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CALFRAC WELL SERVICES LTD (CFW.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CFW - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1295844056 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

3.77  -0.1 (-2.58%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, CFW scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CFW was compared to 28 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CFW have multiple concerns. CFW has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CFW was profitable.
In the past year CFW had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CFW reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years CFW 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
CFW.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCFW.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of CFW (2.16%) is worse than 64.29% of its industry peers.
CFW has a Return On Equity of 4.35%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CFW underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
CFW has a worse Return On Invested Capital (5.86%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.16%
ROE 4.35%
ROIC 5.86%
ROA(3y)2.94%
ROA(5y)-7.39%
ROE(3y)2.85%
ROE(5y)-22.57%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CFW.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCFW.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

CFW's Profit Margin of 1.74% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CFW is outperformed by 64.29% of its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 5.25%, CFW is not doing good in the industry: 67.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CFW has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 9.74%, CFW is not doing good in the industry: 82.14% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CFW's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.25%
PM (TTM) 1.74%
GM 9.74%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y10.64%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y5.91%
CFW.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCFW.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CFW has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
CFW has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, CFW has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, CFW has an improved debt to assets ratio.
CFW.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCFW.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
CFW.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCFW.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.64, we must say that CFW is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.64, CFW is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.43% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56 indicates that CFW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.56, CFW is not doing good in the industry: 60.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.56
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.64
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.06%
CFW.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCFW.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.23 indicates that CFW has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.23, CFW is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.86% of the companies in the same industry.
CFW has a Quick Ratio of 1.64. This is a normal value and indicates that CFW is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CFW has a better Quick ratio (1.64) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.23
Quick Ratio 1.64
CFW.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCFW.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CFW have decreased strongly by -86.02% in the last year.
The Revenue for CFW has decreased by -14.97% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.75% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-86.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-106.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
Revenue growth 3Y38.26%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-10.97%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CFW will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -25.50% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CFW will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -2.66% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-93.31%
EPS Next 2Y-65.55%
EPS Next 3Y-38.65%
EPS Next 5Y-25.5%
Revenue Next Year-14.49%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.1%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.66%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CFW.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCFW.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CFW.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCFW.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.42, the valuation of CFW can be described as reasonable.
CFW's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.75. CFW is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.57, the valuation of CFW can be described as correct.
CFW's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
CFW's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.42
Fwd PE 13.57
CFW.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCFW.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

78.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CFW, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.3
CFW.CA Per share dataCFW.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CFW's earnings are expected to decrease with -38.65% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-65.55%
EPS Next 3Y-38.65%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CFW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CALFRAC WELL SERVICES LTD

TSX:CFW (3/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

3.77

-0.1 (-2.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-13 2025-03-13/amc
Inst Owners14.05%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners13.76%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap323.81M
Analysts77.14
Price Target5.27 (39.79%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-17.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-140.62%
Max EPS beat(2)105.09%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-140.62%
Max EPS beat(4)105.09%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)36.16%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)18.34%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)13.08%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)14.13%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.13%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.44%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.28%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.13%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-16.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-27.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.42
Fwd PE 13.57
P/S 0.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.98
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.5
EV/EBITDA 3.3
EPS(TTM)0.33
EY8.75%
EPS(NY)0.28
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)-0.31
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.91
OCFY50.63%
SpS18.72
BVpS7.5
TBVpS7.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.16%
ROE 4.35%
ROCE 8.14%
ROIC 5.86%
ROICexc 5.96%
ROICexgc 5.96%
OM 5.25%
PM (TTM) 1.74%
GM 9.74%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.94%
ROA(5y)-7.39%
ROE(3y)2.85%
ROE(5y)-22.57%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y18.24%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y18.24%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y10.64%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y5.91%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.56
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.76
Cap/Depr 157.1%
Cap/Sales 11.85%
Interest Coverage 3.27
Cash Conversion 79.72%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.23
Quick Ratio 1.64
Altman-Z 1.64
F-Score3
WACC8.06%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)86.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.9%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-86.02%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-106.67%
EPS Next Y-93.31%
EPS Next 2Y-65.55%
EPS Next 3Y-38.65%
EPS Next 5Y-25.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
Revenue growth 3Y38.26%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.75%
Sales Q2Q%-10.97%
Revenue Next Year-14.49%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.03%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.1%
Revenue Next 5Y-2.66%
EBIT growth 1Y-61.21%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y6.49%
EBIT Next Year-2.05%
EBIT Next 3Y7.5%
EBIT Next 5Y5.55%
FCF growth 1Y-35.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y32.66%
OCF growth 1Y286.67%
OCF growth 3Y125.69%
OCF growth 5Y8.8%