CONSTELLATION ENERGY (CEG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:CEG • US21037T1097
Current stock price
301.77 USD
+0.22 (+0.07%)
At close:
303 USD
+1.23 (+0.41%)
Pre-Market:
This CEG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. CEG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year CEG was profitable.
- In the past year CEG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: CEG reported negative net income in multiple years.
- CEG had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- CEG has a Return On Assets of 4.05%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CEG outperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 15.97%, CEG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of CEG (4.51%) is better than 76.09% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CEG is in line with the industry average of 4.49%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.05% | ||
| ROE | 15.97% | ||
| ROIC | 4.51% |
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)2.71%
ROE(3y)19.77%
ROE(5y)11.21%
ROIC(3y)4.67%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- CEG's Profit Margin of 9.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CEG is outperformed by 69.57% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CEG has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of CEG (12.09%) is worse than 80.43% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CEG has grown nicely.
- CEG has a Gross Margin of 42.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CEG outperforms 43.48% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CEG has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 42.5% |
OM growth 3Y81.51%
OM growth 5Y53.34%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y22.11%
GM growth 3Y14.18%
GM growth 5Y-1.38%
2. CEG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CEG is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, CEG has less shares outstanding
- CEG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- CEG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- CEG has an Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is not the best score and indicates that CEG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.39, CEG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- CEG has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.98. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as CEG would need 6.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of CEG (6.98) is better than 86.96% of its industry peers.
- CEG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61. This is a neutral value indicating CEG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- CEG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.61. This is amongst the best in the industry. CEG outperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.54%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that CEG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of CEG (1.53) is better than 84.78% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.31 indicates that CEG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of CEG (1.31) is better than 84.78% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.31 |
3. CEG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for CEG have decreased strongly by -35.83% in the last year.
- CEG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.49% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 8.34% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.72% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-35.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.49%
EPS Q2Q%-15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.34%
Revenue growth 3Y1.47%
Revenue growth 5Y7.72%
Sales Q2Q%12.86%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.56% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, CEG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.91% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.39%
EPS Next 2Y33.7%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%
EPS Next 5Y19.56%
Revenue Next Year13.22%
Revenue Next 2Y10.28%
Revenue Next 3Y10.9%
Revenue Next 5Y8.91%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. CEG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 39.55, CEG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- 84.78% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CEG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- CEG is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 25.95, which means the current valuation is very expensive for CEG.
- 84.78% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CEG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. CEG is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.95 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CEG is valued more expensive than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- CEG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CEG is cheaper than 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 84.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- CEG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- CEG's earnings are expected to grow with 29.89% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.75
PEG (5Y)1.22
EPS Next 2Y33.7%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%
5. CEG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, CEG is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, CEG pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 2.87. 86.96% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than CEG!
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, CEG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
5.2 History
- CEG has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- The dividend of CEG decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 20.96% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CEG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP20.96%
EPS Next 2Y33.7%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%
CEG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
301.77
+0.22 (+0.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-24 2026-02-24/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04
Inst Owners72.83%
Inst Owner Change1.37%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change46.11%
Market Cap109.24B
Revenue(TTM)25.53B
Net Income(TTM)2.32B
Analysts78.33
Price Target405.24 (34.29%)
Short Float %2.53%
Short Ratio2.2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
Yearly Dividend1.55
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP20.96%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-09 2026-03-09 (0.4265)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.49%
Max EPS beat(2)2.35%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-83.02%
Max EPS beat(4)2.74%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)16.92%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)22.12%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-13.97%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.47%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)15.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)25.1%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)5.52%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.5%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)17.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.43%
PT rev (3m)0.41%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)11.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)15.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 25.95 | ||
| P/S | 4.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 84.81 | ||
| P/OCF | 25.78 | ||
| P/B | 7.52 | ||
| P/tB | 7.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.86 |
EPS(TTM)7.63
EY2.53%
EPS(NY)11.63
Fwd EY3.85%
FCF(TTM)3.56
FCFY1.18%
OCF(TTM)11.7
OCFY3.88%
SpS70.54
BVpS40.1
TBVpS38.94
PEG (NY)0.75
PEG (5Y)1.22
Graham Number82.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.05% | ||
| ROE | 15.97% | ||
| ROCE | 6.26% | ||
| ROIC | 4.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.9% | ||
| OM | 12.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 42.5% | ||
| FCFM | 5.04% |
ROA(3y)4.78%
ROA(5y)2.71%
ROE(3y)19.77%
ROE(5y)11.21%
ROIC(3y)4.67%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.95%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.37%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y74.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y62.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y73.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y62.63%
OM growth 3Y81.51%
OM growth 5Y53.34%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y22.11%
GM growth 3Y14.18%
GM growth 5Y-1.38%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.61 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.56 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 113.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.55% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.5% | ||
| Profit Quality | 55.54% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score6
WACC8.54%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)101.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.72%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.17%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-35.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y32.49%
EPS Q2Q%-15.13%
EPS Next Y52.39%
EPS Next 2Y33.7%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%
EPS Next 5Y19.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.34%
Revenue growth 3Y1.47%
Revenue growth 5Y7.72%
Sales Q2Q%12.86%
Revenue Next Year13.22%
Revenue Next 2Y10.28%
Revenue Next 3Y10.9%
Revenue Next 5Y8.91%
EBIT growth 1Y-27.91%
EBIT growth 3Y84.17%
EBIT growth 5Y65.18%
EBIT Next Year99.27%
EBIT Next 3Y38.36%
EBIT Next 5Y23.9%
FCF growth 1Y125.61%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y271.96%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y48.64%
CONSTELLATION ENERGY / CEG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for CEG stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CEG.
Can you provide the valuation status for CONSTELLATION ENERGY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CONSTELLATION ENERGY (CEG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of CEG stock?
CONSTELLATION ENERGY (CEG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is CONSTELLATION ENERGY?
The financial health rating of CONSTELLATION ENERGY (CEG) is 7 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of CONSTELLATION ENERGY (CEG) stock?
The dividend rating of CONSTELLATION ENERGY (CEG) is 2 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 20.96%.