CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CF - US1252691001 - Common Stock
86.75 USD
+0.15 (+0.17%)
78.44 USD
-8.31 (-9.58%)
Overall CF gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CF against 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CF scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. Finally CF also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings could make CF a good candidate for value and dividend and quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CF was profitable.
- CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years CF has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years CF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- CF has a Return On Assets of 9.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
- CF has a better Return On Equity (28.44%) than 96.34% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 13.42%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.11%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (20.79%) for CF is well above the current ROIC(13.42%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
1.3 Margins
- CF has a Profit Margin of 20.47%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 97.56% of its industry peers.
- CF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- CF's Operating Margin of 31.03% is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 96.34% of its industry peers.
- CF's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 36.86%, CF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CF has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% |
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CF is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CF has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, CF has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for CF is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- CF has an Altman-Z score of 2.38. This is not the best score and indicates that CF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CF's Altman-Z score of 2.38 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 63.41% of its industry peers.
- CF has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- CF has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 91.46% of its industry peers.
- CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CF's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.61 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
- Although CF does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC13.58%
2.3 Liquidity
- CF has a Current Ratio of 2.27. This indicates that CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.27, CF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.99, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.27% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, CF shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.81% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 12.59% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
3.2 Future
- CF is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.44% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y45.01%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue Next Year18.36%
Revenue Next 2Y5.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.40 indicates a reasonable valuation of CF.
- 86.59% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- CF's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.87, the valuation of CF can be described as reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CF indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 76.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.29), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CF's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- CF has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.42
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.28, CF pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.85, CF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
- CF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- CF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
5.3 Sustainability
- 24.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CF. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
86.75
+0.15 (+0.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.29%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.55%
Market Cap13.53B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target94.47 (8.9%)
Short Float %8.21%
Short Ratio5.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.31% |
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-1.36%
PT rev (3m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.87 | ||
| P/S | 2.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.14 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | 7.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.57 |
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY9.61%
EPS(NY)7.31
Fwd EY8.43%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY12.65%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY19.46%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.42
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROCE | 16.21% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 21.41% | ||
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% | ||
| FCFM | 25.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
F-Score8
WACC13.58%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y45.01%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.36%
Revenue Next 2Y5.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.11%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.9%
EBIT Next 3Y9.75%
EBIT Next 5Y8.93%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.
What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.79.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 45.01% in the next year.