CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:CF • US1252691001

Current stock price

129.97 USD
+1.99 (+1.55%)
At close:
129.8 USD
-0.17 (-0.13%)
After Hours:

This CF fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

10

1. CF Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CF was profitable.
  • In the past year CF had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • CF had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.33%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a Return On Equity of 30.07%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CF outperforms 97.59% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 14.76%, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.07%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.54%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (13.07%) for CF is below the current ROIC(14.76%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 30.07%
ROIC 14.76%
ROA(3y)9.99%
ROA(5y)12.5%
ROE(3y)27.06%
ROE(5y)35.21%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)18.54%
CF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CF (20.54%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CF has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of CF (33.53%) is better than 96.39% of its industry peers.
  • CF's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 38.45%, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 33.53%
PM (TTM) 20.54%
GM 38.45%
OM growth 3Y-12.88%
OM growth 5Y16.83%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
CF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

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8

2. CF Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CF is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CF has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, CF has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for CF is higher compared to a year ago.
CF Yearly Shares OutstandingCF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
CF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.92 indicates that CF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • CF's Altman-Z score of 2.92 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CF outperforms 77.11% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CF is 1.78, which is an excellent value as it means it would take CF, only 1.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.78, CF belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating CF is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CF (0.66) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Although CF's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF 1.78
Altman-Z 2.92
ROIC/WACC1.03
WACC14.3%
CF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.37 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.37, CF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.93 indicates that CF has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CF's Quick ratio of 2.93 is amongst the best of the industry. CF outperforms 90.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.37
Quick Ratio 2.93
CF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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5

3. CF Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 54.03% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 45.21% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, CF shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 19.34% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.43% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -1.18% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.91% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-7.58%
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%
EPS Next 5Y-1.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.22%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.36%
Revenue Next 5Y0.91%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
CF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
CF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15

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6

4. CF Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CF is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.33.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 84.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CF to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.60), we can say CF is valued slightly cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.42, the valuation of CF can be described as correct.
  • CF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CF is cheaper than 67.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, CF is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.33
Fwd PE 14.42
CF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CF is valued cheaper than 91.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.08
EV/EBITDA 6.15
CF Per share dataCF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CF has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • CF's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.08% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%

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5

5. CF Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.47%.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.04.
  • CF's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.47%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of CF is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.93%!
  • CF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years20
CF Yearly Dividends per shareCF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 22.41% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CF. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP22.41%
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%
CF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
CF Dividend Payout.CF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CF Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:CF (4/2/2026, 8:13:12 PM)

After market: 129.8 -0.17 (-0.13%)

129.97

+1.99 (+1.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners106.44%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change-40.44%
Market Cap19.97B
Revenue(TTM)7.08B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts54
Price Target107.33 (-17.42%)
Short Float %5.86%
Short Ratio2.03
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.47%
Yearly Dividend2.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.93%
DP22.41%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years20
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)12.83%
Min EPS beat(2)0.72%
Max EPS beat(2)24.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.98%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.26%
Max EPS beat(4)28.54%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.77%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.79%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)2.36%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.07%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.52%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.83%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)9.25%
PT rev (3m)12.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)17.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)20.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)23.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.88%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.33
Fwd PE 14.42
P/S 2.82
P/FCF 11.08
P/OCF 7.26
P/B 4.13
P/tB 10.67
EV/EBITDA 6.15
EPS(TTM)9.75
EY7.5%
EPS(NY)9.01
Fwd EY6.93%
FCF(TTM)11.73
FCFY9.02%
OCF(TTM)17.91
OCFY13.78%
SpS46.1
BVpS31.48
TBVpS12.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
Graham Number83.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.33%
ROE 30.07%
ROCE 17.99%
ROIC 14.76%
ROICexc 17.37%
ROICexgc 23.62%
OM 33.53%
PM (TTM) 20.54%
GM 38.45%
FCFM 25.44%
ROA(3y)9.99%
ROA(5y)12.5%
ROE(3y)27.06%
ROE(5y)35.21%
ROIC(3y)13.07%
ROIC(5y)18.54%
ROICexc(3y)15.27%
ROICexc(5y)22.16%
ROICexgc(3y)20.8%
ROICexgc(5y)29.06%
ROCE(3y)15.93%
ROCE(5y)22.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y29.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.01%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.31%
OM growth 3Y-12.88%
OM growth 5Y16.83%
PM growth 3Y-11.78%
PM growth 5Y21.72%
GM growth 3Y-9.8%
GM growth 5Y13.91%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF 1.78
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 105.79%
Cap/Sales 13.41%
Interest Coverage 17.34
Cash Conversion 84.08%
Profit Quality 123.85%
Current Ratio 3.37
Quick Ratio 2.93
Altman-Z 2.92
F-Score8
WACC14.3%
ROIC/WACC1.03
Cap/Depr(3y)73.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.31%
Profit Quality(3y)138.61%
Profit Quality(5y)154.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)54.03%
EPS 3Y-16.83%
EPS 5Y45.21%
EPS Q2Q%78.77%
EPS Next Y-7.58%
EPS Next 2Y-12.91%
EPS Next 3Y-8.08%
EPS Next 5Y-1.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)19.34%
Revenue growth 3Y-14.12%
Revenue growth 5Y11.43%
Sales Q2Q%22.83%
Revenue Next Year-0.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.22%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.36%
Revenue Next 5Y0.91%
EBIT growth 1Y38.81%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.18%
EBIT growth 5Y30.18%
EBIT Next Year15.44%
EBIT Next 3Y1.47%
EBIT Next 5Y3.5%
FCF growth 1Y2.8%
FCF growth 3Y-19.09%
FCF growth 5Y14.34%
OCF growth 1Y21.18%
OCF growth 3Y-10.63%
OCF growth 5Y17.46%

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC / CF Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 8 / 10 to CF.


What is the valuation status of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC?

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) has a profitability rating of 10 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CF stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 13.33 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.13.


How sustainable is the dividend of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) stock?

The dividend rating of CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC (CF) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 22.41%.