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COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNE (CCEP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:CCEP - Nasdaq - GB00BDCPN049 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

78.55  -0.77 (-0.97%)

After market: 78.55 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall CCEP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated CCEP against 32 industry peers in the Beverages industry. While CCEP is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. CCEP is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year CCEP was profitable.
In the past year CCEP had a positive cash flow from operations.
CCEP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
CCEP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
CCEP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCCEP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

1.2 Ratios

CCEP has a Return On Assets (5.02%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 18.91%, CCEP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
CCEP's Return On Invested Capital of 7.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. CCEP outperforms 44.83% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CCEP is significantly below the industry average of 13.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.11%) for CCEP is above the 3 year average (6.98%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.02%
ROE 18.91%
ROIC 7.11%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)4.53%
ROE(3y)18.38%
ROE(5y)16.22%
ROIC(3y)6.98%
ROIC(5y)6.72%
CCEP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCCEP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

CCEP has a Profit Margin of 8.42%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: CCEP outperforms 55.17% of its industry peers.
CCEP's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 11.78%, CCEP is not doing good in the industry: 62.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of CCEP has grown nicely.
CCEP has a worse Gross Margin (36.27%) than 86.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CCEP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.78%
PM (TTM) 8.42%
GM 36.27%
OM growth 3Y15.03%
OM growth 5Y1.76%
PM growth 3Y24.77%
PM growth 5Y2.93%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-1%
CCEP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCCEP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CCEP is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for CCEP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
CCEP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for CCEP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
CCEP Yearly Shares OutstandingCCEP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
CCEP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCCEP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.03 indicates that CCEP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.03, CCEP is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.38% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CCEP is 7.23, which is on the high side as it means it would take CCEP, 7.23 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of CCEP (7.23) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the high side and indicates that CCEP has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.32, CCEP is not doing good in the industry: 65.52% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 7.23
Altman-Z 2.03
ROIC/WACC1
WACC7.08%
CCEP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCCEP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that CCEP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.85, CCEP is doing worse than 75.86% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.63 indicates that CCEP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.63, CCEP is not doing good in the industry: 62.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.63
CCEP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCCEP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for CCEP have decreased by -5.41% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CCEP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.35% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.31% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 9.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.41%
EPS 3Y49.42%
EPS 5Y14.35%
EPS Q2Q%-6.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y19.95%
Revenue growth 5Y9.7%
Sales Q2Q%9.48%

3.2 Future

CCEP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.97% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.54% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y6.38%
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y7.53%
EPS Next 5Y9.97%
Revenue Next Year12.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.66%
Revenue Next 3Y7.1%
Revenue Next 5Y6.54%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CCEP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCCEP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
CCEP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCCEP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.58, CCEP is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of CCEP is on the same level as its industry peers.
CCEP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.56 indicates a rather expensive valuation of CCEP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of CCEP is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.56. CCEP is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.58
Fwd PE 17.56
CCEP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCCEP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

CCEP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CCEP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.7
EV/EBITDA 14.11
CCEP Per share dataCCEP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CCEP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)3.38
PEG (5Y)1.5
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y7.53%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

CCEP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.79%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
CCEP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.21.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, CCEP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.79%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of CCEP grows each year by 11.43%, which is quite nice.
CCEP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
CCEP has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.43%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
CCEP Yearly Dividends per shareCCEP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

CCEP pays out 54.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
CCEP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP54.34%
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y7.53%
CCEP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCCEP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
CCEP Dividend Payout.CCEP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CCEP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNE

NASDAQ:CCEP (1/31/2025, 8:16:42 PM)

After market: 78.55 0 (0%)

78.55

-0.77 (-0.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-14 2025-02-14/amc
Inst Owners34.95%
Inst Owner Change0.15%
Ins Owners0.22%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap36.21B
Analysts79.13
Price Target86.44 (10.04%)
Short Float %1.76%
Short Ratio2.52
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.79%
Yearly Dividend1.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.43%
DP54.34%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.96%
PT rev (3m)1.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.58
Fwd PE 17.56
P/S 1.82
P/FCF 20.7
P/OCF 13.28
P/B 4.08
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.11
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY4.63%
EPS(NY)4.47
Fwd EY5.7%
FCF(TTM)3.79
FCFY4.83%
OCF(TTM)5.92
OCFY7.53%
SpS43.23
BVpS19.24
TBVpS-20.66
PEG (NY)3.38
PEG (5Y)1.5
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.02%
ROE 18.91%
ROCE 9.72%
ROIC 7.11%
ROICexc 7.71%
ROICexgc 36.13%
OM 11.78%
PM (TTM) 8.42%
GM 36.27%
FCFM 8.78%
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)4.53%
ROE(3y)18.38%
ROE(5y)16.22%
ROIC(3y)6.98%
ROIC(5y)6.72%
ROICexc(3y)7.9%
ROICexc(5y)7.41%
ROICexgc(3y)62.1%
ROICexgc(5y)49.4%
ROCE(3y)9.13%
ROCE(5y)8.81%
ROICexcg growth 3Y31.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y21.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.3%
OM growth 3Y15.03%
OM growth 5Y1.76%
PM growth 3Y24.77%
PM growth 5Y2.93%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-1%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 7.23
Debt/EBITDA 3.61
Cap/Depr 108.92%
Cap/Sales 4.91%
Interest Coverage 10.31
Cash Conversion 84.01%
Profit Quality 104.28%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.63
Altman-Z 2.03
F-Score3
WACC7.08%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)77.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)4%
Profit Quality(3y)148.03%
Profit Quality(5y)156.16%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-5.41%
EPS 3Y49.42%
EPS 5Y14.35%
EPS Q2Q%-6.99%
EPS Next Y6.38%
EPS Next 2Y7.08%
EPS Next 3Y7.53%
EPS Next 5Y9.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.31%
Revenue growth 3Y19.95%
Revenue growth 5Y9.7%
Sales Q2Q%9.48%
Revenue Next Year12.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.66%
Revenue Next 3Y7.1%
Revenue Next 5Y6.54%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.7%
EBIT growth 3Y37.97%
EBIT growth 5Y11.63%
EBIT Next Year50.73%
EBIT Next 3Y19.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.77%
FCF growth 1Y-29.16%
FCF growth 3Y22.6%
FCF growth 5Y10.58%
OCF growth 1Y-8.42%
OCF growth 3Y23.49%
OCF growth 5Y9.21%