CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CGAU • CA1520061021

Current stock price

18.42 USD
+0.13 (+0.71%)
Last:

This CGAU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CGAU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CGAU was profitable.
  • In the past year CGAU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CGAU reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years CGAU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • CGAU's Return On Assets of 19.74% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 95.54% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Return On Equity of 28.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 92.99% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.25%, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 61.57%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.25%) for CGAU is above the 3 year average (6.19%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROIC 8.25%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
CGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 42.18%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CGAU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CGAU's Operating Margin of 23.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 71.34% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CGAU has declined.
  • CGAU has a better Gross Margin (33.50%) than 67.52% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
CGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

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7

2. CGAU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CGAU is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingCGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 4.17. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CGAU has a Altman-Z score (4.17) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CGAU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.20. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CGAU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.20. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 92.99% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CGAU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 4.17
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC12.02%
CGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.39 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CGAU's Current ratio of 2.39 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 50.32% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.65 indicates that CGAU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.65, CGAU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
CGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. CGAU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CGAU shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 52.05%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -6.09% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, CGAU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 14.00% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%

3.2 Future

  • CGAU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.70% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y84%
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%
EPS Next 5Y7.7%
Revenue Next Year23.96%
Revenue Next 2Y18.29%
Revenue Next 3Y17.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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8

4. CGAU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.59, CGAU is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 85.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.21. CGAU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.02 indicates a reasonable valuation of CGAU.
  • 82.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CGAU, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.13. CGAU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.59
Fwd PE 9.02
CGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CGAU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.17% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CGAU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 38.73
EV/EBITDA 7.02
CGAU Per share dataCGAU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of CGAU may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 17.43% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%

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5

5. CGAU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.21%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.16, CGAU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.21%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CGAU grows each year by 8.24%, which is quite nice.
  • CGAU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As CGAU did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
CGAU Yearly Dividends per shareCGAU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

  • CGAU pays out 7.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of CGAU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP7.04%
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%
CGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CGAU Dividend Payout.CGAU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CGAU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CGAU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTERRA GOLD INC

NYSE:CGAU (4/7/2026, 1:59:31 PM)

18.42

+0.13 (+0.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners90.31%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.68B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)583.99M
Analysts76.67
Price Target22.84 (24%)
Short Float %1.56%
Short Ratio1.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.21%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
DP7.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)28.39%
Min EPS beat(2)10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.32%
Min EPS beat(4)10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)18.55%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.14%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-54.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.73%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.74%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)55.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)61.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)35.26%
EPS NY rev (3m)34.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.82%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.59
Fwd PE 9.02
P/S 2.66
P/FCF 38.73
P/OCF 10.56
P/B 1.79
P/tB 1.79
EV/EBITDA 7.02
EPS(TTM)1.11
EY6.03%
EPS(NY)2.04
Fwd EY11.09%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY2.58%
OCF(TTM)1.74
OCFY9.47%
SpS6.93
BVpS10.31
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)0.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROCE 13.08%
ROIC 8.25%
ROICexc 10.51%
ROICexgc 10.51%
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
FCFM 6.86%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.49%
ROICexgc(3y)8.53%
ROICexgc(5y)7.49%
ROCE(3y)9.82%
ROCE(5y)8.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.58%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 219.32%
Cap/Sales 18.32%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.47%
Profit Quality 16.27%
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 4.17
F-Score6
WACC12.02%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)135.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
EPS Next Y84%
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%
EPS Next 5Y7.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%
Revenue Next Year23.96%
Revenue Next 2Y18.29%
Revenue Next 3Y17.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.56%
EBIT growth 3Y44.42%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.72%
EBIT Next Year53.15%
EBIT Next 3Y15.96%
EBIT Next 5Y8.35%
FCF growth 1Y-31.45%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-30.91%
OCF growth 1Y16.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.81%

CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CGAU.


Can you provide the valuation status for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of CGAU stock?

CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CGAU stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 16.59 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.79.


How sustainable is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 7.04%.