CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:CF • US1252691001

89.84 USD
-3.39 (-3.64%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
89.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

CF gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. CF scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings could make CF a good candidate for value and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CF had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CF had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years CF has always been profitable.
  • CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • CF has a better Return On Assets (9.71%) than 93.98% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a better Return On Equity (28.44%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • CF has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 90.36% of its industry peers.
  • CF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 20.79%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.11%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (20.79%) for CF is well above the current ROIC(13.42%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROIC 13.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • CF's Profit Margin of 20.47% is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 97.59% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • CF has a better Operating Margin (31.03%) than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • CF's Gross Margin of 36.86% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CF has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CF is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CF has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CF has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • CF has an Altman-Z score of 2.45. This is not the best score and indicates that CF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of CF (2.45) is better than 65.06% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.74, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CF has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for CF, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 2.45
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC13.66%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.27 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.27, CF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of CF (1.99) is better than 78.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.27%, which is quite impressive.
  • CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.81% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 12.59% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • CF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.44% on average per year.
  • CF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.82% yearly.
EPS Next Y45.01%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.44%
Revenue Next Year18.35%
Revenue Next 2Y5.5%
Revenue Next 3Y2.01%
Revenue Next 5Y1.82%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.77, which indicates a very decent valuation of CF.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.41. CF is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.29, the valuation of CF can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CF is valued a bit cheaper than 75.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.64), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.77
Fwd PE 12.29
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CF's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CF indicates a rather cheap valuation: CF is cheaper than 89.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.18
EV/EBITDA 4.91
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CF's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CF has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)0.43
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%

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6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.27, CF pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CF grows each year by 10.99%, which is quite nice.
  • CF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • CF pays out 24.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • CF's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.46%
EPS Next 3Y-0.09%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.


What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 10.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.89.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CF stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is expected to grow by 45.01% in the next year.