CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:CF • US1252691001

99.54 USD
+2.38 (+2.45%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
99.7 USD
+0.16 (+0.16%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

8

Overall CF gets a fundamental rating of 8 out of 10. We evaluated CF against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. CF scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings could make CF a good candidate for value and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

10

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CF was profitable.
  • In the past year CF had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years CF has always been profitable.
  • CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • CF has a Return On Assets of 10.33%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 97.59% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a better Return On Equity (30.07%) than 97.59% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.76%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.07%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.19%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (14.76%) for CF is above the 3 year average (13.07%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 30.07%
ROIC 14.76%
ROA(3y)9.99%
ROA(5y)12.5%
ROE(3y)27.06%
ROE(5y)35.21%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)18.54%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • CF's Profit Margin of 20.54% is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • CF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CF has a better Operating Margin (33.53%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 38.45%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.53%
PM (TTM) 20.54%
GM 38.45%
OM growth 3Y-12.88%
OM growth 5Y16.83%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CF is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CF has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.63 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CF (2.63) is better than 75.90% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.78. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CF (1.78) is better than 91.57% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CF's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.66 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 51.81% of its industry peers.
  • Although CF does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF 1.78
Altman-Z 2.63
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC14.57%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CF has a Current Ratio of 3.37. This indicates that CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.37, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.93 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of CF (2.93) is better than 90.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.37
Quick Ratio 2.93
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 54.03% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CF shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 45.21% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CF shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 19.34% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, CF shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.43% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.49% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-23.41%
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%
EPS Next 5Y-2.49%
Revenue Next Year-5.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.78%
Revenue Next 5Y0.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

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7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.21 indicates a reasonable valuation of CF.
  • 93.98% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • CF is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.33 indicates a correct valuation of CF.
  • 73.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CF, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.05, CF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.21
Fwd PE 13.33
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.39% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.62
EV/EBITDA 4.79
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CF's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.50% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.23
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.06%, CF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.19.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.06%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.93%!
  • CF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.93%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 22.41% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CF. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP22.41%
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 99.7 +0.16 (+0.16%)

99.54

+2.38 (+2.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change0.5%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change-4.45%
Market Cap15.53B
Revenue(TTM)7.08B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts69.66
Price Target98.25 (-1.3%)
Short Float %7.06%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.06%
Yearly Dividend2.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.93%
DP22.41%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.83%
Min EPS beat(2)0.72%
Max EPS beat(2)24.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.77%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.79%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)2.36%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.07%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.83%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)4%
PT rev (3m)1.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.21
Fwd PE 13.33
P/S 2.19
P/FCF 8.62
P/OCF 5.64
P/B 3.21
P/tB 8.29
EV/EBITDA 4.79
EPS(TTM)9.75
EY9.8%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY7.5%
FCF(TTM)11.55
FCFY11.61%
OCF(TTM)17.64
OCFY17.73%
SpS45.42
BVpS31.02
TBVpS12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.23
Graham Number82.49
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 30.07%
ROCE 17.99%
ROIC 14.76%
ROICexc 17.37%
ROICexgc 23.62%
OM 33.53%
PM (TTM) 20.54%
GM 38.45%
FCFM 25.44%
ROA(3y)9.99%
ROA(5y)12.5%
ROE(3y)27.06%
ROE(5y)35.21%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)18.54%
ROICexc(3y)15.27%
ROICexc(5y)22.16%
ROICexgc(3y)20.8%
ROICexgc(5y)29.06%
ROCE(3y)15.93%
ROCE(5y)22.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y29.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.31%
OM growth 3Y-12.88%
OM growth 5Y16.83%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF 1.78
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 105.79%
Cap/Sales 13.41%
Interest Coverage 17.34
Cash Conversion 84.08%
Profit Quality 123.85%
Current Ratio 3.37
Quick Ratio 2.93
Altman-Z 2.63
F-Score8
WACC14.57%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)73.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.31%
Profit Quality(3y)138.61%
Profit Quality(5y)154.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
EPS Next Y-23.41%
EPS Next 2Y-20.12%
EPS Next 3Y-10.5%
EPS Next 5Y-2.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%
Revenue Next Year-5.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.78%
Revenue Next 5Y0.76%
EBIT growth 1Y38.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.18%
EBIT growth 5Y30.18%
EBIT Next Year14.97%
EBIT Next 3Y1.21%
EBIT Next 5Y3.5%
FCF growth 1Y2.8%
FCF growth 3Y-19.09%
FCF growth 5Y14.34%
OCF growth 1Y21.18%
OCF growth 3Y-10.63%
OCF growth 5Y17.46%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.


What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.21.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to decline by -23.41% in the next year.