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CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY (CENX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CENX - Nasdaq - US1564311082 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

20.71  +1.3 (+6.7%)

After market: 20.45 -0.26 (-1.26%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to CENX. CENX was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While CENX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CENX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CENX was profitable.
CENX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CENX had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years CENX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
CENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCENX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M -200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

CENX's Return On Assets of 5.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 78.06% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 15.60%, CENX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.39% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.64%, CENX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.35% of the companies in the same industry.
CENX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.18%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.61%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.18%) for CENX is below the current ROIC(8.64%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.8%
ROE 15.6%
ROIC 8.64%
ROA(3y)4.38%
ROA(5y)-1.26%
ROE(3y)10.09%
ROE(5y)-6.4%
ROIC(3y)3.18%
ROIC(5y)N/A
CENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCENX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of CENX (4.79%) is better than 69.68% of its industry peers.
CENX's Operating Margin of 7.00% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
CENX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CENX has a Gross Margin (9.69%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CENX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7%
PM (TTM) 4.79%
GM 9.69%
OM growth 3Y20%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.87%
GM growth 5YN/A
CENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCENX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CENX is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CENX has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CENX has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for CENX is higher compared to a year ago.
CENX Yearly Shares OutstandingCENX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
CENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCENX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.49, we must say that CENX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
CENX has a worse Altman-Z score (1.49) than 68.39% of its industry peers.
CENX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. This is a neutral value indicating CENX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.64, CENX is doing worse than 81.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC9.91%
CENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCENX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.84 indicates that CENX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.84, CENX is not doing good in the industry: 63.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that CENX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
CENX has a worse Quick ratio (0.63) than 85.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.84
Quick Ratio 0.63
CENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCENX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

CENX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 282.05%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, CENX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.41% in the last year.
CENX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.87% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)282.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.41%
Revenue growth 3Y0.12%
Revenue growth 5Y3.87%
Sales Q2Q%29.5%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 62.41% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y127.18%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.9%
Revenue Next 2Y7.39%
Revenue Next 3Y10.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCENX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
CENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCENX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.90, CENX is valued correctly.
89.03% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than CENX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CENX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.30), we can say CENX is valued slightly cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.16 indicates a reasonable valuation of CENX.
CENX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CENX is cheaper than 75.48% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.76, CENX is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.9
Fwd PE 11.16
CENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCENX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.52
CENX Per share dataCENX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

CENX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CENX's earnings are expected to grow with 62.41% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.41%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CENX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY

NASDAQ:CENX (7/11/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 20.45 -0.26 (-1.26%)

20.71

+1.3 (+6.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)05-07 2025-05-07/amc
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06/amc
Inst Owners58.85%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.95%
Ins Owner Change-0.16%
Market Cap1.93B
Analysts84.44
Price Target23.12 (11.64%)
Short Float %12.02%
Short Ratio3.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-14.23%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.41%
Max EPS beat(2)7.95%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)13.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)7.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.06%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.06%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)7.05%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.28%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.39%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-10.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-59.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.43%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.9
Fwd PE 11.16
P/S 0.82
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 30.92
P/B 2.66
P/tB 2.66
EV/EBITDA 9.52
EPS(TTM)1.49
EY7.19%
EPS(NY)1.86
Fwd EY8.96%
FCF(TTM)-0.12
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.67
OCFY3.23%
SpS25.35
BVpS7.78
TBVpS7.78
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.8%
ROE 15.6%
ROCE 10.99%
ROIC 8.64%
ROICexc 8.9%
ROICexgc 8.9%
OM 7%
PM (TTM) 4.79%
GM 9.69%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.38%
ROA(5y)-1.26%
ROE(3y)10.09%
ROE(5y)-6.4%
ROIC(3y)3.18%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.31%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)4.05%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y6.18%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y6.18%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y20%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.87%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.86
Cap/Depr 89.35%
Cap/Sales 3.12%
Interest Coverage 4.36
Cash Conversion 25.18%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.84
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score6
WACC9.91%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)115.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.4%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)282.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%1300%
EPS Next Y127.18%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y62.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.41%
Revenue growth 3Y0.12%
Revenue growth 5Y3.87%
Sales Q2Q%29.5%
Revenue Next Year10.9%
Revenue Next 2Y7.39%
Revenue Next 3Y10.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2805.26%
EBIT growth 3Y20.15%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year219.85%
EBIT Next 3Y66.3%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y86.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y634.19%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A