CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CGAU • CA1520061021

19.66 USD
+0.14 (+0.72%)
Last: Mar 4, 2026, 10:01 AM

This CGAU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to CGAU. CGAU was compared to 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While CGAU has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. CGAU is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. CGAU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CGAU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years CGAU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • CGAU's Return On Assets of 19.74% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 95.54% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of CGAU (28.35%) is better than 92.99% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU's Return On Invested Capital of 8.25% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 72.61% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.19%. This is below the industry average of 10.98%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.19%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(8.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROIC 8.25%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
CGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CGAU (42.18%) is better than 95.54% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CGAU has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 23.74%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CGAU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • CGAU has a better Gross Margin (33.50%) than 68.79% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
CGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

7

2. CGAU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CGAU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
  • CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingCGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 4.33. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CGAU has a Altman-Z score (4.33) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.20, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU (0.20) is better than 92.99% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 4.33
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC10.05%
CGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.39, CGAU is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.65 indicates that CGAU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CGAU's Quick ratio of 1.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 53.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
CGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. CGAU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CGAU shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 52.05%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, CGAU shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -6.09% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CGAU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 14.00% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 0.74% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y36.03%
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%
EPS Next 5Y0.74%
Revenue Next Year16.57%
Revenue Next 2Y18.44%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B
CGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5

6

4. CGAU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.71, CGAU is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU indicates a rather cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 87.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CGAU's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.83.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.02 indicates a correct valuation of CGAU.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued a bit cheaper than 77.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.95), we can say CGAU is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.71
Fwd PE 13.02
CGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 91.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CGAU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 41.34
EV/EBITDA 7.58
CGAU Per share dataCGAU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 16.64% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.49
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%

5

5. CGAU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.02%.
  • CGAU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.01.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 1.02, CGAU pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.02%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.24%!
  • CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
CGAU Yearly Dividends per shareCGAU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

  • CGAU pays out 7.04% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CGAU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP7.04%
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%
CGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CGAU Dividend Payout.CGAU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CGAU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CGAU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTERRA GOLD INC

NYSE:CGAU (3/4/2026, 10:01:09 AM)

19.66

+0.14 (+0.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners95.8%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.93B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)583.99M
Analysts76.67
Price Target22.84 (16.17%)
Short Float %1.03%
Short Ratio1.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.02%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
DP7.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)28.39%
Min EPS beat(2)10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.32%
Min EPS beat(4)10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)18.55%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.14%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-54.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.73%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.74%
PT rev (1m)56.05%
PT rev (3m)71.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)54.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)55.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.71
Fwd PE 13.02
P/S 2.84
P/FCF 41.34
P/OCF 11.27
P/B 1.91
P/tB 1.91
EV/EBITDA 7.58
EPS(TTM)1.11
EY5.65%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY7.68%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY2.42%
OCF(TTM)1.74
OCFY8.87%
SpS6.93
BVpS10.31
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)0.49
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROCE 13.08%
ROIC 8.25%
ROICexc 10.51%
ROICexgc 10.51%
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
FCFM 6.86%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.49%
ROICexgc(3y)8.53%
ROICexgc(5y)7.49%
ROCE(3y)9.82%
ROCE(5y)8.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.58%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 219.32%
Cap/Sales 18.32%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.47%
Profit Quality 16.27%
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 4.33
F-Score6
WACC10.05%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)135.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
EPS Next Y36.03%
EPS Next 2Y18.37%
EPS Next 3Y16.64%
EPS Next 5Y0.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%
Revenue Next Year16.57%
Revenue Next 2Y18.44%
Revenue Next 3Y0.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.56%
EBIT growth 3Y44.42%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.72%
EBIT Next Year40.16%
EBIT Next 3Y16.23%
EBIT Next 5Y6.94%
FCF growth 1Y-31.45%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-30.91%
OCF growth 1Y16.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.81%

CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CGAU.


Can you provide the valuation status for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 17.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.91.


What is the expected EPS growth for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 36.03% in the next year.