CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CF • US1252691001

99.26 USD
+2.1 (+2.16%)
Last: Feb 27, 2026, 12:17 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

7

CF gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. CF scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. This makes CF very considerable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CF was profitable.
  • CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CF has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years CF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.71%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 28.44%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 92.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROIC 13.3%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 20.47%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • CF has a better Operating Margin (31.03%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • CF has a Gross Margin of 36.86%. This is in the better half of the industry: CF outperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
  • CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
OM growth 3Y-12.24%
OM growth 5Y17.35%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CF is destroying value.
  • CF has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.49 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.49, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.74. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CF's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74 is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 92.77% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CF has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.61. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CF outperforms 55.42% of its industry peers.
  • Although CF does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 2.49
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC14.62%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CF has a Current Ratio of 2.27. This indicates that CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.27, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a Quick Ratio of 1.99. This is a normal value and indicates that CF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CF has a Quick ratio of 1.99. This is in the better half of the industry: CF outperforms 79.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 54.03% over the past year.
  • CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 45.21% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 19.34% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.43% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.49% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-23.41%
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%
EPS Next 5Y-2.49%
Revenue Next Year-5.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.78%
Revenue Next 5Y0.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CF is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.18.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 93.98% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.29, the valuation of CF can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CF is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.13, CF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.18
Fwd PE 13.29
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 90.36% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.04
EV/EBITDA 5.12
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CF has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CF's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.50% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.23
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.08%.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.22.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, CF has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.08%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
  • CF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 24.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CF. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (2/27/2026, 12:17:34 PM)

99.26

+2.1 (+2.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.16%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap15.48B
Revenue(TTM)7.08B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target98.25 (-1.02%)
Short Float %7.06%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.08%
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)0.42%
PT rev (3m)-2.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.18
Fwd PE 13.29
P/S 2.3
P/FCF 9.04
P/OCF 5.88
P/B 3.19
P/tB 8.25
EV/EBITDA 5.12
EPS(TTM)9.75
EY9.82%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY7.52%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY11.06%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY17.01%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.23
Graham Number82.58
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROCE 16.21%
ROIC 13.3%
ROICexc 15.51%
ROICexgc 21.22%
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
FCFM 25.42%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.24%
OM growth 5Y17.35%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1
Cap/Depr 103.37%
Cap/Sales 13.67%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.33%
Profit Quality 124.15%
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
Altman-Z 2.49
F-Score8
WACC14.62%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)73.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.31%
Profit Quality(3y)138.61%
Profit Quality(5y)154.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
EPS Next Y-23.41%
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%
EPS Next 5Y-2.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%
Revenue Next Year-5.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.78%
Revenue Next 5Y0.76%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.63%
EBIT growth 5Y30.76%
EBIT Next Year14.97%
EBIT Next 3Y1.21%
EBIT Next 5Y3.5%
FCF growth 1Y-6.04%
FCF growth 3Y-19.09%
FCF growth 5Y14.34%
OCF growth 1Y12.96%
OCF growth 3Y-10.63%
OCF growth 5Y17.46%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.


What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.18 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.19.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to decline by -23.41% in the next year.