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CANFOR CORP (CFP.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CFP - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA1375761048 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

14.97  +0.37 (+2.53%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to CFP. CFP was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. CFP scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. CFP is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CFP has reported negative net income.
In the past year CFP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years CFP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years CFP had a positive operating cash flow.
CFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of CFP (-12.62%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
CFP's Return On Equity of -22.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CFP is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.62%
ROE -22.27%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)9.36%
ROA(5y)6.59%
ROE(3y)16.21%
ROE(5y)11.46%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCFP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

CFP has a Gross Margin of 16.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CFP outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
CFP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for CFP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.91%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.62%
GM growth 5Y-14.07%
CFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCFP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

CFP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for CFP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CFP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CFP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
CFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCFP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
CFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCFP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.77, we must say that CFP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.77, CFP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that CFP is not too dependend on debt financing.
CFP has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.20) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.77
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.69%
CFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCFP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

CFP has a Current Ratio of 2.19. This indicates that CFP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CFP has a Current ratio (2.19) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
CFP has a Quick Ratio of 1.24. This is a normal value and indicates that CFP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CFP (1.24) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.19
Quick Ratio 1.24
CFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCFP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CFP have decreased strongly by -65.58% in the last year.
The Revenue has decreased by -4.84% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, CFP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-931.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.84%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.17%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.34%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.69% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, CFP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.21% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-43.07%
EPS Next 2Y32.16%
EPS Next 3Y32.21%
EPS Next 5Y21.69%
Revenue Next Year-3.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y5.21%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
CFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
CFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCFP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for CFP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year CFP is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
CFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCFP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
CFP.CA Per share dataCFP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as CFP's earnings are expected to grow with 32.21% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y32.16%
EPS Next 3Y32.21%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for CFP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CANFOR CORP

TSX:CFP (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

14.97

+0.37 (+2.53%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2025-04-29
Inst Owners11.83%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.77B
Analysts76
Price Target19.89 (32.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-87.26%
Min EPS beat(2)-140.33%
Max EPS beat(2)-34.18%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-47.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-140.33%
Max EPS beat(4)33.99%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-42.48%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-26.85%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.97%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.95%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.71%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.42%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.42%
PT rev (1m)-3.31%
PT rev (3m)-10%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)22.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.34
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 22.75
P/B 0.55
P/tB 0.74
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-4.57
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.7
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-4.09
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.66
OCFY4.39%
SpS44.34
BVpS27.41
TBVpS20.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.62%
ROE -22.27%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 16.91%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)9.36%
ROA(5y)6.59%
ROE(3y)16.21%
ROE(5y)11.46%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.62%
GM growth 5Y-14.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 130.02%
Cap/Sales 10.72%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.19
Quick Ratio 1.24
Altman-Z 1.77
F-Score5
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)136.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)7%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-931.25%
EPS Next Y-43.07%
EPS Next 2Y32.16%
EPS Next 3Y32.21%
EPS Next 5Y21.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.84%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.17%
Revenue growth 5Y1.47%
Sales Q2Q%-8.34%
Revenue Next Year-3.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y2.2%
Revenue Next 5Y5.21%
EBIT growth 1Y-43.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year53.1%
EBIT Next 3Y49.2%
EBIT Next 5Y29.55%
FCF growth 1Y-164.36%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-93.83%
OCF growth 3Y-47.57%
OCF growth 5Y-22.01%