CERTARA INC (CERT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:CERT • US15687V1098
Current stock price
6.32 USD
+0.32 (+5.33%)
At close:
6.25 USD
-0.07 (-1.11%)
After Hours:
This CERT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CERT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CERT was profitable.
- CERT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years CERT reported 4 times negative net income.
- Each year in the past 5 years CERT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- CERT has a better Return On Assets (-0.10%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -0.15%, CERT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- CERT has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.18%. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.1% | ||
| ROE | -0.15% | ||
| ROIC | 1.18% |
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- CERT's Operating Margin of 5.02% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
- CERT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- CERT's Gross Margin of 61.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CERT has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 61.53% |
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
2. CERT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CERT is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CERT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for CERT has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- CERT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- CERT has an Altman-Z score of 1.50. This is a bad value and indicates that CERT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- CERT's Altman-Z score of 1.50 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
- CERT has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.20. This is a neutral value as CERT would need 4.20 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- CERT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.20. This is in the better half of the industry: CERT outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
- CERT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.27, CERT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.5 |
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC9.81%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.05 indicates that CERT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- CERT's Current ratio of 2.05 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CERT outperforms 58.82% of its industry peers.
- CERT has a Quick Ratio of 2.05. This indicates that CERT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of CERT (2.05) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.05 |
3. CERT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CERT have decreased by -2.22% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, CERT shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.47% on average per year.
- CERT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.75%.
- Measured over the past years, CERT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.30% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- CERT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.47% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. CERT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.36, which indicates a correct valuation of CERT.
- 85.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CERT to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say CERT is valued slightly cheaper.
- CERT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.75.
- CERT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CERT is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- CERT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.29.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CERT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: CERT is cheaper than 70.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 82.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CERT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.15 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- CERT's earnings are expected to grow with 13.72% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
5. CERT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for CERT!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
CERT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
6.32
+0.32 (+5.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Technology
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-11 2026-05-11/amc
Inst Owners95.57%
Inst Owner Change-7.58%
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap969.05M
Revenue(TTM)418.84M
Net Income(TTM)-1.59M
Analysts76
Price Target9.52 (50.63%)
Short Float %19.68%
Short Ratio5.6
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-21.15%
Max EPS beat(2)25.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.18%
Max EPS beat(4)25.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.08%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.6%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.91%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.65%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)-24.58%
PT rev (3m)-24.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.75 | ||
| P/S | 2.31 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.06 | ||
| P/B | 0.91 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.15 |
EPS(TTM)0.44
EY6.96%
EPS(NY)0.46
Fwd EY7.27%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY7.2%
OCF(TTM)0.63
OCFY9.94%
SpS2.73
BVpS6.93
TBVpS-1.03
PEG (NY)3.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28378 (31.07%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.1% | ||
| ROE | -0.15% | ||
| ROCE | 1.5% | ||
| ROIC | 1.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.37% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 5.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 61.53% | ||
| FCFM | 16.66% |
ROA(3y)-1.47%
ROA(5y)-0.87%
ROE(3y)-2.19%
ROE(5y)-1.3%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.68%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-20.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y0.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.2 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 35.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.34% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.1 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 100.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.5 |
F-Score6
WACC9.81%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)31.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)27.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.22%
EPS 3Y-1.47%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40%
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5Y24.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.75%
Revenue growth 3Y7.67%
Revenue growth 5Y11.46%
Sales Q2Q%3.28%
Revenue Next Year2.3%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y5.91%
Revenue Next 5Y9.47%
EBIT growth 1Y1314.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.14%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year19.11%
EBIT Next 3Y8.12%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y17.41%
FCF growth 3Y-4.46%
FCF growth 5Y13.61%
OCF growth 1Y19.71%
OCF growth 3Y1.35%
OCF growth 5Y16.54%
CERTARA INC / CERT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CERT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CERT.
What is the valuation status of CERTARA INC (CERT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CERTARA INC (CERT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of CERT stock?
CERTARA INC (CERT) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of CERTARA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CERTARA INC (CERT) is 14.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.91.