Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CHS • US1686151028

Current stock price

7.59 USD
-0.01 (-0.13%)
At close:
7.591 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This CHS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CHS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CHS was profitable.
  • CHS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years CHS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years CHS 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CHS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCHS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CHS (8.82%) is better than 79.84% of its industry peers.
  • CHS has a Return On Equity of 26.40%. This is in the better half of the industry: CHS outperforms 79.84% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.31%, CHS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.82%
ROE 26.4%
ROIC 12.31%
ROA(3y)-5.09%
ROA(5y)-2.53%
ROE(3y)-55.05%
ROE(5y)-32.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CHS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCHS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.29%, CHS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHS's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 6.16%, CHS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of CHS (38.94%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CHS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.16%
PM (TTM) 5.29%
GM 38.94%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.25%
GM growth 3Y4.35%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
CHS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCHS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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5

2. CHS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CHS is creating some value.
  • CHS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CHS has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CHS Yearly Shares OutstandingCHS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CHS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCHS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.22 indicates that CHS is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CHS (3.22) is better than 70.54% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CHS is 0.42, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CHS, only 0.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.42, CHS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CHS has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 75.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.42
Altman-Z 3.22
ROIC/WACC1.34
WACC9.19%
CHS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCHS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • CHS has a Current Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that CHS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CHS has a Current ratio of 1.20. This is in the lower half of the industry: CHS underperforms 72.09% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.42 indicates that CHS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.42, CHS is doing worse than 60.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.2
Quick Ratio 0.42
CHS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCHS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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2

3. CHS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CHS have decreased strongly by -15.38% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, CHS shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.10% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.24% in the past year.
  • CHS shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -1.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y4.1%
EPS Q2Q%-45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.67%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.26%
Sales Q2Q%-2.54%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CHS will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -8.47% on average per year.
  • CHS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y0.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CHS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCHS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CHS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCHS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -1 -2

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6

4. CHS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CHS is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.86.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CHS is valued a bit cheaper than 79.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.77. CHS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.29 indicates a reasonable valuation of CHS.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CHS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CHS is cheaper than 74.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CHS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.86
Fwd PE 10.29
CHS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCHS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CHS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.27% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 67.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CHS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.37
EV/EBITDA 4.72
CHS Per share dataCHS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of CHS may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CHS's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.47% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.41
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CHS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CHS!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CHS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Chicos FAS Inc

NYSE:CHS (1/4/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.591 +0 (+0.01%)

7.59

-0.01 (-0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Industry Strength72.67
Industry Growth52.17
Earnings (Last)11-30
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners0.13%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.85%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap937.06M
Revenue(TTM)2.11B
Net Income(TTM)111.58M
Analysts46.67
Price Target7.75 (2.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.66%
Min EPS beat(2)2.68%
Max EPS beat(2)14.64%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.55%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.31%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.86
Fwd PE 10.29
P/S 0.44
P/FCF 16.37
P/OCF 8.25
P/B 2.22
P/tB 2.34
EV/EBITDA 4.72
EPS(TTM)0.77
EY10.14%
EPS(NY)0.74
Fwd EY9.71%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY6.11%
OCF(TTM)0.92
OCFY12.11%
SpS17.08
BVpS3.42
TBVpS3.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.41
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.82%
ROE 26.4%
ROCE 15.79%
ROIC 12.31%
ROICexc 14.55%
ROICexgc 15.01%
OM 6.16%
PM (TTM) 5.29%
GM 38.94%
FCFM 2.71%
ROA(3y)-5.09%
ROA(5y)-2.53%
ROE(3y)-55.05%
ROE(5y)-32.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.56%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.76%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.25%
GM growth 3Y4.35%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.42
Debt/EBITDA 0.14
Cap/Depr 134.65%
Cap/Sales 2.67%
Interest Coverage 35.98
Cash Conversion 66.14%
Profit Quality 51.32%
Current Ratio 1.2
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 3.22
F-Score5
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC1.34
Cap/Depr(3y)46.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y4.1%
EPS Q2Q%-45%
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.67%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.26%
Sales Q2Q%-2.54%
Revenue Next Year0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y0.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.35%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y0.3%
EBIT Next Year18.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y29.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y0.2%
OCF growth 1Y108.67%
OCF growth 3Y69.3%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%

Chicos FAS Inc / CHS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CHS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CHS.


What is the valuation status of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Chicos FAS Inc (CHS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

The financial health rating of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) is 6 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

The dividend rating of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.