CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CENXUS1564311082

Current stock price

56.49 USD
+0.84 (+1.52%)
At close:
58.45 USD
+1.96 (+3.47%)
After Hours:

This CENX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. CENX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CENX was profitable.
  • In the past year CENX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CENX reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In multiple years CENX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
CENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • CENX has a better Return On Assets (1.73%) than 60.51% of its industry peers.
  • CENX has a Return On Equity of 4.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: CENX outperforms 63.06% of its industry peers.
  • CENX's Return On Invested Capital of 7.46% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 66.88% of its industry peers.
  • CENX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.09%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.64%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (5.09%) for CENX is below the current ROIC(7.46%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 4.78%
ROIC 7.46%
ROA(3y)4.8%
ROA(5y)0.56%
ROE(3y)12.89%
ROE(5y)-0.91%
ROIC(3y)5.09%
ROIC(5y)4.26%
CENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 1.56%, CENX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.51% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX has a Operating Margin (6.56%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CENX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CENX's Gross Margin of 10.45% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 40.76% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CENX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.56%
PM (TTM) 1.56%
GM 10.45%
OM growth 3Y166.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.03%
GM growth 5YN/A
CENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10

3

2. CENX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CENX is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CENX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for CENX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for CENX is higher compared to a year ago.
CENX Yearly Shares OutstandingCENX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
CENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • CENX has an Altman-Z score of 2.77. This is not the best score and indicates that CENX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.77, CENX is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CENX would need 6.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.80, CENX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CENX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.58. This is a neutral value indicating CENX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CENX has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.58) than 73.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.58
Debt/FCF 6.8
Altman-Z 2.77
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC11.61%
CENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that CENX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CENX has a Current ratio of 1.97. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CENX outperforms 42.68% of its industry peers.
  • CENX has a Quick Ratio of 1.97. This is a bad value and indicates that CENX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • CENX has a Quick ratio of 0.98. This is in the lower half of the industry: CENX underperforms 70.70% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 0.98
CENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

8

3. CENX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 124.55% over the past year.
  • CENX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 117.52% yearly.
  • CENX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 13.85%.
  • Measured over the past years, CENX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.51% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)124.55%
EPS 3Y117.52%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%155.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.09%
Revenue growth 5Y9.51%
Sales Q2Q%0.43%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.89% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y96.36%
EPS Next 2Y32.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.29%
Revenue Next 2Y9.95%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
CENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
CENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4

6

4. CENX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.87, the valuation of CENX can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.11. CENX is around the same levels.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.65, which indicates a very decent valuation of CENX.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.12, CENX is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.87
Fwd PE 11.65
CENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as CENX.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than 68.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 62.18
EV/EBITDA 21.88
CENX Per share dataCENX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • CENX's earnings are expected to grow with 32.89% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y32.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. CENX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • CENX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

CENX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY

NASDAQ:CENX (3/17/2026, 8:03:52 PM)

After market: 58.45 +1.96 (+3.47%)

56.49

+0.84 (+1.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners63.84%
Inst Owner Change21.89%
Ins Owners0.94%
Ins Owner Change-36.05%
Market Cap5.27B
Revenue(TTM)2.53B
Net Income(TTM)39.50M
Analysts81.82
Price Target63.31 (12.07%)
Short Float %14.32%
Short Ratio3.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-19.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.25%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-21.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.41%
Max EPS beat(4)-5.25%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.69%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.6%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.82%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.87%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.03%
PT rev (1m)22.02%
PT rev (3m)72.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)17.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)47.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.87
Fwd PE 11.65
P/S 2.09
P/FCF 62.18
P/OCF 28.72
P/B 6.39
P/tB 6.39
EV/EBITDA 21.88
EPS(TTM)2.47
EY4.37%
EPS(NY)4.85
Fwd EY8.59%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY1.61%
OCF(TTM)1.97
OCFY3.48%
SpS27.08
BVpS8.85
TBVpS8.85
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number22.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 4.78%
ROCE 9.44%
ROIC 7.46%
ROICexc 8.07%
ROICexgc 8.07%
OM 6.56%
PM (TTM) 1.56%
GM 10.45%
FCFM 3.35%
ROA(3y)4.8%
ROA(5y)0.56%
ROE(3y)12.89%
ROE(5y)-0.91%
ROIC(3y)5.09%
ROIC(5y)4.26%
ROICexc(3y)5.39%
ROICexc(5y)4.48%
ROICexgc(3y)5.39%
ROICexgc(5y)4.48%
ROCE(3y)6.46%
ROCE(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc growth 3Y120.69%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y120.69%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y166.28%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y82.03%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.58
Debt/FCF 6.8
Debt/EBITDA 1.86
Cap/Depr 107.63%
Cap/Sales 3.91%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 71.27%
Profit Quality 214.68%
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 2.77
F-Score7
WACC11.61%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)111.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.76%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)124.55%
EPS 3Y117.52%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%155.1%
EPS Next Y96.36%
EPS Next 2Y32.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.09%
Revenue growth 5Y9.51%
Sales Q2Q%0.43%
Revenue Next Year9.29%
Revenue Next 2Y9.95%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y36.69%
EBIT growth 3Y158.06%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year222.52%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y179.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y23.51%
OCF growth 1Y846.34%
OCF growth 3Y92.1%
OCF growth 5Y33.75%

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY / CENX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CENX.


What is the valuation status for CENX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CENX stock?

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for CENX stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) is 22.87 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.39.