CERTARA INC (CERT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:CERT • US15687V1098
Current stock price
6.15 USD
+0.33 (+5.67%)
At close:
6.15 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This CERT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CERT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CERT was profitable.
- In the past year CERT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- CERT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years CERT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of -0.10%, CERT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- CERT has a Return On Equity of -0.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 65.71% of its industry peers.
- CERT has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.18%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.1% | ||
| ROE | -0.15% | ||
| ROIC | 1.18% |
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.02%, CERT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CERT has declined.
- CERT's Gross Margin of 61.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 54.29% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CERT has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 61.53% |
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
2. CERT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- CERT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CERT has less shares outstanding
- CERT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CERT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.41, we must say that CERT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- CERT has a Altman-Z score (1.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CERT is 4.20, which is a neutral value as it means it would take CERT, 4.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- CERT's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.20 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that CERT is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.27, CERT is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC8.86%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- CERT has a Current ratio (2.05) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- CERT has a Quick Ratio of 2.05. This indicates that CERT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- CERT has a Quick ratio of 2.05. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CERT outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.05 |
3. CERT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CERT have decreased by -2.22% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, CERT shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.47% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, CERT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.75% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 11.46% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, CERT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.30% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. CERT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.98, CERT is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CERT is valued cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- CERT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
- CERT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.38.
- 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- CERT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 74.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- 82.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 13.72% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)3.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
5. CERT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- CERT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
CERT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
6.15
+0.33 (+5.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Technology
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change0.23%
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap942.98M
Revenue(TTM)418.84M
Net Income(TTM)-1.59M
Analysts76
Price Target9.52 (54.8%)
Short Float %19.68%
Short Ratio5.6
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.15%
Max EPS beat(2)25.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.18%
Max EPS beat(4)25.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.08%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.65%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)-24.58%
PT rev (3m)-25.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.96%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.98 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.38 | ||
| P/S | 2.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.79 | ||
| P/B | 0.89 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.36 |
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY7.15%
EPS(NY)0.46
Fwd EY7.47%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY7.4%
OCF(TTM)0.63
OCFY10.21%
SpS2.73
BVpS6.93
TBVpS-1.03
PEG (NY)3.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28378 (34.7%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.1% | ||
| ROE | -0.15% | ||
| ROCE | 1.5% | ||
| ROIC | 1.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.37% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 5.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 61.53% | ||
| FCFM | 16.66% |
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.68%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 35.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.34% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.1 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 100.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
F-Score6
WACC8.86%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)31.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1314.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.14%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year19.11%
EBIT Next 3Y8.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.41%
FCF growth 3Y-4.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.61%
OCF growth 1Y19.71%
OCF growth 3Y1.35%
OCF growth 5Y16.54%
CERTARA INC / CERT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CERT.
What is the valuation status of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CERTARA INC (CERT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of CERT stock?
CERTARA INC (CERT) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of CERTARA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERTARA INC (CERT) is 13.98 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.89.