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Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CHS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US1686151028 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.59  -0.01 (-0.13%)

After market: 7.591 +0 (+0.01%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to CHS. CHS was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of CHS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. CHS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CHS was profitable.
CHS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CHS reported negative net income in multiple years.
CHS had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CHS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCHS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.82%, CHS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 26.40%, CHS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.84% of the companies in the same industry.
CHS has a Return On Invested Capital of 12.31%. This is in the better half of the industry: CHS outperforms 77.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.82%
ROE 26.4%
ROIC 12.31%
ROA(3y)-5.09%
ROA(5y)-2.53%
ROE(3y)-55.05%
ROE(5y)-32.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CHS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCHS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

CHS's Profit Margin of 5.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CHS outperforms 72.87% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CHS has grown nicely.
CHS has a better Operating Margin (6.16%) than 68.22% of its industry peers.
CHS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CHS has a Gross Margin (38.94%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CHS has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.16%
PM (TTM) 5.29%
GM 38.94%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.25%
GM growth 3Y4.35%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
CHS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCHS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CHS is creating some value.
CHS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CHS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CHS has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CHS Yearly Shares OutstandingCHS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
CHS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCHS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

CHS has an Altman-Z score of 3.22. This indicates that CHS is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CHS (3.22) is better than 70.54% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CHS is 0.42, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CHS, only 0.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.42, CHS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.17% of the companies in the same industry.
CHS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
CHS has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 75.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.42
Altman-Z 3.22
ROIC/WACC1.34
WACC9.19%
CHS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCHS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.20 indicates that CHS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CHS has a worse Current ratio (1.20) than 72.09% of its industry peers.
CHS has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a bad value and indicates that CHS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CHS has a Quick ratio of 0.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: CHS underperforms 60.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.2
Quick Ratio 0.42
CHS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCHS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CHS have decreased strongly by -15.38% in the last year.
CHS shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.10% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.24% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y4.1%
EPS Q2Q%-45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.67%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.26%
Sales Q2Q%-2.54%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CHS will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -8.47% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CHS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.60% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y0.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CHS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCHS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CHS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCHS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -1 -2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CHS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.86.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CHS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.07% of the companies are valued more expensively.
CHS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.30.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.29, the valuation of CHS can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CHS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.76, CHS is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.86
Fwd PE 10.29
CHS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCHS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CHS is valued cheaper than 85.27% of the companies in the same industry.
CHS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CHS is cheaper than 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.37
EV/EBITDA 4.72
CHS Per share dataCHS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of CHS may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as CHS's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.41
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CHS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Chicos FAS Inc

NYSE:CHS (1/4/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.591 +0 (+0.01%)

7.59

-0.01 (-0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-30 2023-11-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners0.13%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.85%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap937.06M
Analysts46.67
Price Target7.75 (2.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.66%
Min EPS beat(2)2.68%
Max EPS beat(2)14.64%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.55%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.31%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.86
Fwd PE 10.29
P/S 0.44
P/FCF 16.37
P/OCF 8.25
P/B 2.22
P/tB 2.34
EV/EBITDA 4.72
EPS(TTM)0.77
EY10.14%
EPS(NY)0.74
Fwd EY9.71%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY6.11%
OCF(TTM)0.92
OCFY12.11%
SpS17.08
BVpS3.42
TBVpS3.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.41
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.82%
ROE 26.4%
ROCE 15.79%
ROIC 12.31%
ROICexc 14.55%
ROICexgc 15.01%
OM 6.16%
PM (TTM) 5.29%
GM 38.94%
FCFM 2.71%
ROA(3y)-5.09%
ROA(5y)-2.53%
ROE(3y)-55.05%
ROE(5y)-32.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.56%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.76%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.25%
GM growth 3Y4.35%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.42
Debt/EBITDA 0.14
Cap/Depr 134.65%
Cap/Sales 2.67%
Interest Coverage 35.98
Cash Conversion 66.14%
Profit Quality 51.32%
Current Ratio 1.2
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 3.22
F-Score5
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC1.34
Cap/Depr(3y)46.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y4.1%
EPS Q2Q%-45%
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.67%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.26%
Sales Q2Q%-2.54%
Revenue Next Year0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y0.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.35%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y0.3%
EBIT Next Year18.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y29.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y0.2%
OCF growth 1Y108.67%
OCF growth 3Y69.3%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%