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CMCL has declined.
  • CMCL has a better Gross Margin (49.47%) than 82.17% of its industry peers.
  • CMCL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 37.66%
PM (TTM) 17.95%
GM 49.47%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
CMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCMCL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

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5

2. CMCL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMCL is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CMCL has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CMCL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CMCL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingCMCL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M
CMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCMCL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.02 indicates that CMCL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CMCL's Altman-Z score of 3.02 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CMCL outperforms 45.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CMCL is 1.48, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CMCL, only 1.48 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.48, CMCL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMCL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CMCL (0.11) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1.48
Altman-Z 3.02
ROIC/WACC1.5
WACC11.66%
CMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCMCL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • CMCL has a Current Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that CMCL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.65, CMCL is not doing good in the industry: 65.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.10 indicates that CMCL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CMCL has a Quick ratio of 1.10. This is in the lower half of the industry: CMCL underperforms 63.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
CMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCMCL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. CMCL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CMCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 141.51%, which is quite impressive.
  • The earnings per share for CMCL have been decreasing by -24.93% on average. This is quite bad
  • CMCL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 25.29%.
  • Measured over the past years, CMCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 19.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)141.51%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%196.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.29%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%52.42%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CMCL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.67% on average per year.
  • CMCL is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 22.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y37.97%
Revenue Next 3Y22.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M
CMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCMCL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

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9

4. CMCL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.21, the valuation of CMCL can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CMCL is valued cheaper than 98.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.79. CMCL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.66 indicates a rather cheap valuation of CMCL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMCL indicates a rather cheap valuation: CMCL is cheaper than 90.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CMCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.80), we can say CMCL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.21
Fwd PE 6.66
CMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCMCL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 96.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CMCL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CMCL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.05
EV/EBITDA 4.71
CMCL Per share dataCMCL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CMCL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMCL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. CMCL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CMCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.15%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • CMCL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.08. CMCL pays more dividend than 85.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CMCL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.15%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CMCL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.05%!
  • CMCL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CMCL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
CMCL Yearly Dividends per shareCMCL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • CMCL pays out 42.63% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of CMCL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP42.63%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
CMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCMCL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10M -10M 20M 30M 40M
CMCL Dividend Payout.CMCL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CMCL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CMCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC

NYSEARCA:CMCL (3/18/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 23.93 +0.35 (+1.48%)

23.58

-1.27 (-5.11%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-10
Earnings (Next)03-23
Inst Owners55.81%
Inst Owner Change8.44%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap455.09M
Revenue(TTM)173.75M
Net Income(TTM)36.74M
Analysts82.5
Price Target41.85 (77.48%)
Short Float %7.32%
Short Ratio2.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.15%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.05%
DP42.63%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)69.44%
Min EPS beat(2)1.53%
Max EPS beat(2)137.36%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.78%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)19.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.21
Fwd PE 6.66
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 24.05
P/OCF 7.68
P/B 1.91
P/tB 1.91
EV/EBITDA 4.71
EPS(TTM)2.56
EY10.86%
EPS(NY)3.54
Fwd EY15.01%
FCF(TTM)0.98
FCFY4.16%
OCF(TTM)3.07
OCFY13.02%
SpS10.61
BVpS12.35
TBVpS12.35
PEG (NY)0.06
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.68
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.44%
ROE 15.41%
ROCE 22.99%
ROIC 17.47%
ROICexc 19.59%
ROICexgc 19.59%
OM 37.66%
PM (TTM) 17.95%
GM 49.47%
FCFM 9.24%
ROA(3y)3.45%
ROA(5y)6.15%
ROE(3y)5%
ROE(5y)8.22%
ROIC(3y)12.13%
ROIC(5y)14.64%
ROICexc(3y)12.42%
ROICexc(5y)15.65%
ROICexgc(3y)12.42%
ROICexgc(5y)15.65%
ROCE(3y)16.21%
ROCE(5y)19.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.05%
OM growth 3Y-4.4%
OM growth 5Y-2.32%
PM growth 3Y-13.6%
PM growth 5Y-29.3%
GM growth 3Y-1.97%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF 1.48
Debt/EBITDA 0.29
Cap/Depr 254.24%
Cap/Sales 19.7%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 63.73%
Profit Quality 51.5%
Current Ratio 1.65
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 3.02
F-Score7
WACC11.66%
ROIC/WACC1.5
Cap/Depr(3y)280.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)382.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)26.95%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)141.51%
EPS 3Y-14.85%
EPS 5Y-24.93%
EPS Q2Q%196.15%
EPS Next Y151.35%
EPS Next 2Y65.45%
EPS Next 3Y24.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.29%
Revenue growth 3Y14.68%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%52.42%
Revenue Next Year47.91%
Revenue Next 2Y37.97%
Revenue Next 3Y22.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y182.99%
EBIT growth 3Y9.64%
EBIT growth 5Y16.51%
EBIT Next Year164.04%
EBIT Next 3Y47.99%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y199.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y368.42%
OCF growth 3Y10.73%
OCF growth 5Y18.36%

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC / CMCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMCL.


What is the valuation status for CMCL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of CMCL stock?

CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is 9.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.91.


What is the expected EPS growth for CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CALEDONIA MINING CORP PLC (CMCL) is expected to grow by 151.35% in the next year.