CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
12.03 USD
-0.12 (-0.99%)
12.03 USD
0 (0%)
CGAU gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CGAU gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. CGAU may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings would make CGAU suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CGAU had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year CGAU had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CGAU reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years CGAU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 12.59%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.21% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Return On Equity of 17.46% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 88.96% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CGAU (10.83%) is better than 84.42% of its industry peers.
CGAU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.71%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.75%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.83%) for CGAU is above the 3 year average (5.71%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 26.35%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 24.73%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.68% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CGAU has a better Gross Margin (29.57%) than 66.88% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CGAU is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has less shares outstanding
CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CGAU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 3.73. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.73, CGAU is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.19% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.14, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.14 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.14, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.81% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that CGAU is not too dependend on debt financing.
CGAU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.01) than 76.62% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.73 |
ROIC/WACC1.33
WACC8.15%
2.3 Liquidity
CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.89. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CGAU has a Current ratio (2.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.10 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CGAU has a Quick ratio (2.10) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CGAU shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.57%.
Measured over the past 5 years, CGAU shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.32% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.59% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y33.02%
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y8.9%
Revenue Next 3Y10.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.83 indicates a correct valuation of CGAU.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 88.96% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.89), we can say CGAU is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.58, which indicates a very decent valuation of CGAU.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 96.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 87.66% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
CGAU's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 22.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)4.16
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.64%, CGAU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.60, CGAU pays a better dividend. On top of this CGAU pays more dividend than 81.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.64% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of CGAU grows each year by 18.78%, which is quite nice.
CGAU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
CGAU pays out 12.28% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CGAU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.28%
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
12.03
-0.12 (-0.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.43B
Revenue(TTM)1.29B
Net Income(TTM)338.72M
Analysts75.56
Price Target11.39 (-5.32%)
Short Float %1.54%
Short Ratio1.56
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.64% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP12.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.96%
Min EPS beat(2)43.71%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.17%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-56.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.41%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.54%
PT rev (1m)15.01%
PT rev (3m)20.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)173.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)48.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-7.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.58 | ||
| P/S | 1.89 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.71 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.19 | ||
| P/B | 1.26 | ||
| P/tB | 1.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.29 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY7.23%
EPS(NY)1.4
Fwd EY11.65%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY5.35%
OCF(TTM)1.67
OCFY13.9%
SpS6.35
BVpS9.59
TBVpS9.59
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)4.16
Graham Number13.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% | ||
| FCFM | 10.12% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 174.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.2% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 38.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.73 |
F-Score5
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC1.33
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y33.02%
EPS Next 2Y38.57%
EPS Next 3Y22.5%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
Revenue Next Year4.83%
Revenue Next 2Y8.9%
Revenue Next 3Y10.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y33.93%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year47.47%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y20.08%
FCF growth 1Y446.79%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y274.53%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%
CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CGAU.
What is the valuation status for CGAU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 33.02% in the next year.
Is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.28%.