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CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CF - US1252691001 - Common Stock

77.39 USD
-0.26 (-0.33%)
Last: 12/30/2025, 1:08:20 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, CF scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CF was compared to 83 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. CF has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on CF. Finally CF also has an excellent dividend rating. With these ratings, CF could be worth investigating further for value and dividend and quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CF was profitable.
CF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CF has been profitable.
CF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.71%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.98% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 28.44%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
CF has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 90.36% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CF is significantly above the industry average of 6.09%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (13.42%) for CF is well below the 3 year average (20.79%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that CF had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROIC 13.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

CF's Profit Margin of 20.47% is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 97.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CF has grown nicely.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 31.03%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
CF's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CF has a Gross Margin of 36.86%. This is in the better half of the industry: CF outperforms 74.70% of its industry peers.
CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CF is still creating some value.
CF has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CF is higher compared to a year ago.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.29 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CF's Altman-Z score of 2.29 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 66.27% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.74, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.74, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.61, CF is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for CF, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Altman-Z 2.29
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC13.29%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

CF has a Current Ratio of 2.27. This indicates that CF is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
CF's Current ratio of 2.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 66.27% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.99 indicates that CF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.99, CF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CF shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.27%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.81% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
CF shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.59%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.28% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.48% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, CF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.48%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y3.01%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10 15

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

CF is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.28.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.95% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.84, CF is valued rather cheaply.
CF is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.65.
CF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 80.72% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.40), we can say CF is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.28
Fwd PE 10.65
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.05
EV/EBITDA 4.1
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of CF may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)0.37
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.58%.
CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.48.
CF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.58%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CF grows each year by 10.99%, which is quite nice.
CF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

24.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CF. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of CF is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP24.22%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (12/30/2025, 1:08:20 PM)

77.39

-0.26 (-0.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Inst Owners105.55%
Inst Owner Change1.03%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change-0.16%
Market Cap12.07B
Revenue(TTM)6.74B
Net Income(TTM)1.38B
Analysts70
Price Target95.32 (23.17%)
Short Float %8.21%
Short Ratio5.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.58%
Yearly Dividend2.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.99%
DP24.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date11-14 2025-11-14 (0.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)0.72%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)8.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.42%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.15%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.59%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.97%
PT rev (1m)-1.15%
PT rev (3m)-2.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)22.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.81%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.28
Fwd PE 10.65
P/S 1.79
P/FCF 7.05
P/OCF 4.58
P/B 2.49
P/tB 6.43
EV/EBITDA 4.1
EPS(TTM)8.34
EY10.78%
EPS(NY)7.27
Fwd EY9.39%
FCF(TTM)10.98
FCFY14.18%
OCF(TTM)16.88
OCFY21.81%
SpS43.19
BVpS31.09
TBVpS12.03
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)0.37
Graham Number76.38
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.71%
ROE 28.44%
ROCE 16.21%
ROIC 13.42%
ROICexc 15.65%
ROICexgc 21.41%
OM 31.03%
PM (TTM) 20.47%
GM 36.86%
FCFM 25.42%
ROA(3y)14.93%
ROA(5y)10.97%
ROE(3y)39.12%
ROE(5y)31.36%
ROIC(3y)20.79%
ROIC(5y)16.71%
ROICexc(3y)25.05%
ROICexc(5y)19.9%
ROICexgc(3y)32.66%
ROICexgc(5y)25.93%
ROCE(3y)25.11%
ROCE(5y)20.18%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-11.21%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.25%
OM growth 3Y-4.8%
OM growth 5Y7.21%
PM growth 3Y13.52%
PM growth 5Y13.82%
GM growth 3Y-1.74%
GM growth 5Y6.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 1.74
Debt/EBITDA 1
Cap/Depr 103.37%
Cap/Sales 13.67%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.33%
Profit Quality 124.15%
Current Ratio 2.27
Quick Ratio 1.99
Altman-Z 2.29
F-Score8
WACC13.29%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)55.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)131.22%
Profit Quality(5y)188.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.27%
EPS 3Y13.85%
EPS 5Y24.81%
EPS Q2Q%65.67%
EPS Next Y44.85%
EPS Next 2Y7.16%
EPS Next 3Y0.51%
EPS Next 5Y4.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.59%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.17%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%21.09%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y5.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.17%
Revenue Next 5Y3.01%
EBIT growth 1Y22.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.81%
EBIT growth 5Y12.87%
EBIT Next Year69.9%
EBIT Next 3Y9.75%
EBIT Next 5Y8.93%
FCF growth 1Y-29.17%
FCF growth 3Y-9.42%
FCF growth 5Y9.75%
OCF growth 1Y-8%
OCF growth 3Y-7.54%
OCF growth 5Y8.58%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CF.


Can you provide the valuation status for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the valuation of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 9.28 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.49.


Can you provide the financial health for CF stock?

The financial health rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 7 / 10.