CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
14.14 USD
-0.23 (-1.6%)
14.14 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to CGAU. CGAU was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. CGAU scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CGAU is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings would make CGAU suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CGAU had positive earnings in the past year.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CGAU reported negative net income in multiple years.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 12.59%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 17.46%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.10% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Return On Invested Capital of 10.83% is amongst the best of the industry. CGAU outperforms 82.05% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 13.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.83%) for CGAU is above the 3 year average (5.71%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 26.35%, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.03% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a better Operating Margin (24.73%) than 73.08% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CGAU has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 29.57%, CGAU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CGAU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CGAU is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
CGAU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.11 indicates that CGAU is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 4.11, CGAU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.05% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CGAU is 0.14, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CGAU, only 0.14 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.14, CGAU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.23% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
CGAU's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.01 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 77.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.11 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC9.25%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.89 indicates that CGAU has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
CGAU's Current ratio of 2.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 59.62% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 2.10. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 2.10, CGAU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CGAU shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.57%.
CGAU shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.32% yearly.
CGAU shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.66%.
Measured over the past years, CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.59% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, CGAU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.25, the valuation of CGAU can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 89.74% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CGAU to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.60), we can say CGAU is valued slightly cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.32 indicates a reasonable valuation of CGAU.
CGAU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 85.26% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
93.59% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CGAU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CGAU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.93 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 22.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)4.89
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.38%.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.98. CGAU pays more dividend than 81.41% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of CGAU grows each year by 18.78%, which is quite nice.
CGAU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
12.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CGAU. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CGAU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.28%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
14.14
-0.23 (-1.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.47%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.85B
Revenue(TTM)1.29B
Net Income(TTM)338.72M
Analysts75.56
Price Target14.72 (4.1%)
Short Float %0.86%
Short Ratio1.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP12.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.96%
Min EPS beat(2)43.71%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.17%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-56.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.41%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.54%
PT rev (1m)10.45%
PT rev (3m)53.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.99%
EPS NQ rev (3m)21.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.32 | ||
| P/S | 2.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.93 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.43 | ||
| P/B | 1.47 | ||
| P/tB | 1.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.35 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY6.15%
EPS(NY)1.52
Fwd EY10.74%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY4.56%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY11.86%
SpS6.37
BVpS9.61
TBVpS9.61
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)4.89
Graham Number13.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% | ||
| FCFM | 10.12% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 174.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.2% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 38.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.11 |
F-Score5
WACC9.25%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y33.93%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year100.52%
EBIT Next 3Y27.08%
EBIT Next 5Y20.08%
FCF growth 1Y446.79%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y274.53%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%
CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CGAU.
Can you provide the valuation status for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 16.25 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.47.
What is the expected EPS growth for CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 46.03% in the next year.