CERTARA INC (CERT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:CERT • US15687V1098
Current stock price
6.18 USD
+0.05 (+0.82%)
At close:
6.18 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This CERT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CERT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CERT was profitable.
- In the past year CERT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years CERT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- CERT has a Return On Assets of -0.10%. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -0.15%, CERT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.18%, CERT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.1% | ||
| ROE | -0.15% | ||
| ROIC | 1.18% |
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- The Operating Margin of CERT (5.02%) is better than 70.59% of its industry peers.
- CERT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of CERT (61.53%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CERT has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 61.53% |
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
2. CERT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CERT is destroying value.
- CERT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- CERT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CERT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- CERT has an Altman-Z score of 1.47. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- CERT has a Altman-Z score of 1.47. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 61.76% of its industry peers.
- CERT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.20. This is a neutral value as CERT would need 4.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.20, CERT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- CERT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- CERT has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.47 |
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC9.86%
2.3 Liquidity
- CERT has a Current Ratio of 2.05. This indicates that CERT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- CERT's Current ratio of 2.05 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 58.82% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 2.05, CERT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.82% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.05 |
3. CERT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CERT have decreased by -2.22% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.47% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, CERT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.75% in the last year.
- CERT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CERT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.30% on average per year.
- CERT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. CERT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.05 indicates a correct valuation of CERT.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.35% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CERT to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.64), we can say CERT is valued slightly cheaper.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.45, the valuation of CERT can be described as correct.
- 82.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CERT to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say CERT is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.45 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 76.47% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- 82.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 13.72% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
5. CERT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for CERT!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
CERT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
6.18
+0.05 (+0.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Technology
Industry Strength1.24
Industry Growth47.83
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-11 2026-05-11/amc
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change-7.58%
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap947.58M
Revenue(TTM)418.84M
Net Income(TTM)-1.59M
Analysts76
Price Target9.01 (45.79%)
Short Float %19.89%
Short Ratio5.83
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.15%
Max EPS beat(2)25.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.18%
Max EPS beat(4)25.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.08%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.65%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)-6.4%
PT rev (3m)-28.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.05 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.45 | ||
| P/S | 2.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.84 | ||
| P/B | 0.89 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY7.12%
EPS(NY)0.46
Fwd EY7.44%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY7.36%
OCF(TTM)0.63
OCFY10.17%
SpS2.73
BVpS6.93
TBVpS-1.03
PEG (NY)3.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28378 (34.04%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.1% | ||
| ROE | -0.15% | ||
| ROCE | 1.5% | ||
| ROIC | 1.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.37% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 5.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 61.53% | ||
| FCFM | 16.66% |
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.68%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 35.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.34% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.1 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 100.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.47 |
F-Score6
WACC9.86%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)31.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1314.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.14%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year19.11%
EBIT Next 3Y8.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.41%
FCF growth 3Y-4.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.61%
OCF growth 1Y19.71%
OCF growth 3Y1.35%
OCF growth 5Y16.54%
CERTARA INC / CERT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CERT.
What is the valuation status of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CERTARA INC (CERT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of CERT stock?
CERTARA INC (CERT) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of CERTARA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERTARA INC (CERT) is 14.05 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.89.