CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
14.36 USD
-0.81 (-5.34%)
14.36 USD
0 (0%)
CGAU gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CGAU gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CGAU. These ratings would make CGAU suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CGAU was profitable.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CGAU reported negative net income in multiple years.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CGAU's Return On Assets of 12.59% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.46%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.46% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.83%) than 82.05% of its industry peers.
CGAU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.71%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.83%) for CGAU is above the 3 year average (5.71%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
CGAU's Profit Margin of 26.35% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 91.03% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a better Operating Margin (24.73%) than 73.08% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CGAU has a better Gross Margin (29.57%) than 65.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CGAU is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.24 indicates that CGAU is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 4.24, CGAU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.41% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.14, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.14 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CGAU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.14. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 94.23% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.01, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.24 |
ROIC/WACC1.16
WACC9.3%
2.3 Liquidity
CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.89. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CGAU has a Current ratio (2.89) which is in line with its industry peers.
CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 2.10. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CGAU (2.10) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.57% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.32% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, CGAU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.66% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.59% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.51, the valuation of CGAU can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU indicates a rather cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 89.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.92), we can say CGAU is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.46, which indicates a very decent valuation of CGAU.
85.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CGAU, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.46. CGAU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CGAU indicates a rather cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 93.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CGAU indicates a rather cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 85.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 22.16% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)4.97
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.38%.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.98. CGAU pays more dividend than 81.41% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.78%!
CGAU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
CGAU pays out 12.28% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CGAU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.28%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
14.36
-0.81 (-5.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.47%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.90B
Revenue(TTM)1.29B
Net Income(TTM)338.72M
Analysts75.56
Price Target14.72 (2.51%)
Short Float %0.45%
Short Ratio0.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP12.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.96%
Min EPS beat(2)43.71%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.17%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-56.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.41%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.54%
PT rev (1m)10.45%
PT rev (3m)53.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.99%
EPS NQ rev (3m)21.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.46 | ||
| P/S | 2.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.49 | ||
| P/tB | 1.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.72 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY6.06%
EPS(NY)1.52
Fwd EY10.57%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY4.49%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY11.68%
SpS6.37
BVpS9.61
TBVpS9.61
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)4.97
Graham Number13.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% | ||
| FCFM | 10.12% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 174.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.2% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 38.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.24 |
F-Score5
WACC9.3%
ROIC/WACC1.16
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y33.93%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year100.52%
EBIT Next 3Y27.08%
EBIT Next 5Y20.08%
FCF growth 1Y446.79%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y274.53%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%
CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CGAU.
What is the valuation status for CGAU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 46.03% in the next year.
Is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.28%.