CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
14.51 USD
+0.56 (+4.01%)
14.52 USD
+0.01 (+0.07%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to CGAU. CGAU was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CGAU gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. CGAU scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings could make CGAU a good candidate for value investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CGAU was profitable.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years CGAU reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 12.59%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Return On Equity of 17.46% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 88.46% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.83%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.05% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.71%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.25%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.71%) for CGAU is below the current ROIC(10.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 26.35%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.03% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a Operating Margin of 24.73%. This is in the better half of the industry: CGAU outperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of CGAU (29.57%) is better than 65.38% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
CGAU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
CGAU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.13 indicates that CGAU is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
CGAU has a Altman-Z score (4.13) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.14, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.14 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
CGAU's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.14 is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 94.23% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.01, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.13 |
ROIC/WACC1.19
WACC9.13%
2.3 Liquidity
CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.89. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.89, CGAU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.10 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CGAU has a Quick ratio (2.10) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.57% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.32% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, CGAU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.66% in the last year.
CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.59% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.68, CGAU is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 90.38% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.38.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.56 indicates a reasonable valuation of CGAU.
CGAU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 85.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. CGAU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 93.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CGAU indicates a rather cheap valuation: CGAU is cheaper than 87.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 22.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)5.02
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.46%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.02. CGAU pays more dividend than 81.41% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.78%!
CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
12.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CGAU. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
CGAU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.28%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
14.51
+0.56 (+4.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.47%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.93B
Revenue(TTM)1.29B
Net Income(TTM)338.72M
Analysts75.56
Price Target14.72 (1.45%)
Short Float %0.45%
Short Ratio0.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.46% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP12.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.96%
Min EPS beat(2)43.71%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.17%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-56.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.41%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.54%
PT rev (1m)29.14%
PT rev (3m)53.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.56 | ||
| P/S | 2.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.5 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.65 | ||
| P/B | 1.51 | ||
| P/tB | 1.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.42 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY6%
EPS(NY)1.52
Fwd EY10.46%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY4.44%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY11.56%
SpS6.37
BVpS9.61
TBVpS9.61
PEG (NY)0.36
PEG (5Y)5.02
Graham Number13.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% | ||
| FCFM | 10.12% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 174.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.2% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 38.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.13 |
F-Score5
WACC9.13%
ROIC/WACC1.19
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y33.93%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year99.45%
EBIT Next 3Y22.55%
EBIT Next 5Y20.08%
FCF growth 1Y446.79%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y274.53%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%
CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CGAU.
What is the valuation status for CGAU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 46.03% in the next year.
Is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.28%.