CENX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While CENX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CENX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.

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1. Profitability

2. Health

3. Growth

4. Valuation

5. Dividend

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

CENX had positive earnings in the past year.
CENX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CENX reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years CENX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

CENX has a Return On Assets of 3.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: CENX outperforms 70.78% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of CENX (10.88%) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
CENX has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) than 74.68% of its industry peers.
CENX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.18%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) for CENX is above the 3 year average (3.18%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	3.78%
ROE	10.88%
ROIC	8.91%

ROA(3y)4.38%

ROA(5y)-1.26%

ROE(3y)10.09%

ROE(5y)-6.4%

ROIC(3y)3.18%

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

CENX has a better Profit Margin (3.20%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
CENX's Operating Margin of 6.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CENX outperforms 59.74% of its industry peers.
CENX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CENX has a worse Gross Margin (9.52%) than 61.04% of its industry peers.
CENX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	6.89%
PM (TTM)	3.2%
GM	9.52%

OM growth 3Y20%

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y12.87%

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CENX is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for CENX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CENX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, CENX has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

CENX has an Altman-Z score of 2.60. This is not the best score and indicates that CENX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
CENX has a worse Altman-Z score (2.60) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
CENX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating CENX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CENX has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.66) than 79.22% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.66
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	2.6

ROIC/WACC0.84

WACC10.63%

2.3 Liquidity

CENX has a Current Ratio of 1.71. This is a normal value and indicates that CENX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CENX has a worse Current ratio (1.71) than 65.58% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.79 indicates that CENX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of CENX (0.79) is worse than 78.57% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	1.71
Quick Ratio	0.79

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WACC

Debt/Equity

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Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 71.00% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 20.15% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, CENX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.87% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)71%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-11.11%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.15%

Revenue growth 3Y0.12%

Revenue growth 5Y3.87%

Sales Q2Q%17.27%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, CENX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 68.18% on average per year.
CENX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 15.21% yearly.

EPS Next Y129.04%

EPS Next 2Y125.63%

EPS Next 3Y68.18%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year20.74%

Revenue Next 2Y13.26%

Revenue Next 3Y15.21%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.65 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CENX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.60, CENX is valued at the same level.
CENX is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.75.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CENX is valued cheaper than 93.51% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CENX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.83), we can say CENX is valued rather cheaply.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	28.65
Fwd PE	8.75

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CENX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.99% of the companies are valued more expensively.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	19.92

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CENX's earnings are expected to grow with 68.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.