CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CF - US1252691001 - Common Stock
86.6 USD
+1.55 (+1.82%)
86.59 USD
-0.01 (-0.01%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to CF. CF was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. CF may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally CF also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings could make CF a good candidate for value and dividend and quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CF was profitable.
- CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years CF has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years CF had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- CF has a Return On Assets of 9.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 93.90% of its industry peers.
- CF has a better Return On Equity (28.44%) than 96.34% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of CF (13.42%) is better than 90.24% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.10%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (13.42%) for CF is well below the 3 year average (20.79%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CF had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 20.47%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CF has grown nicely.
- CF has a Operating Margin of 31.03%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 96.34% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CF has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of CF (36.86%) is better than 74.39% of its industry peers.
- CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% |
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CF is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CF has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, CF has less shares outstanding
- CF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.38 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CF has a better Altman-Z score (2.38) than 63.41% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CF's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.74 is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 91.46% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.61, CF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.88% of the companies in the same industry.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for CF, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC13.5%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.27, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CF has a better Quick ratio (1.99) than 78.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.27%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.81% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- Looking at the last year, CF shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.59% in the last year.
- CF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
3.2 Future
- CF is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.44% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.38, which indicates a very decent valuation of CF.
- CF's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 86.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- CF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.91, which indicates a very decent valuation of CF.
- 78.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- CF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.31, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 91.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CF's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.42
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.46%, CF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.34, CF pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, CF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
- CF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
5.3 Sustainability
- CF pays out 24.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
86.6
+1.55 (+1.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.3%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.55%
Market Cap13.51B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target95.32 (10.07%)
Short Float %8.21%
Short Ratio5.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-0.47%
PT rev (3m)-1.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 | ||
| P/S | 2.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.13 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | 7.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.57 |
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY9.63%
EPS(NY)7.27
Fwd EY8.39%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY12.67%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY19.49%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.42
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROCE | 16.21% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 21.41% | ||
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% | ||
| FCFM | 25.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.38 |
F-Score8
WACC13.5%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.9%
EBIT Next 3Y9.75%
EBIT Next 5Y8.93%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.
What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.79.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 44.85% in the next year.