CERTARA INC (CERT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CERT • US15687V1098

Current stock price

5.79 USD
+0.24 (+4.32%)
At close:
5.79 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CERT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CERT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CERT was profitable.
  • In the past year CERT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years CERT reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years CERT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CERT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of CERT (-0.10%) is better than 65.71% of its industry peers.
  • CERT has a Return On Equity of -0.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 65.71% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CERT (1.18%) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.1%
ROE -0.15%
ROIC 1.18%
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2 -4 -6

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 5.02%, CERT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CERT has declined.
  • CERT has a Gross Margin of 61.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CERT outperforms 54.29% of its industry peers.
  • CERT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.53%
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
CERT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

5

2. CERT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CERT is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CERT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CERT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CERT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CERT Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
CERT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • CERT has an Altman-Z score of 1.40. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.40, CERT is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CERT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.20. This is a neutral value as CERT would need 4.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CERT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.20. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • CERT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of CERT (0.27) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 4.2
Altman-Z 1.4
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC8.86%
CERT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 2.05, CERT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CERT has a Quick Ratio of 2.05. This indicates that CERT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CERT has a Quick ratio (2.05) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.05
Quick Ratio 2.05
CERT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

6

3. CERT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for CERT have decreased by -2.22% in the last year.
  • CERT shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.47% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 8.75% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.46% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.30% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CERT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
CERT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5

6

4. CERT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.16 indicates a correct valuation of CERT.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CERT indicates a rather cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CERT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • CERT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.60.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • CERT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 37.96.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.16
Fwd PE 12.6
CERT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CERT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • CERT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CERT is cheaper than 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.72
EV/EBITDA 10.31
CERT Per share dataCERT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 13.72% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%

0

5. CERT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CERT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CERT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CERTARA INC

NASDAQ:CERT (4/13/2026, 8:14:15 PM)

After market: 5.79 0 (0%)

5.79

+0.24 (+4.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Technology
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change0.23%
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap887.78M
Revenue(TTM)418.84M
Net Income(TTM)-1.59M
Analysts76
Price Target9.52 (64.42%)
Short Float %20.03%
Short Ratio7.07
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.15%
Max EPS beat(2)25.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.18%
Max EPS beat(4)25.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.08%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.65%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)-24.58%
PT rev (3m)-25.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.16
Fwd PE 12.6
P/S 2.12
P/FCF 12.72
P/OCF 9.22
P/B 0.84
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.31
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY7.6%
EPS(NY)0.46
Fwd EY7.94%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY7.86%
OCF(TTM)0.63
OCFY10.85%
SpS2.73
BVpS6.93
TBVpS-1.03
PEG (NY)2.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.1%
ROE -0.15%
ROCE 1.5%
ROIC 1.18%
ROICexc 1.37%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.53%
FCFM 16.66%
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.68%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 4.2
Debt/EBITDA 3.02
Cap/Depr 35.33%
Cap/Sales 6.34%
Interest Coverage 1.1
Cash Conversion 100.15%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.05
Quick Ratio 2.05
Altman-Z 1.4
F-Score6
WACC8.86%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)31.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1314.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.14%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year19.11%
EBIT Next 3Y8.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.41%
FCF growth 3Y-4.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.61%
OCF growth 1Y19.71%
OCF growth 3Y1.35%
OCF growth 5Y16.54%

CERTARA INC / CERT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CERT.


What is the valuation status of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CERTARA INC (CERT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CERT stock?

CERTARA INC (CERT) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of CERTARA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERTARA INC (CERT) is 13.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.84.