Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CHS • US1686151028

Current stock price

7.59 USD
-0.01 (-0.13%)
At close:
7.591 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours:

This CHS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CHS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CHS was profitable.
  • CHS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CHS reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • CHS had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CHS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCHS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • CHS's Return On Assets of 8.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CHS outperforms 79.84% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 26.40%, CHS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 12.31%, CHS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.82%
ROE 26.4%
ROIC 12.31%
ROA(3y)-5.09%
ROA(5y)-2.53%
ROE(3y)-55.05%
ROE(5y)-32.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CHS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCHS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • CHS has a better Profit Margin (5.29%) than 72.87% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CHS has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.16%, CHS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CHS's Gross Margin of 38.94% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CHS outperforms 59.69% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CHS has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.16%
PM (TTM) 5.29%
GM 38.94%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.25%
GM growth 3Y4.35%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
CHS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCHS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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5

2. CHS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CHS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • CHS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CHS has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CHS Yearly Shares OutstandingCHS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CHS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCHS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • CHS has an Altman-Z score of 3.22. This indicates that CHS is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CHS has a better Altman-Z score (3.22) than 70.54% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CHS is 0.42, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CHS, only 0.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CHS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.42. This is amongst the best in the industry. CHS outperforms 82.17% of its industry peers.
  • CHS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.06, CHS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.42
Altman-Z 3.22
ROIC/WACC1.34
WACC9.19%
CHS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCHS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.20 indicates that CHS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CHS has a worse Current ratio (1.20) than 72.09% of its industry peers.
  • CHS has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a bad value and indicates that CHS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.42, CHS is not doing good in the industry: 60.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.2
Quick Ratio 0.42
CHS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCHS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. CHS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CHS have decreased strongly by -15.38% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.10% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, CHS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.24% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y4.1%
EPS Q2Q%-45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.67%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.26%
Sales Q2Q%-2.54%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CHS will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -8.47% on average per year.
  • CHS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y0.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CHS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCHS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CHS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCHS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -1 -2

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6

4. CHS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.86 indicates a reasonable valuation of CHS.
  • 79.07% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CHS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CHS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.21), we can say CHS is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.29, the valuation of CHS can be described as very reasonable.
  • 74.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CHS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CHS to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.13), we can say CHS is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.86
Fwd PE 10.29
CHS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCHS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CHS indicates a rather cheap valuation: CHS is cheaper than 85.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CHS is valued a bit cheaper than 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.37
EV/EBITDA 4.72
CHS Per share dataCHS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of CHS may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CHS's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.47% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.41
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CHS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CHS!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CHS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Chicos FAS Inc

NYSE:CHS (1/4/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.591 +0 (+0.01%)

7.59

-0.01 (-0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-30
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners0.13%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.85%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap937.06M
Revenue(TTM)2.11B
Net Income(TTM)111.58M
Analysts46.67
Price Target7.75 (2.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.66%
Min EPS beat(2)2.68%
Max EPS beat(2)14.64%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.44%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.55%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.31%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.86
Fwd PE 10.29
P/S 0.44
P/FCF 16.37
P/OCF 8.25
P/B 2.22
P/tB 2.34
EV/EBITDA 4.72
EPS(TTM)0.77
EY10.14%
EPS(NY)0.74
Fwd EY9.71%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY6.11%
OCF(TTM)0.92
OCFY12.11%
SpS17.08
BVpS3.42
TBVpS3.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.41
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.82%
ROE 26.4%
ROCE 15.79%
ROIC 12.31%
ROICexc 14.55%
ROICexgc 15.01%
OM 6.16%
PM (TTM) 5.29%
GM 38.94%
FCFM 2.71%
ROA(3y)-5.09%
ROA(5y)-2.53%
ROE(3y)-55.05%
ROE(5y)-32.32%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.56%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.76%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y3.25%
GM growth 3Y4.35%
GM growth 5Y0.65%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.42
Debt/EBITDA 0.14
Cap/Depr 134.65%
Cap/Sales 2.67%
Interest Coverage 35.98
Cash Conversion 66.14%
Profit Quality 51.32%
Current Ratio 1.2
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 3.22
F-Score5
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC1.34
Cap/Depr(3y)46.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.38%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y4.1%
EPS Q2Q%-45%
EPS Next Y-18.51%
EPS Next 2Y-8.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.24%
Revenue growth 3Y1.67%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.26%
Sales Q2Q%-2.54%
Revenue Next Year0.79%
Revenue Next 2Y0.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-15.35%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y0.3%
EBIT Next Year18.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y29.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y0.2%
OCF growth 1Y108.67%
OCF growth 3Y69.3%
OCF growth 5Y-0.64%

Chicos FAS Inc / CHS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CHS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CHS.


What is the valuation status of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to Chicos FAS Inc (CHS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

The financial health rating of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) is 6 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) stock?

The dividend rating of Chicos FAS Inc (CHS) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.