CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CGAU • CA1520061021

Current stock price

16.38 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
At close:
17.1895 USD
+0.81 (+4.94%)
After Hours:

This CGAU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. CGAU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CGAU was profitable.
  • In the past year CGAU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CGAU reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
CGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCGAU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 19.74%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CGAU has a Return On Equity of 28.35%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 93.08% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CGAU (8.25%) is better than 69.81% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 61.16%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.19%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(8.25%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROIC 8.25%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
CGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCGAU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • CGAU has a better Profit Margin (42.18%) than 94.97% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 23.74%, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CGAU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 33.50%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
CGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCGAU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

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7

2. CGAU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CGAU is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingCGAU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
CGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCGAU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.91 indicates that CGAU is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CGAU has a Altman-Z score (3.91) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.20, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CGAU's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.20 is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 93.71% of its industry peers.
  • CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • CGAU has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01. This is in the better half of the industry: CGAU outperforms 74.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Altman-Z 3.91
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC11.3%
CGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCGAU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.39. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CGAU has a Current ratio (2.39) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 1.65. This is a normal value and indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.65, CGAU is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
CGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCGAU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. CGAU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 52.05% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CGAU shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -6.09% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CGAU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 14.00% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.89% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%

3.2 Future

  • CGAU is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.70% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 18.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y84%
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%
EPS Next 5Y7.7%
Revenue Next Year23.24%
Revenue Next 2Y18.41%
Revenue Next 3Y18.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCGAU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

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8

4. CGAU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.76, CGAU is valued correctly.
  • CGAU's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 84.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CGAU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.50, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.02 indicates a reasonable valuation of CGAU.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 82.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.67), we can say CGAU is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.76
Fwd PE 8.02
CGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCGAU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CGAU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 90.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CGAU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 72.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.44
EV/EBITDA 6.16
CGAU Per share dataCGAU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 17.43% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%

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5

5. CGAU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.14, CGAU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.24%!
  • CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
CGAU Yearly Dividends per shareCGAU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25

5.3 Sustainability

  • 7.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CGAU. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • CGAU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP7.04%
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%
CGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCGAU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M
CGAU Dividend Payout.CGAU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CGAU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CGAU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTERRA GOLD INC

NYSE:CGAU (3/24/2026, 8:19:31 PM)

After market: 17.1895 +0.81 (+4.94%)

16.38

+0.01 (+0.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners90.31%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.27B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)583.99M
Analysts76.67
Price Target22.84 (39.44%)
Short Float %1.2%
Short Ratio1.2
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.24%
DP7.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-12
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)28.39%
Min EPS beat(2)10.57%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.32%
Min EPS beat(4)10.57%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)18.55%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.14%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-54.42%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.73%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.74%
PT rev (1m)7.97%
PT rev (3m)55.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)55.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)56.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)35.26%
EPS NY rev (3m)34.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.18%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.18%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.76
Fwd PE 8.02
P/S 2.36
P/FCF 34.44
P/OCF 9.39
P/B 1.59
P/tB 1.59
EV/EBITDA 6.16
EPS(TTM)1.11
EY6.78%
EPS(NY)2.04
Fwd EY12.47%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY2.9%
OCF(TTM)1.74
OCFY10.65%
SpS6.93
BVpS10.31
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)0.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.74%
ROE 28.35%
ROCE 13.08%
ROIC 8.25%
ROICexc 10.51%
ROICexgc 10.51%
OM 23.74%
PM (TTM) 42.18%
GM 33.5%
FCFM 6.86%
ROA(3y)6.57%
ROA(5y)0.43%
ROE(3y)9.45%
ROE(5y)1.08%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)5.28%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.49%
ROICexgc(3y)8.53%
ROICexgc(5y)7.49%
ROCE(3y)9.82%
ROCE(5y)8.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.58%
OM growth 3Y22.75%
OM growth 5Y-1.9%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.76%
GM growth 3Y16.85%
GM growth 5Y-6.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF 0.2
Debt/EBITDA 0.02
Cap/Depr 219.32%
Cap/Sales 18.32%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.47%
Profit Quality 16.27%
Current Ratio 2.39
Quick Ratio 1.65
Altman-Z 3.91
F-Score6
WACC11.3%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)135.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.81%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-6.09%
EPS Q2Q%141.18%
EPS Next Y84%
EPS Next 2Y40.42%
EPS Next 3Y17.43%
EPS Next 5Y7.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14%
Revenue growth 3Y17.65%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.89%
Sales Q2Q%32.81%
Revenue Next Year23.24%
Revenue Next 2Y18.41%
Revenue Next 3Y18.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.56%
EBIT growth 3Y44.42%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.72%
EBIT Next Year53.15%
EBIT Next 3Y15.96%
EBIT Next 5Y8.35%
FCF growth 1Y-31.45%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-30.91%
OCF growth 1Y16.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.81%

CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CGAU.


Can you provide the valuation status for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?

CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 14.76 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.59.


What is the expected EPS growth for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 84% in the next year.