CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CGAU - CA1520061021 - Common Stock
14.91 USD
-0.12 (-0.8%)
14.91 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to CGAU. CGAU was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CGAU a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CGAU may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth This makes CGAU very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CGAU had positive earnings in the past year.
CGAU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CGAU reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years CGAU 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
CGAU has a Return On Assets of 12.59%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CGAU outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 17.46%, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.46% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a better Return On Invested Capital (10.83%) than 82.05% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CGAU is significantly below the industry average of 13.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (10.83%) for CGAU is above the 3 year average (5.71%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of CGAU (26.35%) is better than 91.03% of its industry peers.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 24.73%, CGAU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CGAU has grown nicely.
CGAU has a better Gross Margin (29.57%) than 65.38% of its industry peers.
CGAU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% |
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CGAU is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CGAU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
CGAU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CGAU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
CGAU has an Altman-Z score of 4.19. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
CGAU has a Altman-Z score (4.19) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CGAU has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.14. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.14 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.14, CGAU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.23% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of CGAU (0.01) is better than 76.28% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC9.27%
2.3 Liquidity
CGAU has a Current Ratio of 2.89. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CGAU's Current ratio of 2.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CGAU outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
CGAU has a Quick Ratio of 2.10. This indicates that CGAU is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CGAU has a Quick ratio (2.10) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.57% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.32% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% in the past year.
CGAU shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -2.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.59% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
CGAU is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.44% yearly.
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.14 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CGAU.
CGAU's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CGAU is cheaper than 90.38% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of CGAU can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CGAU is valued cheaper than 85.26% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.03. CGAU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
93.59% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CGAU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
87.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CGAU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CGAU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
CGAU's earnings are expected to grow with 22.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.37
PEG (5Y)5.16
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CGAU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.46%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.02. CGAU pays more dividend than 81.41% of the companies in the same industry.
CGAU's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of CGAU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.78%!
CGAU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CGAU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
12.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CGAU. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CGAU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP12.28%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
14.91
-0.12 (-0.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.47%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.01B
Revenue(TTM)1.29B
Net Income(TTM)338.72M
Analysts75.56
Price Target14.72 (-1.27%)
Short Float %0.45%
Short Ratio0.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.46% |
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.78%
DP12.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)44.96%
Min EPS beat(2)43.71%
Max EPS beat(2)46.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.05%
Max EPS beat(4)46.2%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.47%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.17%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-56.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.33%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.8%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.33%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.41%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.54%
PT rev (1m)29.14%
PT rev (3m)53.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.82 | ||
| P/S | 2.34 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.89 | ||
| P/B | 1.55 | ||
| P/tB | 1.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.6 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY5.84%
EPS(NY)1.52
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)0.64
FCFY4.33%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY11.25%
SpS6.37
BVpS9.61
TBVpS9.61
PEG (NY)0.37
PEG (5Y)5.16
Graham Number13.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.59% | ||
| ROE | 17.46% | ||
| ROCE | 13.7% | ||
| ROIC | 10.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.34% | ||
| OM | 24.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.35% | ||
| GM | 29.57% | ||
| FCFM | 10.12% |
ROA(3y)-1.11%
ROA(5y)-0.91%
ROE(3y)-1.42%
ROE(5y)-1.28%
ROIC(3y)5.71%
ROIC(5y)6.97%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)9.75%
ROICexgc(3y)8.18%
ROICexgc(5y)9.75%
ROCE(3y)7.22%
ROCE(5y)8.82%
ROICexgc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexgc growth 5Y25.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.59%
OM growth 3Y5.12%
OM growth 5Y14.8%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.36%
GM growth 5Y-1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.48
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.03 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 174.01% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 16.2% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 38.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.19 |
F-Score5
WACC9.27%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)88.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.01%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.57%
EPS 3Y-2.18%
EPS 5Y3.32%
EPS Q2Q%77.78%
EPS Next Y46.03%
EPS Next 2Y44.2%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y13.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.66%
Revenue growth 3Y10.5%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.46%
Sales Q2Q%22%
Revenue Next Year10.21%
Revenue Next 2Y11.41%
Revenue Next 3Y9.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y33.93%
EBIT growth 3Y16.16%
EBIT growth 5Y11.98%
EBIT Next Year99.45%
EBIT Next 3Y22.55%
EBIT Next 5Y20.08%
FCF growth 1Y446.79%
FCF growth 3Y-24.51%
FCF growth 5Y25.18%
OCF growth 1Y274.53%
OCF growth 3Y-10.39%
OCF growth 5Y-2.23%
CENTERRA GOLD INC / CGAU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CGAU.
What is the valuation status for CGAU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for CENTERRA GOLD INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is expected to grow by 46.03% in the next year.
Is the dividend of CENTERRA GOLD INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of CENTERRA GOLD INC (CGAU) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 12.28%.