CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CF - US1252691001 - Common Stock
87.28 USD
+2.23 (+2.62%)
Taking everything into account, CF scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CF was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CF may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally CF also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes CF very considerable for value and dividend and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CF was profitable.
- CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- CF had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.71%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- CF has a Return On Equity of 28.44%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 96.34% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 13.42%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.10%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (13.42%) for CF is well below the 3 year average (20.79%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CF had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
1.3 Margins
- CF has a better Profit Margin (20.47%) than 97.56% of its industry peers.
- CF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of CF (31.03%) is better than 96.34% of its industry peers.
- CF's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a decent Gross Margin value of 36.86%, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% |
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CF is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CF has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, CF has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for CF is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.37 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CF's Altman-Z score of 2.37 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 63.41% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.74, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CF has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for CF, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC13.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- CF has a better Current ratio (2.27) than 65.85% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CF's Quick ratio of 1.99 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.27%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, CF shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.81% on average per year.
- CF shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.59%.
- Measured over the past years, CF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.28% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.44% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- CF is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.47.
- CF's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 86.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.33), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.01, the valuation of CF can be described as correct.
- CF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.12), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CF's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.48 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CF's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.42
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.46%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.34, CF pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, CF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.99%!
- CF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- CF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
5.3 Sustainability
- CF pays out 24.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
NYSE:CF (1/15/2026, 2:43:08 PM)
87.28
+2.23 (+2.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Inst Owners105.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.3%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change1.55%
Market Cap13.61B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts69.66
Price Target95.32 (9.21%)
Short Float %8.21%
Short Ratio5.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.46% |
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-0.47%
PT rev (3m)-1.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.95 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.17 | ||
| P/B | 2.81 | ||
| P/tB | 7.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.48 |
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY9.56%
EPS(NY)7.27
Fwd EY8.33%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY12.58%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY19.34%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.42
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.71% | ||
| ROE | 28.44% | ||
| ROCE | 16.21% | ||
| ROIC | 13.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 21.41% | ||
| OM | 31.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 20.47% | ||
| GM | 36.86% | ||
| FCFM | 25.42% |
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.67% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.37 |
F-Score8
WACC13.49%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.9%
EBIT Next 3Y9.75%
EBIT Next 5Y8.93%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.
What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.47 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.81.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 44.85% in the next year.