CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC (CDAY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:CDAY • US15677J1088

92.28 CAD
+0.34 (+0.37%)
Last: Mar 20, 2024, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, CDAY scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. CDAY was compared to 5 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of CDAY have multiple concerns. CDAY is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year CDAY was profitable.
  • CDAY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
CDAY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCDAY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

  • CDAY has a better Return On Assets (0.04%) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of CDAY (0.18%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 2.29%, CDAY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.04%
ROE 0.18%
ROIC 2.29%
ROA(3y)-0.66%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)-2.35%
ROE(5y)-1.42%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
CDAY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCDAY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of CDAY (0.28%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • CDAY's Operating Margin of 7.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • CDAY's Gross Margin of 42.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CDAY is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • CDAY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.74%
PM (TTM) 0.28%
GM 42.19%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.28%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
CDAY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCDAY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), CDAY is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CDAY has more shares outstanding
  • CDAY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
CDAY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingCDAY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M
CDAY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCDAY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that CDAY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • CDAY has a worse Altman-Z score (1.17) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of CDAY is 22.77, which is on the high side as it means it would take CDAY, 22.77 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • CDAY has a Debt to FCF ratio (22.77) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53 indicates that CDAY is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • CDAY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.53) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.53
Debt/FCF 22.77
Altman-Z 1.17
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC8.14%
CDAY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCDAY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.09 indicates that CDAY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CDAY has a Current ratio of 1.09. This is in the better half of the industry: CDAY outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.09 indicates that CDAY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.09, CDAY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio 1.09
CDAY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCDAY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 105.00% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, CDAY shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.61% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, CDAY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 21.63%.
  • CDAY shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.19% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)105%
EPS 3Y19.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.78%
Revenue growth 5Y13.19%
Sales Q2Q%19.61%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 42.72% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, CDAY will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 17.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y76.11%
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
EPS Next 5Y42.72%
Revenue Next Year22.54%
Revenue Next 2Y18.66%
Revenue Next 3Y17.44%
Revenue Next 5Y17.41%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
CDAY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCDAY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
CDAY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCDAY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 55.26, the valuation of CDAY can be described as expensive.
  • CDAY's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CDAY is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CDAY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.98.
  • CDAY is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.59.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CDAY is valued cheaper than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.01. CDAY is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 55.26
Fwd PE 39.59
CDAY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCDAY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, CDAY is valued a bit cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CDAY.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 198.43
EV/EBITDA 51.25
CDAY.CA Per share dataCDAY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CDAY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as CDAY's earnings are expected to grow with 40.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for CDAY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC

TSX:CDAY (3/20/2024, 7:00:00 PM)

92.28

+0.34 (+0.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)N/A
Earnings (Next)02-08
Inst Owners85.76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.41B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)4.00M
Analysts76.67
Price Target105.21 (14.01%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.89%
Min EPS beat(2)7.19%
Max EPS beat(2)22.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.23%
Max EPS beat(4)87.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)52.78%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)42.08%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)46.25%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.09%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.44%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.86%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.39%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 55.26
Fwd PE 39.59
P/S 7.32
P/FCF 198.43
P/OCF 61.94
P/B 4.68
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 51.25
EPS(TTM)1.67
EY1.81%
EPS(NY)2.33
Fwd EY2.53%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY0.5%
OCF(TTM)1.49
OCFY1.61%
SpS12.6
BVpS19.71
TBVpS-2.16
PEG (NY)0.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.04%
ROE 0.18%
ROCE 3.18%
ROIC 2.29%
ROICexc 2.68%
ROICexgc 16.01%
OM 7.74%
PM (TTM) 0.28%
GM 42.19%
FCFM 3.69%
ROA(3y)-0.66%
ROA(5y)-0.4%
ROE(3y)-2.35%
ROE(5y)-1.42%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.28%
GM growth 5Y-0.66%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.53
Debt/FCF 22.77
Debt/EBITDA 5.48
Cap/Depr 108.46%
Cap/Sales 8.13%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 77.56%
Profit Quality 1337.5%
Current Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio 1.09
Altman-Z 1.17
F-Score8
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)101.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)105%
EPS 3Y19.61%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%85%
EPS Next Y76.11%
EPS Next 2Y49.35%
EPS Next 3Y40.92%
EPS Next 5Y42.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)21.63%
Revenue growth 3Y14.78%
Revenue growth 5Y13.19%
Sales Q2Q%19.61%
Revenue Next Year22.54%
Revenue Next 2Y18.66%
Revenue Next 3Y17.44%
Revenue Next 5Y17.41%
EBIT growth 1Y376.6%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year136.31%
EBIT Next 3Y51.44%
EBIT Next 5Y42.35%
FCF growth 1Y159.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y699.3%
OCF growth 3Y37.87%
OCF growth 5YN/A

CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC / CDAY.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to CDAY.CA.


What is the valuation status for CDAY stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC (CDAY.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of CDAY stock?

CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC (CDAY.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for CDAY stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CERIDIAN HCM HOLDING INC (CDAY.CA) is expected to grow by 76.11% in the next year.