CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC (CDAY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:CDAY - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US15677J1088 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
CDAY gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 82 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. CDAY has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. CDAY shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CDAY was profitable.
CDAY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years CDAY reported 4 times negative net income.
CDAY had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
CDAY has a Return On Assets of 0.04%. This is in the lower half of the industry: CDAY underperforms 61.25% of its industry peers.
CDAY's Return On Equity of 0.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY is outperformed by 61.25% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of CDAY (2.51%) is worse than 63.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.04% | ||
| ROE | 0.18% | ||
| ROIC | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)-0.66%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)-2.35%
ROE(5y)-1.42%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of CDAY (0.28%) is worse than 61.25% of its industry peers.
CDAY has a Operating Margin of 7.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CDAY outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
CDAY has a Gross Margin of 42.19%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CDAY outperforms 55.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CDAY has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.28% | ||
| GM | 42.19% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.28%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CDAY is destroying value.
CDAY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
CDAY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
CDAY has an Altman-Z score of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that CDAY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
CDAY has a worse Altman-Z score (1.19) than 72.50% of its industry peers.
CDAY has a debt to FCF ratio of 22.77. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CDAY would need 22.77 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CDAY (22.77) is worse than 73.75% of its industry peers.
CDAY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53. This is a neutral value indicating CDAY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
CDAY has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.53) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 22.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.19 |
ROIC/WACC0.3
WACC8.28%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.09 indicates that CDAY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CDAY has a worse Current ratio (1.09) than 68.75% of its industry peers.
CDAY has a Quick Ratio of 1.09. This is a normal value and indicates that CDAY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CDAY's Quick ratio of 1.09 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY is outperformed by 66.25% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.09 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.09 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 105.00% over the past year.
CDAY shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.61% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CDAY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 21.63%.
CDAY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.19% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105%
EPS 3Y19.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.78%
Revenue growth 5Y13.19%
Sales Q2Q%19.61%
3.2 Future
CDAY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 42.72% yearly.
CDAY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.67% yearly.
EPS Next Y76.11%
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
EPS Next 5Y42.72%
Revenue Next Year23.9%
Revenue Next 2Y19.31%
Revenue Next 3Y17.87%
Revenue Next 5Y17.67%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 56.52, CDAY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, CDAY is valued a bit more expensive than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.98. CDAY is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.47, CDAY can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CDAY is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.75% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CDAY to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.38), we can say CDAY is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 56.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CDAY is valued a bit more expensive than 73.75% of the companies in the same industry.
72.50% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than CDAY, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 202.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 52.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
CDAY's earnings are expected to grow with 40.92% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CDAY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
69.52
+0.07 (+0.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners119.24%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap10.85B
Analysts77.6
Price Target77.9 (12.05%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.89%
Min EPS beat(2)7.19%
Max EPS beat(2)22.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.23%
Max EPS beat(4)87.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)52.78%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)42.08%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)46.25%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.44%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.86%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.39%
PT rev (1m)0.14%
PT rev (3m)-2.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.92%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 56.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.47 | ||
| P/S | 7.49 | ||
| P/FCF | 202.88 | ||
| P/OCF | 63.33 | ||
| P/B | 4.79 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 52.32 |
EPS(TTM)1.23
EY1.77%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY2.47%
FCF(TTM)0.34
FCFY0.49%
OCF(TTM)1.1
OCFY1.58%
SpS9.29
BVpS14.52
TBVpS-1.59
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.04% | ||
| ROE | 0.18% | ||
| ROCE | 3.18% | ||
| ROIC | 2.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.94% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.57% | ||
| OM | 7.74% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.28% | ||
| GM | 42.19% | ||
| FCFM | 3.69% |
ROA(3y)-0.66%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)-2.35%
ROE(5y)-1.42%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.28%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 22.77 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 108.46% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.13% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 1337.5% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.09 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.19 |
F-Score8
WACC8.28%
ROIC/WACC0.3
Cap/Depr(3y)101.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105%
EPS 3Y19.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85%
EPS Next Y76.11%
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
EPS Next 5Y42.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.78%
Revenue growth 5Y13.19%
Sales Q2Q%19.61%
Revenue Next Year23.9%
Revenue Next 2Y19.31%
Revenue Next 3Y17.87%
Revenue Next 5Y17.67%
EBIT growth 1Y376.6%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year136.31%
EBIT Next 3Y51.44%
EBIT Next 5Y42.35%
FCF growth 1Y159.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y699.3%
OCF growth 3Y37.87%
OCF growth 5YN/A