CERTARA INC (CERT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CERT • US15687V1098

Current stock price

6.63 USD
+0.14 (+2.16%)
At close:
6.97 USD
+0.34 (+5.13%)
Pre-Market:

This CERT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. CERT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CERT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CERT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years CERT had a positive operating cash flow.
CERT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCERT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.10%, CERT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of -0.15%, CERT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of CERT (1.18%) is better than 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.1%
ROE -0.15%
ROIC 1.18%
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CERT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCERT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2 -4 -6

1.3 Margins

  • CERT has a Operating Margin of 5.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 68.57% of its industry peers.
  • CERT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of CERT (61.53%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CERT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.53%
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
CERT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCERT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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5

2. CERT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CERT is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CERT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • CERT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CERT is higher compared to a year ago.
CERT Yearly Shares OutstandingCERT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
CERT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCERT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • CERT has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.60, CERT is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CERT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.20. This is a neutral value as CERT would need 4.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.20, CERT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that CERT is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • CERT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the lower half of the industry: CERT underperforms 62.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 4.2
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC9.43%
CERT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCERT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CERT's Current ratio of 2.05 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • CERT has a Quick ratio (2.05) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.05
Quick Ratio 2.05
CERT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCERT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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6

3. CERT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • CERT shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -2.22%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.47% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, CERT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.75% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.46% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%

3.2 Future

  • CERT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.30% yearly.
  • CERT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y14%
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y15.68%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.33%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
CERT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCERT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
CERT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCERT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.5 1 1.5

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6

4. CERT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • CERT is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.07.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CERT indicates a rather cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • CERT is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.22, CERT is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaper than 82.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CERT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.12.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.07
Fwd PE 13.22
CERT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCERT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CERT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of CERT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 77.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.12
EV/EBITDA 12.05
CERT Per share dataCERT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 15.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y15.68%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. CERT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CERT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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CERT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CERTARA INC

NASDAQ:CERT (3/17/2026, 8:03:55 PM)

Premarket: 6.97 +0.34 (+5.13%)

6.63

+0.14 (+2.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Technology
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners93.43%
Inst Owner Change4.58%
Ins Owners0.89%
Ins Owner Change0.35%
Market Cap1.06B
Revenue(TTM)418.84M
Net Income(TTM)-1.59M
Analysts76
Price Target12.62 (90.35%)
Short Float %18.96%
Short Ratio7.91
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.15%
Max EPS beat(2)25.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.18%
Max EPS beat(4)25.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.08%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.65%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-6.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.07
Fwd PE 13.22
P/S 2.52
P/FCF 15.12
P/OCF 10.95
P/B 0.99
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.05
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY6.64%
EPS(NY)0.5
Fwd EY7.57%
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY6.61%
OCF(TTM)0.61
OCFY9.13%
SpS2.63
BVpS6.68
TBVpS-0.99
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.1%
ROE -0.15%
ROCE 1.5%
ROIC 1.18%
ROICexc 1.37%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 5.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 61.53%
FCFM 16.66%
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.68%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 4.2
Debt/EBITDA 3.02
Cap/Depr 35.33%
Cap/Sales 6.34%
Interest Coverage 1.1
Cash Conversion 100.15%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.05
Quick Ratio 2.05
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score6
WACC9.43%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)31.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
EPS Next Y14%
EPS Next 2Y9.78%
EPS Next 3Y15.68%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y6.33%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1314.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.14%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year20.66%
EBIT Next 3Y9.42%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.41%
FCF growth 3Y-4.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.61%
OCF growth 1Y19.71%
OCF growth 3Y1.35%
OCF growth 5Y16.54%

CERTARA INC / CERT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CERT.


What is the valuation status of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CERTARA INC (CERT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CERTARA INC?

CERTARA INC (CERT) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERTARA INC (CERT) is 15.07 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.99.


Can you provide the financial health for CERT stock?

The financial health rating of CERTARA INC (CERT) is 5 / 10.