CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:CF • US1252691001

89.84 USD
-3.39 (-3.64%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
89.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, CF scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CF was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. CF scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings would make CF suitable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CF had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CF has been profitable.
  • CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • CF's Return On Assets of 9.71% is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 93.98% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a better Return On Equity (28.44%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.42%) than 90.36% of its industry peers.
  • CF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 20.79%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.11%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (20.79%) for CF is well above the current ROIC(13.42%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROIC 13.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CF (20.47%) is better than 97.59% of its industry peers.
  • CF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CF has a better Operating Margin (31.03%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 36.86%, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CF has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CF is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CF has less shares outstanding
  • CF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.41 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.41, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CF has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 90.36% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CF (0.61) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Although CF does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 2.41
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC13.66%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CF has a Current Ratio of 2.27. This indicates that CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CF's Current ratio of 2.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 65.06% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CF has a better Quick ratio (1.99) than 78.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.27% over the past year.
  • CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.81% yearly.
  • CF shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.59%.
  • CF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%

3.2 Future

  • CF is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.44% yearly.
  • CF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y45.01%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue Next Year18.35%
Revenue Next 2Y5.5%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.77, the valuation of CF can be described as reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 86.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.41), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
  • CF is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.29.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CF is valued a bit cheaper than 77.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.64), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.77
Fwd PE 12.29
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 95.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 89.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.18
EV/EBITDA 4.74
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CF's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.43
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.27.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
  • CF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CF pays out 24.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (2/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 89.84 0 (0%)

89.84

-3.39 (-3.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-18
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap14.01B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target94.47 (5.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-0.89%
PT rev (3m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)17.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.35%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.77
Fwd PE 12.29
P/S 2.08
P/FCF 8.18
P/OCF 5.32
P/B 2.89
P/tB 7.47
EV/EBITDA 4.74
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY9.28%
EPS(NY)7.31
Fwd EY8.14%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY12.22%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY18.79%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.43
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROCE 16.21%
ROIC 13.42%
ROICexc 15.65%
ROICexgc 21.41%
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
FCFM 25.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1
Cap/Depr 103.37%
Cap/Sales 13.67%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.33%
Profit Quality 124.15%
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
Altman-Z 2.41
F-Score8
WACC13.66%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y45.01%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.35%
Revenue Next 2Y5.5%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.38%
EBIT Next 3Y9.33%
EBIT Next 5Y8.93%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.


What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.89.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 45.01% in the next year.