CERTARA INC (CERT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CERT • US15687V1098

Current stock price

6.65 USD
+0.09 (+1.37%)
At close:
6.64 USD
-0.01 (-0.15%)
After Hours:

This CERT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CERT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CERT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year CERT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years CERT reported 4 times negative net income.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CERT had a positive operating cash flow.
CERT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • CERT's Return On Assets of -0.10% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
  • CERT has a Return On Equity of -0.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
  • CERT's Return On Invested Capital of 1.18% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 65.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.1%
ROE -0.15%
ROIC 1.18%
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2 -4 -6

1.3 Margins

  • CERT's Operating Margin of 5.02% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 68.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CERT has declined.
  • CERT has a Gross Margin of 61.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CERT outperforms 54.29% of its industry peers.
  • CERT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.53%
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
CERT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

5

2. CERT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CERT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CERT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CERT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CERT is higher compared to a year ago.
CERT Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
CERT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.59, we must say that CERT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.59, CERT is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CERT is 4.20, which is a neutral value as it means it would take CERT, 4.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CERT has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.20) than 65.71% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that CERT is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • CERT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CERT is outperformed by 62.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 4.2
Altman-Z 1.59
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC9.47%
CERT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CERT has a Current Ratio of 2.05. This indicates that CERT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CERT has a Current ratio (2.05) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CERT has a Quick ratio (2.05) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.05
Quick Ratio 2.05
CERT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

6

3. CERT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CERT shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -2.22%.
  • Measured over the past years, CERT shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.47% on average per year.
  • CERT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.75%.
  • Measured over the past years, CERT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%

3.2 Future

  • CERT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.30% yearly.
  • CERT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y14%
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y15.68%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.33%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CERT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
CERT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5

6

4. CERT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.11, CERT is valued correctly.
  • 82.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.70. CERT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • CERT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.26.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CERT to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say CERT is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.11
Fwd PE 13.26
CERT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CERT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 77.14% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.17
EV/EBITDA 11.93
CERT Per share dataCERT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CERT's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 15.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y15.68%

0

5. CERT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CERT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CERT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CERTARA INC

NASDAQ:CERT (3/13/2026, 8:14:54 PM)

After market: 6.64 -0.01 (-0.15%)

6.65

+0.09 (+1.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Technology
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners93.43%
Inst Owner Change4.58%
Ins Owners0.89%
Ins Owner Change0.35%
Market Cap1.06B
Revenue(TTM)418.84M
Net Income(TTM)-1.59M
Analysts76
Price Target12.62 (89.77%)
Short Float %18.49%
Short Ratio8.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.15%
Max EPS beat(2)25.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.18%
Max EPS beat(4)25.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.08%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.65%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-6.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.11
Fwd PE 13.26
P/S 2.53
P/FCF 15.17
P/OCF 10.99
P/B 1
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.93
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY6.62%
EPS(NY)0.5
Fwd EY7.54%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY6.59%
OCF(TTM)0.61
OCFY9.1%
SpS2.63
BVpS6.68
TBVpS-0.99
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.1%
ROE -0.15%
ROCE 1.5%
ROIC 1.18%
ROICexc 1.37%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.53%
FCFM 16.66%
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.68%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 4.2
Debt/EBITDA 3.02
Cap/Depr 35.33%
Cap/Sales 6.34%
Interest Coverage 1.1
Cash Conversion 100.15%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.05
Quick Ratio 2.05
Altman-Z 1.59
F-Score6
WACC9.47%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)31.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
EPS Next Y14%
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y15.68%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.33%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1314.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.14%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year20.66%
EBIT Next 3Y9.42%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.41%
FCF growth 3Y-4.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.61%
OCF growth 1Y19.71%
OCF growth 3Y1.35%
OCF growth 5Y16.54%

CERTARA INC / CERT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CERT.


What is the valuation status of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CERTARA INC (CERT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CERTARA INC?

CERTARA INC (CERT) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERTARA INC (CERT) is 15.11 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.


Can you provide the financial health for CERT stock?

The financial health rating of CERTARA INC (CERT) is 5 / 10.